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Why is Elon Musk’s surprise trip this week to China so important?
The Chinese official news agency Xinhua posted a photograph on Tuesday night of Tesla CEO Elon Musk in formal conversation with Chinese Vice Premier Wang Yang. The previously unannounced meeting, which took place in Beijing, is an important milestone for Tesla, as it signals a turn in the economic relationship of the all-electric car company and the biggest automotive market in the world.
Vice Premier Wang is one of China’s foremost economic decision-makers. He has not ever previously met alone with an automotive CEO like Musk, generally preferring group dynamics, according Li Anding, Xinhua’s former automotive reporter and current China industry analyst, as reported by Forbes.
The Musk-Wang consultation could be groundbreaking in several ways.
Chinese Vice Premier Wang Yang meets with Tesla CEO Elon Musk in Beijing pic.twitter.com/HSM5kxBvYF
— China Xinhua News (@XHNews) April 25, 2017
The meeting between Musk and Wang took place concurrent with the Shanghai Auto Show, where many automakers chose to unveil their newest electric cars. By early 2018, automakers in China are required to offer at least 8 percent electric vehicles out of their total manufactured vehicles. The beginning of Q1 in China saw vehicle imports rise 376% as compared to the same period in 2016, according to JL Warren Capital.
Chinese consumers bought 24 million passenger cars last year. With 1 million electric vehicles in 2016, China experienced an 87 percent increase over the previous year. Tesla has revealed that its 2016 China sales tripled to $1 billion+ at a time when its 2016 U.S. sales were around $4.2 billion.
China is a formidable market for Tesla to tap. If Tesla could produce cars locally as part of a joint venture, which is required in China, the stiff 25% tariffs on Tesla’s imported cars could be alleviated and would reduce the cost of buying a Tesla in China. That would open up entirely new consumer audiences for Tesla there. Electric vehicles in China start at about $6,000 and have a cost range of up to $200,000— the luxurious Tesla.
Tesla has proven already to China that it is able to adopt its production to be be consistent with China’s 13th Five-Year Plan (2016-2020), in which energy goals include movement toward a larger percentage of electric vehicles (EVs) on China’s roads. Yet, many of that country’s new electric car companies are experiencing startup woes of long charging times and an overall poor driver experience, Li acknowledged.
If, as has been rumored, Tesla has been having discussions with several interested partners from various Chinese cities, the automaker might be close to making a deal. And, as Vice Premier Wang is a former leader of the Guangdong province, that region might be high on the Tesla sights for one of its first regional facilities.
Musk’s visit coincides with a voluntary recall this week in China of 6,634 Tesla Model S and Model X due to a potential defect in its electric parking brake. Tesla Auto Sales (Beijing) Co. contacted the General Administration of Quality Supervision, Inspection and Quarantine (AQSIQ) to apprise the state of the situation. Tesla has agreed to replace defective brake calipers at no cost.
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) closed at an all-time high on Tuesday, jumping over 3 percent during the day and finishing at $489.88.
The price beats the previous record close, which was $479.86.
Shares have had a crazy year, dipping more than 40 percent from the start of the year. The stock then started to recover once again around late April, when its price started to climb back up from the low $200 level.
This week, Tesla started to climb toward its highest levels ever, as it was revealed on Sunday that the company was testing driverless Robotaxis in Austin. The spike in value pushed the company’s valuation to $1.63 trillion.
Tesla Robotaxi goes driverless as Musk confirms Safety Monitor removal testing
It is the seventh-most valuable company on the market currently, trailing Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet (Google), Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta.
Shares closed up $14.57 today, up over 3 percent.
The stock has gone through a lot this year, as previously mentioned. Shares tumbled in Q1 due to CEO Elon Musk’s involvement with the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which pulled his attention away from his companies and left a major overhang on their valuations.
However, things started to rebound halfway through the year, and as the government started to phase out the $7,500 tax credit, demand spiked as consumers tried to take advantage of it.
Q3 deliveries were the highest in company history, and Tesla responded to the loss of the tax credit with the launch of the Model 3 and Model Y Standard.
Additionally, analysts have announced high expectations this week for the company on Wall Street as Robotaxi continues to be the focus. With autonomy within Tesla’s sights, things are moving in the direction of Robotaxi being a major catalyst for growth on the Street in the coming year.
Elon Musk
Tesla needs to come through on this one Robotaxi metric, analyst says
“We think the key focus from here will be how fast Tesla can scale driverless operations (including if Tesla’s approach to software/hardware allows it to scale significantly faster than competitors, as the company has argued), and on profitability.”
Tesla needs to come through on this one Robotaxi metric, Mark Delaney of Goldman Sachs says.
Tesla is in the process of rolling out its Robotaxi platform to areas outside of Austin and the California Bay Area. It has plans to launch in five additional cities, including Houston, Dallas, Miami, Las Vegas, and Phoenix.
However, the company’s expansion is not what the focus needs to be, according to Delaney. It’s the speed of deployment.
The analyst said:
“We think the key focus from here will be how fast Tesla can scale driverless operations (including if Tesla’s approach to software/hardware allows it to scale significantly faster than competitors, as the company has argued), and on profitability.”
Profitability will come as the Robotaxi fleet expands. Making that money will be dependent on when Tesla can initiate rides in more areas, giving more customers access to the program.
There are some additional things that the company needs to make happen ahead of the major Robotaxi expansion, one of those things is launching driverless rides in Austin, the first city in which it launched the program.
This week, Tesla started testing driverless Robotaxi rides in Austin, as two different Model Y units were spotted with no occupants, a huge step in the company’s plans for the ride-sharing platform.
Tesla Robotaxi goes driverless as Musk confirms Safety Monitor removal testing
CEO Elon Musk has been hoping to remove Safety Monitors from Robotaxis in Austin for several months, first mentioning the plan to have them out by the end of 2025 in September. He confirmed on Sunday that Tesla had officially removed vehicle occupants and started testing truly unsupervised rides.
Although Safety Monitors in Austin have been sitting in the passenger’s seat, they have still had the ability to override things in case of an emergency. After all, the ultimate goal was safety and avoiding any accidents or injuries.
Goldman Sachs reiterated its ‘Neutral’ rating and its $400 price target. Delaney said, “Tesla is making progress with its autonomous technology,” and recent developments make it evident that this is true.
Investor's Corner
Tesla gets bold Robotaxi prediction from Wall Street firm
Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) received a bold Robotaxi prediction from Morgan Stanley, which anticipates a dramatic increase in the size of the company’s autonomous ride-hailing suite in the coming years.
Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.
Percoco dug into the Robotaxi fleet and its expansion in the coming years in his latest note, released on Tuesday. The firm expects Tesla to increase the Robotaxi fleet size to 1,000 vehicles in 2026. However, that’s small-scale compared to what they expect from Tesla in a decade.
Tesla expands Robotaxi app access once again, this time on a global scale
By 2035, Morgan Stanley believes there will be one million Robotaxis on the road across multiple cities, a major jump and a considerable fleet size. We assume this means the fleet of vehicles Tesla will operate internally, and not including passenger-owned vehicles that could be added through software updates.
He also listed three specific catalysts that investors should pay attention to, as these will represent the company being on track to achieve its Robotaxi dreams:
- Opening Robotaxi to the public without a Safety Monitor. Timing is unclear, but it appears that Tesla is getting closer by the day.
- Improvement in safety metrics without the Safety Monitor. Tesla’s ability to improve its safety metrics as it scales miles driven without the Safety Monitor is imperative as it looks to scale in new states and cities in 2026.
- Cybercab start of production, targeted for April 2026. Tesla’s Cybercab is a purpose-built vehicle (no steering wheel or pedals, only two seats) that is expected to be produced through its state-of-the-art unboxed manufacturing process, offering further cost reductions and thus accelerating adoption over time.
Robotaxi stands to be one of Tesla’s most significant revenue contributors, especially as the company plans to continue expanding its ride-hailing service across the world in the coming years.
Its current deployment strategy is controlled and conservative to avoid any drastic and potentially program-ruining incidents.
So far, the program, which is active in Austin and the California Bay Area, has been widely successful.
Tesla stock closes at all-time high on heels of Robotaxi progress
Tesla needs to come through on this one Robotaxi metric, analyst says
