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Ford’s Farley shows Tesla Motors some love

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1961 Ford Gyron Show Car 1 600x400 Coffee and a Concept   1961 Ford GyronYou know the Mahatma Gandhi saying: “First they ignore you, then they ridicule you, then they fight you, and then you win.” We would probably change it to: “At first, they ignore you. Then, they mock you. Finally, they embrace you” And so this past week, James Farley, Ford’s CMO publicly praised Tesla’s technical fluency and distribution models. Thus begins a new chapter in the evolution of electric vehicles, EV.

When Ford shows the way

Others mainstream carmakers follow. You have to give Ford credit for a few things. They were agile enough, with the right amount of vision to lead the way in the late 2008, revitalizing our nation’s dying car industry. I’ve met with Alan Mullaly and heard Ford Jr. on more than one occasion to know that this dynamic duo saved the carmaker. Ford was the first carmaker to reach out to everyone to spread the message. Today, the media sees this company as one of the most open and inclusive, a starch contrast to many others in the industry.

Although we can argue at length as to Ford’s commitment to EVs, the Focus Electric is one of the best EV in its segment. It drives very well, has decent autonomy and performs exactly as you would expect it. In many ways, it is an ideal second EV. Still, many are frustrated Ford isn’t pushing its Focus Electric more. However, Ford’s number one preoccupation until now was to remain solvent and diversify their wide automotive choice. They created what they called Power of Choice by offering cars with various drivetrains, something they did with brio and more or less, according to public demand. Still, what James proclaimed will probably force other carmakers to acknowledge the wild success and brilliant maneuvering of the small California electric vehicle maker, Tesla Motors.

According to Jim Farley on Seeking Alpha, “Tesla’s achievements have produced benefits for the entire automotive industry.”

Tesla’s distribution, sales and service

If you read further into the article, you will pick up on something very interesting. Ford is impressed with the company’s distribution, sales and service. In other words, Ford, a carmaker, which relies on dealership distributions is saying it is impressed with Tesla’s distribution system, or lack, thereof. Ford is saying that Tesla devised of a working and successful business plan around electric cars, something that has stumped almost all car makers.

Almost all carmakers face the same dilemma when it comes to EVs. How to make money on the electric drivetrain when it requires close to no maintenance. Since carmakers enjoy a steady cash flow from planned maintenance and obsolescence strategy, EVs are a serious thorn for their business plans. In short, carmakers make a bundle on spare parts, maintenance and frequent planed failures. Electric vehicle makers don’t have that luxury and need to have a radically different business model in order to survive. Maybe if everyone fully understood this, few would complain about the relatively high price of EVs. You either pay upfront, or down the road — the choice is yours.

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Ford has shown a very progressive stance in the past and has been one of the rare carmakers with a vision solid enough to get it going in the middle one of the worst global financial crisis. Mullaly and Ford have been instrumental in maneuvering the company out of the 2008 financial meltdown, and have shown an uncanny ability to appeal to population segments otherwise discarded by other makers. Today, Ford enjoys a good reputation, with better cars, good energy savings and much better quality control. If a mainstream carmaker such as Ford publicly praises a disruptive electric vehicle lifestyle startup in California, such as Tesla Motors, you know things are about to change.

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SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly

The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas. 

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Credit: SpaceX/X

SpaceX has issued an initial statement about Starship Booster 18’s anomaly early Friday. The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas. 

SpaceX’s initial comment

As per SpaceX in a post on its official account on social media platform X, Booster 18 was undergoing gas system pressure tests when the anomaly happened. Despite the nature of the incident, the company emphasized that no propellant was loaded, no engines were installed, and personnel were kept at a safe distance from the booster, resulting in zero injuries.

“Booster 18 suffered an anomaly during gas system pressure testing that we were conducting in advance of structural proof testing. No propellant was on the vehicle, and engines were not yet installed. The teams need time to investigate before we are confident of the cause. No one was injured as we maintain a safe distance for personnel during this type of testing. The site remains clear and we are working plans to safely reenter the site,” SpaceX wrote in its post on X. 

Incident and aftermath

Livestream footage from LabPadre showed Booster 18’s lower half crumpling around the liquid oxygen tank area at approximately 4:04 a.m. CT. Subsequent images posted by on-site observers revealed extensive deformation across the booster’s lower structure. Needless to say, spaceflight observers have noted that Booster 18 would likely be a complete loss due to its anomaly.

Booster 18 had rolled out only a day earlier and was one of the first vehicles in the Starship V3 program. The V3 series incorporates structural reinforcements and reliability upgrades intended to prepare Starship for rapid-reuse testing and eventual tower-catch operations. Elon Musk has been optimistic about Starship V3, previously noting on X that the spacecraft might be able to complete initial missions to Mars.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now

The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers. 

The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.

Analysts highlight autonomy progress

During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.

The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report. 

Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”

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Street targets diverge on TSLA

While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.

Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements. 

Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs. 

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SpaceX Starship Version 3 booster crumples in early testing

Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.

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Credit: SpaceX/X

SpaceX’s new Starship first-stage booster, Booster 18, suffered major damage early Friday during its first round of testing in Starbase, Texas, just one day after rolling out of the factory. 

Based on videos of the incident, the lower section of the rocket booster appeared to crumple during a pressurization test. Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired. 

Booster test failure

SpaceX began structural and propellant-system verification tests on Booster 18 Thursday night at the Massey’s Test Site, only a few miles from Starbase’s production facilities, as noted in an Ars Technica report. At 4:04 a.m. CT on Friday, a livestream from LabPadre Space captured the booster’s lower half experiencing a sudden destructive event around its liquid oxygen tank section. Post-incident images, shared on X by @StarshipGazer, showed notable deformation in the booster’s lower structure.

Neither SpaceX nor Elon Musk had commented as of Friday morning, but the vehicle’s condition suggests it is likely a complete loss. This is quite unfortunate, as Booster 18 is already part of the Starship V3 program, which includes design fixes and upgrades intended to improve reliability. While SpaceX maintains a rather rapid Starship production line in Starbase, Booster 18 was generally expected to validate the improvements implemented in the V3 program.

Tight deadlines

SpaceX needs Starship boosters and upper stages to begin demonstrating rapid reuse, tower catches, and early operational Starlink missions over the next two years. More critically, NASA’s Artemis program depends on an on-orbit refueling test in the second half of 2026, a requirement for the vehicle’s expected crewed lunar landing around 2028.

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While SpaceX is known for diagnosing failures quickly and returning to testing at unmatched speed, losing the newest-generation booster at the very start of its campaign highlights the immense challenge involved in scaling Starship into a reliable, high-cadence launch system. SpaceX, however, is known for getting things done quickly, so it would not be a surprise if the company manages to figure out what happened to Booster 18 in the near future.

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