Connect with us

News

SpaceX set for Falcon Heavy triple booster landing, hottest center core reentry yet

Falcon Heavy center core B1055 successfully landed aboard drone ship OCISLY after a record-breaking reentry. Here's to hoping that B1057 can repeat the feat. ? (SpaceX)

Published

on

SpaceX’s third Falcon Heavy launch is ready to wow crowds once more with a synchronized side booster landing at Cape Canaveral and a center core recovery attempt more than 1200 km (750 mi) off the coast of Florida.

Based on the fact that Falcon Heavy’s STP-2 center core (B1057) is set to smash SpaceX’s current record for drone ship downrange distance, chances are good that B1057 will separate from the upper stage and payload traveling faster and higher than any recoverable Falcon booster before it. In short, the fresh Block 5 booster will likely be subjected to the most extreme (hottest) atmospheric reentry a SpaceX booster has ever experienced before a serious recover attempt. Thankfully, the earliest the booster can be expected to fly again is H2 2020, giving SpaceX at least a full year for a cautious, careful refurbishment.

Weather and rocket pending, Falcon Heavy Flight 3 will lift off with the Department of Defense’s (DoD) Space Test Program-2 (STP-2) mission as early as 8:30 pm PDT (11:30 pm EDT, 03:30 UTC) on June 24th. Around 2.5 minutes after liftoff, both side boosters will deploy from the center core/upper stage stack, flip around, and burn hard to entirely cancel out their eastbound momentum, picking up speed as they head back to the Florida coast.

After a leisurely 6-minute coast and reentry burn, the booster pair are set to land at SpaceX’s Landing Zones 1 and 2 roughly 8.5 minutes after launch. Pictured below (with the same boosters, no less), B1052 and B1053 will hopefully replicate the simultaneous landings that followed their picture-perfect April 11th launch debut. Despite being the first flight-proven SpaceX boosters to launch as part of a US military mission (STP-2), both boosters will also simultaneously tie SpaceX’s current record for Block 5 booster turnaround (74 days), although the company’s overall record (71 days) still stands.

Falcon Heavy Block 5 side boosters B1052 and B1053 are set to duplicate this spectacular simultaneous landing as part of their second launch. (SpaceX)

Meanwhile, STP-2’s fresh Falcon Heavy Block 5 center core – B1057 – will still be soaring above Earth at hypersonic speeds and high altitudes after its side booster companions have successfully come to a rest. Incredibly, the booster’s absolutely critical reentry burn – used to quite literally cushion the blow and minimize reentry heating with the rocket’s engine exhaust – will start at T+8:53 after liftoff. A full 2.5 minutes later (T+11:21), center core B1057 will attempt to land aboard drone ship Of Course I Still Love You, stationed ~1240 km (750 mi) off the coast of Florida.

For reference, Falcon Heavy Flight 2’s Block 5 center core landed aboard OCISLY around T+9:50 after launch, meaning that STP-2’s center core will be in the air – sans any sort of boostback or altitude-raising burn – for a solid 90 extra seconds – 15% longer. To get that extra flight time, B1057 will have to be traveling significantly faster and reach a much higher altitude than its predecessor. In short, B1057 will likely experience the most intense reentry conditions a Falcon booster has ever been subjected to. The current record-holder, B1055, separated from the upper stage and payload 100 km (62 mi) above the Atlantic while traveling nearly ~3 km/s (1.9 mi/s, Mach 8.8).

Falcon Heavy center core B1055 gently landed aboard drone ship OCISLY after its record-breaking recovery. With any luck, B1057 will be similarly successful but will be spared the fate of toppling over at sea. (SpaceX)

Want to remember the awesomeness of Falcon Heavy every single day? Consider a limited-edition set of high-quality prints, signed by both Teslarati photographers to commemorate the rocket’s inaugural Starman launch.

Eric Ralph is Teslarati's senior spaceflight reporter and has been covering the industry in some capacity for almost half a decade, largely spurred in 2016 by a trip to Mexico to watch Elon Musk reveal SpaceX's plans for Mars in person. Aside from spreading interest and excitement about spaceflight far and wide, his primary goal is to cover humanity's ongoing efforts to expand beyond Earth to the Moon, Mars, and elsewhere.

Advertisement
Comments

Elon Musk

SpaceX’s next trillion dollar bet has nothing to do with rockets, Musk tells staff

Elon Musk told SpaceX staff AI revenue will soon dwarf rockets and Starlink combined entirely.

Published

on

By

Elon Musk told SpaceX employees this week that artificial intelligence, not rockets, will soon carry the company’s revenue. In a roughly 29 minute internal address posted on SpaceX’s X account on Tuesday, Musk said AI revenue will pass every other line of business at SpaceX “probably in September” and pull further ahead by the fourth quarter.

The numbers he gave are specific. SpaceX currently runs 1.4 gigawatts of AI compute capacity. Musk wants that at 10 gigawatts by the end of 2027, a jump he tied directly to revenue: “if we bring 10GW of AI online by the end of next year, it will be $300 billion to $500 billion a year in revenue.” He called those “big numbers,” which undersells a projection larger than what most countries produce in a year.

Musk went further on where AI fits into SpaceX’s future. “Probably in four or five years, AI will be 99% of the value of SpaceX,” he told staff, adding that digital intelligence would eventually run “a trillion times” ahead of biological intelligence as computing scales. He tied that growth to the company’s founding mission, telling employees “we must win on AI, because the future is overwhelmingly AI and robots,” with the payoff meant to help fund Starship and a Mars program that increasingly runs through Terafab, the joint Tesla, SpaceX and xAI chip plant.

Elon Musk launches TERAFAB: The $25B Tesla-SpaceXAI chip factory that will rewire the AI industry

None of this is entirely new territory. SpaceX told investors much the same story during its first earnings call as a public company on August 4, where Musk moved the company’s $1 trillion revenue target up a year to 2030 and said Starlink could someday carry a majority of the world’s internet. What the all hands video adds is a hard deadline and a specific power figure Musk had not given publicly before, along with a franker pitch to his own workforce that AI, not launch cadence, is now the thing SpaceX is betting its future on.

The AI revenue itself is not coming from SpaceX training its own models. It is largely Starlink acting as the network layer for xAI’s workloads, plus SpaceX renting out compute capacity directly, the same approach behind the roughly $16 billion the company spent on AI infrastructure in a single quarter.

Musk closed the video with a pitch aimed at recruiting and retention rather than investors, telling employees that anyone who helps SpaceX win the AI race will eventually get the chance to go to the moon or Mars themselves. Whether SpaceX can turn 1.4 gigawatts into 10 in seventeen months is the more immediate question, and one that will show up in quarterly numbers well before anyone leaves Earth.

Continue Reading

Investor's Corner

Tesla has one big financial question to answer for investors: Morgan Stanley

Published

on

Credit: Tesla

In a new note to investors on Tuesday, Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco said that Tesla has one big financial question to answer for investors regarding its Robotaxi rollout, Full Self-Driving software, and Optimus.

Percoco said in the note that, for the most part, investors are still very positive about the direction the company is headed. However, there are some things the firm would like to see, and they have to do with financials.

Tesla (TSLA) Q2 2026 earnings results: miss on EPS, beat on revenue

Tesla bulls are more than convinced that the company’s Full Self-Driving software is proof it can develop physical AI. Financially, however, there are still some questions, especially on elevated spending, which CEO Elon Musk said would occur as the company works to roll out Robotaxi faster and continue developing its Optimus robot.

The latter two are where Tesla will have to prove progress to investors, as Percoco writes that both projects “will require clearer evidence that Robotaxi is scaling and more tangible Optimus proof points to support the ROI on elevated capex.”

Percoco said the second quarter earnings call did not change his long-term thesis of where Tesla is positioned in the AI race, which is out in front. However, there are concerns that weaker gross margins and higher R&D spend will stress financials, and that has “sharpened our (and investors’) focus on measurable progress across Robotaxi and Optimus.”

Additionally, Robotaxi still needs to be proven with more operation in existing cities while maintaining safety but improving how many rides it gives in any given time, he said. For Optimus, Percoco wrote that he is “still looking for evidence beyond commentary around SOP.”

Morgan Stanley put Percoco in charge of covering Tesla after long-time analyst Adam Jonas transitioned to the automotive side.

Currently, Morgan Stanley has a $415 price target on Tesla and a ‘Hold’ rating on the stock. It is trading at around $330 at the time of publication, which was 2:30 P.M. on the East Coast.

Continue Reading

Investor's Corner

SpaceX AI investment gamble will make it a big winner, firm says

Published

on

Credit: SpaceX

SpaceX’s massive investment in AI will make it a big winner, Argus Research said after the company’s successful earnings call last week.

The firm also upgraded shares to a Buy from Hold and set a $160 price target.

SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) is currently recovering from its heavy AI infrastructure investments, as it spent nearly $16 billion in Q2 alone. The company did this primarily by monetizing high-demand GPU compute capacity at a much faster pace than traditional data center economics would suggest.

Company CFO Bret Johnsen said that SpaceX would be able to pay back anything on new deployments within a year.

There are plenty of ways the company can do this:

Leasing excess compute capacity through contracts

SpaceX has already built Colossus and Colossus II, largely for its own model training. However, much of that capacity is already rented out to third parties. It already has major deals with Anthropic, Google, and Reflection AI. These partnerships are adding billions per month to SpaceX’s spreadsheet.

SpaceX is charging Anthropic massive money for its compute

High utilization driven by industry-wide scarcity

The demand for advanced AI training and inference capacity continues to exceed what is available for use. SpaceX can fill new racks quickly after they come online, so the capital deployed converts into revenue with minimal idle time.

Additionally, management and outside observers have described the new compute capital as behaving more like a cost-of-goods-sold than traditional multi-year capex, especially because of this rapid monetization pattern.

Capacity has already scaled from ~0.4 GW a year to 1.4 GW annually by the end of Q2. There are targets of more than 2 GW by year-end.

High incremental margins on the rental business once capacity is online

GPU cloud providers often operate at strong gross margins. SpaceX can monetize capacity that was already partially built or can be added efficiently. This means that incremental EBITDA margins on the rental revenue are usually high. This accelerates cash recovery relative to the gross capital outlay.

Parallel monetization of its own AI software and applications

Beyond pure infrastructure rental, SpaceX also generates revenue from Grok through subscriptions and usage, from X through ads, data, and other related services, enterprise APIs, and the planned integration of the Cursor coding tools acquisition.

These application layers ride on the same compute infrastructure and provide additional high-margin streams that could offset build-out costs. AI-segment revenue overall rose sharply to about $2.6 billion in Q2, according to Motley Fool. This was driven primarily by the infrastructure contracts, but the software side is also partially responsible.

Efficient, large-scale deployment and vertical integration advantages

SpaceX has emphasized the rapid construction of power and cooling infrastructure and favorable cost-per-megawatt economics relative to industry benchmarks in some disclosures.

Combined with its ability to scale capacity aggressively and the fact that many contracts start generating revenue within months of capacity coming online, the effective payback compresses dramatically compared with more conventional multi-year data-center projects.

SpaceX’s dominant near-term recovery path will turn the AI clusters into a hyperscale-style compute rental business for other leading AI companies while still using a portion for internal models.

Continue Reading