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Falcon 9 B1051 and Crew Dragon rolled out to Pad 39A on February 28th, roughly 60 hours before launch. (NASA) Falcon 9 B1051 and Crew Dragon rolled out to Pad 39A on February 28th, roughly 60 hours before launch. (NASA)

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SpaceX’s first NASA astronaut launch could have historically small media presence

SpaceX and NASA's inaugural Crew Dragon astronaut launch could have an historically small media presence according to the space agency. (NASA)

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NASA’s first SpaceX astronaut launch debut briefing suggests that the duo’s inaugural crewed flight to the International Space Station (ISS) could have an historically barebones media presence – if any at all.

On April 20th, NASA published its first routine preflight briefing for an astronaut launch to the space station, going over the basics of what to expect over the next few days and weeks. However, scheduled to launch no earlier than (NET) May 27th, SpaceX’s inaugural NASA astronaut launch is about as far from routine as it gets. Effectively a full decade (or more) in the making, SpaceX’s Crew Dragon Demonstration-2 mission will be the first crewed launch under NASA’s Commercial Crew Program (CCP) – an effort to replace the Space Shuttle with one or several domestic spacecraft.

Simultaneously, the world is currently under siege by one of the worst global pandemics in years. While NASA and SpaceX have done their absolute best to respond to the threat of the coronavirus and minimize its impact on critical launch operations like Demo-2, major operational changes and new restrictions have since been put in place. According to NASA’s first Demo-2 launch briefing, mainly focused on sketching out several upcoming press conferences and briefings, the space agency has revealed the first restrictions related to members of the press that typically attend and document both major and minor events.

SpaceX is perhaps just five weeks away from Crew Dragon’s inaugural NASA astronaut launch but the space agency’s first media briefing suggests that the event could be historically barren of press outlets. (SpaceX)

Over the last few days, NASA and SpaceX have revealed a wealth of new information about Crew Dragon’s upcoming astronaut launch debut, including the launch target (May 27th), a range of exceptional press briefings scheduled for May 1st, and even photos of both the Falcon 9 rocket and Crew Dragon spacecraft du jour.

Set to launch atop Falcon 9 B1058 and an expendable upper stage, Crew Dragon capsule C206 – pictured here on April 11th – will be the first US spacecraft to launch humans since 2011. (SpaceX)
Falcon 9 booster B1058 and a Falcon upper stage are pictured here at Pad 39A on April 1st, 2020. (SpaceX)

In its April 20th briefing, NASA revealed in no uncertain terms that “all media participation in these news conferences and interviews will be remote; no media will be accommodated at any NASA site due to the COVID-19 pandemic.” To be clear, NASA was referring to a trio of press conferences with NASA safety officials, managers, and SpaceX experts like Benji Reed (director of crew mission management) and COO and President Gwynne Shotwell.

In other words, absolutely zero members of the press will be allowed to attend those media briefings – scheduled just shy of four weeks before Crew Dragon’s planned launch. According to Brendan Byrne of WMFE Orlando, NASA reached out to add that it’s “trying to accommodate in-person reporting for [SpaceX’s inaugural astronaut] launch” but could make no guarantees come mid-to-late May.

Coincidentally, Falcon 9 booster B1051 – responsible for successfully launching Crew Dragon on its inaugural orbital flight in March 2019 – is scheduled to launch for the fourth time as early as April 22nd. (NASA)

Unfortunately, this means that there is a strong chance – verging on certainty – that SpaceX and NASA’s inaugural Crew Dragon astronaut launch could have an almost unprecedentedly small contingent of press on site come late May. As far as the author is aware, every NASA astronaut launch since the very first one or two have included direct media access to the proceedings.

Given the growing severity of the COVID-19 pandemic, it would be far from shocking if NASA and SpaceX were forced to make history during preparations for the Demo-2 launch. Stay tuned for updates as we near the historic astronaut mission.

Eric Ralph is Teslarati's senior spaceflight reporter and has been covering the industry in some capacity for almost half a decade, largely spurred in 2016 by a trip to Mexico to watch Elon Musk reveal SpaceX's plans for Mars in person. Aside from spreading interest and excitement about spaceflight far and wide, his primary goal is to cover humanity's ongoing efforts to expand beyond Earth to the Moon, Mars, and elsewhere.

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SpaceX’s next trillion dollar bet has nothing to do with rockets, Musk tells staff

Elon Musk told SpaceX staff AI revenue will soon dwarf rockets and Starlink combined entirely.

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Elon Musk told SpaceX employees this week that artificial intelligence, not rockets, will soon carry the company’s revenue. In a roughly 29 minute internal address posted on SpaceX’s X account on Tuesday, Musk said AI revenue will pass every other line of business at SpaceX “probably in September” and pull further ahead by the fourth quarter.

The numbers he gave are specific. SpaceX currently runs 1.4 gigawatts of AI compute capacity. Musk wants that at 10 gigawatts by the end of 2027, a jump he tied directly to revenue: “if we bring 10GW of AI online by the end of next year, it will be $300 billion to $500 billion a year in revenue.” He called those “big numbers,” which undersells a projection larger than what most countries produce in a year.

Musk went further on where AI fits into SpaceX’s future. “Probably in four or five years, AI will be 99% of the value of SpaceX,” he told staff, adding that digital intelligence would eventually run “a trillion times” ahead of biological intelligence as computing scales. He tied that growth to the company’s founding mission, telling employees “we must win on AI, because the future is overwhelmingly AI and robots,” with the payoff meant to help fund Starship and a Mars program that increasingly runs through Terafab, the joint Tesla, SpaceX and xAI chip plant.

Elon Musk launches TERAFAB: The $25B Tesla-SpaceXAI chip factory that will rewire the AI industry

None of this is entirely new territory. SpaceX told investors much the same story during its first earnings call as a public company on August 4, where Musk moved the company’s $1 trillion revenue target up a year to 2030 and said Starlink could someday carry a majority of the world’s internet. What the all hands video adds is a hard deadline and a specific power figure Musk had not given publicly before, along with a franker pitch to his own workforce that AI, not launch cadence, is now the thing SpaceX is betting its future on.

The AI revenue itself is not coming from SpaceX training its own models. It is largely Starlink acting as the network layer for xAI’s workloads, plus SpaceX renting out compute capacity directly, the same approach behind the roughly $16 billion the company spent on AI infrastructure in a single quarter.

Musk closed the video with a pitch aimed at recruiting and retention rather than investors, telling employees that anyone who helps SpaceX win the AI race will eventually get the chance to go to the moon or Mars themselves. Whether SpaceX can turn 1.4 gigawatts into 10 in seventeen months is the more immediate question, and one that will show up in quarterly numbers well before anyone leaves Earth.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla has one big financial question to answer for investors: Morgan Stanley

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Credit: Tesla

In a new note to investors on Tuesday, Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco said that Tesla has one big financial question to answer for investors regarding its Robotaxi rollout, Full Self-Driving software, and Optimus.

Percoco said in the note that, for the most part, investors are still very positive about the direction the company is headed. However, there are some things the firm would like to see, and they have to do with financials.

Tesla (TSLA) Q2 2026 earnings results: miss on EPS, beat on revenue

Tesla bulls are more than convinced that the company’s Full Self-Driving software is proof it can develop physical AI. Financially, however, there are still some questions, especially on elevated spending, which CEO Elon Musk said would occur as the company works to roll out Robotaxi faster and continue developing its Optimus robot.

The latter two are where Tesla will have to prove progress to investors, as Percoco writes that both projects “will require clearer evidence that Robotaxi is scaling and more tangible Optimus proof points to support the ROI on elevated capex.”

Percoco said the second quarter earnings call did not change his long-term thesis of where Tesla is positioned in the AI race, which is out in front. However, there are concerns that weaker gross margins and higher R&D spend will stress financials, and that has “sharpened our (and investors’) focus on measurable progress across Robotaxi and Optimus.”

Additionally, Robotaxi still needs to be proven with more operation in existing cities while maintaining safety but improving how many rides it gives in any given time, he said. For Optimus, Percoco wrote that he is “still looking for evidence beyond commentary around SOP.”

Morgan Stanley put Percoco in charge of covering Tesla after long-time analyst Adam Jonas transitioned to the automotive side.

Currently, Morgan Stanley has a $415 price target on Tesla and a ‘Hold’ rating on the stock. It is trading at around $330 at the time of publication, which was 2:30 P.M. on the East Coast.

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Investor's Corner

SpaceX AI investment gamble will make it a big winner, firm says

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Credit: SpaceX

SpaceX’s massive investment in AI will make it a big winner, Argus Research said after the company’s successful earnings call last week.

The firm also upgraded shares to a Buy from Hold and set a $160 price target.

SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) is currently recovering from its heavy AI infrastructure investments, as it spent nearly $16 billion in Q2 alone. The company did this primarily by monetizing high-demand GPU compute capacity at a much faster pace than traditional data center economics would suggest.

Company CFO Bret Johnsen said that SpaceX would be able to pay back anything on new deployments within a year.

There are plenty of ways the company can do this:

Leasing excess compute capacity through contracts

SpaceX has already built Colossus and Colossus II, largely for its own model training. However, much of that capacity is already rented out to third parties. It already has major deals with Anthropic, Google, and Reflection AI. These partnerships are adding billions per month to SpaceX’s spreadsheet.

SpaceX is charging Anthropic massive money for its compute

High utilization driven by industry-wide scarcity

The demand for advanced AI training and inference capacity continues to exceed what is available for use. SpaceX can fill new racks quickly after they come online, so the capital deployed converts into revenue with minimal idle time.

Additionally, management and outside observers have described the new compute capital as behaving more like a cost-of-goods-sold than traditional multi-year capex, especially because of this rapid monetization pattern.

Capacity has already scaled from ~0.4 GW a year to 1.4 GW annually by the end of Q2. There are targets of more than 2 GW by year-end.

High incremental margins on the rental business once capacity is online

GPU cloud providers often operate at strong gross margins. SpaceX can monetize capacity that was already partially built or can be added efficiently. This means that incremental EBITDA margins on the rental revenue are usually high. This accelerates cash recovery relative to the gross capital outlay.

Parallel monetization of its own AI software and applications

Beyond pure infrastructure rental, SpaceX also generates revenue from Grok through subscriptions and usage, from X through ads, data, and other related services, enterprise APIs, and the planned integration of the Cursor coding tools acquisition.

These application layers ride on the same compute infrastructure and provide additional high-margin streams that could offset build-out costs. AI-segment revenue overall rose sharply to about $2.6 billion in Q2, according to Motley Fool. This was driven primarily by the infrastructure contracts, but the software side is also partially responsible.

Efficient, large-scale deployment and vertical integration advantages

SpaceX has emphasized the rapid construction of power and cooling infrastructure and favorable cost-per-megawatt economics relative to industry benchmarks in some disclosures.

Combined with its ability to scale capacity aggressively and the fact that many contracts start generating revenue within months of capacity coming online, the effective payback compresses dramatically compared with more conventional multi-year data-center projects.

SpaceX’s dominant near-term recovery path will turn the AI clusters into a hyperscale-style compute rental business for other leading AI companies while still using a portion for internal models.

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