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SpaceX’s first NASA astronaut launch could have historically small media presence
NASA’s first SpaceX astronaut launch debut briefing suggests that the duo’s inaugural crewed flight to the International Space Station (ISS) could have an historically barebones media presence – if any at all.
On April 20th, NASA published its first routine preflight briefing for an astronaut launch to the space station, going over the basics of what to expect over the next few days and weeks. However, scheduled to launch no earlier than (NET) May 27th, SpaceX’s inaugural NASA astronaut launch is about as far from routine as it gets. Effectively a full decade (or more) in the making, SpaceX’s Crew Dragon Demonstration-2 mission will be the first crewed launch under NASA’s Commercial Crew Program (CCP) – an effort to replace the Space Shuttle with one or several domestic spacecraft.
Simultaneously, the world is currently under siege by one of the worst global pandemics in years. While NASA and SpaceX have done their absolute best to respond to the threat of the coronavirus and minimize its impact on critical launch operations like Demo-2, major operational changes and new restrictions have since been put in place. According to NASA’s first Demo-2 launch briefing, mainly focused on sketching out several upcoming press conferences and briefings, the space agency has revealed the first restrictions related to members of the press that typically attend and document both major and minor events.
Over the last few days, NASA and SpaceX have revealed a wealth of new information about Crew Dragon’s upcoming astronaut launch debut, including the launch target (May 27th), a range of exceptional press briefings scheduled for May 1st, and even photos of both the Falcon 9 rocket and Crew Dragon spacecraft du jour.
In its April 20th briefing, NASA revealed in no uncertain terms that “all media participation in these news conferences and interviews will be remote; no media will be accommodated at any NASA site due to the COVID-19 pandemic.” To be clear, NASA was referring to a trio of press conferences with NASA safety officials, managers, and SpaceX experts like Benji Reed (director of crew mission management) and COO and President Gwynne Shotwell.
In other words, absolutely zero members of the press will be allowed to attend those media briefings – scheduled just shy of four weeks before Crew Dragon’s planned launch. According to Brendan Byrne of WMFE Orlando, NASA reached out to add that it’s “trying to accommodate in-person reporting for [SpaceX’s inaugural astronaut] launch” but could make no guarantees come mid-to-late May.
Unfortunately, this means that there is a strong chance – verging on certainty – that SpaceX and NASA’s inaugural Crew Dragon astronaut launch could have an almost unprecedentedly small contingent of press on site come late May. As far as the author is aware, every NASA astronaut launch since the very first one or two have included direct media access to the proceedings.
Given the growing severity of the COVID-19 pandemic, it would be far from shocking if NASA and SpaceX were forced to make history during preparations for the Demo-2 launch. Stay tuned for updates as we near the historic astronaut mission.
Elon Musk
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX has issued an initial statement about Starship Booster 18’s anomaly early Friday. The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX’s initial comment
As per SpaceX in a post on its official account on social media platform X, Booster 18 was undergoing gas system pressure tests when the anomaly happened. Despite the nature of the incident, the company emphasized that no propellant was loaded, no engines were installed, and personnel were kept at a safe distance from the booster, resulting in zero injuries.
“Booster 18 suffered an anomaly during gas system pressure testing that we were conducting in advance of structural proof testing. No propellant was on the vehicle, and engines were not yet installed. The teams need time to investigate before we are confident of the cause. No one was injured as we maintain a safe distance for personnel during this type of testing. The site remains clear and we are working plans to safely reenter the site,” SpaceX wrote in its post on X.
Incident and aftermath
Livestream footage from LabPadre showed Booster 18’s lower half crumpling around the liquid oxygen tank area at approximately 4:04 a.m. CT. Subsequent images posted by on-site observers revealed extensive deformation across the booster’s lower structure. Needless to say, spaceflight observers have noted that Booster 18 would likely be a complete loss due to its anomaly.
Booster 18 had rolled out only a day earlier and was one of the first vehicles in the Starship V3 program. The V3 series incorporates structural reinforcements and reliability upgrades intended to prepare Starship for rapid-reuse testing and eventual tower-catch operations. Elon Musk has been optimistic about Starship V3, previously noting on X that the spacecraft might be able to complete initial missions to Mars.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers.
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Analysts highlight autonomy progress
During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.
The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report.
Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”
Street targets diverge on TSLA
While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.
Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements.
Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs.
Elon Musk
SpaceX Starship Version 3 booster crumples in early testing
Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
SpaceX’s new Starship first-stage booster, Booster 18, suffered major damage early Friday during its first round of testing in Starbase, Texas, just one day after rolling out of the factory.
Based on videos of the incident, the lower section of the rocket booster appeared to crumple during a pressurization test. Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
Booster test failure
SpaceX began structural and propellant-system verification tests on Booster 18 Thursday night at the Massey’s Test Site, only a few miles from Starbase’s production facilities, as noted in an Ars Technica report. At 4:04 a.m. CT on Friday, a livestream from LabPadre Space captured the booster’s lower half experiencing a sudden destructive event around its liquid oxygen tank section. Post-incident images, shared on X by @StarshipGazer, showed notable deformation in the booster’s lower structure.
Neither SpaceX nor Elon Musk had commented as of Friday morning, but the vehicle’s condition suggests it is likely a complete loss. This is quite unfortunate, as Booster 18 is already part of the Starship V3 program, which includes design fixes and upgrades intended to improve reliability. While SpaceX maintains a rather rapid Starship production line in Starbase, Booster 18 was generally expected to validate the improvements implemented in the V3 program.
Tight deadlines
SpaceX needs Starship boosters and upper stages to begin demonstrating rapid reuse, tower catches, and early operational Starlink missions over the next two years. More critically, NASA’s Artemis program depends on an on-orbit refueling test in the second half of 2026, a requirement for the vehicle’s expected crewed lunar landing around 2028.
While SpaceX is known for diagnosing failures quickly and returning to testing at unmatched speed, losing the newest-generation booster at the very start of its campaign highlights the immense challenge involved in scaling Starship into a reliable, high-cadence launch system. SpaceX, however, is known for getting things done quickly, so it would not be a surprise if the company manages to figure out what happened to Booster 18 in the near future.
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
