News
SpaceX to catch two Falcon 9 fairings at once with twin nets
Over the last three or so weeks, SpaceX rocket recovery technicians and engineers have rapidly modified a second Falcon fairing recovery vessel – known as GO Ms. Chief – to the point that it appears to be almost ready for its first catch attempt.
Essentially a twin of GO Ms. Tree (formerly Mr. Steven), Ms. Chief now features four arms – each with two white support beams – that hold two massive, retractable nets. Ultimately, SpaceX has augmented Ms. Tree with Ms. Chief in a bid to simultaneously catch both parasailing halves of a Falcon 9 (or Heavy) payload fairing after any given launch, the Holy Grail of the company’s fairing recovery program.
A few days after the above photos were taken, SpaceX successfully installed Ms. Chief’s fairing-catching nets and has since taken the ship a few miles beyond Port Canaveral limits for sea trails – presumably meant to verify center of gravity and other performance characteristics. This may or may not have included tests of the newly-modified ship’s fairing recovery mechanism, referring to what is understood to be a direct link between fairing and ship designed to autonomously guide both to the right position for a catch.
Ensuring that that new hardware and software is in good working order is probably even more important than installing Ms. Chief’s arms and nets, evidenced by the fact that it took SpaceX more than 16 months and five failed attempts before Mr. Steven (now Ms. Tree) successfully caught its first fairing. The first success came on June 25th after Falcon Heavy’s third successful launch.
In an encouraging sign, SpaceX’s very next launch (with a fairing) – Falcon 9’s August 6th AMOS-17 mission – marked the second successful fairing catch ever, suggesting that the breakthrough(s) that enabled that first success may be broadly applicable. SpaceX’s next launch with a payload fairing should essentially confirm whether the company’s fairing recovery program has truly reached the end of the tunnel or if there is some distance still to go.
Since AMOS-17, however, SpaceX has been in the midst of a period of launch inactivity unprecedented since Falcon 9’s catastrophic Amos-6 failure in September 2016, triggering a fleet-grounding that lasted four months. That lull has undoubtedly given SpaceX’s recovery team plenty of time to outfit Ms. Chief and perform shakedowns of the vessel’s new hardware, but it also means that there have been zero opportunities for additional fairing-recovery data gathering.
Mystery and mischief are waiting for it. pic.twitter.com/akgqg29nQf— Marek Cyzio (@MarekCyzio) October 6, 2019
According to publicly-available launch manifests, SpaceX no longer has firm dates for its next launch(es). Previously expected to be one or even two Starlink launches, those missions are now scheduled to launch sometime in October or November. The Kacific-1 communications satellite currently has a (fairly) firm launch target of November 11th, making the mission the best possible bet for SpaceX’s next launch – at least for the time being.
On the plus side, regardless of when SpaceX is able to break its now two-month-long launch hiatus, it appears extremely likely that said launch will become the first attempt at simultaneously catching both Falcon fairing halves. If successful, it could quite rapidly pave the way towards fast, low-cost fairing reuse, a necessity for the economic deployment of SpaceX’s Starlink satellite internet constellation.
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Elon Musk
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX has issued an initial statement about Starship Booster 18’s anomaly early Friday. The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX’s initial comment
As per SpaceX in a post on its official account on social media platform X, Booster 18 was undergoing gas system pressure tests when the anomaly happened. Despite the nature of the incident, the company emphasized that no propellant was loaded, no engines were installed, and personnel were kept at a safe distance from the booster, resulting in zero injuries.
“Booster 18 suffered an anomaly during gas system pressure testing that we were conducting in advance of structural proof testing. No propellant was on the vehicle, and engines were not yet installed. The teams need time to investigate before we are confident of the cause. No one was injured as we maintain a safe distance for personnel during this type of testing. The site remains clear and we are working plans to safely reenter the site,” SpaceX wrote in its post on X.
Incident and aftermath
Livestream footage from LabPadre showed Booster 18’s lower half crumpling around the liquid oxygen tank area at approximately 4:04 a.m. CT. Subsequent images posted by on-site observers revealed extensive deformation across the booster’s lower structure. Needless to say, spaceflight observers have noted that Booster 18 would likely be a complete loss due to its anomaly.
Booster 18 had rolled out only a day earlier and was one of the first vehicles in the Starship V3 program. The V3 series incorporates structural reinforcements and reliability upgrades intended to prepare Starship for rapid-reuse testing and eventual tower-catch operations. Elon Musk has been optimistic about Starship V3, previously noting on X that the spacecraft might be able to complete initial missions to Mars.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers.
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Analysts highlight autonomy progress
During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.
The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report.
Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”
Street targets diverge on TSLA
While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.
Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements.
Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs.
Elon Musk
SpaceX Starship Version 3 booster crumples in early testing
Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
SpaceX’s new Starship first-stage booster, Booster 18, suffered major damage early Friday during its first round of testing in Starbase, Texas, just one day after rolling out of the factory.
Based on videos of the incident, the lower section of the rocket booster appeared to crumple during a pressurization test. Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
Booster test failure
SpaceX began structural and propellant-system verification tests on Booster 18 Thursday night at the Massey’s Test Site, only a few miles from Starbase’s production facilities, as noted in an Ars Technica report. At 4:04 a.m. CT on Friday, a livestream from LabPadre Space captured the booster’s lower half experiencing a sudden destructive event around its liquid oxygen tank section. Post-incident images, shared on X by @StarshipGazer, showed notable deformation in the booster’s lower structure.
Neither SpaceX nor Elon Musk had commented as of Friday morning, but the vehicle’s condition suggests it is likely a complete loss. This is quite unfortunate, as Booster 18 is already part of the Starship V3 program, which includes design fixes and upgrades intended to improve reliability. While SpaceX maintains a rather rapid Starship production line in Starbase, Booster 18 was generally expected to validate the improvements implemented in the V3 program.
Tight deadlines
SpaceX needs Starship boosters and upper stages to begin demonstrating rapid reuse, tower catches, and early operational Starlink missions over the next two years. More critically, NASA’s Artemis program depends on an on-orbit refueling test in the second half of 2026, a requirement for the vehicle’s expected crewed lunar landing around 2028.
While SpaceX is known for diagnosing failures quickly and returning to testing at unmatched speed, losing the newest-generation booster at the very start of its campaign highlights the immense challenge involved in scaling Starship into a reliable, high-cadence launch system. SpaceX, however, is known for getting things done quickly, so it would not be a surprise if the company manages to figure out what happened to Booster 18 in the near future.
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
