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The Tesla Blockade Coming from Legacy Automakers and Trump
Look, as the great Hunter S. Thompson used to write, the “fat is in the fire.” The auto industry is ready to do what it does best, rest on its laurels and block any disruption on their March to Mediocrity. The recent picks, by the Trump transition team, show that Tesla is not getting invited to the “economic party” and will endure real obstacles in trying to sell its range of products.
GM’s Mary Barra, the ring-leader of mediocrity in the automotive universe, was invited last week to the exclusive, inner-circle by Mr. Trump to discuss job creation. As the New York Times reported, Elon Musk wasn’t there. The man that has lead to the creation of 30,000 manufacturing jobs in the last eight years between SpaceX, Tesla Motors and the newly acquired Solar City.
And, just think about how many more jobs could have been if Texas, Iowa, Utah, Connecticut and Michigan would just say yes to America.
I digress but Tesla is the only hope for a successful transition to sustainable transport, with an administration that doesn’t want anything to do with this disruptor. It’s “all or nothing” with these king-hell, greed freaks and the sooner Tesla nation understands this ugly truth, the better. And, most do.
Sustainable Transport Competition?
So, what about the upcoming Bolt versus Model 3 showdown? Green Car Reports just bestowed the 2017 green car of the year to the Bolt. So, how did GM parlay this prestigious award into a marketing tidal wave? They didn’t. Amazingly, there wasn’t one press release about the accolade since mid-November 2016.
I also did a quick search for 2016 for other press releases on the Bolt and there’s only one. It’s about the Bolt’s plant and its green manufacturing credentials in Ontario.
Seems like one mention of the #Bolt in 2016 isn't exactly getting behind the product https://t.co/0FVduPBa8P #GM @GreenCarReports
— Grant Gerke (@grantgerke) December 8, 2016
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Plus, GM will have a limited release of the Bolt in 2017 — for practical profit reasons — and on a recent Talking Tesla podcast; the fellas mentioned the scarcity of Volts currently in California. Yes, California.
However, there’s good news on the horizon for Tesla as I like the chances of the Model 3 arriving on time in 2017. In the most recent shareholder letter, financial analyst Daniel Sparks noted that Tesla seems keen on Model 3 volume manufacturing for the second half of 2017. From the Q3 shareholder letter in November:
“Gigafactory construction and Model 3 development both remain on plan to support volume Model 3 production and deliveries in the second half of 2017.”
Plus, it seems the masses are waiting for the Model 3. A recent CleanTechnica article shows that the BMW 3 Series sales are declining. See figure below.
BMW 3 Series Sales Getting Clobbered In USA As Tesla Model 3 Looms (Down 44,000 In… https://t.co/mBfjwNMpfq pic.twitter.com/8ynAZkxuhL
— CleanTechnica (@cleantechnica) December 12, 2016
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However, the Tesla squeeze is coming from these oil-based cretins, and it may come in the form of limited service centers as it’s the only way to knock out Tesla. My prediction is for states to stay in opposition to consumer rights groups and block Tesla out of states like Texas, Utah and, of course, Michigan.
Some are pointing to Trump’s meeting with Silicon Valley tech leaders today as a way to extend an olive branch to Musk and others. I see it as Trump playing to the room and having Musk spill any information on the company’s plans. I doubt Musk will be too forthcoming and this meeting is probably all optics on some level.
With this mutant power structure in place and legacy automakers following, Tesla is the only hope for sustainable transport and Musk knows it.
In a new note to investors on Tuesday, Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco said that Tesla has one big financial question to answer for investors regarding its Robotaxi rollout, Full Self-Driving software, and Optimus.
Percoco said in the note that, for the most part, investors are still very positive about the direction the company is headed. However, there are some things the firm would like to see, and they have to do with financials.
Tesla (TSLA) Q2 2026 earnings results: miss on EPS, beat on revenue
Tesla bulls are more than convinced that the company’s Full Self-Driving software is proof it can develop physical AI. Financially, however, there are still some questions, especially on elevated spending, which CEO Elon Musk said would occur as the company works to roll out Robotaxi faster and continue developing its Optimus robot.
The latter two are where Tesla will have to prove progress to investors, as Percoco writes that both projects “will require clearer evidence that Robotaxi is scaling and more tangible Optimus proof points to support the ROI on elevated capex.”
Percoco said the second quarter earnings call did not change his long-term thesis of where Tesla is positioned in the AI race, which is out in front. However, there are concerns that weaker gross margins and higher R&D spend will stress financials, and that has “sharpened our (and investors’) focus on measurable progress across Robotaxi and Optimus.”
Additionally, Robotaxi still needs to be proven with more operation in existing cities while maintaining safety but improving how many rides it gives in any given time, he said. For Optimus, Percoco wrote that he is “still looking for evidence beyond commentary around SOP.”
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Morgan Stanley put Percoco in charge of covering Tesla after long-time analyst Adam Jonas transitioned to the automotive side.
Currently, Morgan Stanley has a $415 price target on Tesla and a ‘Hold’ rating on the stock. It is trading at around $330 at the time of publication, which was 2:30 P.M. on the East Coast.
SpaceX’s massive investment in AI will make it a big winner, Argus Research said after the company’s successful earnings call last week.
The firm also upgraded shares to a Buy from Hold and set a $160 price target.
SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) is currently recovering from its heavy AI infrastructure investments, as it spent nearly $16 billion in Q2 alone. The company did this primarily by monetizing high-demand GPU compute capacity at a much faster pace than traditional data center economics would suggest.
Company CFO Bret Johnsen said that SpaceX would be able to pay back anything on new deployments within a year.
There are plenty of ways the company can do this:
Leasing excess compute capacity through contracts
SpaceX has already built Colossus and Colossus II, largely for its own model training. However, much of that capacity is already rented out to third parties. It already has major deals with Anthropic, Google, and Reflection AI. These partnerships are adding billions per month to SpaceX’s spreadsheet.
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High utilization driven by industry-wide scarcity
The demand for advanced AI training and inference capacity continues to exceed what is available for use. SpaceX can fill new racks quickly after they come online, so the capital deployed converts into revenue with minimal idle time.
Additionally, management and outside observers have described the new compute capital as behaving more like a cost-of-goods-sold than traditional multi-year capex, especially because of this rapid monetization pattern.
Capacity has already scaled from ~0.4 GW a year to 1.4 GW annually by the end of Q2. There are targets of more than 2 GW by year-end.
High incremental margins on the rental business once capacity is online
GPU cloud providers often operate at strong gross margins. SpaceX can monetize capacity that was already partially built or can be added efficiently. This means that incremental EBITDA margins on the rental revenue are usually high. This accelerates cash recovery relative to the gross capital outlay.
Parallel monetization of its own AI software and applications
Beyond pure infrastructure rental, SpaceX also generates revenue from Grok through subscriptions and usage, from X through ads, data, and other related services, enterprise APIs, and the planned integration of the Cursor coding tools acquisition.
These application layers ride on the same compute infrastructure and provide additional high-margin streams that could offset build-out costs. AI-segment revenue overall rose sharply to about $2.6 billion in Q2, according to Motley Fool. This was driven primarily by the infrastructure contracts, but the software side is also partially responsible.
Efficient, large-scale deployment and vertical integration advantages
SpaceX has emphasized the rapid construction of power and cooling infrastructure and favorable cost-per-megawatt economics relative to industry benchmarks in some disclosures.
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Combined with its ability to scale capacity aggressively and the fact that many contracts start generating revenue within months of capacity coming online, the effective payback compresses dramatically compared with more conventional multi-year data-center projects.
SpaceX’s dominant near-term recovery path will turn the AI clusters into a hyperscale-style compute rental business for other leading AI companies while still using a portion for internal models.
Tesla headlights have caused a recall of over 20,000 of the company’s two most popular vehicles, the Model 3 and Model Y, due to the low-beam bulb exceeding the maximum allowed intensity according to federal standards.
Tesla initiated the recall with the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) this morning, stating that the low-beam output “exceeds the maximum allowed intensity in the outer upper-right and outer upper-left areas of the 10U and 90U zone, as prescribed in FMVSS No. 108.”
Tesla sourced the impacted headlights from Marelli Automotive Lighting, a Mexico-based company. The recall impacts 2020-2023 Model Y vehicles and 2017-2023 Model 3 vehicles. It is estimated that every VIN in this recall is impacted by the defect.
🚨 Tesla is recalling 20,349 2020-23 Model Y vehicles and 2017-23 Model 3 vehicles due to an excessively bright headlamp low beam.
Currently, there is no remedy plan in place, as it is still being developed. pic.twitter.com/y34cIO2U0B
— TESLARATI (@Teslarati) August 11, 2026
Typically, Tesla would remedy recalls of this nature through an Over-the-Air software update, which has been a major focus of criticism by the company and its supporters because the NHTSA still refers to it as a “recall,” even though it requires no action by the vehicle owner. The fix is shipped over the internet and downloaded to the car.
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However, there appears to be a potentially different solution for this problem. Tesla has not developed a remedy for this issue, so it could potentially be on the way. The big issue appears to be the fact that these recalled lamps are out of production, and this is an old body style for both vehicles. The headlights and front-end designs are completely different.
Tesla switched to another supplier when the affected headlight design was discontinued. It plans to begin notifying owners of their remedy options by September 15.
Tesla filed a petition protesting the recall to fix the vehicles’ headlight issue, but the NHTSA denied it. Now, Tesla will come up with a solution to fix it.
Tesla has one big financial question to answer for investors: Morgan Stanley
SpaceX AI investment gamble will make it a big winner, firm says
