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VW ID.3 software failures have cost Tesla and Elon Musk a key ally in the EV transition
The automotive sector’s transition to electric mobility is undeniable at this point, but the pace of the transition itself depends largely on the number of automakers that dedicate themselves seriously to EVs. While Tesla is at the forefront of this change with the Model S,3,X, and Y, the company needs all the help it can get from veteran automakers to foster the adoption of sustainable transportation as quickly as possible.
For some time now, one of Tesla and CEO Elon Musk’s key ally in the emerging electric vehicle sector is Herbert Diess, a huge proponent of EVs. Musk and Diess have expressed their support for each other openly, both on Twitter and in previous interviews. This was particularly evident during the 2019 Golden Steering Wheel Awards in Berlin, when both executives traded compliments as they showed their optimism about the electric vehicle sector.
Unfortunately, circumstances surrounding the Volkswagen ID.3, the first of the German automaker’s flagship line of all-electric vehicles, may have resulted in Diess being stripped of his role as the chairman of the Volkswagen brand. According to a Wall Street Journal report, part of the reason behind Diess’ removal had to do with the ID.3’s delays, particularly regarding the vehicles’ in-car software.
The Volkswagen ID.3 was poised to be the German automaker’s answer to the Tesla Model 3, a vehicle that may even be considered as the second coming of the ubiquitous Beetle. The vehicle has been in the works for years now, and much progress has been made towards its release. The ID.3 actually entered production, but there was one glaring issue — its software had numerous issues, preventing the car from bring cleared for deliveries.
These software issues were severe, with previous reports pointing to dozens of bugs being posted by test drivers practically every day. Reports also pointed to release dates for the vehicle being pushed back, and in the Wall Street Journal’s recent report, the publication noted that the ID.3 had actually been delayed a second time. Some versions of the car are reportedly poised to be delivered this September, but cloud-connected units are not due to come out until the end of this year.
Cloud connectivity is a key aspect of the Volkswagen ID.3, as it would allow the German automaker to provide a user experience not unlike the one offered by Tesla and its constant over-the-air software updates. Reports have indicated that Volkswagen’s software engineers have not been able to accomplish this, despite the company’s cloud-based applications being developed with Microsoft.
A report from Germany’s Auto Motor und Sport has noted that Diess’ replacement would likely be Oliver Blume, who is Porsche’s CEO. Blume, while not openly friendly to Tesla and Elon Musk as Diess, has something tangible under his belt: the Taycan, an all-electric car that is actually being delivered to customers today. But it should be noted that the Taycan is more of a true driver’s car that just happens to be electric, instead of a Model 3 rival that is reasonably priced and bleeding with tech.
Hopefully, the loss of Diess at Volkswagen’s helm will not become a roadblock to the established automaker’s transition to electric cars. The era of electric vehicles seems to be at hand, after all, with the emergence of technologies such as a million-mile battery and vehicles that near price parity with internal combustion cars.
Elon Musk
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX has issued an initial statement about Starship Booster 18’s anomaly early Friday. The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX’s initial comment
As per SpaceX in a post on its official account on social media platform X, Booster 18 was undergoing gas system pressure tests when the anomaly happened. Despite the nature of the incident, the company emphasized that no propellant was loaded, no engines were installed, and personnel were kept at a safe distance from the booster, resulting in zero injuries.
“Booster 18 suffered an anomaly during gas system pressure testing that we were conducting in advance of structural proof testing. No propellant was on the vehicle, and engines were not yet installed. The teams need time to investigate before we are confident of the cause. No one was injured as we maintain a safe distance for personnel during this type of testing. The site remains clear and we are working plans to safely reenter the site,” SpaceX wrote in its post on X.
Incident and aftermath
Livestream footage from LabPadre showed Booster 18’s lower half crumpling around the liquid oxygen tank area at approximately 4:04 a.m. CT. Subsequent images posted by on-site observers revealed extensive deformation across the booster’s lower structure. Needless to say, spaceflight observers have noted that Booster 18 would likely be a complete loss due to its anomaly.
Booster 18 had rolled out only a day earlier and was one of the first vehicles in the Starship V3 program. The V3 series incorporates structural reinforcements and reliability upgrades intended to prepare Starship for rapid-reuse testing and eventual tower-catch operations. Elon Musk has been optimistic about Starship V3, previously noting on X that the spacecraft might be able to complete initial missions to Mars.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers.
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Analysts highlight autonomy progress
During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.
The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report.
Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”
Street targets diverge on TSLA
While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.
Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements.
Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs.
Elon Musk
SpaceX Starship Version 3 booster crumples in early testing
Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
SpaceX’s new Starship first-stage booster, Booster 18, suffered major damage early Friday during its first round of testing in Starbase, Texas, just one day after rolling out of the factory.
Based on videos of the incident, the lower section of the rocket booster appeared to crumple during a pressurization test. Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
Booster test failure
SpaceX began structural and propellant-system verification tests on Booster 18 Thursday night at the Massey’s Test Site, only a few miles from Starbase’s production facilities, as noted in an Ars Technica report. At 4:04 a.m. CT on Friday, a livestream from LabPadre Space captured the booster’s lower half experiencing a sudden destructive event around its liquid oxygen tank section. Post-incident images, shared on X by @StarshipGazer, showed notable deformation in the booster’s lower structure.
Neither SpaceX nor Elon Musk had commented as of Friday morning, but the vehicle’s condition suggests it is likely a complete loss. This is quite unfortunate, as Booster 18 is already part of the Starship V3 program, which includes design fixes and upgrades intended to improve reliability. While SpaceX maintains a rather rapid Starship production line in Starbase, Booster 18 was generally expected to validate the improvements implemented in the V3 program.
Tight deadlines
SpaceX needs Starship boosters and upper stages to begin demonstrating rapid reuse, tower catches, and early operational Starlink missions over the next two years. More critically, NASA’s Artemis program depends on an on-orbit refueling test in the second half of 2026, a requirement for the vehicle’s expected crewed lunar landing around 2028.
While SpaceX is known for diagnosing failures quickly and returning to testing at unmatched speed, losing the newest-generation booster at the very start of its campaign highlights the immense challenge involved in scaling Starship into a reliable, high-cadence launch system. SpaceX, however, is known for getting things done quickly, so it would not be a surprise if the company manages to figure out what happened to Booster 18 in the near future.
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
