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Tesla Model 3 dominates sales in California, capturing 30% of alternative fuel cars sold

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According to a report issued by the California New Car Dealers Association (CNCDA), Tesla was the number one selling alternative powertrain brand in 2018, representing 29.3% of the total market share. That number includes hybrids, plug-in hybrids, and fuel cell vehicles. When the numbers are limited to battery electric-only vehicle sales, the Model 3 then claims 55% of sales – 51,300 of the total 92,447 sold in 2018. Impressively, the Model 3 sales numbers alone represent more cars sold than the entirety of EV sales in California for 2017 which represents part of an overall increase of about 81% of total EVs sold. CNCDA’s report is good news for the green vehicle industry as a whole and numerically demonstrates Tesla’s leadership in the arena.

Second place for alternative powertrain vehicles in California went to Toyota for the Prius hybrid at 19,366 cars sold; 13,415 for the Prius plug-in hybrid. Chevy’s Volt plug-in hybrid came in 4th at 10,749, and Tesla’s Model S sold 10,120, capping the top 5 vehicle sales with Tesla bookends. Notably, hybrid vehicle sales went down about 20% while plug-in hybrids increased by nearly 40%. Total hybrid sales dropped about half a percent. From these numbers, it certainly seems the consumer market is pointing in the Tesla-type rechargeable direction.

Although the nearly-doubled increase in EV sales from 2017-2018 in California is significant, ICE vehicles still made up around 82% of all California vehicles sold in 2018. Several reasons could factor in the continued consumer preference for gasoline-powered purchases. “California has a long way to go to overcome challenges, support the needs of zero-emission vehicles, and get consumer buy-in for this advanced technology. Factors like charging infrastructure, convenience, range and affordability all come into play when consumers purchase a vehicle,” Chairperson Ted Nicholas said in a statement released by CNCDA with their report. Tesla’s business model obviously has factored in all of these considerations with its Supercharger network, over-the-air updates, owner app offerings, and now, its $35k Standard Range Model 3.

California has set a goal of putting 5 million EVs on its roads by 2030 due to 40% of the state’s greenhouse emissions coming from its transportation industry. Supporting the increase in zero-emission vehicle sales is an obvious part of that goal, meaning that while Tesla’s sales are impressive and market-changing, the state still has a long way to go. “While we continue to see progress on this front, the pace of change is relatively slow, especially in regions of the state that are outside of the San Francisco Bay Area,” Nichols further commented in the report’s release. With new EV offerings coming from a variety of manufacturers over the next two years, including the Model Y and Tesla pickup truck, perhaps the market will speak for the merits and desirability of EVs for itself.

Accidental computer geek, fascinated by most history and the multiplanetary future on its way. Quite keen on the democratization of space. | It's pronounced day-sha, but I answer to almost any variation thereof.

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Elon Musk

Elon Musk sheds two new bits of detail on Starship after 13th test launch

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Credit: SpaceX

Elon Musk shed two new bits of detail on Starship following its 13th test launch, which was an overwhelming success.

SpaceX launched Starship for the 13th time last Friday after two delays: one on Monday when several Raptor engines did not ignite, and another on Thursday due to unfavorable weather conditions in Starbase, Texas.

The launch was overwhelmingly successful. SpaceX was able to complete a necessary test of the heat shield tiles by increasing the acceleration of Starship from launch throughout the flight; 20 Starlink v3 satellites were released with no issue; the Super Heavy Booster landed safely in the Gulf of America, Ship successfully reignited engines while in space; and it also splashed down without incident in the Indian Ocean.

SpaceX Starship just nailed something it’s never done before

Nevertheless, more details are coming out about Starship, and Musk is doing the talking.

Starship Will Be Retrieved in the Ocean

Musk revealed on Tuesday night that Starship would be recovered by a ship in the Indian Ocean. SpaceX routinely tries to recover Starship after splashdown in an effort to find out more about the flight by examining the spacecraft afterward.

This helps engineers find out more about why things might have happened, allows them to examine any potential damage or anomalies that might have occurred, and increases the chances of an even more successful flight next time thanks to the additional information recovered.

Ship Could Have Been Caught by Tower Arms, Musk claims

Musk has already indicated that SpaceX will plan to attempt a catch of Starship with the 14th test flight. While this would be a major accomplishment, it would be an expected next step, considering the fact that the Super Heavy Booster has already been caught by the chopsticks on numerous occasions.

A ship catch would be a great indication of where SpaceX stands in terms of reusability and launch cadence. A successful catch with relatively no incidents would be a good sign that SpaceX is nearing a more frequent launch of Starship, but also that the reusability of the massive rocket would be something many would expect in the near future.

It is a necessity to make life multiplanetary.

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Elon Musk

Elon Musk updates the SpaceX timeline for Mars

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Rendering of a colonized Mars by way of SpaceX
Rendering of a colonized Mars by way of SpaceX

Elon Musk has updated his timeline for when humans will walk on Mars and for when ships will simply get there.

The objective of getting to Mars has been one of Musk’s biggest goals since becoming a serial entrepreneur and realizing that time on Earth is limited. Musk has said several times he hopes to die on Mars, and not by impact.

Musk now believes that people will be on Mars in “roughly 5 to 7 years.” He said that a Mars lander will get there “a few years sooner.”

The response from Musk comes after NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman said that SpaceX’s biggest priority is the Moon and not Mars. Because of this, Isaacman conceded that he believes nuclear power and propulsion investments will provide “potentially the pathway with the fewest miracles required to put four people on Mars in the next 10 to 15 years.”

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Of course, this is what NASA can do through taxpayer funding and nuclear investments, he added.

Musk’s grand ambitions are much more optimistic than most, and it is certainly a double-edged sword. This is not the first time timelines for Mars have been somewhat lofty, especially to those normal thinkers like you and me, not super geniuses like Musk.

SpaceX Board has set a Mars bonus for Elon Musk

In fact, the SpaceX and Tesla frontman has said on at least a dozen occasions that we could be on Mars in the coming years. Musk said 2020 would be the big year as early as 2009. In 2020, he was “highly confident” of a landing in 2026, and had even said 2024 in a best-case scenario.

The point is, the range has varied, and it’s anyone’s guess when we’ll get there. This latest adjustment to the timeline is typical of Musk, and while the Moon has seemingly taken priority over Mars, it is still worth mentioning that the ultimate goal is to make life multiplanetary, and it starts potentially with the Red Planet.

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Investor's Corner

SpaceX gets an absolutely crazy price target after rough IPO

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Credit: SpaceX

SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) got an absolutely crazy price target rating from Raymond James after the company experienced a tough first few weeks following its Initial Public Offering (IPO).

Despite the tumultuous start, SpaceX has plenty of believers, and the company’s massively successful Starship launch last Friday, its 13th test flight of the massive rocket, went so smoothly that Raymond James analysts pushed its price target on the company to roughly 7 times its current trading level.

SpaceX Starship just nailed something it’s never done before

The firm officially put a “Strong Buy” rating and an $800 price target on the stock. It currently trades at around $113. Its all-time high is $225.64, reaching this trading level shortly after shares first went public.

Raymond James’ price target is tied to the firm’s confidence after Starship’s 13th test flight. Analysts at the firm said it was an incremental step that reduces engineering risks, citing the widely successful heat shield test that CEO Elon Musk recently detailed, the smooth deployment of Starlink V3 satellites, and a successful in-space engine relight.

SpaceX also managed to see Starship splash down safely in the Indian Ocean, while the Super Heavy Booster fell down to the Gulf of America with no incidents.

It is interesting to see these launches have such a tremendous impact on the stock and what investors think of it. After SpaceX initially delayed the Starship launch last week, shares fell tremendously. Most probably did not realize that the stand-down is a standard practice, especially if everything is not perfect.

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The mission was initially aborted due to an issue with Raptor engines. This was resolved, and Starship launched last Friday after another delay on Thursday, which was caused by weather.

Now that analysts have seen what SpaceX launches are capable of and how impressive the feat is, firms are adjusting their price targets accordingly, making it known that they have high expectations for the space exploration company.

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