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How Tesla’s ridesharing network could disrupt the airline industry
The auto industry is changing. Autonomous and electric cars are becoming more available sooner than many people think. This will become even more prevalent once Tesla delivers upwards of 500k to 1 million self-driving vehicles per year by the end of the decade. But this change from gas-powered cars to a world powered by battery electric vehicles won’t be isolated to the auto industry. It will likely affect other sectors, including the airline industry.
Disrupting the Airline Industry
As advances in the auto industry make traveling by car more attractive, airlines will have to adjust to the steeper competition. Short haul flights, flights less than 300 miles, will be most significantly affected. Short haul flights cost an average of $120 above the cost of driving, and reduces door-to-door travel time by roughly an hour. These types of city to nearby city flights make up 25% of all US domestic departures.
According to a new Morgan Stanley study, if demand for short haul flights completely disappeared, it would lead to about a 15% loss in earnings. The study also acknowledged that such a change would take at least five to ten years, giving the airline industry time to adjust.
Modern Car Travel
Even without Tesla’s ridesharing network, widespread adoption of electric cars and existing ridesharing services are making people reconsider their reasons for traveling by plane. Services such as Uber and Lyft are more cost effective than flying, and oftentimes more convenient due to the ease of scheduling a ride and with more range of options available. Travelers sacrifice the shorter travel time of a flight, but the difference is oftentimes not too significant.
Southern California-based Tesla-only intercity shuttle service, Tesloop, currently provides transportation service between Los Angeles, Las Vegas and Palm Springs, and will be looking to expand its operations into new markets. The drivers, which the company refers to as “pilots”, transport passengers using Tesla Autopilot. And like the experience in an airplane, Tesloop provides snacks, water and Wi-Fi to its passengers. Why is this important? By replicating the experience of airline travel, while doing so at lesser cost than a traditional short haul flight, Tesloop presents a compelling reason to use ground transportation and forego vehicle ownership.
The Future of Car Travel
Ridesharing, autonomous cars and electric cars are three trends that are not going away any time soon. In fact, they will likely continue to become more commonplace and alter the way we live in meaningful ways.
As technology continues to advance, the comfort, flexibility and reliability of ridesharing, electric cars and autonomous cars will increase as the cost decreases. This will make them more attractive to travelers and further threaten airlines.
In the future, new forms of automobile travel will begin to improve in the areas where flying currently has an advantage. Autonomous cars will make traveling on the roads safer for everyone. Once human error is taken out of the equation, speed limits will likely be increased, lessening the time advantage flying currently has over driving.
Tesla’s free long distance travel for life Supercharging model combined with advances in Autopilot and self-driving technology, plus ridesharing, are already altering the way we think about travel, and their impact on other industries will only increase with time. New technologies bring about change. New ideas create new opportunities in economies and in our way of life.
The advancements will likely disrupt many industries that exist today, including the airline industry. Airlines will have to adjust to the changes — but who knows? Maybe one day autonomous and electric planes (or flying cars) will disrupt the autonomous electric car ridesharing economy.
Elon Musk
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX has issued an initial statement about Starship Booster 18’s anomaly early Friday. The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX’s initial comment
As per SpaceX in a post on its official account on social media platform X, Booster 18 was undergoing gas system pressure tests when the anomaly happened. Despite the nature of the incident, the company emphasized that no propellant was loaded, no engines were installed, and personnel were kept at a safe distance from the booster, resulting in zero injuries.
“Booster 18 suffered an anomaly during gas system pressure testing that we were conducting in advance of structural proof testing. No propellant was on the vehicle, and engines were not yet installed. The teams need time to investigate before we are confident of the cause. No one was injured as we maintain a safe distance for personnel during this type of testing. The site remains clear and we are working plans to safely reenter the site,” SpaceX wrote in its post on X.
Incident and aftermath
Livestream footage from LabPadre showed Booster 18’s lower half crumpling around the liquid oxygen tank area at approximately 4:04 a.m. CT. Subsequent images posted by on-site observers revealed extensive deformation across the booster’s lower structure. Needless to say, spaceflight observers have noted that Booster 18 would likely be a complete loss due to its anomaly.
Booster 18 had rolled out only a day earlier and was one of the first vehicles in the Starship V3 program. The V3 series incorporates structural reinforcements and reliability upgrades intended to prepare Starship for rapid-reuse testing and eventual tower-catch operations. Elon Musk has been optimistic about Starship V3, previously noting on X that the spacecraft might be able to complete initial missions to Mars.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers.
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Analysts highlight autonomy progress
During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.
The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report.
Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”
Street targets diverge on TSLA
While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.
Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements.
Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs.
Elon Musk
SpaceX Starship Version 3 booster crumples in early testing
Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
SpaceX’s new Starship first-stage booster, Booster 18, suffered major damage early Friday during its first round of testing in Starbase, Texas, just one day after rolling out of the factory.
Based on videos of the incident, the lower section of the rocket booster appeared to crumple during a pressurization test. Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
Booster test failure
SpaceX began structural and propellant-system verification tests on Booster 18 Thursday night at the Massey’s Test Site, only a few miles from Starbase’s production facilities, as noted in an Ars Technica report. At 4:04 a.m. CT on Friday, a livestream from LabPadre Space captured the booster’s lower half experiencing a sudden destructive event around its liquid oxygen tank section. Post-incident images, shared on X by @StarshipGazer, showed notable deformation in the booster’s lower structure.
Neither SpaceX nor Elon Musk had commented as of Friday morning, but the vehicle’s condition suggests it is likely a complete loss. This is quite unfortunate, as Booster 18 is already part of the Starship V3 program, which includes design fixes and upgrades intended to improve reliability. While SpaceX maintains a rather rapid Starship production line in Starbase, Booster 18 was generally expected to validate the improvements implemented in the V3 program.
Tight deadlines
SpaceX needs Starship boosters and upper stages to begin demonstrating rapid reuse, tower catches, and early operational Starlink missions over the next two years. More critically, NASA’s Artemis program depends on an on-orbit refueling test in the second half of 2026, a requirement for the vehicle’s expected crewed lunar landing around 2028.
While SpaceX is known for diagnosing failures quickly and returning to testing at unmatched speed, losing the newest-generation booster at the very start of its campaign highlights the immense challenge involved in scaling Starship into a reliable, high-cadence launch system. SpaceX, however, is known for getting things done quickly, so it would not be a surprise if the company manages to figure out what happened to Booster 18 in the near future.
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
