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How Tesla’s ridesharing network could disrupt the airline industry
The auto industry is changing. Autonomous and electric cars are becoming more available sooner than many people think. This will become even more prevalent once Tesla delivers upwards of 500k to 1 million self-driving vehicles per year by the end of the decade. But this change from gas-powered cars to a world powered by battery electric vehicles won’t be isolated to the auto industry. It will likely affect other sectors, including the airline industry.
Disrupting the Airline Industry
As advances in the auto industry make traveling by car more attractive, airlines will have to adjust to the steeper competition. Short haul flights, flights less than 300 miles, will be most significantly affected. Short haul flights cost an average of $120 above the cost of driving, and reduces door-to-door travel time by roughly an hour. These types of city to nearby city flights make up 25% of all US domestic departures.
According to a new Morgan Stanley study, if demand for short haul flights completely disappeared, it would lead to about a 15% loss in earnings. The study also acknowledged that such a change would take at least five to ten years, giving the airline industry time to adjust.
Modern Car Travel
Even without Tesla’s ridesharing network, widespread adoption of electric cars and existing ridesharing services are making people reconsider their reasons for traveling by plane. Services such as Uber and Lyft are more cost effective than flying, and oftentimes more convenient due to the ease of scheduling a ride and with more range of options available. Travelers sacrifice the shorter travel time of a flight, but the difference is oftentimes not too significant.
Southern California-based Tesla-only intercity shuttle service, Tesloop, currently provides transportation service between Los Angeles, Las Vegas and Palm Springs, and will be looking to expand its operations into new markets. The drivers, which the company refers to as “pilots”, transport passengers using Tesla Autopilot. And like the experience in an airplane, Tesloop provides snacks, water and Wi-Fi to its passengers. Why is this important? By replicating the experience of airline travel, while doing so at lesser cost than a traditional short haul flight, Tesloop presents a compelling reason to use ground transportation and forego vehicle ownership.
The Future of Car Travel
Ridesharing, autonomous cars and electric cars are three trends that are not going away any time soon. In fact, they will likely continue to become more commonplace and alter the way we live in meaningful ways.
As technology continues to advance, the comfort, flexibility and reliability of ridesharing, electric cars and autonomous cars will increase as the cost decreases. This will make them more attractive to travelers and further threaten airlines.
In the future, new forms of automobile travel will begin to improve in the areas where flying currently has an advantage. Autonomous cars will make traveling on the roads safer for everyone. Once human error is taken out of the equation, speed limits will likely be increased, lessening the time advantage flying currently has over driving.
Tesla’s free long distance travel for life Supercharging model combined with advances in Autopilot and self-driving technology, plus ridesharing, are already altering the way we think about travel, and their impact on other industries will only increase with time. New technologies bring about change. New ideas create new opportunities in economies and in our way of life.
The advancements will likely disrupt many industries that exist today, including the airline industry. Airlines will have to adjust to the changes — but who knows? Maybe one day autonomous and electric planes (or flying cars) will disrupt the autonomous electric car ridesharing economy.
Elon Musk
Tesla confirmed HW3 can’t do Unsupervised FSD but there’s more to the story
Tesla confirmed HW3 vehicles cannot run unsupervised FSD, replacing its free upgrade promise with a discounted trade-in.
Tesla has officially confirmed that early vehicles with its Autopilot Hardware 3 (HW3) will not be capable of unsupervised Full Self-Driving, while extending a path forward for legacy owners through a discounted trade-in program. The announcement came by way of Elon Musk in today’s Tesla Q1 2026 earnings call.
🚨 Our LIVE updates on the Tesla Earnings Call will take place here in a thread 🧵
Follow along below: pic.twitter.com/hzJeBitzJU
— TESLARATI (@Teslarati) April 22, 2026
The history here matters. HW3 launched in April 2019, and Tesla sold Full Self-Driving packages to owners on the understanding that the hardware was sufficient for full autonomy. Some owners paid between $8,000 and $15,000 for FSD during that period. For years, as FSD’s AI models grew more demanding, HW3 vehicles fell progressively further behind, eventually landing on FSD v12.6 in January 2025 while AI4 vehicles moved to v13 and then v14. When Musk acknowledged in January 2025 that HW3 simply could not reach unsupervised operation, and alluded to a difficult hardware retrofit.
The near-term offering is more concrete. Tesla’s head of Autopilot Ashok Elluswamy confirmed on today’s call that a V14-lite will be coming to HW3 vehicles in late June, bringing all the V14 features currently running on AI4 hardware. That is a meaningful software update for owners who have been frozen at v12.6 for over a year, and it represents genuine effort to keep older hardware relevant. Unsupervised FSD for vehicles is now targeted for Q4 2026 at the earliest, with Musk describing it as a gradual, geography-limited rollout.
For HW3 owners, the over-the-air V14-lite update is welcomed, and the discounted trade-in path at least acknowledges an old obligation. What happens next with the trade-in pricing will define how this chapter ultimately gets written. If Tesla prices the hardware path fairly, acknowledges what early adopters are owed, and delivers V14-lite on the June timeline it committed to today, it has a real opportunity to convert one of the longest-running sore subjects among early adopters into a loyalty story.
Elon Musk
Tesla isn’t joking about building Optimus at an industrial scale: Here we go
Tesla’s Optimus factory in Texas targets 10 million robots yearly, with 5.2 million square feet under construction.
Tesla’s Q1 2026 Update Letter, released today, confirms that first generation Optimus production lines are now well underway at its Fremont, California factory, with a pilot line targeting one million robots per year to start. Of bigger note is a shared aerial image of a large piece of land adjacent to Gigafactory Texas, that Tesla has prominently labeled “Optimus factory site preparation.”
Permit documents show Tesla is seeking to add over 5.2 million square feet of new building space to the Giga Texas North Campus by the end of 2026, at an estimated construction investment of $5 billion to $10 billion. The longer term production target for that facility is 10 million Optimus units per year. Giga Texas already sits on 2,500 acres with over 10 million square feet of existing factory floor, and the North Campus expansion is being built to support multiple projects, including the dedicated Optimus factory, the Terafab chip fabrication facility (a joint Tesla/SpaceX/xAI venture), a Cybercab test track, road infrastructure, and supporting facilities.
Credit: TESLA
Texas makes strategic sense beyond the existing infrastructure. The state’s tax structure, lower labor costs relative to California, and the proximity to Tesla’s AI training cluster Cortex 1 and 2, both located at Giga Texas and now totaling over 230,000 H100 equivalent GPUs, means the Optimus software stack and the factory producing the hardware will share the same campus. Tesla’s Q1 report also confirmed completion of the AI5 chip tape out in April, the inference processor designed specifically to power Optimus units in the field.
As Teslarati reported, the Texas facility is intended to house Optimus V4 production at full scale. Musk told the World Economic Forum in January that Tesla plans to sell Optimus to the public by end of 2027 at a price between $20,000 and $30,000, stating, “I think everyone on earth is going to have one and want one.” He has previously pegged long term demand for general purpose humanoid robots at over 20 billion units globally, citing both consumer and industrial use cases.
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) reported its earnings for the first quarter of 2026 on Wednesday afternoon. Here’s what the company reported compared to what Wall Street analysts expected.
The earnings results come after Tesla reported a miss on vehicle deliveries for the first quarter, delivering 358,023 vehicles and building 408,386 cars during the three-month span.
As Tesla transitions more toward AI and sees itself as less of a car company, expectations for deliveries will begin to become less of a central point in the consensus of how the quarter is perceived.
Nevertheless, Tesla is leaning on its strong foundation as a car company to carry forward its AI ambitions. The first quarter is a good ground layer for the rest of the year.
Tesla Q1 2026 Earnings Results
Tesla’s Earnings Results are as follows:
- Non-GAAP EPS – $0.41 Reported vs. $0.36 Expected
- Revenues – $22.387 billion vs. $22.35 billion Expected
- Free Cash Flow – $1.444 billion
- Profit – $4.72 billion
Tesla beat analyst expectations, so it will be interesting to see how the stock responds. IN the past, we’ve seen Tesla beat analyst expectations considerably, followed by a sharp drop in stock price.
On the same token, we’ve seen Tesla miss and the stock price go up the following trading session.
Tesla will hold its Q1 2026 Earnings Call in about 90 minutes at 5:30 p.m. on the East Coast. Remarks will be made by CEO Elon Musk and other executives, who will shed some light on the investor questions that we covered earlier this week.
You can stream it below. Additionally, we will be doing our Live Blog on X and Facebook.
Q1 2026 Earnings Call at 4:30pm CT https://t.co/pkYIaGJ32y
— Tesla (@Tesla) April 22, 2026
Tesla confirmed HW3 can’t do Unsupervised FSD but there’s more to the story
Tesla isn’t joking about building Optimus at an industrial scale: Here we go
