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Asteroid mining startup faces uphill battle despite industry’s huge promise
Asteroid mining startup Planetary Resources, arguably the pathfinder for the industry’s growing charge, has had difficulty securing reliable funding capable of fueling the company’s aspirations of exploring and mining near-Earth asteroids for resources that could be a boon for in-space industries. Despite the company’s struggles, the near-future prospects of asteroid mining remain bright.
First reported by Geekwire last week, Planetary Resources CEO Chris Lewicki spoke to attendees of the NewSpace 2018 Conference about the status of the struggling asteroid mining company, frankly noting that PR “made a risky and aggressive choice [in 2017] to double down on asteroid exploration” only to have a promising funding round collapse before it could be completed. Without that funding, that company was forced to dramatically shrink its payroll and functionally end all research and development, while also ending operations of a successful satellite tech demonstrator launched in January 2018.
Fundamentally, the difficulties assailing Planetary Resources are unfortunate but should come as no surprise, and they certainly should not take away from the undeniable promise of asteroid mining as both an industry in itself and as an enabler of many other forms of in-space technology and economy, ranging from convenient propellant depots in space to serious, cost-effective manufacturing in zero-gravity.
Further, while the hardware and knowledge needed to successfully gather, process, and refine large quantities of rock from asteroids are extremely immature, a majority of them have already been very successfully demonstrated in space, including an ion thruster-power asteroid orbiter in its sixth year of exploring the massive Ceres and Vesta asteroids and two electrically-powered spacecraft headed to their own respective asteroids – one of which arrived just weeks ago – with plans to collect samples from the ancient surfaces before returning to Earth. Put simply; the technologies present on the extraordinarily successful asteroid explorer spacecraft funded thus far by government space agencies are likely to dramatically grow scientific understanding of the composition of near-Earth asteroids, while also giving private companies a baseline or ceiling for what is achievable today.
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- Before Hayabusa2’s arrival, Ryugu was nothing more than a handful pixels on a screen. (JAXA, University of Tokyo, collaborators)
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- A pair of images captured by Japan’s Hayabusa2 spacecraft show the Ryugu asteroid’s weird features. (JAXA, University of Tokyo, collaborators)
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- The limb of the massive asteroid Ceres, captured by NASA’s Dawn spacecraft in June 2018. (NASA)
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- NASA’s OSIRIS-REx probe is scheduled to arrive at the asteroid Bennu in December 2018. (NASA)
Of note, Japan’s Hayabusa2 sample return mission reportedly cost the country less than $300 million, whereas NASA’s comparable OSIRIS-REx sample return mission cost the agency nearly $1 billion including launch. The $50 million in private capital raised thus far by Planetary Resources has clearly not been enough to get the company into deep space, although it did enable the technology development and facilities required to build several impressive cubesat demonstrators, one of which is currently in orbit after successfully completing its mission and demonstrating the integration of true off-the-shelf sensing equipment on a spacecraft.
In 2017, the government of Luxembourg signed into law the creation of state-funded program intended to incubate asteroid mining startups, and Planetary Resources received a bit less than $30 million in cash and grants in 2016 to facilitate the company’s goal of launching the first private asteroid prospector satellite in 2020. While unclear how this factored into PR’s present financial situation, there may be hope of additional financial assistance to help the company build a path to sustainability. In the meantime, CEO Chris Lewicki is still confident that Planetary Resources will find the resources they need to build spacecraft that will take the company to asteroids and towards the creation of a whole new industry.
Elon Musk
Elon Musk and James Cameron find middle ground in space and AI despite political differences
Musk responded with some positive words for the director on X.
Avatar director James Cameron has stated that he can still agree with Elon Musk on space exploration and AI safety despite their stark political differences.
In an interview with Puck’s The Town podcast, the liberal director praised Musk’s SpaceX achievements and said higher priorities must unite them, such as space travel and artificial intelligence. Musk responded with some positive words for the director on X.
A longtime mutual respect
Cameron and Musk have bonded over technology for years. As far back as 2011, Cameron told NBC News that “Elon is making very strong strides. I think he’s the likeliest person to step into the shoes of the shuttle program and actually provide human access to low Earth orbit. So… go, Elon.” Cameron was right, as SpaceX would go on to become the dominant force in spaceflight over the years.
Even after Musk’s embrace of conservative politics and his roles as senior advisor and former DOGE head, Cameron refused to cancel his relationship with the CEO. “I can separate a person and their politics from the things that they want to accomplish if they’re aligned with what I think are good goals,” Cameron said. Musk appreciated the director’s comments, stating that “Jim understands physics, which is rare in Hollywood.”
Shared AI warnings
Both men have stated that artificial intelligence could be an existential threat to humanity, though Musk has noted that Tesla’s products such as Optimus could usher in an era of sustainable abundance. Musk recently predicted that money and jobs could become irrelevant with advancing AI, while Cameron warned of a deeper crisis, as noted in a Fox News report.
-->“Because the overall risk of AI in general… is that we lose purpose as people. We lose jobs. We lose a sense of, ‘Well, what are we here for?’” Cameron said. “We are these flawed biological machines, and a computer can be theoretically more precise, more correct, faster, all of those things. And that’s going to be a threshold existential issue.”
He concluded: “I just think it’s important for us as a human civilization to prioritize. We’ve got to make this Earth our spaceship. That’s really what we need to be thinking.”
News
Blue Origin announces Super-Heavy New Glenn 9×4 to Rival SpaceX Starship
The announcement followed the company’s successful NG-2 launch on November 13.
Blue Origin has revealed plans to develop New Glenn 9×4, a “super heavy” rocket designed to deliver 70 metric tons to low-Earth orbit and directly compete with SpaceX’s Starship.
The announcement followed the company’s successful NG-2 launch on November 13, which deployed NASA’s ESCAPADE (Escape and Plasma Acceleration Dynamics Explorers) Mars mission and landed the first stage.
Upgraded engines and reusability
As noted in a Universe Today report, Blue Origin will roll out upgraded BE-4 engines producing 640,000 lbf each, up from 550,000 lbf, starting with NG-3. This should boost the New Glenn rocket’s total first-stage thrust to 4.5 million pounds. Upper-stage BE-3U engines are expected to improve from 320,000 lbf to 400,000 lbf over the next few flights as well.
“These enhancements will immediately benefit customers already manifested on New Glenn to fly to destinations including low-Earth orbit, the Moon, and beyond. Additional vehicle upgrades include a reusable fairing to support increased flight rates, an updated lower-cost tank design, and a higher-performing and reusable thermal protection system to improve turnaround time,” Blue Origin noted.
New Glenn “Super Heavy” 9×4
The super-heavy New Glenn 9×4, with nine BE-4s on the booster, four BE-3Us on the upper stage, will feature an 8.7-meter payload fairing. Blue Origin expects New Glenn 9×4 to be capable of transporting 70 metric tons to LEO, 14 tons to GSO, and 20 tons to trans-lunar injection, as noted by the company in a blog post. This is very impressive, as New Glenn 9×4’s capacity exceeds Falcon Heavy, SpaceX’s largest rocket available to consumers today. Falcon Heavy is capable of carrying up to 64 metric tons to low Earth orbit in a fully expendable configuration.
-->That being said, SpaceX’s Starship’s capacity is extremely impressive. As per SpaceX, Starship is designed to be capable of carrying up to 100-150 metric tonnes to orbit in its fully reusable configuration. At its expendable configuration, Starship’s capacity enters unheard-of territory, with SpaceX stating that the vehicle could transport 250 metric tonnes of cargo.
News
Tesla FSD approved for testing in Nacka, Sweden, though municipality note reveals aggravating detail
Nacka, Sweden, a municipality just a few miles from Stockholm, has given its approval for FSD tests.
Tesla has secured approval for FSD testing in an urban environment in Sweden. As per recent reports from the Tesla community, Nacka, Sweden, a municipality just a few miles from Stockholm, has given its approval for FSD tests.
A look at the municipality’s note regarding FSD’s approval, however, reveals something quite aggravating.
FSD testing approval secured
As per Tesla watcher and longtime shareholder Alexander Kristensen, Nacka is governed by the Moderate Party. The shareholder also shared the municipality’s protocol notes regarding approval for FSD’s tests.
“It is good that Nacka can be a place for test-driving self-driving cars. This is future technology that can both facilitate mobility and make transportation cheaper and more environmentally friendly,” the note read.
The update was received positively by the Tesla community on social media, as it suggests that the electric vehicle maker is making some legitimate headway in releasing FSD into the region. Sweden has been particularly challenging as well, so securing approval in Nacka is a notable milestone for the company’s efforts.
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A look at the notes from Nacka shows that FSD’s proposed tests still met some opposition from some officials. But while some critics might typically point to safety issues as their reasons for rejecting FSD, those who opposed the system in Nacka openly cited Tesla’s conflict with trade union IF Metall in their arguments. Fortunately, Nacka officials ultimately decided in Tesla’s favor as the company’s issues with the country’s unions are a completely different matter.
“The left-wing opposition (S, Nackalistan, MP and V) voted no to this, referring to the fact that the applicant company Tesla is involved in a labor market conflict and does not want to sign a collective agreement. We believe that this is not an acceptable reason for the municipality to use its authority to interfere in a labor law conflict.
“Signing a collective agreement is not an obligation, and the company has not committed any crime. The municipality should contribute to technological development and progress, not work against the future,” the note read.
Elon Musk and James Cameron find middle ground in space and AI despite political differences
Blue Origin announces Super-Heavy New Glenn 9×4 to Rival SpaceX Starship
