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Asteroid mining startup faces uphill battle despite industry’s huge promise
Asteroid mining startup Planetary Resources, arguably the pathfinder for the industry’s growing charge, has had difficulty securing reliable funding capable of fueling the company’s aspirations of exploring and mining near-Earth asteroids for resources that could be a boon for in-space industries. Despite the company’s struggles, the near-future prospects of asteroid mining remain bright.
First reported by Geekwire last week, Planetary Resources CEO Chris Lewicki spoke to attendees of the NewSpace 2018 Conference about the status of the struggling asteroid mining company, frankly noting that PR “made a risky and aggressive choice [in 2017] to double down on asteroid exploration” only to have a promising funding round collapse before it could be completed. Without that funding, that company was forced to dramatically shrink its payroll and functionally end all research and development, while also ending operations of a successful satellite tech demonstrator launched in January 2018.
Fundamentally, the difficulties assailing Planetary Resources are unfortunate but should come as no surprise, and they certainly should not take away from the undeniable promise of asteroid mining as both an industry in itself and as an enabler of many other forms of in-space technology and economy, ranging from convenient propellant depots in space to serious, cost-effective manufacturing in zero-gravity.
Further, while the hardware and knowledge needed to successfully gather, process, and refine large quantities of rock from asteroids are extremely immature, a majority of them have already been very successfully demonstrated in space, including an ion thruster-power asteroid orbiter in its sixth year of exploring the massive Ceres and Vesta asteroids and two electrically-powered spacecraft headed to their own respective asteroids – one of which arrived just weeks ago – with plans to collect samples from the ancient surfaces before returning to Earth. Put simply; the technologies present on the extraordinarily successful asteroid explorer spacecraft funded thus far by government space agencies are likely to dramatically grow scientific understanding of the composition of near-Earth asteroids, while also giving private companies a baseline or ceiling for what is achievable today.
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- Before Hayabusa2’s arrival, Ryugu was nothing more than a handful pixels on a screen. (JAXA, University of Tokyo, collaborators)
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- A pair of images captured by Japan’s Hayabusa2 spacecraft show the Ryugu asteroid’s weird features. (JAXA, University of Tokyo, collaborators)
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- The limb of the massive asteroid Ceres, captured by NASA’s Dawn spacecraft in June 2018. (NASA)
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- NASA’s OSIRIS-REx probe is scheduled to arrive at the asteroid Bennu in December 2018. (NASA)
Of note, Japan’s Hayabusa2 sample return mission reportedly cost the country less than $300 million, whereas NASA’s comparable OSIRIS-REx sample return mission cost the agency nearly $1 billion including launch. The $50 million in private capital raised thus far by Planetary Resources has clearly not been enough to get the company into deep space, although it did enable the technology development and facilities required to build several impressive cubesat demonstrators, one of which is currently in orbit after successfully completing its mission and demonstrating the integration of true off-the-shelf sensing equipment on a spacecraft.
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In 2017, the government of Luxembourg signed into law the creation of state-funded program intended to incubate asteroid mining startups, and Planetary Resources received a bit less than $30 million in cash and grants in 2016 to facilitate the company’s goal of launching the first private asteroid prospector satellite in 2020. While unclear how this factored into PR’s present financial situation, there may be hope of additional financial assistance to help the company build a path to sustainability. In the meantime, CEO Chris Lewicki is still confident that Planetary Resources will find the resources they need to build spacecraft that will take the company to asteroids and towards the creation of a whole new industry.
In a new note to investors on Tuesday, Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco said that Tesla has one big financial question to answer for investors regarding its Robotaxi rollout, Full Self-Driving software, and Optimus.
Percoco said in the note that, for the most part, investors are still very positive about the direction the company is headed. However, there are some things the firm would like to see, and they have to do with financials.
Tesla (TSLA) Q2 2026 earnings results: miss on EPS, beat on revenue
Tesla bulls are more than convinced that the company’s Full Self-Driving software is proof it can develop physical AI. Financially, however, there are still some questions, especially on elevated spending, which CEO Elon Musk said would occur as the company works to roll out Robotaxi faster and continue developing its Optimus robot.
The latter two are where Tesla will have to prove progress to investors, as Percoco writes that both projects “will require clearer evidence that Robotaxi is scaling and more tangible Optimus proof points to support the ROI on elevated capex.”
Percoco said the second quarter earnings call did not change his long-term thesis of where Tesla is positioned in the AI race, which is out in front. However, there are concerns that weaker gross margins and higher R&D spend will stress financials, and that has “sharpened our (and investors’) focus on measurable progress across Robotaxi and Optimus.”
Additionally, Robotaxi still needs to be proven with more operation in existing cities while maintaining safety but improving how many rides it gives in any given time, he said. For Optimus, Percoco wrote that he is “still looking for evidence beyond commentary around SOP.”
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Morgan Stanley put Percoco in charge of covering Tesla after long-time analyst Adam Jonas transitioned to the automotive side.
Currently, Morgan Stanley has a $415 price target on Tesla and a ‘Hold’ rating on the stock. It is trading at around $330 at the time of publication, which was 2:30 P.M. on the East Coast.
SpaceX’s massive investment in AI will make it a big winner, Argus Research said after the company’s successful earnings call last week.
The firm also upgraded shares to a Buy from Hold and set a $160 price target.
SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) is currently recovering from its heavy AI infrastructure investments, as it spent nearly $16 billion in Q2 alone. The company did this primarily by monetizing high-demand GPU compute capacity at a much faster pace than traditional data center economics would suggest.
Company CFO Bret Johnsen said that SpaceX would be able to pay back anything on new deployments within a year.
There are plenty of ways the company can do this:
Leasing excess compute capacity through contracts
SpaceX has already built Colossus and Colossus II, largely for its own model training. However, much of that capacity is already rented out to third parties. It already has major deals with Anthropic, Google, and Reflection AI. These partnerships are adding billions per month to SpaceX’s spreadsheet.
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High utilization driven by industry-wide scarcity
The demand for advanced AI training and inference capacity continues to exceed what is available for use. SpaceX can fill new racks quickly after they come online, so the capital deployed converts into revenue with minimal idle time.
Additionally, management and outside observers have described the new compute capital as behaving more like a cost-of-goods-sold than traditional multi-year capex, especially because of this rapid monetization pattern.
Capacity has already scaled from ~0.4 GW a year to 1.4 GW annually by the end of Q2. There are targets of more than 2 GW by year-end.
High incremental margins on the rental business once capacity is online
GPU cloud providers often operate at strong gross margins. SpaceX can monetize capacity that was already partially built or can be added efficiently. This means that incremental EBITDA margins on the rental revenue are usually high. This accelerates cash recovery relative to the gross capital outlay.
Parallel monetization of its own AI software and applications
Beyond pure infrastructure rental, SpaceX also generates revenue from Grok through subscriptions and usage, from X through ads, data, and other related services, enterprise APIs, and the planned integration of the Cursor coding tools acquisition.
These application layers ride on the same compute infrastructure and provide additional high-margin streams that could offset build-out costs. AI-segment revenue overall rose sharply to about $2.6 billion in Q2, according to Motley Fool. This was driven primarily by the infrastructure contracts, but the software side is also partially responsible.
Efficient, large-scale deployment and vertical integration advantages
SpaceX has emphasized the rapid construction of power and cooling infrastructure and favorable cost-per-megawatt economics relative to industry benchmarks in some disclosures.
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Combined with its ability to scale capacity aggressively and the fact that many contracts start generating revenue within months of capacity coming online, the effective payback compresses dramatically compared with more conventional multi-year data-center projects.
SpaceX’s dominant near-term recovery path will turn the AI clusters into a hyperscale-style compute rental business for other leading AI companies while still using a portion for internal models.
Tesla headlights have caused a recall of over 20,000 of the company’s two most popular vehicles, the Model 3 and Model Y, due to the low-beam bulb exceeding the maximum allowed intensity according to federal standards.
Tesla initiated the recall with the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) this morning, stating that the low-beam output “exceeds the maximum allowed intensity in the outer upper-right and outer upper-left areas of the 10U and 90U zone, as prescribed in FMVSS No. 108.”
Tesla sourced the impacted headlights from Marelli Automotive Lighting, a Mexico-based company. The recall impacts 2020-2023 Model Y vehicles and 2017-2023 Model 3 vehicles. It is estimated that every VIN in this recall is impacted by the defect.
🚨 Tesla is recalling 20,349 2020-23 Model Y vehicles and 2017-23 Model 3 vehicles due to an excessively bright headlamp low beam.
Currently, there is no remedy plan in place, as it is still being developed. pic.twitter.com/y34cIO2U0B
— TESLARATI (@Teslarati) August 11, 2026
Typically, Tesla would remedy recalls of this nature through an Over-the-Air software update, which has been a major focus of criticism by the company and its supporters because the NHTSA still refers to it as a “recall,” even though it requires no action by the vehicle owner. The fix is shipped over the internet and downloaded to the car.
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However, there appears to be a potentially different solution for this problem. Tesla has not developed a remedy for this issue, so it could potentially be on the way. The big issue appears to be the fact that these recalled lamps are out of production, and this is an old body style for both vehicles. The headlights and front-end designs are completely different.
Tesla switched to another supplier when the affected headlight design was discontinued. It plans to begin notifying owners of their remedy options by September 15.
Tesla filed a petition protesting the recall to fix the vehicles’ headlight issue, but the NHTSA denied it. Now, Tesla will come up with a solution to fix it.
Tesla has one big financial question to answer for investors: Morgan Stanley
SpaceX AI investment gamble will make it a big winner, firm says
