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EV prices pull back in July, but price parity remains out of reach

Credit: Tesla

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Electric vehicle transaction prices pulled back slightly in July, according to research from Kelley Blue Book, which was released earlier today. However, EV prices remain up nearly 19 percent over the past year, insinuating that electric powertrains and their price parity with other vehicles still remain out of reach.

The KBB study indicated the average cost of a transaction for any new electric vehicle in July was $66,645, down from $68,206 in June. This is a 2.3 percent reduction from June to July. However, July 2022, compared to the same month in 2021, is a completely different story.

Year-over-year, transaction prices have increased 18.8 percent, up from the average transaction price of $56,110 in July 2021.

“The average price for a new electric vehicle – over $66,000, according to Kelley Blue Book estimates – remains well above the industry average and more aligned with luxury prices versus mainstream prices,” the publication said regarding their market analysis.

“The new-vehicle market today is a seller’s market,” KBB Research Manager Rebecca Rydzewski told Teslarati. “Demand remains healthy, and inventories, particularly with fuel-efficient vehicles and EVs, are extremely tight. In these conditions, shoppers can’t expect much price relief.”

Electric Vehicle Price Parity

Since practically the beginning of the mass EV movement, automakers have been trying to figure out ways to make electric cars that are priced at levels comparable to gas vehicles.

Unfortunately, the EV supply chain is not yet mature enough to have affordable models across the board. Automakers rely on suppliers for some car parts, including batteries and battery packs, which make up the bulk of an EV’s cost.

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EV prices soared in early 2022 as the metals used in battery cells increased substantially. This put significant pressure on automakers who were sourcing batteries from suppliers, whose profit margins decreased as material costs increased.

Tesla’s battery supply constraint is ending, price parity with gas cars is at hand

Carmakers have shifted their strategies to accommodate the increased prices. Tesla, Rivian, and other automakers shifted to different cell chemistries from vehicles with less range and performance. Meanwhile, car companies have worked to establish long-term mining deals to alleviate the uncertainty of material costs.

Tesla

Tesla’s average transaction cost dropped by 1.8 percent from June to July. However, its costs have increased by 20.5 percent compared to July 2021. This is higher than any other automaker KBB assessed. The next closest was Honda, which has seen an increase of 17 percent over the past year, with a 2.7 percent increase occurring from June to July 2022.

The industry average was 11.9 percent.

Rivian

Rivian did not have an active production model during this time last year. Its average transaction price did increase by 0.4 percent from June to July.

Polestar

Polestar’s prices have decreased from July 2021. The automaker has seen a 5.7 percent decrease in average transaction price since last year. Its change from June to July was only a few dollars.

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“Long term, we do believe EV prices will moderate as supply chains improve and more lower-priced models are introduced, Rydzewski added. “Until then, though, we expect EV prices to stay more aligned with luxury-vehicle prices. Recent EV price hikes from Tesla, Ford, and others indicate the market direction. EVs, for the most part, are still costly to source and often feature the latest—expensive!—technology.”

I’d love to hear from you! If you have any comments, concerns, or questions, please email me at joey@teslarati.com. You can also reach me on Twitter @KlenderJoey, or if you have news tips, you can email us at tips@teslarati.com.

Joey has been a journalist covering electric mobility at TESLARATI since August 2019. In his spare time, Joey is playing golf, watching MMA, or cheering on any of his favorite sports teams, including the Baltimore Ravens and Orioles, Miami Heat, Washington Capitals, and Penn State Nittany Lions. You can get in touch with joey at joey@teslarati.com. He is also on X @KlenderJoey. If you're looking for great Tesla accessories, check out shop.teslarati.com

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Elon Musk

Elon Musk updates the SpaceX timeline for Mars

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Rendering of a colonized Mars by way of SpaceX
Rendering of a colonized Mars by way of SpaceX

Elon Musk has updated his timeline for when humans will walk on Mars and for when ships will simply get there.

The objective of getting to Mars has been one of Musk’s biggest goals since becoming a serial entrepreneur and realizing that time on Earth is limited. Musk has said several times he hopes to die on Mars, and not by impact.

Musk now believes that people will be on Mars in “roughly 5 to 7 years.” He said that a Mars lander will get there “a few years sooner.”

The response from Musk comes after NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman said that SpaceX’s biggest priority is the Moon and not Mars. Because of this, Isaacman conceded that he believes nuclear power and propulsion investments will provide “potentially the pathway with the fewest miracles required to put four people on Mars in the next 10 to 15 years.”

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Of course, this is what NASA can do through taxpayer funding and nuclear investments, he added.

Musk’s grand ambitions are much more optimistic than most, and it is certainly a double-edged sword. This is not the first time timelines for Mars have been somewhat lofty, especially to those normal thinkers like you and me, not super geniuses like Musk.

SpaceX Board has set a Mars bonus for Elon Musk

In fact, the SpaceX and Tesla frontman has said on at least a dozen occasions that we could be on Mars in the coming years. Musk said 2020 would be the big year as early as 2009. In 2020, he was “highly confident” of a landing in 2026, and had even said 2024 in a best-case scenario.

The point is, the range has varied, and it’s anyone’s guess when we’ll get there. This latest adjustment to the timeline is typical of Musk, and while the Moon has seemingly taken priority over Mars, it is still worth mentioning that the ultimate goal is to make life multiplanetary, and it starts potentially with the Red Planet.

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Investor's Corner

SpaceX gets an absolutely crazy price target after rough IPO

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Credit: SpaceX

SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) got an absolutely crazy price target rating from Raymond James after the company experienced a tough first few weeks following its Initial Public Offering (IPO).

Despite the tumultuous start, SpaceX has plenty of believers, and the company’s massively successful Starship launch last Friday, its 13th test flight of the massive rocket, went so smoothly that Raymond James analysts pushed its price target on the company to roughly 7 times its current trading level.

SpaceX Starship just nailed something it’s never done before

The firm officially put a “Strong Buy” rating and an $800 price target on the stock. It currently trades at around $113. Its all-time high is $225.64, reaching this trading level shortly after shares first went public.

Raymond James’ price target is tied to the firm’s confidence after Starship’s 13th test flight. Analysts at the firm said it was an incremental step that reduces engineering risks, citing the widely successful heat shield test that CEO Elon Musk recently detailed, the smooth deployment of Starlink V3 satellites, and a successful in-space engine relight.

SpaceX also managed to see Starship splash down safely in the Indian Ocean, while the Super Heavy Booster fell down to the Gulf of America with no incidents.

It is interesting to see these launches have such a tremendous impact on the stock and what investors think of it. After SpaceX initially delayed the Starship launch last week, shares fell tremendously. Most probably did not realize that the stand-down is a standard practice, especially if everything is not perfect.

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The mission was initially aborted due to an issue with Raptor engines. This was resolved, and Starship launched last Friday after another delay on Thursday, which was caused by weather.

Now that analysts have seen what SpaceX launches are capable of and how impressive the feat is, firms are adjusting their price targets accordingly, making it known that they have high expectations for the space exploration company.

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Elon Musk

Elon Musk responds to Volvo’s latest LiDAR decision

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(Credit: Tesla)

Tesla CEO Elon Musk has responded to reports that Volvo is officially discontinuing the LiDAR sensor on two of its cars.

Volvo announced that it would officially scrap LiDAR systems on its EX90 and ES90 vehicles in various markets. In Norway, owners will get a €1,800 compensation for features that will never arrive due to this decision. There will be no option to remove the unit from vehicles, either.

The issue stems from Volvo’s supplier, Luminar, and its bankruptcy filing. Luminar will no longer be able to supply LiDAR units to Volvo for the EX90 and ES90, effectively axing any use the unit has on vehicles. Volvo will phase out the data collection processes via the LiDAR system, and it will not be utilized whatsoever.

Musk saw the story on X and responded, stating:

“I did try to warn them. Humans drive using neural nets and optical sensors. Same is true for robot cars.”

Musk has been publicly vocal about his disdain for LiDAR systems, once calling them “a fool’s errand,” as he has consistently kept the outlook that they are not needed for effective self-driving.

The typical example used as evidence for this by Musk is humans themselves: made with only eyes and memories, humans are capable of navigating a car by using what they can see and what they’ve personally experienced on the road.

Elon Musk argues lidar and radar make self driving cars more dangerous

“Same is true for robot cars,” Musk says, as Teslas have eight exterior cameras that help see everything surrounding the vehicle, and a neural network that analyzes behavior and tendencies with every mile driven.

Tesla is a vision-only self-driving company that ditched sensors and radar several years ago in favor of cameras. Behind this effort, the company has established a reputation for having one of the most robust self-driving platforms in the world.

Musk’s big bet with Tesla on its self-driving program’s strategy has widely paid off. Other companies continue to utilize things like LiDAR, radar, and sensors for effective self-driving, but Tesla has shown that there is more than one way to give consumers a strong and accurate driver assistance suite.

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The real question is: who will be the first company to take Musk’s advice and attempt a self-driving platform based on cameras only, or even license FSD for themselves?

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