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SpaceX Falcon 9 launch and landing scrubbed by wind as drone ship battles high seas
SpaceX’s CRS-19 Falcon 9 launch and landing has been scrubbed by wind conditions miles above the ground at the same time as the rocket’s drone ship landing platform battles high seas in the Atlantic Ocean.
SpaceX decided to stand down from Wednesday’s launch attempt for NASA’s CRS-19 International Space Station (ISS) resupply mission due to unacceptably high upper-level winds. Previously scheduled to lift off around 12:51 pm ET (16:51 UTC) on December 4th, NASA and SpaceX have recycled the mission and are now targeting 12:29 pm ET (16:29 UTC) on December 5th, slightly different to account for the ever-changing position of the ISS.
In rocketry, upper-level winds have always been a bit of a problem: different air currents at different altitudes can produce an effect akin to running sideways along a series of treadmills, dramatically increasing the risk of a rocket’s structure failing under longitudinal loads. At the same time, drone ship Of Course I Still Love You – set to recover Falcon 9 booster B1059 shortly after its launch debut – is dealing with high seas in the Atlantic Ocean, raising the risk of the booster suffering damage during landing or even toppling off the deck.
CRS-19 features a flight-proven Cargo Dragon capsule (C106) that has visited the ISS not once, but twice. It previously completed SpaceX’s fourth and eleventh Commercial Resupply contract missions in 2014 and 2017 and will be the second time a twice-flown Dragon capsule heads to orbit for the third time. After berthing at the ISS around December 8th (assuming a Thursday launch), Dragon will depart the ISS and land in the Pacific Ocean sometime in early January, about a month after arriving at the station.
Along with a recycled Dragon capsule, the CRS-19 mission will feature a fresh-from-the-factory Falcon 9 booster – in this case, B1059.1. New Falcon 9 boosters have become a rarity in 2019, and this mission’s only flight-proven hardware will actually be the orbital spacecraft, Cargo Dragon.
B1059.1 is the first fresh Falcon 9 core to be flown since the STP-2 Falcon Heavy in June of 2019. The booster is expected to return for landing aboard the autonomous spaceport droneship Of Course I Still Love You.
Science On Board
Waiting patiently atop Falcon 9, Cargo Dragon is loaded with almost 5800 pounds (2650 kg) of cargo, including more than 250 science investigations and technology demonstrations to be performed on the ISS. Investigations include a look into the process of malting barley seeds (i.e. beer) in a microgravity environment to hopefully improve the process on Earth and explore possible nutritional use for future long-duration space missions.
Another prominent investigation – Rodent Research-19 or “Mighty Mice in Space” – is sending live mice to the ISS to investigate a preventative measure to prevent muscle and bone loss caused by long-term microgravity exposure, potentially aiding astronauts on long-duration space missions. According to NASA, “this therapeutic approach may be optimal in conditions characterized by both muscle and bone loss. Hence, this therapeutic strategy may have significant advantages for certain applications, including treatment of muscle and bone loss during spaceflight.”
SpaceX will provide a webcast of the launch attempt that will go live about 15 minutes prior to liftoff, NET 12:29 pm ET (16:29 UTC), December 5th.
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Elon Musk
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX has issued an initial statement about Starship Booster 18’s anomaly early Friday. The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX’s initial comment
As per SpaceX in a post on its official account on social media platform X, Booster 18 was undergoing gas system pressure tests when the anomaly happened. Despite the nature of the incident, the company emphasized that no propellant was loaded, no engines were installed, and personnel were kept at a safe distance from the booster, resulting in zero injuries.
“Booster 18 suffered an anomaly during gas system pressure testing that we were conducting in advance of structural proof testing. No propellant was on the vehicle, and engines were not yet installed. The teams need time to investigate before we are confident of the cause. No one was injured as we maintain a safe distance for personnel during this type of testing. The site remains clear and we are working plans to safely reenter the site,” SpaceX wrote in its post on X.
Incident and aftermath
Livestream footage from LabPadre showed Booster 18’s lower half crumpling around the liquid oxygen tank area at approximately 4:04 a.m. CT. Subsequent images posted by on-site observers revealed extensive deformation across the booster’s lower structure. Needless to say, spaceflight observers have noted that Booster 18 would likely be a complete loss due to its anomaly.
Booster 18 had rolled out only a day earlier and was one of the first vehicles in the Starship V3 program. The V3 series incorporates structural reinforcements and reliability upgrades intended to prepare Starship for rapid-reuse testing and eventual tower-catch operations. Elon Musk has been optimistic about Starship V3, previously noting on X that the spacecraft might be able to complete initial missions to Mars.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers.
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Analysts highlight autonomy progress
During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.
The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report.
Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”
Street targets diverge on TSLA
While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.
Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements.
Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs.
Elon Musk
SpaceX Starship Version 3 booster crumples in early testing
Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
SpaceX’s new Starship first-stage booster, Booster 18, suffered major damage early Friday during its first round of testing in Starbase, Texas, just one day after rolling out of the factory.
Based on videos of the incident, the lower section of the rocket booster appeared to crumple during a pressurization test. Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
Booster test failure
SpaceX began structural and propellant-system verification tests on Booster 18 Thursday night at the Massey’s Test Site, only a few miles from Starbase’s production facilities, as noted in an Ars Technica report. At 4:04 a.m. CT on Friday, a livestream from LabPadre Space captured the booster’s lower half experiencing a sudden destructive event around its liquid oxygen tank section. Post-incident images, shared on X by @StarshipGazer, showed notable deformation in the booster’s lower structure.
Neither SpaceX nor Elon Musk had commented as of Friday morning, but the vehicle’s condition suggests it is likely a complete loss. This is quite unfortunate, as Booster 18 is already part of the Starship V3 program, which includes design fixes and upgrades intended to improve reliability. While SpaceX maintains a rather rapid Starship production line in Starbase, Booster 18 was generally expected to validate the improvements implemented in the V3 program.
Tight deadlines
SpaceX needs Starship boosters and upper stages to begin demonstrating rapid reuse, tower catches, and early operational Starlink missions over the next two years. More critically, NASA’s Artemis program depends on an on-orbit refueling test in the second half of 2026, a requirement for the vehicle’s expected crewed lunar landing around 2028.
While SpaceX is known for diagnosing failures quickly and returning to testing at unmatched speed, losing the newest-generation booster at the very start of its campaign highlights the immense challenge involved in scaling Starship into a reliable, high-cadence launch system. SpaceX, however, is known for getting things done quickly, so it would not be a surprise if the company manages to figure out what happened to Booster 18 in the near future.
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
