SpaceX
SpaceX’s Starlink space internet gets new competitor with OneWeb satellite launch
The most viable competitor to SpaceX’s Starlink Internet constellation has completed a demonstration launch, placing the first six OneWeb satellites in a circular orbit 1000 km (620 mi) above Earth.
Designed as a constellation of approximately 650-900 satellites, OneWeb aims to provide uninterrupted Internet access across the world with a focus on affordability for those living without a basic communications infrastructure. Assuming OneWeb’s first six spacecraft operate nominally in orbit, the first phase of the company’s constellation could be completed by late 2020 or early 2021, leading to initial operations with customers actually able to access the internet through their spacecraft.
LAUNCH! Soyuz ST-B launches with the first batch of OneWeb satellites.
Follow Along Live:https://t.co/wpIrRq5QwC pic.twitter.com/nUuIs0vkI9
— NSF – NASASpaceflight.com (@NASASpaceflight) February 27, 2019
Compared to OneWeb, SpaceX’s Starlink constellation (even in its earliest phases) is dramatically more expansive, featuring anywhere from 2-7x as many spacecraft and an overall bandwidth that is likely even greater still. As a partial consequence, Starlink spacecraft will likely be more complex and expensive to mass-produce and operate. Combined with optical (laser) interlinks that could make Starlink truly revolutionary, it remains to be seen whether the costs of high-tech solutions can be outweighed by their intrinsic benefits.
6/6 – all 6 of the satellites have successfully separated from the rocket. They will now deploy their solar panels and begin generating power from the sun, to begin their journey to provide #ConnectivityEverywhere #OneWebLaunch
— Eutelsat Group (@EutelsatGroup) February 27, 2019
Thanks to the relative simplicity and lower mass of OneWeb’s spacecraft, as well as a partnership with industry heavyweight Airbus Defence and Space and the partial completion of a Florida-based satellite factory, OneWeb undeniably has several steps up on SpaceX, at least with respect to the goal of reaching initial commercial operations as quickly as possible. SpaceX has already gained experience operating its first two demonstration satellites – known as Tintin A and B – for a full year on-orbit, but all that is known Starlink’s first operational launches is that CEO Elon Musk is dead-set on commencing deployment no later than June 2019. Meanwhile, the status of SpaceX’s production facilities is unclear, with two mid-sized buildings in Redmond, Washington known to be dedicated to the program.
An array of job posts and brief hints from primary and secondary sources indicate that the Starlink program is already heavily focused on ramping up spacecraft production after several years of development. It’s unclear if a planned second set of prototype satellites is still on the books, hinted at by Musk in the months after the first pair’s February 2018 launch debut.
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- OneWeb’s preliminary satellite production line. (OneWeb)
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- A visualization of satellite deployment on-orbit. (Arianespace)
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- OneWeb’s first Soyuz 2 fairing. (Arianespace)
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- SpaceX’s first two Starlink prototype satellites are pictured here before their inaugural launch, showing off a thoroughly utilitarian bus and several advanced components. (SpaceX)
Aside from the satellites themselves, prospective global internet constellation operators must face the equally critical and challenging task of developing a simultaneously high-performance and low-cost user terminal, the antenna and associated electronics that turn spacecraft signals into an accessible and reliable internet connection. SpaceX’s work in this direction has been silent, while OneWeb founder Greg Wyler recently began teasing and describing the company’s own work in that direction, hinting that his team has already arrived at a $15 antenna prototype capable of supporting 20-60 Mbps (megabits per second).
First two Starlink demo satellites, called Tintin A & B, deployed and communicating to Earth stations pic.twitter.com/TfI53wHEtz
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) February 22, 2018
Meanwhile, the hopeful success of the company’s first launch will pave the way for the first full launch of OneWeb spacecraft, potentially as many as 32-36 at once on Arianespace’s Russian Soyuz 2 launch vehicle. OneWeb has 21 launches manifested on Soyuz 2 rockets, scheduled to occur at a more or less monthly cadence between the first operational launch and the completion of Phase 1’s 650-satellite constellation. Shortly after the first launch was completed, Arianespace CEO Stéphane Israël announced that it had struck a deal with OneWeb as the official customer for the first two launches of its Ariane 6 rocket, meant to debut as early as 2020.
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SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) will report its first public earnings call today since its IPO earlier this year, and there are a few things we expect to hear about, as well as Wall Street analysts, who have already outlined their expectations for the call.
Wall Street analysts have a consensus of $12.72 billion in revenue and an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.13. These are broken down into three sectors: Space, Connectivity, and AI/SI, which are perceived in this way:
- Space: $1.41 billion
- Connectivity: $4.84 billion
- AI/SI: $6.47 billion
Other outlets cluster near $12.8 or $12.9 billion in revenue and $0.14 – $0.15 EPS. This implies a roughly 65 percent sequential growth from Q2’s $7.81 billion, driven mostly by AI/SI, with the first post-IPO positive EPS expected.
Here are the three things to watch for on the call:
AI Revenue Ramp and the $100B+ ARR target
AI is truly the swing factor for SpaceX, and analysts expect it to roughly double from Q2’s $2.56 billion and become about half of total revenue. Management previously guided to a $100 billion+ annualized run rate by December, including the Cursor acquisition, which was $60 billion, to close the quarter.
Listen for updates on SpaceX’s compute capacity, especially pertaining to its contracts with Google, Anthropic, and others, revenue per watt, any new deals, and Cursor’s early contribution.
Starlink/Connectivity Metrics and Mobile Expansion
Connectivity remains a main profit engine for SpaceX. Subscriber additions will be something to pay attention to, as Q2 ended at 12 million and previews are looking at 14 million for this quarter. Additionally, ARPU trends, enterprise and government growth, and any commentary on Starlink Mobile will be something to pay attention to, especially following the recent low-band spectrum deal and FCC-related constellation approvals.
Capex Trajectory, Cash Burn/FCF, and Starship/Operational Updates
Q2 capex of roughly $18.4 billion weighed on the stock. Investors will look to scrutinize Q3 spending levels, any guidance on the pace into Q4/2027, free cash flow, backlog, and liquidity. Operational color on Starship (Flight 14 milestones and Flight 15 timing/reusability progress), Falcon cadence, and government/NASA contracts are also in focus.
Of course, there will also be some speculation on the potential Tesla-SpaceX merger, but there was nothing mentioned in the company’s proxy it sent earlier this week.
SpaceX will report earnings after market close today and will stream the call on X.
Watch live as SpaceX discusses our Q3 2026 earnings at 3:30pm CT today → https://t.co/Qrb0qeVG15
— SpaceX (@SpaceX) October 20, 2026
News
SpaceX just launched its secret Starfall saucer again
SpaceX launched its Starfall capsule again on Bandwagon-5, this time listed openly beside rideshare customers.
SpaceX launched its Starfall reentry capsule for the second time on Tuesday morning, flying it as the payload of the Bandwagon-5 rideshare mission. Falcon 9 lifted off from Space Launch Complex 40 in Florida at 7:04 a.m. ET with 32 payloads, and the first stage booster, on its 19th flight, landed on the droneship A Shortfall of Gravitas about nine minutes later.
Starfall was scheduled to separate last, 2 hours and 48 minutes after liftoff. The final customer satellite on SpaceX’s mission timeline comes off the upper stage about an hour and nine minutes in, which left a long gap before the capsule was due to be released alone. SpaceX later posted that the payload deployment sequence is complete. At liftoff, the company said Starfall “enables affordable, routine access to a microgravity environment, providing unique opportunities for on-orbit manufacturing, scientific research, and testing.”
Starfall enables affordable, routine access to a microgravity environment, providing unique opportunities for on-orbit manufacturing, scientific research, and testing https://t.co/y8kJg3QDor
— SpaceX (@SpaceX) October 20, 2026
As Teslarati reported before the first Starfall flight, SpaceX made no public announcement about the vehicle then, and nearly everything known came from FAA and FCC filings. This time Starfall is an item name on the official mission page, listed beside paying rideshare customers. SpaceX has still not said what, if anything, is aboard this Starfall, Spaceflight Now noted.
The FAA’s environmental assessment from May describes a disk about 10.2 feet wide and 2.5 feet tall that weighs roughly 4,600 pounds and can bring 2,200 pounds of payload back to Earth.
Interestingly, the same rocket also carries a competitor’s hardware. Varda Space Industries launched its W-Series 7 capsule on Bandwagon-5, a spacecraft about three times smaller than Starfall that will test whether microgravity can improve the solubility of a cancer drug called Protac. It is Varda’s ninth reentry capsule, and W-8 and W-9 launched earlier this month on Transporter-18. SpaceX has been Varda’s launch provider since the company’s first Falcon 9 rideshare contract in 2021.
SpaceX has not published where or how this Starfall will come down. The preview we ran in June described a recovery from the Pacific Ocean, and the company has not said whether this flight follows the same plan. The launch also arrives hours before SpaceX posts its third quarter results after the market closes, a report we previewed earlier this week.
Elon Musk said he is planning to give “every one of his SpaceX shares to every kid in America” in 2027, stating that “this will be the first of many.”
SpaceX went public earlier this year, and its stock price has been relatively stable since leveling off shortly after its IPO. Based on its current price, it’s a gift of just over $10 billion to children across the United States.
It appears to be closely related to President Donald Trump’s bank accounts for children, which were set up earlier this year as Trump Accounts.
Just hours earlier, Anthropic had announced the establishment of its Anthropic Public Benefit Fund, “a new wholly-owned entity dedicated entirely to public benefit.” Musk responded by stating he recommended “giving the shares directly to the public,” and that he would be doing it that way.
Just a little bit later, Musk said children across the U.S. would be getting a share from him:
Next year, I will give one of my SpaceX shares to every kid in America.
This will be the first of many.
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) October 19, 2026
There are roughly 70 million children, meaning someone under the age of 18, in the United States, according to the Federal Interagency Forum on Child and Family Statistics. Musk’s ownership of SpaceX stock shows he has around 849 million Class A shares of SpaceX stock, according to filings with the SEC.
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