News
SpaceX VP says Starlink is almost ready to revolutionize in-flight internet
Speaking on a panel at an aviation conference, a senior SpaceX sales executive says that the company is in talks with “several…airlines” to provide in-flight internet to passengers with its Starlink satellite constellation.
Unlike all current in-flight connectivity (IFC) providers, which rely on a handful of satellites in geostationary orbits ~36,000 km (~22,500 mi) above the Earth, SpaceX’s Starlink constellation is currently made up of ~1600 spacecraft just 550 km (340 mi) up – known as low Earth orbit (LEO). Aside from guaranteeing that any uncontrolled spacecraft or debris reenter in just a few years instead of millennia, Starlink’s home in LEO also means that the network can offer far superior latency (also known as ping).
Being more than 50 times closer to the Earth’s surface also makes it much easier for SpaceX to deliver far more bandwidth to a single vehicle. In simple terms, once the Starlink network is decently reliable and its aviation-optimized ‘conformal’ antennas have been refined, qualified, and certified by the FCC and FAA, conditions could quickly become very uncomfortable for incumbents like Gogo and Viasat.
Perhaps not so coincidentally, Gogo’s stock price dropped more than 11% after The Verge’s Joey Roulette first reported on SpaceX’s IFC comments. Closing in on annual revenue close to $1B before the coronavirus pandemic took a sledgehammer to commercial airline travel, Gogo has dominated the western in-flight internet market for about as long as it’s existed. Unfortunately, COVID-19 has not been kind to the IFC industry and Gogo sold off its in-flight internet business to Intelsat – ironically in the midst of bankruptcy proceedings – in late 2020.
For the handful of ailing IFC providers responsible for most in-flight internet services, the arrival of a new competitor – let alone one as promising as Starlink – could scarcely be less welcome. Starlink competitor OneWeb also plans to offer IFC services as early as mid-2022 but the company has been so slow to deploy its already small ~650-satellite constellation that it’s unclear when it will actually be ready to support a significant presence in satellite internet markets.
Starlink, on the other hand, already has more than a thousand operational satellites in orbit, tens of thousands of fixed beta customers actively using the network, and multiple demonstrations of in-flight operations already complete. Notably, while testing just 60 Starlink v0.9 satellite prototypes, SpaceX successfully delivered bandwidth of more than 600 Mbps to a single military aircraft in flight. In comparison, the most cutting-edge Gogo terminal currently promises “speeds of 70+ Mbps” – an order of magnitude less bandwidth saddled with massive latency constraints.
With Starlink’s performance, hundreds of passengers on a single plane could simultaneously stream videos, whereas modern IFC almost invariably prevents even a single paying passenger from streaming video of any kind. Additionally, thanks to the network’s far lower latency, aircraft with Starlink WiFi could feasibly allow passengers to teleconference, make video calls, and even play latency-sensitive multiplayer games while in flight (though whether passengers should be allowed to do so is, of course, a different story).
It remains to be seen when SpaceX might be ready (and certified) to begin connecting commercial airlines to its Starlink network. However, the company has been working on “aeronautical terminals” for more than 16 months and has the distinct benefit of controlling all aspects of its vertically integrated constellation – which is to say that Starlink could be ready for IFC markets far sooner than later.
Elon Musk
SpaceX issues statement on Starship V3 Booster 18 anomaly
The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX has issued an initial statement about Starship Booster 18’s anomaly early Friday. The incident unfolded during gas-system pressure testing at the company’s Massey facility in Starbase, Texas.
SpaceX’s initial comment
As per SpaceX in a post on its official account on social media platform X, Booster 18 was undergoing gas system pressure tests when the anomaly happened. Despite the nature of the incident, the company emphasized that no propellant was loaded, no engines were installed, and personnel were kept at a safe distance from the booster, resulting in zero injuries.
“Booster 18 suffered an anomaly during gas system pressure testing that we were conducting in advance of structural proof testing. No propellant was on the vehicle, and engines were not yet installed. The teams need time to investigate before we are confident of the cause. No one was injured as we maintain a safe distance for personnel during this type of testing. The site remains clear and we are working plans to safely reenter the site,” SpaceX wrote in its post on X.
Incident and aftermath
Livestream footage from LabPadre showed Booster 18’s lower half crumpling around the liquid oxygen tank area at approximately 4:04 a.m. CT. Subsequent images posted by on-site observers revealed extensive deformation across the booster’s lower structure. Needless to say, spaceflight observers have noted that Booster 18 would likely be a complete loss due to its anomaly.
Booster 18 had rolled out only a day earlier and was one of the first vehicles in the Starship V3 program. The V3 series incorporates structural reinforcements and reliability upgrades intended to prepare Starship for rapid-reuse testing and eventual tower-catch operations. Elon Musk has been optimistic about Starship V3, previously noting on X that the spacecraft might be able to complete initial missions to Mars.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers.
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Analysts highlight autonomy progress
During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.
The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report.
Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”
Street targets diverge on TSLA
While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.
Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements.
Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs.
Elon Musk
SpaceX Starship Version 3 booster crumples in early testing
Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
SpaceX’s new Starship first-stage booster, Booster 18, suffered major damage early Friday during its first round of testing in Starbase, Texas, just one day after rolling out of the factory.
Based on videos of the incident, the lower section of the rocket booster appeared to crumple during a pressurization test. Photos of the incident’s aftermath suggest that Booster 18 will likely be retired.
Booster test failure
SpaceX began structural and propellant-system verification tests on Booster 18 Thursday night at the Massey’s Test Site, only a few miles from Starbase’s production facilities, as noted in an Ars Technica report. At 4:04 a.m. CT on Friday, a livestream from LabPadre Space captured the booster’s lower half experiencing a sudden destructive event around its liquid oxygen tank section. Post-incident images, shared on X by @StarshipGazer, showed notable deformation in the booster’s lower structure.
Neither SpaceX nor Elon Musk had commented as of Friday morning, but the vehicle’s condition suggests it is likely a complete loss. This is quite unfortunate, as Booster 18 is already part of the Starship V3 program, which includes design fixes and upgrades intended to improve reliability. While SpaceX maintains a rather rapid Starship production line in Starbase, Booster 18 was generally expected to validate the improvements implemented in the V3 program.
Tight deadlines
SpaceX needs Starship boosters and upper stages to begin demonstrating rapid reuse, tower catches, and early operational Starlink missions over the next two years. More critically, NASA’s Artemis program depends on an on-orbit refueling test in the second half of 2026, a requirement for the vehicle’s expected crewed lunar landing around 2028.
While SpaceX is known for diagnosing failures quickly and returning to testing at unmatched speed, losing the newest-generation booster at the very start of its campaign highlights the immense challenge involved in scaling Starship into a reliable, high-cadence launch system. SpaceX, however, is known for getting things done quickly, so it would not be a surprise if the company manages to figure out what happened to Booster 18 in the near future.