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SpaceX VP says Starlink is almost ready to revolutionize in-flight internet

A Starlink dish and satellite train over Brisbane, Australia. (NetVault)

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Speaking on a panel at an aviation conference, a senior SpaceX sales executive says that the company is in talks with “several…airlines” to provide in-flight internet to passengers with its Starlink satellite constellation.

Unlike all current in-flight connectivity (IFC) providers, which rely on a handful of satellites in geostationary orbits ~36,000 km (~22,500 mi) above the Earth, SpaceX’s Starlink constellation is currently made up of ~1600 spacecraft just 550 km (340 mi) up – known as low Earth orbit (LEO). Aside from guaranteeing that any uncontrolled spacecraft or debris reenter in just a few years instead of millennia, Starlink’s home in LEO also means that the network can offer far superior latency (also known as ping).

Being more than 50 times closer to the Earth’s surface also makes it much easier for SpaceX to deliver far more bandwidth to a single vehicle. In simple terms, once the Starlink network is decently reliable and its aviation-optimized ‘conformal’ antennas have been refined, qualified, and certified by the FCC and FAA, conditions could quickly become very uncomfortable for incumbents like Gogo and Viasat.

Perhaps not so coincidentally, Gogo’s stock price dropped more than 11% after The Verge’s Joey Roulette first reported on SpaceX’s IFC comments. Closing in on annual revenue close to $1B before the coronavirus pandemic took a sledgehammer to commercial airline travel, Gogo has dominated the western in-flight internet market for about as long as it’s existed. Unfortunately, COVID-19 has not been kind to the IFC industry and Gogo sold off its in-flight internet business to Intelsat – ironically in the midst of bankruptcy proceedings – in late 2020.

For the handful of ailing IFC providers responsible for most in-flight internet services, the arrival of a new competitor – let alone one as promising as Starlink – could scarcely be less welcome. Starlink competitor OneWeb also plans to offer IFC services as early as mid-2022 but the company has been so slow to deploy its already small ~650-satellite constellation that it’s unclear when it will actually be ready to support a significant presence in satellite internet markets.

Starlink, on the other hand, already has more than a thousand operational satellites in orbit, tens of thousands of fixed beta customers actively using the network, and multiple demonstrations of in-flight operations already complete. Notably, while testing just 60 Starlink v0.9 satellite prototypes, SpaceX successfully delivered bandwidth of more than 600 Mbps to a single military aircraft in flight. In comparison, the most cutting-edge Gogo terminal currently promises “speeds of 70+ Mbps” – an order of magnitude less bandwidth saddled with massive latency constraints.

With Starlink’s performance, hundreds of passengers on a single plane could simultaneously stream videos, whereas modern IFC almost invariably prevents even a single paying passenger from streaming video of any kind. Additionally, thanks to the network’s far lower latency, aircraft with Starlink WiFi could feasibly allow passengers to teleconference, make video calls, and even play latency-sensitive multiplayer games while in flight (though whether passengers should be allowed to do so is, of course, a different story).

It remains to be seen when SpaceX might be ready (and certified) to begin connecting commercial airlines to its Starlink network. However, the company has been working on “aeronautical terminals” for more than 16 months and has the distinct benefit of controlling all aspects of its vertically integrated constellation – which is to say that Starlink could be ready for IFC markets far sooner than later.

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Eric Ralph is Teslarati's senior spaceflight reporter and has been covering the industry in some capacity for almost half a decade, largely spurred in 2016 by a trip to Mexico to watch Elon Musk reveal SpaceX's plans for Mars in person. Aside from spreading interest and excitement about spaceflight far and wide, his primary goal is to cover humanity's ongoing efforts to expand beyond Earth to the Moon, Mars, and elsewhere.

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Elon Musk

Elon Musk sheds two new bits of detail on Starship after 13th test launch

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Credit: SpaceX

Elon Musk shed two new bits of detail on Starship following its 13th test launch, which was an overwhelming success.

SpaceX launched Starship for the 13th time last Friday after two delays: one on Monday when several Raptor engines did not ignite, and another on Thursday due to unfavorable weather conditions in Starbase, Texas.

The launch was overwhelmingly successful. SpaceX was able to complete a necessary test of the heat shield tiles by increasing the acceleration of Starship from launch throughout the flight; 20 Starlink v3 satellites were released with no issue; the Super Heavy Booster landed safely in the Gulf of America, Ship successfully reignited engines while in space; and it also splashed down without incident in the Indian Ocean.

SpaceX Starship just nailed something it’s never done before

Nevertheless, more details are coming out about Starship, and Musk is doing the talking.

Starship Will Be Retrieved in the Ocean

Musk revealed on Tuesday night that Starship would be recovered by a ship in the Indian Ocean. SpaceX routinely tries to recover Starship after splashdown in an effort to find out more about the flight by examining the spacecraft afterward.

This helps engineers find out more about why things might have happened, allows them to examine any potential damage or anomalies that might have occurred, and increases the chances of an even more successful flight next time thanks to the additional information recovered.

Ship Could Have Been Caught by Tower Arms, Musk claims

Musk has already indicated that SpaceX will plan to attempt a catch of Starship with the 14th test flight. While this would be a major accomplishment, it would be an expected next step, considering the fact that the Super Heavy Booster has already been caught by the chopsticks on numerous occasions.

A ship catch would be a great indication of where SpaceX stands in terms of reusability and launch cadence. A successful catch with relatively no incidents would be a good sign that SpaceX is nearing a more frequent launch of Starship, but also that the reusability of the massive rocket would be something many would expect in the near future.

It is a necessity to make life multiplanetary.

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Elon Musk

Elon Musk updates the SpaceX timeline for Mars

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Rendering of a colonized Mars by way of SpaceX
Rendering of a colonized Mars by way of SpaceX

Elon Musk has updated his timeline for when humans will walk on Mars and for when ships will simply get there.

The objective of getting to Mars has been one of Musk’s biggest goals since becoming a serial entrepreneur and realizing that time on Earth is limited. Musk has said several times he hopes to die on Mars, and not by impact.

Musk now believes that people will be on Mars in “roughly 5 to 7 years.” He said that a Mars lander will get there “a few years sooner.”

The response from Musk comes after NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman said that SpaceX’s biggest priority is the Moon and not Mars. Because of this, Isaacman conceded that he believes nuclear power and propulsion investments will provide “potentially the pathway with the fewest miracles required to put four people on Mars in the next 10 to 15 years.”

Of course, this is what NASA can do through taxpayer funding and nuclear investments, he added.

Musk’s grand ambitions are much more optimistic than most, and it is certainly a double-edged sword. This is not the first time timelines for Mars have been somewhat lofty, especially to those normal thinkers like you and me, not super geniuses like Musk.

SpaceX Board has set a Mars bonus for Elon Musk

In fact, the SpaceX and Tesla frontman has said on at least a dozen occasions that we could be on Mars in the coming years. Musk said 2020 would be the big year as early as 2009. In 2020, he was “highly confident” of a landing in 2026, and had even said 2024 in a best-case scenario.

The point is, the range has varied, and it’s anyone’s guess when we’ll get there. This latest adjustment to the timeline is typical of Musk, and while the Moon has seemingly taken priority over Mars, it is still worth mentioning that the ultimate goal is to make life multiplanetary, and it starts potentially with the Red Planet.

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Investor's Corner

SpaceX gets an absolutely crazy price target after rough IPO

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Credit: SpaceX

SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) got an absolutely crazy price target rating from Raymond James after the company experienced a tough first few weeks following its Initial Public Offering (IPO).

Despite the tumultuous start, SpaceX has plenty of believers, and the company’s massively successful Starship launch last Friday, its 13th test flight of the massive rocket, went so smoothly that Raymond James analysts pushed its price target on the company to roughly 7 times its current trading level.

SpaceX Starship just nailed something it’s never done before

The firm officially put a “Strong Buy” rating and an $800 price target on the stock. It currently trades at around $113. Its all-time high is $225.64, reaching this trading level shortly after shares first went public.

Raymond James’ price target is tied to the firm’s confidence after Starship’s 13th test flight. Analysts at the firm said it was an incremental step that reduces engineering risks, citing the widely successful heat shield test that CEO Elon Musk recently detailed, the smooth deployment of Starlink V3 satellites, and a successful in-space engine relight.

SpaceX also managed to see Starship splash down safely in the Indian Ocean, while the Super Heavy Booster fell down to the Gulf of America with no incidents.

It is interesting to see these launches have such a tremendous impact on the stock and what investors think of it. After SpaceX initially delayed the Starship launch last week, shares fell tremendously. Most probably did not realize that the stand-down is a standard practice, especially if everything is not perfect.

The mission was initially aborted due to an issue with Raptor engines. This was resolved, and Starship launched last Friday after another delay on Thursday, which was caused by weather.

Now that analysts have seen what SpaceX launches are capable of and how impressive the feat is, firms are adjusting their price targets accordingly, making it known that they have high expectations for the space exploration company.

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