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Tesla Confirms Model 3 Price of $35,000

Tesla confirmed on February 9 that the price of the Model 3 will be $35,000 before any incentives. Spokesperson Khobi Brooklyn says it is on time and the company will have a lot more to say when the official reveal occurs in late March.

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Tesla assembly line

Tesla assembly line

Bloomberg reported on February 9 that the starting price for the upcoming Model 3 will indeed be $35,000. That information was confirmed by Tesla spokesperson Khobi Brooklyn, who told Bloomberg, “We can confirm it’s $35,000 before incentives. We haven’t changed our minds.” More than a year ago, Elon Musk told reporters, “When I say $35,000, I’m talking about without any credits.”

EV incentives start with the $7,500 federal tax credit that anyone who buys a qualifying electric or plug-in hybrid car is eligible for. (That’s assuming the buyer actually has a federal tax liability of $7,500.) On top of the federal credit, many states offer incentives of their own. Colorado has the highest state benefit — $6,000. California, Massachusetts and Tennessee offer EV buyers $2,500. Rhode Island has just announced a $2,500 incentive, but there are only enough funds to cover less than 100 cars before the money runs out.

That means a Colorado resident could potentially park a Tesla Model 3 on the driveway for as little as $21,500. The average price of a new car today is $31,000, according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance analyst Salim Morsy. Almost all the mass market vehicles above that price are SUVs or trucks, Morsy says. The BMW 3 series sedan is the closest vehicle in size to the Model 3 that sells more than 100,000 units a year. It’s starting price is $35,000 and, of course, there are no incentives to buy one.

New car pricing by Salim Morsy

Before we get carried away, though, there are a few speed bumps on the road to the $35,000 Model 3. Tesla will reveal first pictures of the Model 3 next month but it’s likely that Tesla will offer Signature Series cars in its initial run for those willing to pay large deposits. After all, that’s what it did with the Model S and Model X. Those Signature Series cars were priced considerably higher than many people expected.

There is also the possibility that the Model 3 doesn’t go on sale in 2017. Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas is on record as saying he doubts the Model 3 will arrive before 2018. And when it does, early cars may be loaded with expensive options the way the Model X Signature Series cars were. Jonas wouldn’t be surprised if the first cars off the assembly line were priced close to $60,000.

Keep in mind, the federal tax credit begins to phase out after a manufacturer sells 200,000 electric cars. If the Model 3 is delayed, Tesla may be close to the point where that phase out begins. As Bloomberg says, at some point, that $35,000 Model 3 is going to just be a $35,000 Model 3, subject to whatever state incentives are available.

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Want to know more? You will have to wait for the March reveal. “The Model 3 is on time, and everyone is going to learn more about it at the end of March,” Khobi Brooklyn says. “That’s when we’ve committed to talking about it and giving a really great update, and that’s what we’re going to do.”

Chart: Bloomberg Business. Photo credit: Tesla Motors

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Tesla Roadster event gets delayed due to unfavorable weather

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla is delaying its event for the Roadster, moving it from this Thursday, October 1, to Thursday, October 15, due to unfavorable weather.

The company has said it has been tracking the weather for this Thursday closely with local meteorologists, and because the event can only be held outside, Tesla is making the call to delay it:

“We’ve been tracking the weather closely with local meteorologists, but given the severe conditions predicted & because this event can only be held outdoors, we’ve made the difficult decision to reschedule. New date is October 15. Additional details to follow.”

We are sure that this is bringing back PTSD for some Tesla fans, and we know it is not ideal, but this also reveals some things about the event. Tesla said that this can only be held outdoors, meaning it bodes well for the rumors that the vehicle could potentially hover.

Some believe that this was essentially confirmed by the FAA airspace restriction they were granted, but this could have been for a drone show or to keep drones from spying on the event.

Tesla Roadster is available for order once again following brief hold

The Roadster event has been long-awaited, and it is unfortunate that the weather is going to keep us all waiting a little bit longer.

The Tesla Roadster will be unveiled in Waco, Texas.

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SpaceX turned a heralding moment for Starship into its greatest

Starship reached orbit despite losing an engine, deployed 26 Starlink V3 satellites on Flight 14.

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SpaceX’s Starship reached orbit for the first time on Monday, and for a few nail-biting minutes it looked like it wouldn’t. During ascent on Flight 14, one of Ship 41’s six Raptor engines shut down early, and SpaceX’s livestream host Dan Huot told viewers the team had decided not to commit to orbit. Minutes later, after what Huot described as a lot of conversation in the control room, the final poll came back in favor, and a roughly 19 second burn of a single Raptor pushed the ship into orbit about 170 miles up.

The reversal matters because SpaceX had written the exit ramp into the mission plan. The company said it would only fire the orbital insertion burn if flight controllers confirmed enough backup hardware remained for the deorbit burn, a condition Teslarati laid out ahead of the flight. Losing an engine was exactly the scenario that rule was built for.

Pressing forward fits Elon Musk’s history. Falcon 1 failed three straight times before its fourth launch reached orbit in 2008, with SpaceX nearly out of money, and Starship was developed by flying prototypes until they broke. What changed this year SpaceX going public, and with $SPCX sliding below its IPO price in July when Flight 13 slipped, the short interest climbed significantly, as Teslarati reported at the time. A Starship potentially lost today with revenue generating next-gen Starlink satellites aboard would have landed directly on shareholders.

That pressure showed up after orbit. SpaceX cut a flight planned to last nearly 10 hours to about three, moving splashdown from west of Chile to the North Pacific near Hawaii. SpaceX gave no reason, though Musk said this month the company was being extremely cautious about debris risk. The single Raptor for deorbit worked, and Ship 41 completed its flip and landing burn before breaking apart in the water, an outcome SpaceX expected. Musk has structured SpaceX’s governance to shield long term bets from market pressure.

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The payload is the bigger business story. Musk posted that all 26 Starlink V3 satellites deployed and are “operating nominally.” Each V3 is rated for about 1 Tbps of downlink and 160 Gbps of uplink, so this single launch adds roughly 26 Tbps, about 10 times what a Falcon 9 load of V2 Mini satellites adds. The V3 is too large for Falcon 9, making Starship the only vehicle that can build out the planned 100,000 satellite constellation, at up to 60 per flight once it reaches routine service. Unlike the 20 V3 units on Flight 13, which reentered on a suborbital path, these will raise their orbits and could begin serving customers within weeks and bring in hundreds of millions of additional dollars in projected Starlink revenue.

SpaceX has already begun winding down Falcon 9 Starlink launches from Florida in favor of Starship. Reported targets put Flight 15 as early as October 19, leaving about three weeks to diagnose Monday’s engine shutdown before the next orbital attempt.

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Tesla Cybercab fleet doubles to well over 100 units

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(Credit: Teslarati)

Tesla quietly doubled the size of its Cybercab fleet within the Robotaxi program in Austin, Texas, over the weekend to well over 100 units.

The move not only establishes more of the steering-wheel-less and pedal-less vehicles within the ride-sharing fleet Tesla has been operating for a year, but it also solidifies a more robust Robotaxi fleet as a whole.

Riders started receiving notifications from the Robotaxi app that stated: “Cybercab fleet has doubled: more rides available.”

Tesla first launched rides in the Cybercab in early September, although the Robotaxi fleet has been active for over a year, as rides began last Summer. Cybercab is truly Tesla’s most crucial vehicle release yet, as it is the first car any company has built that is geared toward full-fledged and end-to-end autonomy, never needing human intervention for anything.

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Only available in Austin at the current time, Cybercab has two seats and has been spotted testing around various U.S. states and regions; Tesla plans to deploy the Cybercab in various U.S. cities in the coming months as a best-case scenario.

Tesla Cybercab gets initial tie-in to localized, in-house cathode plant

The availability of the Cybercab has doubled from just 58 units last Monday to 125 the following Friday. Marking a substantial increase in Cybercab availability, the additional ride-sharing units are more than welcome, as wait times for Cybercabs, especially, were quite high.

The dramatic increase is a sign that demand for Robotaxi is growing and Tesla is feeling more confident that its driverless ride-hailing suite, especially its Full Self-Driving software, is able to handle any traffic situation without explicit direction or supervision from a human being.

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