News
Tesla Confirms Model 3 Price of $35,000
Tesla confirmed on February 9 that the price of the Model 3 will be $35,000 before any incentives. Spokesperson Khobi Brooklyn says it is on time and the company will have a lot more to say when the official reveal occurs in late March.
Bloomberg reported on February 9 that the starting price for the upcoming Model 3 will indeed be $35,000. That information was confirmed by Tesla spokesperson Khobi Brooklyn, who told Bloomberg, “We can confirm it’s $35,000 before incentives. We haven’t changed our minds.” More than a year ago, Elon Musk told reporters, “When I say $35,000, I’m talking about without any credits.”
EV incentives start with the $7,500 federal tax credit that anyone who buys a qualifying electric or plug-in hybrid car is eligible for. (That’s assuming the buyer actually has a federal tax liability of $7,500.) On top of the federal credit, many states offer incentives of their own. Colorado has the highest state benefit — $6,000. California, Massachusetts and Tennessee offer EV buyers $2,500. Rhode Island has just announced a $2,500 incentive, but there are only enough funds to cover less than 100 cars before the money runs out.
That means a Colorado resident could potentially park a Tesla Model 3 on the driveway for as little as $21,500. The average price of a new car today is $31,000, according to Bloomberg New Energy Finance analyst Salim Morsy. Almost all the mass market vehicles above that price are SUVs or trucks, Morsy says. The BMW 3 series sedan is the closest vehicle in size to the Model 3 that sells more than 100,000 units a year. It’s starting price is $35,000 and, of course, there are no incentives to buy one.
Before we get carried away, though, there are a few speed bumps on the road to the $35,000 Model 3. Tesla will reveal first pictures of the Model 3 next month but it’s likely that Tesla will offer Signature Series cars in its initial run for those willing to pay large deposits. After all, that’s what it did with the Model S and Model X. Those Signature Series cars were priced considerably higher than many people expected.
There is also the possibility that the Model 3 doesn’t go on sale in 2017. Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas is on record as saying he doubts the Model 3 will arrive before 2018. And when it does, early cars may be loaded with expensive options the way the Model X Signature Series cars were. Jonas wouldn’t be surprised if the first cars off the assembly line were priced close to $60,000.
Keep in mind, the federal tax credit begins to phase out after a manufacturer sells 200,000 electric cars. If the Model 3 is delayed, Tesla may be close to the point where that phase out begins. As Bloomberg says, at some point, that $35,000 Model 3 is going to just be a $35,000 Model 3, subject to whatever state incentives are available.
Want to know more? You will have to wait for the March reveal. “The Model 3 is on time, and everyone is going to learn more about it at the end of March,” Khobi Brooklyn says. “That’s when we’ve committed to talking about it and giving a really great update, and that’s what we’re going to do.”
Chart: Bloomberg Business. Photo credit: Tesla Motors
Investor's Corner
Tesla gets bold Robotaxi prediction from Wall Street firm
Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) received a bold Robotaxi prediction from Morgan Stanley, which anticipates a dramatic increase in the size of the company’s autonomous ride-hailing suite in the coming years.
Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.
Percoco dug into the Robotaxi fleet and its expansion in the coming years in his latest note, released on Tuesday. The firm expects Tesla to increase the Robotaxi fleet size to 1,000 vehicles in 2026. However, that’s small-scale compared to what they expect from Tesla in a decade.
Tesla expands Robotaxi app access once again, this time on a global scale
By 2035, Morgan Stanley believes there will be one million Robotaxis on the road across multiple cities, a major jump and a considerable fleet size. We assume this means the fleet of vehicles Tesla will operate internally, and not including passenger-owned vehicles that could be added through software updates.
He also listed three specific catalysts that investors should pay attention to, as these will represent the company being on track to achieve its Robotaxi dreams:
- Opening Robotaxi to the public without a Safety Monitor. Timing is unclear, but it appears that Tesla is getting closer by the day.
- Improvement in safety metrics without the Safety Monitor. Tesla’s ability to improve its safety metrics as it scales miles driven without the Safety Monitor is imperative as it looks to scale in new states and cities in 2026.
- Cybercab start of production, targeted for April 2026. Tesla’s Cybercab is a purpose-built vehicle (no steering wheel or pedals, only two seats) that is expected to be produced through its state-of-the-art unboxed manufacturing process, offering further cost reductions and thus accelerating adoption over time.
Robotaxi stands to be one of Tesla’s most significant revenue contributors, especially as the company plans to continue expanding its ride-hailing service across the world in the coming years.
Its current deployment strategy is controlled and conservative to avoid any drastic and potentially program-ruining incidents.
So far, the program, which is active in Austin and the California Bay Area, has been widely successful.
News
Tesla Model Y L is gaining momentum in China’s premium segment
This suggests that the addition of the Model Y L to Tesla China’s lineup will not result in a case of cannibalization, but a possible case of “premiumization” instead.
Tesla’s domestic sales in China held steady in November with around 73,000 units delivered, but a closer look at the Model Y L’s numbers hints at an emerging shift towards pricier variants that could very well be boosting average selling prices and margins.
This suggests that the addition of the Model Y L to Tesla China’s lineup will not result in a case of cannibalization, but a possible case of “premiumization” instead.
Tesla China’s November domestic numbers
Data from the a Passenger Car Association (CPCA) indicated that Tesla China saw domestic deliveries of about 73,000 vehicles in November 2025. This number included 34,000 standard Model Y units, 26,000 Model 3 units, and 13,000 Model Y L units, as per industry watchers.
This means that the Model Y L accounted for roughly 27% of Tesla China’s total Model Y sales, despite the variant carrying a ~28% premium over the base RWD Model Y that is estimated to have dominated last year’s mix.
As per industry watcher @TSLAFanMtl, this suggests that Tesla China’s sales have moved towards more premium variants this year. Thus, direct year-over-year sales comparisons might miss the bigger picture. This is true even for the regular Model Y, as another premium trim, the Long Range RWD variant, was also added to the lineup this 2025.
November 2025 momentum
While Tesla China’s overall sales this year have seen challenges, the Model Y and Model 3 have remained strong sellers in the country. This is especially impressive as the Model Y and Model 3 are premium-priced vehicles, and they compete in the world’s most competitive electric vehicle market. Tesla China is also yet to roll out the latest capabilities of FSD in China, which means that its vehicles in the country could not tap into their latest capabilities yet.
Aggregated results from November suggest that the Tesla Model Y took the crown as China’s #1 best-selling SUV during the month, with roughly 34,000 deliveries. With the Model Y L, this number is even higher. The Tesla Model 3 also had a stellar month, seeing 25,700 deliveries during November 2025.
Cybertruck
Tesla Cybertruck earns IIHS Top Safety Pick+ award
To commemorate the accolade, the official Cybertruck account celebrated the milestone on X.
The Tesla Cybertruck has achieved the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety’s (IIHS) highest honor, earning a Top Safety Pick+ rating for 2025 models built after April 2025.
The full-size electric pickup truck’s safety rating is partly due to the vehicle’s strong performance in updated crash tests, superior front crash prevention, and effective headlights, among other factors. To commemorate the accolade, the official Cybertruck account celebrated the milestone on X.
Cybertruck’s IIHS rating
As per the IIHS, beginning with 2025 Cybertruck models built after April 2025, changes were made to the front underbody structure and footwell to improve occupant safety in driver-side and passenger-side small overlap front crashes. The moderate overlap front test earned a good rating, and the updated side impact test also received stellar marks.
The Cybertruck’s front crash prevention earned a good rating in pedestrian scenarios, with the standard Collision Avoidance Assist avoiding collisions in day and night tests across child, adult crossing, and parallel paths. Headlights with high-beam assist compensated for limitations, contributing to the top award.
Safest and most autonomous pickup
The Cybertruck is one of only two full-size pickups to receive the IIHS’ Top Safety Pick + rating. It is also the only one equipped with advanced self-driving features via Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (Supervised) system. Thanks to FSD, the Cybertruck can navigate inner city streets and highways on its own with minimal supervision, adding a layer of safety beyond passive crash protection.
Community reactions poured in, with users praising the vehicle’s safety rating amidst skepticism from critics. Tesla itself highlighted this by starting its X post with a short clip of a Cybertruck critic who predicted that the vehicle will likely not pass safety tests. The only question now is, of course, if the vehicle’s Top Safety Pick+ rating from the IIHS will help the Cybertruck improve its sales.
Tesla gets bold Robotaxi prediction from Wall Street firm
Tesla Model Y L is gaining momentum in China’s premium segment
