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Tesla proved that innovation is king by shrugging off the pandemic

The Tesla Model Y. (Credit: MotorTrend)

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Following the release of Tesla’s second quarter vehicle production and delivery report, TSLA bears were quick to point out that the electric car maker’s sales dropped nearly 5% year over year. What was, of course, not mentioned by the company’s critics was the fact that Tesla’s 4.8% YoY decline was largely due to the pandemic, which has ravaged the auto industry as a whole. In the grand scheme of things, Tesla’s nearly 5% drop was tantamount to the electric car maker shrugging off the effects of the coronavirus. 

Tesla’s decline in year over year sales was minuscule compared to those experienced by prominent, experienced carmakers like GM, which saw a decline of 34%, and Toyota, whose sales dropped 35%. This was reflected, at least to some degree, by the rise in Tesla stock, which saw a sharp increase since the release of the company’s Q2 delivery and production report. Instead of struggling amidst the outbreak of the coronavirus, Tesla actually seems to be thriving. 

Raw sales figures aside, Tesla’s meteoric rise seems to emphasize that in today’s auto industry, innovation is king. Tesla is currently the world’s largest automaker by market cap, far surpassing Toyota, and a notable part of this is due to the company behaving much like a tech company than a traditional carmaker. The auto industry, after all, does not tend to innovate fast, with companies usually moving at a snail’s pace when it comes to improvements to its vehicles. 

Tesla’s electric vehicles, while already equipped with a healthy amount of features, are bound to get better over time, thanks to constant over the air updates. This has become even more prominent in recent years, especially following the company’s decision to make basic Autopilot standard for all its vehicles save for the $35,000 Standard Range Model 3. Such a strategy all but ensured that every Tesla owner would experience having a vehicle that improves over time. 

As noted in a Forbes article by tech veteran Enrique Dans, Tesla has now become the gold standard for the auto industry, which has long been used to a deliberate pace of innovation. The most notable example of this is the Tesla Model S, the electric car maker’s first vehicle that it designed from the ground up. Eight years since its initial release, the Model S is still breaking records, standing as the first and only electric vehicle with an EPA range of over 400 miles. 

It is pertinent to note that consumers by nature are drawn to superior products. This is one of the reasons why Apple and its iPhone ultimately crushed the mobile phone titans of its time from companies like Nokia and BlackBerry. Cars are also high ticket items, which means that consumers will likely opt for vehicles that provide the most features and performance within their budget. Tesla’s Model 3 and Model Y are two of these vehicles, as they offer an experience that is notably different, and perhaps even better, than those provided by similarly priced gas powered cars. 

Elon Musk previously noted that it’s insane to buy something else other than a Tesla. The statement then seemed like the overly optimistic proclamations of a CEO standing by the value of his company’s products. Yet as demand for the Model 3 is maintained and as demand for the Model Y increases, and as the company shrugs off what could very well be the worst pandemic in decades, it is starting to appear like Elon Musk may not be exaggerating at all. 

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Simon is an experienced automotive reporter with a passion for electric cars and clean energy. Fascinated by the world envisioned by Elon Musk, he hopes to make it to Mars (at least as a tourist) someday. For stories or tips--or even to just say a simple hello--send a message to his email, simon@teslarati.com or his handle on X, @ResidentSponge.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla has one big financial question to answer for investors: Morgan Stanley

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Credit: Tesla

In a new note to investors on Tuesday, Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco said that Tesla has one big financial question to answer for investors regarding its Robotaxi rollout, Full Self-Driving software, and Optimus.

Percoco said in the note that, for the most part, investors are still very positive about the direction the company is headed. However, there are some things the firm would like to see, and they have to do with financials.

Tesla (TSLA) Q2 2026 earnings results: miss on EPS, beat on revenue

Tesla bulls are more than convinced that the company’s Full Self-Driving software is proof it can develop physical AI. Financially, however, there are still some questions, especially on elevated spending, which CEO Elon Musk said would occur as the company works to roll out Robotaxi faster and continue developing its Optimus robot.

The latter two are where Tesla will have to prove progress to investors, as Percoco writes that both projects “will require clearer evidence that Robotaxi is scaling and more tangible Optimus proof points to support the ROI on elevated capex.”

Percoco said the second quarter earnings call did not change his long-term thesis of where Tesla is positioned in the AI race, which is out in front. However, there are concerns that weaker gross margins and higher R&D spend will stress financials, and that has “sharpened our (and investors’) focus on measurable progress across Robotaxi and Optimus.”

Additionally, Robotaxi still needs to be proven with more operation in existing cities while maintaining safety but improving how many rides it gives in any given time, he said. For Optimus, Percoco wrote that he is “still looking for evidence beyond commentary around SOP.”

Morgan Stanley put Percoco in charge of covering Tesla after long-time analyst Adam Jonas transitioned to the automotive side.

Currently, Morgan Stanley has a $415 price target on Tesla and a ‘Hold’ rating on the stock. It is trading at around $330 at the time of publication, which was 2:30 P.M. on the East Coast.

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Investor's Corner

SpaceX AI investment gamble will make it a big winner, firm says

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Credit: SpaceX

SpaceX’s massive investment in AI will make it a big winner, Argus Research said after the company’s successful earnings call last week.

The firm also upgraded shares to a Buy from Hold and set a $160 price target.

SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) is currently recovering from its heavy AI infrastructure investments, as it spent nearly $16 billion in Q2 alone. The company did this primarily by monetizing high-demand GPU compute capacity at a much faster pace than traditional data center economics would suggest.

Company CFO Bret Johnsen said that SpaceX would be able to pay back anything on new deployments within a year.

There are plenty of ways the company can do this:

Leasing excess compute capacity through contracts

SpaceX has already built Colossus and Colossus II, largely for its own model training. However, much of that capacity is already rented out to third parties. It already has major deals with Anthropic, Google, and Reflection AI. These partnerships are adding billions per month to SpaceX’s spreadsheet.

SpaceX is charging Anthropic massive money for its compute

High utilization driven by industry-wide scarcity

The demand for advanced AI training and inference capacity continues to exceed what is available for use. SpaceX can fill new racks quickly after they come online, so the capital deployed converts into revenue with minimal idle time.

Additionally, management and outside observers have described the new compute capital as behaving more like a cost-of-goods-sold than traditional multi-year capex, especially because of this rapid monetization pattern.

Capacity has already scaled from ~0.4 GW a year to 1.4 GW annually by the end of Q2. There are targets of more than 2 GW by year-end.

High incremental margins on the rental business once capacity is online

GPU cloud providers often operate at strong gross margins. SpaceX can monetize capacity that was already partially built or can be added efficiently. This means that incremental EBITDA margins on the rental revenue are usually high. This accelerates cash recovery relative to the gross capital outlay.

Parallel monetization of its own AI software and applications

Beyond pure infrastructure rental, SpaceX also generates revenue from Grok through subscriptions and usage, from X through ads, data, and other related services, enterprise APIs, and the planned integration of the Cursor coding tools acquisition.

These application layers ride on the same compute infrastructure and provide additional high-margin streams that could offset build-out costs. AI-segment revenue overall rose sharply to about $2.6 billion in Q2, according to Motley Fool. This was driven primarily by the infrastructure contracts, but the software side is also partially responsible.

Efficient, large-scale deployment and vertical integration advantages

SpaceX has emphasized the rapid construction of power and cooling infrastructure and favorable cost-per-megawatt economics relative to industry benchmarks in some disclosures.

Combined with its ability to scale capacity aggressively and the fact that many contracts start generating revenue within months of capacity coming online, the effective payback compresses dramatically compared with more conventional multi-year data-center projects.

SpaceX’s dominant near-term recovery path will turn the AI clusters into a hyperscale-style compute rental business for other leading AI companies while still using a portion for internal models.

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Tesla headlights cause recall of over 20,000 Model 3 and Model Y

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Tesla headlights have caused a recall of over 20,000 of the company’s two most popular vehicles, the Model 3 and Model Y, due to the low-beam bulb exceeding the maximum allowed intensity according to federal standards.

Tesla initiated the recall with the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) this morning, stating that the low-beam output “exceeds the maximum allowed intensity in the outer upper-right and outer upper-left areas of the 10U and 90U zone, as prescribed in FMVSS No. 108.”

Tesla sourced the impacted headlights from Marelli Automotive Lighting, a Mexico-based company. The recall impacts 2020-2023 Model Y vehicles and 2017-2023 Model 3 vehicles. It is estimated that every VIN in this recall is impacted by the defect.

Typically, Tesla would remedy recalls of this nature through an Over-the-Air software update, which has been a major focus of criticism by the company and its supporters because the NHTSA still refers to it as a “recall,” even though it requires no action by the vehicle owner. The fix is shipped over the internet and downloaded to the car.

However, there appears to be a potentially different solution for this problem. Tesla has not developed a remedy for this issue, so it could potentially be on the way. The big issue appears to be the fact that these recalled lamps are out of production, and this is an old body style for both vehicles. The headlights and front-end designs are completely different.

Tesla switched to another supplier when the affected headlight design was discontinued. It plans to begin notifying owners of their remedy options by September 15.

Tesla filed a petition protesting the recall to fix the vehicles’ headlight issue, but the NHTSA denied it. Now, Tesla will come up with a solution to fix it.

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