Investor's Corner
Tesla maintains gains amid Jim Chanos’ renewed criticisms against TSLA
Tesla stock (NASDAQ:TSLA) continued to recover on Friday, despite noted short-seller Jim Chanos declaring the company’s vehicles as “poorly made.” Speaking recently in front of investors and businessmen, Chanos blasted Tesla for doing away with the auto industry’s established conventions, at one point even suggesting that that people probably buy the company’s electric cars simply because of Elon Musk.
“Musk is re-learning the hard lessons automakers in Detroit learned 100 years ago. It’s one thing to manufacture cars, but Detroit learned the hard way they didn’t want to be at the nexus. Decades ago, Detroit’s big car brands decided to let the dealers do that, and focus on manufacturing and updating models. Musk is now dealing with all of the things car makers have had to deal with…Tesla’s idea was to tear all that up and start from scratch, but sales and services are coming back in a hard way,” Chanos said, arguing that while Musk has created a “very sexy car” that is popular with many drivers, the vehicles are “turning out to be a poorly made car.”
When asked if he would view Tesla at a more positive light if Musk were to resign, Chanos stated that he doesn’t think the CEO can. “He’s the brand… it’s all about Elon Musk. I think a lot of people buy the car because he’s the brand,” the short-seller said. Chanos also scoffed at the idea of Tesla offering own insurance service, remarking “You have to be f-ing kidding me.”
While the noted short-seller has returned to air his criticisms against Tesla, a number of Wall St analysts are beginning to adopt a more positive stance on the electric car maker. Among these is Piper Jaffray analyst Alexander Potter, who stated in a recent note on Friday that concerns about weakening demand for the Model 3, which have pushed the stock down about 40% since the start of the year, are “overdone.”
The analyst mentioned that TSLA stock had been overwhelmed by bearish sentiments since the company released its first-quarter delivery results, which were hurt by logistical bottlenecks. “In a nutshell, we think bears are using weak Q1 deliveries to support a ‘doomsday’ thesis where weak demand drives factory under-utilization, margin degradation, and even insolvency. But the underlying premise (weak demand) requires defending — and so far, convincing evidence has yet to emerge,” Potter wrote.
Potter also highlighted that the real opportunity for the Model 3 is likely bigger than what some clients actually understand, particularly as the vehicle is not only competing with luxury vehicles. “Our analysis suggests that 54% of Model 3 demand should come from consumers who would have chosen mass-market vehicles. This mirrors Tesla’s own trade-in data,” the analyst added.
The Piper Jaffray analyst currently has an “overweight” rating for TSLA stock, as well as an optimistic $396 price target on the company.
Tesla’s first quarter might have been challenging, but indications have emerged pointing to the company ending the second quarter in a positive note. A leaked email from Elon Musk, for one, had suggested that Tesla might be able to meet, or even exceed, the company’s record deliveries in Q4 2018, a time when over 90,000 vehicles were delivered to customers. The company is also rolling out a compelling leasing program for the Model 3, which will likely make the electric sedan even more attractive to potential customers.
As of writing, Tesla stock is trading +0.36% at $206.70 per share.
Disclosure: I have no ownership in shares of TSLA and have no plans to initiate any positions within 72 hours.
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) closed at an all-time high on Tuesday, jumping over 3 percent during the day and finishing at $489.88.
The price beats the previous record close, which was $479.86.
Shares have had a crazy year, dipping more than 40 percent from the start of the year. The stock then started to recover once again around late April, when its price started to climb back up from the low $200 level.
This week, Tesla started to climb toward its highest levels ever, as it was revealed on Sunday that the company was testing driverless Robotaxis in Austin. The spike in value pushed the company’s valuation to $1.63 trillion.
Tesla Robotaxi goes driverless as Musk confirms Safety Monitor removal testing
It is the seventh-most valuable company on the market currently, trailing Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet (Google), Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta.
Shares closed up $14.57 today, up over 3 percent.
The stock has gone through a lot this year, as previously mentioned. Shares tumbled in Q1 due to CEO Elon Musk’s involvement with the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which pulled his attention away from his companies and left a major overhang on their valuations.
However, things started to rebound halfway through the year, and as the government started to phase out the $7,500 tax credit, demand spiked as consumers tried to take advantage of it.
Q3 deliveries were the highest in company history, and Tesla responded to the loss of the tax credit with the launch of the Model 3 and Model Y Standard.
Additionally, analysts have announced high expectations this week for the company on Wall Street as Robotaxi continues to be the focus. With autonomy within Tesla’s sights, things are moving in the direction of Robotaxi being a major catalyst for growth on the Street in the coming year.
Elon Musk
Tesla needs to come through on this one Robotaxi metric, analyst says
“We think the key focus from here will be how fast Tesla can scale driverless operations (including if Tesla’s approach to software/hardware allows it to scale significantly faster than competitors, as the company has argued), and on profitability.”
Tesla needs to come through on this one Robotaxi metric, Mark Delaney of Goldman Sachs says.
Tesla is in the process of rolling out its Robotaxi platform to areas outside of Austin and the California Bay Area. It has plans to launch in five additional cities, including Houston, Dallas, Miami, Las Vegas, and Phoenix.
However, the company’s expansion is not what the focus needs to be, according to Delaney. It’s the speed of deployment.
The analyst said:
“We think the key focus from here will be how fast Tesla can scale driverless operations (including if Tesla’s approach to software/hardware allows it to scale significantly faster than competitors, as the company has argued), and on profitability.”
Profitability will come as the Robotaxi fleet expands. Making that money will be dependent on when Tesla can initiate rides in more areas, giving more customers access to the program.
There are some additional things that the company needs to make happen ahead of the major Robotaxi expansion, one of those things is launching driverless rides in Austin, the first city in which it launched the program.
This week, Tesla started testing driverless Robotaxi rides in Austin, as two different Model Y units were spotted with no occupants, a huge step in the company’s plans for the ride-sharing platform.
Tesla Robotaxi goes driverless as Musk confirms Safety Monitor removal testing
CEO Elon Musk has been hoping to remove Safety Monitors from Robotaxis in Austin for several months, first mentioning the plan to have them out by the end of 2025 in September. He confirmed on Sunday that Tesla had officially removed vehicle occupants and started testing truly unsupervised rides.
Although Safety Monitors in Austin have been sitting in the passenger’s seat, they have still had the ability to override things in case of an emergency. After all, the ultimate goal was safety and avoiding any accidents or injuries.
Goldman Sachs reiterated its ‘Neutral’ rating and its $400 price target. Delaney said, “Tesla is making progress with its autonomous technology,” and recent developments make it evident that this is true.
Investor's Corner
Tesla gets bold Robotaxi prediction from Wall Street firm
Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) received a bold Robotaxi prediction from Morgan Stanley, which anticipates a dramatic increase in the size of the company’s autonomous ride-hailing suite in the coming years.
Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.
Percoco dug into the Robotaxi fleet and its expansion in the coming years in his latest note, released on Tuesday. The firm expects Tesla to increase the Robotaxi fleet size to 1,000 vehicles in 2026. However, that’s small-scale compared to what they expect from Tesla in a decade.
Tesla expands Robotaxi app access once again, this time on a global scale
By 2035, Morgan Stanley believes there will be one million Robotaxis on the road across multiple cities, a major jump and a considerable fleet size. We assume this means the fleet of vehicles Tesla will operate internally, and not including passenger-owned vehicles that could be added through software updates.
He also listed three specific catalysts that investors should pay attention to, as these will represent the company being on track to achieve its Robotaxi dreams:
- Opening Robotaxi to the public without a Safety Monitor. Timing is unclear, but it appears that Tesla is getting closer by the day.
- Improvement in safety metrics without the Safety Monitor. Tesla’s ability to improve its safety metrics as it scales miles driven without the Safety Monitor is imperative as it looks to scale in new states and cities in 2026.
- Cybercab start of production, targeted for April 2026. Tesla’s Cybercab is a purpose-built vehicle (no steering wheel or pedals, only two seats) that is expected to be produced through its state-of-the-art unboxed manufacturing process, offering further cost reductions and thus accelerating adoption over time.
Robotaxi stands to be one of Tesla’s most significant revenue contributors, especially as the company plans to continue expanding its ride-hailing service across the world in the coming years.
Its current deployment strategy is controlled and conservative to avoid any drastic and potentially program-ruining incidents.
So far, the program, which is active in Austin and the California Bay Area, has been widely successful.
Tesla (TSLA) receives “Buy” rating and $551 PT from Canaccord Genuity
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