Connect with us

Investor's Corner

TSLA Extended Hours Action after Q1 Report & Conference Call

Published

on

TSLA action on the day of the Q1 Report was effectively a wash: TSLA stock opened at 230.29 and closed the regular trading session down -4.20% at $222.56, but gained almost all of it back during “extended hours”, closing the day at 228.50. Right after the quarterly results were released, it traded as high as $243.43.

Source: OptionHouse Trading Platform

Source: OptionsHouse Trading Application

Obviously traders and brokers liked both the results and the subsequent answers that were given in the conference call.

What items did the traders actually like?

– Beating analysts’ expectations for earnings by 3 cents.

– Revenue of $1.15B, with sales of $1.6B. Net loss of $ -57c a share. A beat on the loss, a meet on sales.

Advertisement

– A decrease in capital expenditures by 47% from Q4 2015, with spending decreases at both Fremont factory and Gigafactory.

– A much more ambitious timeline of delivery of vehicles: 500,0000 vehicles in 2018 (two years ahead of the previous projections), and 1 Million vehicles in 2020.

– Adjusted plans for the Gigafactory to support the new timeline targets in 2018.

– A mix of 100-150K Model S and X, plus 300-400K Model 3, for 2018 vehicle deliveries.

Advertisement

– A July 1st, 2017 deadline for suppliers of Model 3 parts.

– A combination of capital & debt to support the more ambitious timeline.

– Projections of 20,000 vehicles delivered in Q2, and 50,000 in the rest of the year, maintaining the 80,000 to 90,000 vehicles projection for the year 2016.

– Brushing off the loss of 2 top executives for production and manufacturing, because Tesla is the place top talent in manufacturing would want to be, since at Tesla “innovation in manufacturing is more important than innovation in design” (a subtle swipe at Apple).

Advertisement

Interestingly no new reservation numbers for Model 3 were given, as we stand at “almost 400,000” from a couple of weeks ago.

Will Tesla be able to deliver on the adjusted projections? History tells us probably no. But short-term, Elon & Co. delivered: the pessimism that was evident among brokers and traders before the report and conference call, pretty much evaporated. My expectation for Thursday’s market is an opening between 228 and 230.

After 6 sessions that brought the stock from $255 down 9% to $222, we may see momentum start going the other way up again.

Update

Advertisement

While TSLA, as expected, opened at 228.46, it quickly turned red and within an hour was done 4.5%. From the morning broker’s comments, not everybody is buying Elon’s rosy projections. You have now witnessed how “volatile” TSLA stock can be: it went from an after-hours peak of $243 to $212 in a span of a few trading hours, a 13% drop. Not a stock for the faint of heart.

Advertisement
Comments

Investor's Corner

Lucid CEO dispels any rumors of bankruptcy: ‘So far from the facts’

Published

on

Credit: Lucid

Lucid CEO Silvio Napoli responded to rumors of an imminent bankruptcy that was reportedly being mulled after a report stated the automaker was working with the firm AlixPartners to iron out its next steps.

The company felt a massive loss on Wall Street yesterday, as the report essentially pushed the stock down as much as 55 percent on Tuesday.

The report, published initially by Eletric-Vehicles.com, claimed Lucid was essentially in dire straits and was told by AlixPartners, a commonly used restructuring advisor, to either take shares private or file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection.

Lucid denies rumors of bankruptcy after over 40% stock drop

Advertisement

Lucid’s head of Communications, Nick Twork, immediately challenged the report and stated the company “has sufficient liquidity to carry its operations well into next year.”

Now, the company’s CEO is chiming in as well, stating that the report is “so far from the facts that they require a direct response.”

Napoli said:

“Lucid is not considering bankruptcy or a transaction to take the company private. Those reports are false. The Board did not explore either scenario. Period.

Advertisement

As disclosed in our most recent quarterly filing, Lucid has sufficient liquidity to fund its operations well into next year.

We work with outside advisors to improve operational performance and execution. They are not advising Lucid on a take-private transaction or bankruptcy, and any suggestion that they have recommended either course of action to management or the Board is false.

My priority is clear: turn this company around. That is where the leadership team and I are focused.

I look forward to providing a full update during our quarterly earnings call on August 4th.”

Advertisement

It seems pretty clear that Lucid is confident things will be okay, and, to be honest, they should not have much to worry about, especially considering the company has been backed by the Saudi Public Investment Fund (PIF) for years. It has solid financial backing, and its sales, while weak, are pretty much right on par with a company of this age.

Advertisement

Lucid also sent a Cease & Desist letter to the publication for their report.

Lucid shares have rebounded nicely and are up nearly 21 percent at the time of publication. As soon as the company dispelled the rumors of bankruptcy yesterday, the stock began to climb back toward more reasonable levels.

Continue Reading

Investor's Corner

Lucid denies rumors of bankruptcy after over 40% stock drop

Published

on

Credit: Lucid

Electric vehicle maker Lucid Group has denied rumors of an imminent bankruptcy after a report from this morning sent the stock on a dramatic drop on Wall Street, seeing losses of more than 40 percent during trading hours.

Lucid’s Director of Communications, Nick Twork, responded to the report from Eletric-Vehicles.com, which stated the company’s restructuring advisor, AlixPartners, was asked to review two decisions: taking Lucid shares private or filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection.

The report also claims AlixPartners told the Lucid board to “concentrate on Gravity production while improving its quality, and to temporarily hold back the Lucid Air, the sedan that has defined the company since its launch.”

Twork said:

Advertisement

Shares rebounded after the response to the report, halving its losses as the trading day neared 3 p.m. Eastern.

Lucid has struggled to get its sales off the ground and into more respectable numbers, but the company is in its early years, when things are hard to begin with. It is also backed by several notable investors, including the Saudi Public Investment Fund (PIF), which has nearly limitless money and likely would not ditch an investment of this size so soon.

Advertisement

Lucid shares were down just 14 percent at the time of publication, a far cry from the 55 percent its losses topped out at during the day.

Continue Reading

Investor's Corner

Tesla gets price target upgrade on heels of crazy successful auto quarter

Published

on

(Credit: Tesla)

Tesla received a price target upgrade just on the heels of what was a crazy successful quarter for its automotive business, as the company reported a delivery beat of over 15 percent for Q2.

Jefferies analysts are upping Tesla’s price target (NASDAQ: TSLA) to $400 from $375, while maintaining their “Hold” rating on shares, and the strong automotive deliveries from Q2 is a big reason. However, there are some other catalysts that Jefferies believes position Tesla for a strong position in the second half of the year.

Strong Deliveries

Tesla reported 480,000 deliveries for Q2, while Wall Street was between 395,000 and 405,000, as an overall consensus. It was an incredibly strong quarter from a delivery perspective, and Tesla sold well more than it produced during the three months.

Tesla crushes Wall Street expectations, beats delivery estimates by over 15 percent

Advertisement

While vehicle deliveries are not necessarily looked at in the light that they used to be, Tesla still maintains a lot of advantages for keeping deliveries strong. With the loss of the $7,500 EV Tax Credit last year, Tesla still maintains a strong demand case for its EVs.

Robotaxi Performance

Tesla has been operating Robotaxi for over a year now, as it launched in Austin in mid-2025. That program has expanded to Houston and Dallas, the San Francisco Bay Area, and, most recently, Miami, Florida, the suite’s first appearance in the Sunshine State.

While the Robotaxi suite is still in its early phases and Tesla is working through things like fleet size and wait times, the company has been able to undercut the pricing of its competitors and has a great safety record.

Merger Speculation with Tesla and SpaceX

This is perhaps the biggest topic that many are speaking about with Tesla and SpaceX, and it is the one thing that seems to be on the mind of every investor.

Advertisement

Jefferies warns that growing talk of a Tesla-SpaceX merger could cause Tesla stock to trade more like a SpaceX proxy, which may disconnect it from underlying automotive fundamentals. SpaceX has a lot going for it, especially its compute deals that have been widely publicized as of late.

Profitability in New Projects Could Take Some Time

Tesla has a few long-term ventures in the pipeline, most notably the Optimus project and Robotaxi, which is launched but will take several years to expand to a meaningful level that resonates with everyday people.

This is something that investors need to be careful of. Tesla’s projects could take some time to round out, so Jefferies advises that these may carry initial losses, rather than immediate profit. Seasoned Tesla investors have echoed something like this for a long time; they knew going in it would not be an open-and-shut strategy. It was going to take time.

These new projects are no different.

Advertisement
Continue Reading