Investor's Corner
$TSLA action leading up to Tesla’s reveal of Master Plan, Part Deux
It has not been an easy two weeks for Tesla in the news. Lately all the news has been fairly negative:
- Negative response to the Tesla – SolarCity merger from the great majority of brokerage firms covering Tesla.
- First driver killed in an accident involved with a Tesla vehicle operating on autopilot.
- Start of preliminary evaluation from NHTSA of various Tesla accidents involving autopilot.
- Start of National Transportation Safety Board (NTSB) investigation, independent of the NTSA’s inquiry into the collision that killed 2015 Model S driver Joshua Brown.
- Start of Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) probe over fatal autopilot crash and whether it was “material” and Tesla was at fault for failing to inform its shareholders prior to the last stock offering.
- Request by Sen. John Thune (R-S.D.), the chairman of the Senate Commerce Committee, for Tesla to “brief Committee staff on the details of this incident, including the technology that was in use at the time, Tesla’s actions in response, and the company’s cooperation with NHTSA.”
That mass of negative reporting would normally kill any stock. But what was the effect on $TSLA for the past couple of weeks? Not much.
We had one week of still higher highs on the stock, followed by flat “compression” last week. This week $TSLA stock is back up again, especially Wednesday ahead of the company’s release of its “Masterplan Part 2”. The stock shot up by $1 in the span of 10 minutes, after CEO Elon Musk tweeted that the plans would be released later in the day.
Now that the Master Plan Part Deux has been published, it will be interesting to see Thursday what will be the response to the Plan from the broad market.
Stock Action
Looking at the $TSLA stock chart for the past couple of weeks, the technicals are still greatly in its favor. The latest Heikin Ashi – MACD “swing” has provided already an upside of over $11 since the MACD crossed to the bulls on June 30. Anyone that pulled the trigger on that day on the buy side is now sitting happy on a nice gain. Anyone trading options is sitting happy on huge gains.
Right now $TSLA stock is all fired up: Heikin Ashi green for 13 out of the past 17 sessions, stock above the 200-day moving average, MACD positive and still crossed to the bulls.
By the way, the charts from Wall Street I/O have an unique “smart study” that back-calculates all the effects of indicators like the MACD over a period of time. As one can see from the chart above, $TSLA is a wonderful stock for MACD “swing” traders.
Master Plan 2.0
I, like everybody, am anxiously waiting for the street’s response to Tesla’s Master Plan 2.0.
Today Jim Cramer was quoted on TheStreet as saying that “Tesla’s New Master Plan Won’t Matter, the Stock is ‘Heavily Shorted’.”
“It doesn’t really matter — this stock is so heavily shorted ,” Cramer said on Wednesday. “It can’t be borrowed, thank you Doug Kass for giving me that information.”
Q2 2016 Financial Results Date
Lastly, on July 19 Tesla sent a letter to investors indicating that “Tesla will post its financial results for the second quarter ended June 30, 2016, after market close on Wednesday, August 3, 2016. ” According to the letter, “Tesla management will hold a live question & answer webcast that day at 2:30pm Pacific Time (5:30pm Eastern Time) to discuss the Company’s financial and business results and outlook.” These are the details of the Q&A Webcast:
What: Date of Tesla Q2 2016 Financial Results and Q&A Webcast
When: Wednesday, August 3, 2016
Time: 2:30pm Pacific Time / 5:30pm Eastern Time
Webcast: http://ir.tesla.com (live and replay)
Update: Early morning Thursday pre-market action
$TSLA stock is off by $3 at $225. The initial reaction to the second iteration of the master plan from Wall Street analysts “seems to have failed to assuage investor’s fears”, as reported by TheStreet.com.
Investor's Corner
Michael Dell points out practical advantage of Elon Musk’s proposed pay package
As pointed out by the Dell Technologies CEO, Musk will only be rewarded if he delivers extraordinary value to shareholders
Michael Dell has weighed in on Elon Musk’s controversial 2025 CEO Performance Award, offering a grounded perspective amidst the noise surrounding the pay package today.
As pointed out by the Dell Technologies CEO, Musk will only be rewarded if he delivers extraordinary value to shareholders. Musk would quite literally receive no compensation if he fails to achieve his targets.
Dell emphasizes results over rhetoric
Dell shared his thoughts about Musk’s 2025 CEO Performance Award in a post on X.“Vote FOR Elon Musk. The award is only achieved IF he hits exceptionally ambitious market-cap and operational milestones—if he falls short, he gets nothing,” Dell wrote in his post.
“If he succeeds, shareholders will win big through unprecedented value creation, and he will earn added voting rights to continue driving Tesla’s long-term vision.”
Musk replied with a short “Thanks Michael,” acknowledging Dell’s support. Dell’s framing cuts through the debate surrounding Musk’s compensation, as he simply focused on the incentive structure’s risk-reward balance.
Musk’s ambitious pay package
Elon Musk’s 2025 CEO Performance Award requires Tesla’s market capitalization to rise from roughly $1.1 trillion today to $8.5 trillion within a decade. This would make Tesla more valuable than any company in history.
Apart from this, Tesla’s operating profit must also grow from $17 billion to $400 billion annually. Musk must also lead the company to several product-related milestones, such as 20 million cumulative vehicle deliveries, 10 million Full Self-Driving subscriptions, 1 million Tesla Bots, and 1 million operating Robotaxis.
So far, proxy advisors Glass Lewis and ISS have urged shareholders to vote against the plan. Some prominent investors, including ARK Invest CEO Cathie Wood, however, have voiced strong support for the plan. Wood called Musk “the most productive human being on earth,” arguing that his vision and ability to attract talent are central to Tesla’s success.
Investor's Corner
Elon Musk’s 2025 pay package gets support from Tesla’s biggest bull
ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood has previously stated that she is quite confident that the vote on Elon Musk’s 2025 Performance Award would pass.
Cathie Wood, CEO of ARK Invest and one of Tesla’s most ardent bulls, reiterated her support for Elon Musk’s 2025 CEO Performance Award.
Wood highlighted that Musk’s leadership attracts incredible talent, and it has allowed the companies he leads such as Tesla to become disruptors in their respective fields.
ARK Invest supports Musk’s leadership
Elon Musk’s 2025 CEO Performance Award has received a mixed reception. Proxy firms such as Glass Lewis and Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS) have stated that they would be voting against Musk’s pay package. Other entities, such as the State Board of Administration of Florida (SBA), have stated that they would be voting in favor of Tesla’s proposals.
ARK Invest founder Cathie Wood, for her part, has previously stated that she is quite confident that the vote on Elon Musk’s 2025 Performance Award would pass. She also stated that a favorable result to the vote for Musk’s 2025 pay plan would be beneficial for Tesla.
“Elon Musk is the most productive human being on earth. And a human being who attracts incredible talent, people who want to solve the world’s hardest problems. This is a win-win for all of us if Elon succeeds this time,” Wood stated. Musk appreciated Wood’s comments, stating, “Thanks Cathie!” In a post on X.
ARK Invest has been one of Tesla’s most loyal bulls
Tesla is ARK Invest’s single largest holding, with the firm holding an estimated $1 billion worth of TSLA, as noted in an Insider report. Wood previously said she expects the approval of Musk’s pay package to trigger “super-exponential growth” for the automaker, as new products like the Cybercab and Optimus expand Tesla’s offerings.
“Because think about it. It is a convergence among three of our major platforms. So, robots, energy storage, AI, and it’s not stopping with Robotaxis. There’s a story beyond that with humanoid robots, and our $2,600 number has nothing for humanoid robots. We just thought it’d be an investment, period,” Wood stated during an appearance at Steven Bartlett’s podcast The Diary Of A CEO.
Investor's Corner
Tesla VP for AI software makes a case for upcoming Elon Musk shareholder vote
Elluswamy reiterated the idea that Tesla is indeed at a critical point in its history.
Tesla’s Director of Autopilot Software and VP of AI Software Ashok Elluswamy has shared his thoughts about CEO Elon Musk’s 2025 performance award. While the executive typically discusses topics related to the company’s tech and AI initiaives, Elluswamy made it a point to make a case for Musk’s proposed pay package.
Tesla’s VP for AI Software shares his insights
In a post on X, Elluswamy reiterated the idea that Tesla is indeed at a critical point in its history. This is because the company is changing from a leader in electric vehicles and a major player in the energy storage market to a powerhouse pioneer in robotics that are powered by real-world AI. As per the executive, Elon Musk’s leadership of Tesla is more relevant now more than ever. He also reported an X article he previously wrote about Elon Musk and Tesla.
“This note regarding the importance of Elon leading Tesla is more relevant now than ever. Tesla is at a critical juncture, as it is metamorphosing into the world leader in robotics. Creating large-scale, useful robots requires expertise across engineering design, manufacturing, real-world AI software, chips for AI, and more. Elon is, quite likely, the only person on Earth with deep skills and the right instincts across all these domains,” Elluswamy stated.
A push to support Musk’s 2025 performance award
In recent weeks, Tesla executives such as Board Chair Robyn Denholm have been encouraging TSLA shareholders to vote in favor of Elon Musk’s 2025 performance award, as well as other proposals that the company’s directors have argued are critical to the future of the company. These proposals, Tesla executives noted, are necessary to ensure that the company can achieve the ambitious targets of Elon Musk’s Master Plan Part IV.
Elon Musk’s pay package, as well as the company’s proposals, would be decided at the upcoming 2025 Annual Shareholders Meeting, which would be held at Giga Texas on November 6, 2025. Needless to say, Tesla’s future might very well be decided during the event.
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