Investor's Corner
Wall Street explains why they are bullish on Musk-Trump alliance

Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas released a new research note clarifying why he raised the target price for Tesla Motors (TSLA) to $305 per share. Jonas warns investors who have equated Elon Musk’s new relationship with Donald Trump with a higher stock price. “There is no way to quantify the value (if any) of Tesla management’s advisory relationship with the new administration,” Jonas said.
Instead, Jonas emphasized the congruence between Trump’s desire for American workers to build products in American factories and Tesla’s business model which does both. Tesla is a leader in the automotive segment in both categories. “When you look at the businesses Tesla is in, you see many areas of overlapping interest” with the Trump administration, Adam Jonas told New York Times correspondent James Stewart on Friday. “To the extent the new administration prioritizes the creation of valuable, innovative high tech and manufacturing jobs, Tesla stands at the epicenter of that.”
In fact, the auto industry manufactures relatively few cars that can be truly called “US Made.” According to a chart compiled by Cars.com last year, the number of models of light duty vehicles that qualify for that label has fallen precipitously in recent years from nearly 30 in 2010 to only 8 in 2016.
Another analyst weighing on the Musk-Trump connection is Andrew Hughes, an alternative energy analyst for Credit Suisse. Hughes said solar investors “aren’t nearly as negative as they were the day after the election.” In part, that is because solar power — which up until now has needed significant federal incentives to survive — has become so inexpensive, particularly with regard to coal, that many industry observers think it will survive on its own even if those incentives are eliminated by the Trump administration.
Despite Donald Trump’s antipathy to renewable energy, business is all about the bottom line. If solar costs less than coal, then business is going to switch to solar no matter what the president has to say. Elon Musk is also heavily involved in re-imagining the role of the electrical grid. He sees battery storage as the key to making the grid compatible with renewables like solar and wind.
Musk has gone head-to-head with utility companies, including NV Energy, which is owned by Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway company. In 2016, Musk and SolarCity lost a round when the Nevada PUC enacted new rules imposing monthly assessments on people with rooftop solar systems. In return, SolarCity terminated its operations in the state, laying off hundreds of local workers.
Nevertheless, Musk expects both Tesla with its grid scale batteries and SolarCity with its rooftop systems — including the revolutionary Solar Roof — to play an ongoing part in how people get their electricity in the future. Last fall, just prior to unveiling the Solar Roof, Musk said, “The solution is both local power generation and utility power generation — it’s not one or the other”. He went on to suggest that the proper mix would be about one third residential rooftop power and two thirds power from traditional utility companies.
The US Energy Department stated in its annual energy and jobs report issues earlier this month that “solar technologies, both photovoltaic and concentrated, employ almost 374,000 workers, or 43 percent of the electric power generation work force.” Compare that to the number of workers employed to make electricity from coal. That number is just 86,000 workers. “The jobs data is a compelling argument in favor of the tax credits,” Andrew Hughes said. “I want to believe that Trump won’t kill solar, but there’s still a lot of uncertainty. The big question: Will he take away the tax credits?”
Musk received plenty of blowback when he decided to endorse former CEO of ExxonMobil Rex Tillerson for the position of Secretary of State. That makes him the public face of the fossil fuel industries and theoretically a natural adversary for Musk and his commitment to zero emissions energy. But Elon thinks Tillerson can temper some of the president’s more outrageous plans to extract every last molecule of fossil fuel that can be found on the planet.
Tillerson also advocates for a carbon tax, an idea that Musk strongly supports. According to reports, Musk floated the carbon tax idea at last week’s meeting of business advisors to the president. While Donald Trump did not dismiss the idea out of hand, Musk found little to no support from others in the room.
Trump likes to think big and take bold actions. So does Elon Musk. In some ways, it’s easy to see why the two men might take a liking to each other. Trump is especially interested in space exploration, something that fits perfectly with Musk’s passion for establishing a human colony on Mars.
Job creation in America for American workers, rebooting the traditional utility grid to use modern technology, sending people off to live on other planets. These are all things that interest both men. But cozying up to Trump also exposes Musk to dissatisfaction with some of the president’s less popular plans, like building walls with neighboring countries, sending federal troops into American cities, and banning immigration by people who espouse certain religions. To be successful, Tesla will need a broad base of customers. Musk has been careful to avoid political involvement so far. His association with the new president exposes him to new dangers.
One gets the sense that Musk is willing to accept some of the negatives if he can make progress on his passion for a carbon tax. But if that idea is stymied by Trump and his advisors, Elon’s desire to work with the new administration may cool considerably. Perhaps the most danger comes from the unpredictability and volatility of the new president, who can change course in a heartbeat. Musk will be need to be nimble to avoid getting rolled over by Trump in the future.
The president is scheduled to meet with his council of business leaders today, at which time he says he will provide details about his plant to cut government regulation of business by “75% or more.” That will give Musk yet another chance to evaluate the business acumen of Donald Trump and decide whether his involvement with his plans will pay dividends for him and the companies he leads. As Adam Jonas said in his report, it is impossible to predict how the association between Trump and Musk will benefit either.
Elon Musk
Tesla blacklisted by Swedish pension fund AP7 as it sells entire stake
A Swedish pension fund is offloading its Tesla holdings for good.

Tesla shares have been blacklisted by the Swedish pension fund AP7, who said earlier today that it has “verified violations of labor rights in the United States” by the automaker.
The fund ended up selling its entire stake, which was worth around $1.36 billion when it liquidated its holdings in late May. Reuters first reported on AP7’s move.
Other pension and retirement funds have relinquished some of their Tesla holdings due to CEO Elon Musk’s involvement in politics, among other reasons, and although the company’s stock has been a great contributor to growth for many funds over the past decade, these managers are not willing to see past the CEO’s right to free speech.
However, AP7 says the move is related not to Musk’s involvement in government nor his political stances. Instead, the fund said it verified several labor rights violations in the U.S.:
“AP7 has decided to blacklist Tesla due to verified violations of labor rights in the United States. Despite several years of dialogue with Tesla, including shareholder proposals in collaboration with other investors, the company has not taken sufficient measures to address the issues.”
Tesla made up about 1 percent of the AP7 Equity Fund, according to a spokesperson. This equated to roughly 13 billion crowns, but the fund’s total assets were about 1,181 billion crowns at the end of May when the Tesla stake was sold off.
Tesla has had its share of labor lawsuits over the past few years, just as any large company deals with at some point or another. There have been claims of restrictions against labor union supporters, including one that Tesla was favored by judges, as they did not want pro-union clothing in the factory. Tesla argued that loose-fitting clothing presented a safety hazard, and the courts agreed.

(Photo: Tesla)
There have also been claims of racism at the Fremont Factory by a former elevator contractor named Owen Diaz. He was awarded a substantial sum of $137m. However, U.S. District Judge William Orrick ruled the $137 million award was excessive, reducing it to $15 million. Diaz rejected this sum.
Another jury awarded Diaz $3.2 million. Diaz’s legal team said this payout was inadequate. He and Tesla ultimately settled for an undisclosed amount.
AP7 did not list any of the current labor violations that it cited as its reason for
Investor's Corner
xAI targets $5 billion debt offering to fuel company goals
Elon Musk’s xAI is targeting a $5B debt raise, led by Morgan Stanley, to scale its artificial intelligence efforts.

xAI’s $5 billion debt offering, marketed by Morgan Stanley, underscores Elon Musk’s ambitious plans to expand the artificial intelligence venture. The xAI package comprises bonds and two loans, highlighting the company’s strategic push to fuel its artificial intelligence development.
Last week, Morgan Stanley began pitching a floating-rate term loan B at 97 cents on the dollar with a variable interest rate of 700 basis points over the SOFR benchmark, one source said. A second option offers a fixed-rate loan and bonds at 12%, with terms contingent on investor appetite. This “best efforts” transaction, where the debt size hinges on demand, reflects cautious lending in an uncertain economic climate.
According to Reuters sources, Morgan Stanley will not guarantee the issue volume or commit its own capital in the xAI deal, marking a shift from past commitments. The change in approach stems from lessons learned during Musk’s 2022 X acquisition when Morgan Stanley and six other banks held $13 billion in debt for over two years.
Morgan Stanley and the six other banks backing Musk’s X acquisition could only dispose of that debt earlier this year. They capitalized on X’s improved operating performance over the previous two quarters as traffic on the platform increased engagement around the U.S. presidential elections. This time, Morgan Stanley’s prudent strategy mitigates similar risks.
Beyond debt, xAI is in talks to raise $20 billion in equity, potentially valuing the company between $120 billion and $200 billion, sources said. In April, Musk hinted at a significant valuation adjustment for xAI, stating he was looking to put a “proper value” on xAI during an investor call.
As xAI pursues this $5 billion debt offering, its financial strategy positions it to lead the AI revolution, blending innovation with market opportunity.
Elon Musk
Tesla tops Cathie Wood’s stock picks, predicts $2,600 surge
Tesla’s future lies beyond cars—with robotaxis, humanoid bots & AI-driven factories. Cathie Wood predicts a 9x surge in 5 years.

Cathie Wood shared that Tesla is her top stock pick. During Steven Bartlett’s podcast “The Diary Of A CEO,” the Ark Invest founder highlighted Tesla’s innovative edge, citing its convergence of robotics, energy storage, and AI.
“Because think about it. It is a convergence among three of our major platforms. So, robots, energy storage, AI,” Wood said of Tesla. She emphasized the company’s potential beyond its current offerings, particularly with its Optimus robots.
“And it’s not stopping with robotaxis; there’s a story beyond that with humanoid robots, and our $2,600 number has nothing for humanoid robots. We just thought it’d be an investment, period,” she added.
In June 2024, Ark Invest issued a $2,600 price target for Tesla, which Wood reaffirmed in a March Bloomberg interview, projecting the stock to reach this level within five years. She told Bartlett that Tesla’s Optimus robots would drive productivity gains and create new revenue streams.
Elon Musk echoed Wood’s optimism in a CNBC interview last month.
“We expect to have thousands of Optimus robots working in Tesla factories by the end of this year, beginning this fall. And we expect to scale Optimus up faster than any product, I think, in history to get to millions of units per year as soon as possible,” Musk said.
Tesla’s stock has faced volatility lately, hitting a peak closing price of $479 in December after President Donald Trump’s election win. However, Musk’s involvement with the White House DOGE office triggered protests and boycotts, contributing to a stock decline of over 40% from mid-December highs by March.
The volatility in Tesla stock alarmed investors, who urged Musk to refocus on the company. In a May earnings call, Musk responded, stating he would be “scaling down his involvement with DOGE to focus on Tesla.” Through it all, Cathie Wood and Ark Invest maintained their faith in Tesla. Wood, in particular, predicted that the “brand damage” Tesla experienced earlier this year would not be long term.
Despite recent fluctuations, Wood’s confidence in Tesla underscores its potential to redefine industries through AI and robotics. As Musk shifts his focus back to Tesla, the company’s advancements in Optimus and other innovations could drive it toward Wood’s ambitious $2,600 target, positioning Tesla as a leader in the evolving tech landscape.
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