Investor's Corner
Tesla Model 3 in $35k Standard trim will have an AWD Dual Motor option
Tesla confirmed on Friday that the $35,000 Standard trim Model 3 could be upgraded with a dual motor AWD option.
The dual motor AWD upgrade costs $5,000 for the Long Range RWD version of the electric car. If Tesla does not adjust its pricing for the upgrade, a Standard trim Model 3 with dual motor AWD would likely be priced around $40,000. In comparison, Tesla’s Long Range Model 3 with dual motor AWD is priced at $54,000 before additional options such as premium paint, 19″ Sport Wheels, and Autopilot.
Yes
— Tesla (@Tesla) August 9, 2018
Tesla’s $35,000 Standard trim Model 3 is arguably one of the most anticipated vehicles in the company’s lineup. When Elon Musk wrote his Master Plan back in 2006, he mentioned using the money earned from the sales of medium-volume cars like the Model S and X to fund the development and release of an affordable, high-volume car. The Model 3 is that vehicle — a car designed to push Tesla into the mainstream car market. The $35,000 starting price of the Standard trim Model 3 is a huge draw to the vehicle, helping Tesla hit its record-breaking reservation numbers when it was unveiled back in 2016.
It could be said that the $35,000 base Model 3 is Tesla’s most ambitious vehicle to date. While it does not have all the bells and whistles of its more expensive siblings like the Model 3 Performance, the base Model 3 is still a capable electric car. Its battery pack, comprised of Tesla’s new 2170 cells, is expected to provide the vehicle with 220 miles of range per charge. The speed of the Standard trim Model 3 is not to be scoffed at, either, with its 0-60 mph time of 5.6 seconds and a top speed of 130 mph. The base Model 3 is also fitted with Tesla’s industry-leading safety systems, including 8 cameras, forward radar, and 12 ultrasonic sensors that enable features such as collision avoidance and automatic emergency braking.
Inasmuch as the $35,000 Standard trim Model 3 would likely be a huge success when it enters the market, Tesla’s production rollout for the vehicle has experienced delays as the company faced challenge after challenge over the past year. Musk explained these delays in an update on Twitter last May, when he stated that if Tesla manufactures the $35,000 Model 3 while the company’s production output is not optimized yet, it will cause Tesla to lose money.
With production, 1st you need achieve target rate & then smooth out flow to achieve target cost. Shipping min cost Model 3 right away wd cause Tesla to lose money & die. Need 3 to 6 months after 5k/wk to ship $35k Tesla & live.
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) May 21, 2018
An update to the $35,000 Standard trim Model 3 was announced by Elon Musk on the 2018 Annual Shareholder Meeting, when he stated that production of the Standard trim’s smaller battery pack would likely begin sometime at the end of the year. Musk also suggested that the vehicle would probably see a release in early 2019.
“Yes. We will definitely offer a $35,000 version of the Model 3. And probably at the end of this year is when we will be able to make a smaller version of the battery pack, and get into volume production of $35,000 version in Q1 next year. We would definitely honor that obligation, and we would do so right now if it were possible,” Musk said.
Tesla only makes three variants of the Model 3 today — the Long Range RWD, Dual Motor AWD, and Performance versions — but the vehicle is already starting to make an impact in the United States’ auto industry. In July alone, the Model 3 ranked seventh in GoodCarBadCar‘s list of America’s Top 20 best-selling vehicles list, which includes gas-powered cars like the Toyota Camry. Once the $35,000 Standard trim Model 3 enters the fray, Tesla’s newest electric car would likely command an even bigger piece of the car market.
Tesla bear Michael Burry got blunt with his beliefs over the company’s valuation, which he called “ridiculously overvalued” in a newsletter to subscribers this past weekend.
“Tesla’s market capitalization is ridiculously overvalued today and has been for a good long time,” Burry, who was the inspiration for the movie The Big Short, and was portrayed by Christian Bale.
Burry went on to say, “As an aside, the Elon cult was all-in on electric cars until competition showed up, then all-in on autonomous driving until competition showed up, and now is all-in on robots — until competition shows up.”
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For a long time, Burry has been skeptical of Tesla, its stock, and its CEO, Elon Musk, even placing a $530 million bet against shares several years ago. Eventually, Burry’s short position extended to other supporters of the company, including ARK Invest.
Tesla has long drawn skepticism from investors and more traditional analysts, who believe its valuation is overblown. However, the company is not traded as a traditional stock, something that other Wall Street firms have recognized.
While many believe the company has some serious pull as an automaker, an identity that helped it reach the valuation it has, Tesla has more than transformed into a robotics, AI, and self-driving play, pulling itself into the realm of some of the most recognizable stocks in tech.
Burry’s Scion Asset Management has put its money where its mouth is against Tesla stock on several occasions, but the firm has not yielded positive results, as shares have increased in value since 2020 by over 115 percent. The firm closed in May.
In 2020, it launched its short position, but by October 2021, it had ditched that position.
Tesla has had a tumultuous year on Wall Street, dipping significantly to around the $220 mark at one point. However, it rebounded significantly in September, climbing back up to the $400 region, as it currently trades at around $430.
It closed at $430.14 on Monday.
Investor's Corner
Mizuho keeps Tesla (TSLA) “Outperform” rating but lowers price target
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected.
Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh lowered Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) price target to $475 from $485, citing potential 2026 EV subsidy cuts in the U.S. and China that could pressure deliveries. The firm maintained its Outperform rating for the electric vehicle maker, however.
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected. The U.S. accounted for roughly 37% of Tesla’s third-quarter 2025 sales, while China represented about 34%, making both markets highly sensitive to policy shifts. Potential 50% cuts to Chinese subsidies and reduced U.S. incentives affected the firm’s outlook.
With those pressures factored in, the firm now expects Tesla to deliver 1.75 million vehicles in 2026 and 2 million in 2027, slightly below consensus estimates of 1.82 million and 2.15 million, respectively. The analyst was cautiously optimistic, as near-term pressure from subsidies is there, but the company’s long-term tech roadmap remains very compelling.
Despite the revised target, Mizuho remained optimistic on Tesla’s long-term technology roadmap. The firm highlighted three major growth drivers into 2027: the broader adoption of Full Self-Driving V14, the expansion of Tesla’s Robotaxi service, and the commercialization of Optimus, the company’s humanoid robot.
“We are lowering TSLA Ests/PT to $475 with Potential BEV headwinds in 2026E. We believe into 2026E, US (~37% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) EV subsidy cuts and China (34% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) potential 50% EV subsidy cuts could be a headwind to EV deliveries.
“We are now estimating TSLA deliveries for 2026/27E at 1.75M/2.00M (slightly below cons. 1.82M/2.15M). We see some LT drivers with FSD v14 adoption for autonomous, robotaxi launches, and humanoid robots into 2027 driving strength,” the analyst noted.
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) has landed an elusive “must own” status from Wall Street firm Melius, according to a new note released early this week.
Analyst Rob Wertheimer said Tesla will lead the charge in world-changing tech, given the company’s focus on self-driving, autonomy, and Robotaxi. In a note to investors, Wertheimer said “the world is about to change, dramatically,” because of the advent of self-driving cars.
He looks at the industry and sees many potential players, but the firm says there will only be one true winner:
“Our point is not that Tesla is at risk, it’s that everybody else is.”
The major argument is that autonomy is nearing a tipping point where years of chipping away at the software and data needed to develop a sound, safe, and effective form of autonomous driving technology turn into an avalanche of progress.
Wertheimer believes autonomy is a $7 trillion sector,” and in the coming years, investors will see “hundreds of billions in value shift to Tesla.”
A lot of the major growth has to do with the all-too-common “butts in seats” strategy, as Wertheimer believes that only a fraction of people in the United States have ridden in a self-driving car. In Tesla’s regard, only “tens of thousands” have tried Tesla’s latest Full Self-Driving (Supervised) version, which is v14.
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When it reaches a widespread rollout and more people are able to experience Tesla Full Self-Driving v14, he believes “it will shock most people.”
Citing things like Tesla’s massive data pool from its vehicles, as well as its shift to end-to-end neural nets in 2021 and 2022, as well as the upcoming AI5 chip, which will be put into a handful of vehicles next year, but will reach a wider rollout in 2027, Melius believes many investors are not aware of the pace of advancement in self-driving.
Tesla’s lead in its self-driving efforts is expanding, Wertheimer says. The company is making strategic choices on everything from hardware to software, manufacturing, and overall vehicle design. He says Tesla has left legacy automakers struggling to keep pace as they still rely on outdated architectures and fragmented supplier systems.
Tesla shares are up over 6 percent at 10:40 a.m. on the East Coast, trading at around $416.
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