Investor's Corner
Elon Musk’s near-$10M TSLA investment makes his battle with short-sellers personal
On Monday afternoon, Tesla CEO Elon Musk purchased nearly $10M in Tesla stock (NASDAQ:TSLA). Just a week after an eventful earnings call with analysts and a Youtuber, Musk added 27,097 shares of Tesla to his portfolio. To add some perspective, that’s just .08% of Musk’s total 33,665,421 shares in the company, worth north of $10.2B.
Musk’s stock purchase today wasn’t about increasing his ownership in the company; he has a hefty stock compensation plan for that. Musk was sending a message to the short-sellers of TSLA. The number of short-sellers has surpassed Musk’s holding for the first time in history, now rumored to be near 40M shares.
As of the last reporting date, 4/9/18 (available on 4/24/18), there were 38,258,654 shares held short in the company. That’s the highest in Tesla’s history, making the electric car maker the most shorted company by the amount of equity at stake. There will be an update on the total size of the Tesla short position this Wednesday after markets close, so stay tuned.
While this is nothing new for Tesla, Musk is starting to take it personally. His company is being hit every which way in the media, and that doesn’t feel good. I mean, Bloomberg created a graphic of Musk burning cash with his own flamethrowers, that can’t feel good.
Bloomberg’s Graphic depicting Musk burning Tesla’s cash with his own ‘Boring Company’ flamethrowers.
Graphic: Bloomberg/Getty Image (Animation: Hannah Recht for Bloomberg)
Typically over the past few years, Musk has made several statements acknowledging the high-value the market has placed on his company. Musk’s tone changed last week.
“Oh and uh, short burn of the century coming soon. Flamethrowers should arrive just in time,” Musk tweeted after the company announced they had burned upwards of $1B in free cash flow.
So why should short sellers believe Musk?
Valid question. The very notion of a short position makes it clear they do not believe in Musk. But history is on Musk’s side.
Let’s flashback to April 2013. At the time, I owned shares at Tesla, purchasing the stock just 8 months earlier, shy of $30/share. This was when the Model S production ramp issues and cash burn plagued Tesla’s stock. But on April 1, 2013, Tesla told investors that they should expect a quarterly profit to be reported for the first quarter. The stock shot up 16% that day and continued to rally for several months, gaining 455% over the next 6 months.
Just before these massive gains, Musk warned in a Fox Business interview that he thinks “it is very unwise to be shorting Tesla, it’s very unwise. There is a tsunami of hurt coming for the shorts.”
Musk is again facing similar challenges with the Model 3 — production ramp issues, a media blitz, and a massive amount of cash being burned. While it is still to be seen if Musk and the Tesla team of 42,022 employees can impress investors, I certainly wouldn’t be sleeping comfortably with a Tesla short position.
When asked on Twitter how this ‘upcoming pain’ for shorts compares to the last round, Musk responded with, “It will be next level. These are really big numbers.”
Disclaimer: This column does not necessarily reflect the opinion of Teslarati and its owners. Christian Prenzler does not have a position in Tesla Inc. or any of its competitors and does not have plans to do so in the next 30 days.
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) closed at an all-time high on Tuesday, jumping over 3 percent during the day and finishing at $489.88.
The price beats the previous record close, which was $479.86.
Shares have had a crazy year, dipping more than 40 percent from the start of the year. The stock then started to recover once again around late April, when its price started to climb back up from the low $200 level.
This week, Tesla started to climb toward its highest levels ever, as it was revealed on Sunday that the company was testing driverless Robotaxis in Austin. The spike in value pushed the company’s valuation to $1.63 trillion.
Tesla Robotaxi goes driverless as Musk confirms Safety Monitor removal testing
It is the seventh-most valuable company on the market currently, trailing Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet (Google), Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta.
Shares closed up $14.57 today, up over 3 percent.
The stock has gone through a lot this year, as previously mentioned. Shares tumbled in Q1 due to CEO Elon Musk’s involvement with the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which pulled his attention away from his companies and left a major overhang on their valuations.
However, things started to rebound halfway through the year, and as the government started to phase out the $7,500 tax credit, demand spiked as consumers tried to take advantage of it.
Q3 deliveries were the highest in company history, and Tesla responded to the loss of the tax credit with the launch of the Model 3 and Model Y Standard.
Additionally, analysts have announced high expectations this week for the company on Wall Street as Robotaxi continues to be the focus. With autonomy within Tesla’s sights, things are moving in the direction of Robotaxi being a major catalyst for growth on the Street in the coming year.
Elon Musk
Tesla needs to come through on this one Robotaxi metric, analyst says
“We think the key focus from here will be how fast Tesla can scale driverless operations (including if Tesla’s approach to software/hardware allows it to scale significantly faster than competitors, as the company has argued), and on profitability.”
Tesla needs to come through on this one Robotaxi metric, Mark Delaney of Goldman Sachs says.
Tesla is in the process of rolling out its Robotaxi platform to areas outside of Austin and the California Bay Area. It has plans to launch in five additional cities, including Houston, Dallas, Miami, Las Vegas, and Phoenix.
However, the company’s expansion is not what the focus needs to be, according to Delaney. It’s the speed of deployment.
The analyst said:
“We think the key focus from here will be how fast Tesla can scale driverless operations (including if Tesla’s approach to software/hardware allows it to scale significantly faster than competitors, as the company has argued), and on profitability.”
Profitability will come as the Robotaxi fleet expands. Making that money will be dependent on when Tesla can initiate rides in more areas, giving more customers access to the program.
There are some additional things that the company needs to make happen ahead of the major Robotaxi expansion, one of those things is launching driverless rides in Austin, the first city in which it launched the program.
This week, Tesla started testing driverless Robotaxi rides in Austin, as two different Model Y units were spotted with no occupants, a huge step in the company’s plans for the ride-sharing platform.
Tesla Robotaxi goes driverless as Musk confirms Safety Monitor removal testing
CEO Elon Musk has been hoping to remove Safety Monitors from Robotaxis in Austin for several months, first mentioning the plan to have them out by the end of 2025 in September. He confirmed on Sunday that Tesla had officially removed vehicle occupants and started testing truly unsupervised rides.
Although Safety Monitors in Austin have been sitting in the passenger’s seat, they have still had the ability to override things in case of an emergency. After all, the ultimate goal was safety and avoiding any accidents or injuries.
Goldman Sachs reiterated its ‘Neutral’ rating and its $400 price target. Delaney said, “Tesla is making progress with its autonomous technology,” and recent developments make it evident that this is true.
Investor's Corner
Tesla gets bold Robotaxi prediction from Wall Street firm
Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) received a bold Robotaxi prediction from Morgan Stanley, which anticipates a dramatic increase in the size of the company’s autonomous ride-hailing suite in the coming years.
Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.
Percoco dug into the Robotaxi fleet and its expansion in the coming years in his latest note, released on Tuesday. The firm expects Tesla to increase the Robotaxi fleet size to 1,000 vehicles in 2026. However, that’s small-scale compared to what they expect from Tesla in a decade.
Tesla expands Robotaxi app access once again, this time on a global scale
By 2035, Morgan Stanley believes there will be one million Robotaxis on the road across multiple cities, a major jump and a considerable fleet size. We assume this means the fleet of vehicles Tesla will operate internally, and not including passenger-owned vehicles that could be added through software updates.
He also listed three specific catalysts that investors should pay attention to, as these will represent the company being on track to achieve its Robotaxi dreams:
- Opening Robotaxi to the public without a Safety Monitor. Timing is unclear, but it appears that Tesla is getting closer by the day.
- Improvement in safety metrics without the Safety Monitor. Tesla’s ability to improve its safety metrics as it scales miles driven without the Safety Monitor is imperative as it looks to scale in new states and cities in 2026.
- Cybercab start of production, targeted for April 2026. Tesla’s Cybercab is a purpose-built vehicle (no steering wheel or pedals, only two seats) that is expected to be produced through its state-of-the-art unboxed manufacturing process, offering further cost reductions and thus accelerating adoption over time.
Robotaxi stands to be one of Tesla’s most significant revenue contributors, especially as the company plans to continue expanding its ride-hailing service across the world in the coming years.
Its current deployment strategy is controlled and conservative to avoid any drastic and potentially program-ruining incidents.
So far, the program, which is active in Austin and the California Bay Area, has been widely successful.
Tesla China delivery centers look packed as 2025 comes to a close
Tesla Giga Berlin draws “red line” over IG Metall union’s 35-hour week demands
