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Analysts cut Rivian price targets amid tariff concerns  

Baird drops Rivian’s price target to $14 while Bernstein slashes to $6.10. Rising costs + tariff pressure weigh on RIVN before Q1 earnings.

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(Credit: Rivian)

Analysts have cut Rivian price targets (PT) amid concerns over President Trump’s tariffs.

Baird is the latest investment firm to cut its Rivian price target. Baird analysts slashed Rivian’s PT from $16 to $14 while maintaining a Neutral rating ahead of the electric vehicle (EV) maker’s Q1 2025 earnings. Baird’s downgrade reflects caution in the sustainable energy and mobility sectors through late 2025.

Rivian reported producing 14,611 vehicles and delivering 8,640 in the first quarter at its Normal, Illinois plant. The company reaffirmed its full-year delivery guidance of “46,000 to 51,000” units, holding steady despite headwinds.

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Baird’s adjustment aligns with broader market uncertainties impacting Rivian’s outlook. Based on GuruFocus, the firm joins 29 analysts setting an average one-year price target of $14.54 for Rivian, with estimates ranging from a high of $23.00 to a low of $6.10.

Bernstein maintained its Underperform rating for Rivian, giving the EV automaker a $6.10 price target. The firm’s forecast suggests Rivian could drop 47% from Friday’s $11.47 close. Bernstein’s Rivian prediction cites rising tariff pressures and financial challenges, particularly with tariffs on imported batteries set to increase in May.

“We expect Rivian to discontinue its Lithium Iron Phosphate (LFP) variants, downgrade volume, and EBIT guidance, and be forced to consider raising fresh equity,” analysts led by Daniel Roeska wrote.

Bernstein slashed Rivian’s 2025 delivery forecast to 37,000 units, 20% below the automaker’s guidance midpoint. It also projects a negative $2.2 billion adjusted EBITDA for Rivian in Q1 2025. Analysts also flagged risks to Rivian’s gross profit breakeven goal, which is tied to Volkswagen’s planned $1 billion equity investment.

RBC Capital also trimmed its price target for Rivian to $10, anticipating a Q1 sales uptick from tariff-driven demand but warning that earnings may not fully capture trade impacts.

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Rivian’s Q1 earnings, scheduled for May 6 after market close, will shed light on its ability to navigate tariffs and financial pressures. While the EV maker maintains its production goals, analysts signal a bumpy road ahead as costs rise and market dynamics shift. Rivian’s focus on scaling remains critical, but tariff burdens and equity needs could test its resilience in a competitive EV landscape.

Maria--aka "M"-- is an experienced writer and book editor. She's written about several topics including health, tech, and politics. As a book editor, she's worked with authors who write Sci-Fi, Romance, and Dark Fantasy. M loves hearing from TESLARATI readers. If you have any tips or article ideas, contact her at maria@teslarati.com or via X, @Writer_01001101.

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Tesla Model Y wins 2026 Drive Car of the Year award in Australia

The Model Y is already Australia’s best-selling EV in 2025 and the tenth best-selling vehicle overall.

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Credit: Tesla

The Tesla Model Y has been named 2026 Drive Car of the Year overall winner, taking the top honor after being judged as the vehicle that “moves the game forward the most for Australian new car buyers.” 

The Model Y is already Australia’s best-selling EV in 2025 and the tenth best-selling vehicle overall, but the vehicle’s Juniper update strengthened its case with new ownership benefits and expanded software capability.

Drive’s overall award compares category winners and looks at which model most significantly advances the local new car market. In 2026, judges pointed to the Model Y’s five-year warranty and the availability of Full Self-Driving (Supervised) as a monthly subscription as key differentiators.

Priced from AU$58,900 before on-road costs, the all-electric crossover SUV offers a lot of value compared to similarly sized petrol and hybrid rivals. The ability to access Tesla’s Supercharger network across Australia also reduces friction for buyers moving to EV ownership.

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Owners can add FSD (Supervised) for AU$149 per month. While it still requires driver oversight, the system expands the vehicle’s advanced driver-assistance capabilities and reflects Tesla’s software-first approach.

“The default choice for a reason. The Tesla Model Y makes the transition to electric both effortless and rewarding,” Drive wrote.

The 2025 Model Y facelift also sharpened the vehicle’s exterior, highlighted by a distinctive rear light bar that gives the crossover SUV a more modern road presence.

Drive described the Model Y as a benchmark for combining practicality, efficiency and technology at an accessible price point. With eligibility for federal Fringe Benefit Tax exemptions through novated leasing, its value proposition has improved for numerous buyers.

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For 2026, the Model Y’s combination of range efficiency, charging access and software capability proved decisive. Ultimately, the award all but cements the Model Y’s position as one of the most influential vehicles in Australia’s evolving new-car market today.

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Elon Musk reiterates rapid Starship V3 timeline with next launch in sight

Musk shared the update in a brief post on X, writing, “Starship flies again next month.”

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Credit: SpaceX/X

Elon Musk has confirmed that Starship will fly again next month, reiterating SpaceX’s aggressive timeline for the first launch of its Starship V3 rocket.

Musk shared the update in a brief post on X, writing, “Starship flies again next month.” The CEO’s post was accompanied by a video of Starship’s Super Heavy booster being successfully caught by a launch tower in Starbase, Texas. 

The timeline is notable. In late January, Musk stated that Starship’s next flight, Flight 12, was expected in about six weeks. This placed the expected mission date sometime in March. That estimate aligned with SpaceX’s earlier statement that Starship’s 12th flight test “remains targeted for the first quarter of 2026.”

If the vehicle does indeed fly next month, it would mark the debut of Starship V3, the upgraded platform expected to feature the rocket’s new Raptor V3 engines.

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Raptor V3 is designed to deliver significantly higher thrust than earlier versions while reducing cost and weight. Starship V3 itself is expected to be optimized for manufacturability, a critical step if SpaceX intends to scale production toward frequent launches for Starlink, lunar missions, and eventually Mars.

Starship V3 is widely viewed as the version that transitions the program from experimental testing to true operational scaling. Previous iterations have completed multiple integrated flight tests, with mixed outcomes but steady progress. Expectations are high that SpaceX is now working on Starship’s refinement.

An aggressive launch schedule supports several priorities at once. It advances Starlink’s next-generation satellite deployment, supports NASA’s lunar ambitions under Artemis, and keeps SpaceX on track for its longer-term Moon and Mars objectives.

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Tesla Model Y L six-seater approved for Australia ahead of launch

The variant was listed as YL5NDB on the Australian government’s ROVER approval website.

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Credit: Tesla Asia/X

Tesla’s six-seat, extended-wheelbase Model Y L has been approved for sale in Australia, as per newly published government documents.

The variant, listed as YL5NDB on the Australian government’s ROVER approval website, has confirmed that Tesla has received regulatory clearance to offer the extended Model Y to domestic customers.

Documents seen by Drive show that the Model Y L has been approved in Australia in a single dual-motor, all-wheel-drive configuration. While Tesla has not formally announced a launch date, vehicles are typically approved for Australian sale several months before arriving in showrooms.

The Model Y L is a longer version of the regular Model Y, designed to accommodate a six-seat layout with two seats in each row. It measures 177mm longer overall than the regular Model Y, at 4969mm, and features a 150mm longer wheelbase at 3040mm.

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Australian approval documents list the Model Y L with the same nickel-manganese-cobalt battery pack used in the regular Model Y Long Range, which is expected to have a gross capacity of about 84kWh and a usable capacity of about 82kWh. Output is officially listed at 378kW in government filings, though real-world peak output may differ.

The Model Y L replaces the regular Model Y’s second-row bench with two captain’s chairs featuring heating, ventilation, and power adjustment. Heated third-row seats are also included.

Additional upgrades reported by Drive include an 18-speaker sound system, new front seats with single-piece backrests, and continuously variable shock absorbers. The only wheel option listed for the Australian model is 19-inch wheels.

In Europe, where the Model Y L has also received approval but has not yet launched, the variant is expected to claim up to 681km of WLTP range.

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