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SpaceX continues commercial launch market dominance with even more contracts

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SpaceX’s Falcon 9 rocket has secured at least two more commercial launch contracts, continuing the company’s dominance in the commercial launch market.

On September 17th, commercial satellite operator Intelsat revealed the completion of a $390 million contract to launch six new satellites in 2022 – split 4:2 between SpaceX and European competitor Arianespace. Intelsat also retained the option to select between SpaceX and Arianespace for the launch of a seventh communications satellite in 2023. For the first six satellites, three pairs have been assigned to three rockets (two Falcon 9 and one Ariane 5). Of the seven future Intelsat spacecraft, five will be built by Maxar with the remaining two to be built by Northrop Grumman.

The announcement comes just six weeks after satellite operator SES announced two new contracts with SpaceX and ULA to launch 4-5 communications satellites – also in 2022. The motivation behind all ~12 satellites is effectively the same: transfer existing geostationary satellite communications services to new satellites using a different spectrum. If successful, any company that succeeds in clearing a particular subset of the “C-Band” spectrum to make way for 5G mobile networks is eligible to receive billions of dollars from the Federal Communications Commission (FCC).

Intelsat declined to explain how the $390 million it was budgeting for all seven launches would be allocated. Based on Ariane 5’s past performance, it would be reasonable to assume that the two satellites manifested on the rocket will cost Intelsat at least $175 million, though the company technically announced plans to cut the rocket’s launch costs by ~40% in 2019 to compete with SpaceX. Assuming $175 million for the Ariane 5 contract, Intelsat could pay $80 million apiece for both Falcon 9 launches and still have $55 million left to launch the seventh satellite – possibly enough for another dedicated Falcon 9 contract.

Regardless, the news continues a relentless train of launch contract wins for SpaceX and likely represents the ninth contract the company has secured in 2020 alone. As of September, that means that SpaceX has won almost three new contracts for every single commercial mission it’s launched in 2020. Even excluding three Falcon 9 launch contracts created by the artificial bubble of geostationary satellite production triggered by the FCC’s C-band transition, SpaceX is far beyond the break-even point this year.

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A Falcon 9 booster successfully completed a sixth orbital-class launch and landing for the first time on August 18th. (Richard Angle)

SpaceX’s latest Intelsat contracts mean that the company now has more than 40 launches – entirely excluding Starlink – scheduled in 2022 and 2023. On top of that growing commercial manifest, SpaceX still aspires to launch at least 24 Starlink missions annually. Assuming the company is able boost its annual cadence by ~50%, it’s reasonable to assume that SpaceX will easily be able to sustain 30+ launches annually over the next 3-4 years, if not longer.

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Eric Ralph is Teslarati's senior spaceflight reporter and has been covering the industry in some capacity for almost half a decade, largely spurred in 2016 by a trip to Mexico to watch Elon Musk reveal SpaceX's plans for Mars in person. Aside from spreading interest and excitement about spaceflight far and wide, his primary goal is to cover humanity's ongoing efforts to expand beyond Earth to the Moon, Mars, and elsewhere.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla gets its latest short from Michael Burry: ‘Happy it jumped back to this level’

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Credit: MarcoRP | X

Tesla short seller Michael Burry, the subject of the film “The Big Short,” where he was portrayed by Steve Carell, has revealed he has opened a new bet against the stock.

In a new update to his Substack newsletter in a post titled “Trading Post June 30, 2026,” Burry revealed a new set of bets against Tesla, Caterpillar, NVIDIA, Applied Materials Inc., and the iShares Semiconductor ETF.

In regard to Tesla, Burry wrote:

“And finally I shorted Tesla at 416.22. Happy it jumped back to this level.”

This means Burry likely opened his new short position after the company’s recent rally on Wall Street, which saw Tesla shares sink in mid-May, only to recover to well over the $400 mark. Currently, shares trade at around $427.

The company saw a big Tuesday as shares climbed considerably, over 10 percent. The size of the Tesla short was not provided, nor did Burry give any information on the position’s structure, the number of shares, dollar value, or whether options were used in the short.

The Tesla and SpaceX merger everyone is talking about is quietly building

Over the years, Burry has been one of the more vocal critics of Tesla, calling its share price “media inflated,” and saying it was “ridiculously overvalued” as recently as December.

The company has largely transitioned away from being known as an automotive company and instead is much more widely regarded as an AI play, mostly due to its Full Self-Driving efforts, Optimus robot development, and data collection related to both.

This has not pulled those skeptics away from being vocal about their distaste for how Tesla is valued, but there’s no denying that the company is a global force in many things, including sustainable energy, automotive, and AI.

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Investor's Corner

SpaceX gets initial stock coverage from Tesla’s biggest bull

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SpaceX Starship V3 flight 12
SpaceX Starship V3 flight 12 (Credit: SpaceX)

Wedbush Securities is initiating stock coverage on SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX), marking the first comments on the company since it went public several weeks ago. Wedbush and its analyst handling coverage, Dan Ives, are widely bullish on fellow Musk company Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA).

Ives wrote his first note initiating coverage of SpaceX shares on Wednesday with a $190 price target and an ‘Outperform’ rating. The firm believes the company is well positioned off of its IPO because of its wide array of projects, including AI compute power and infrastructure, connectivity projects, and launches.

“We view SpaceX as one of the most differentiated assets within the tech market with a strong footprint across its three core markets, with Starlink driving success with connectivity,” Ives wrote, “Starship launches leading to a demand flywheel and increasing deal flow for its Colossus clusters.”

Elon Musk called it Epic: The full story of SpaceX’s Starship Flight 12

Wedbush leans heavily on Starlink, which they say is the “profitability driver given the strength of its recurring revenue base of ~12 million subscribers as of June 5th.” Ives believes Starlink is still in the “early innings” of penetrating the global telecommunications and broadband market, as it only holds less than a 1 percent share. However, this number is sure to increase over time.

It also highlights the importance of Starship, which it says is an “essential layer” of SpaceX’s overall success. SpaceX developing and displaying the ability to reuse rockets is a major cost and reliability advantage “as it reduces the necessary hardware launch costs while generating a feedback loop for future flights to improve their launch flight rate without accelerating capex spend.”

Finally, SpaceX’s recent AI/Compute projects are also very elementary, Ives writes. It is worth mentioning Wedbush said its $190 price target is derived from a valuation forecast that sees the company yielding roughly $2.48 trillion of implied enterprise value.

There are also some factors that Wedbush did not take into account with its initial coverage. The firm wrote in the note:

“We note that there is optional value coming from Starship’s accelerating scale towards sub-$200/kg unit economics, orbital data centers, and enterprise AI monetization as these factors could drive meaningful upside but these face major hurdles, so we do not take that into account with our valuation.”

SpaceX shares are down just over 2 percent today, trading at around $167 at the time of publication.

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Tesla expands massive safety feature worldwide in latest update

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla has expanded the footprint of a massive safety feature worldwide with a recent Software Update labeled as 2026.20.6. The expansion of the “Blind Spot Warning While Parked” feature represents the more widespread availability of the feature, which aims to prevent “dooring.”

Dooring is when a driver or passenger opens a car door into the path of an oncoming road user, usually a cyclist or motorcyclist. It is among the most common types of cycling accidents, the League of American Bicyclists says.

For this reason, Tesla created a feature that warns occupants not to open the door because an object is approaching. The feature will sound a chime, and it will also delay the opening of the door to prevent an incident.

The release notes state (via Not a Tesla App):

“If you attempt to open a door while an approaching object is detected in your blind spot (for example, a bicyclist approaching from behind) a chime sounds, and your door will not open upon initial button press. Wait a short time and press the button a second time to override the warning.”

Tesla initially rolled out this feature back in 2024 with the Model 3 “Highland.” However, it remained with the Model 3 exclusively for over a year; that was until Tesla added it to the Cybertruck this past Spring.

Now, it is making its way to the new Model Y, 2021 and newer Model S, and 2021 or newer Model X.

The prevention of dooring incidents could eliminate many injuries to cyclists, especially in an urban setting. Dooring accounts for 10-20 percent of bike-related crashes in major cities, and over 17,000 dooring-related incidents were treated in the U.S. over the course of a decade. These usually involve fractures, contusions, and head trauma.

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