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SpaceX eyes several Falcon 9 reusability firsts on 25th launch this year

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SpaceX says that it’s successfully static fired its second-most flight-proven Falcon 9 booster ahead of the company’s 25th launch this year, potentially marking several reusability firsts.

SpaceX’s routine static fire tweet confirmed that a Falcon 9 rocket is now ready to support the launch of Sirius XM’s SXM-7 radio satellite no earlier than (NET) 11:20 am EST (UTC-5), Friday, December 11th. A follow-up tweet further confirmed that Falcon 9 booster B1051 – the second to ever complete six orbital-class launches and landings – is scheduled to support the mission on its seventh flight less than three weeks after Falcon 9 B1049 became the first to do so.

Falcon 9 booster B1051 lifts off from Pad 39A with 60 new Starlink satellites on its sixth flight. (SpaceX)

Further, SpaceX says that its SXM-7 launch will reuse half of the payload fairing first flown (and first caught) in July, making SXM-7 the first commercial launch ever to feature (part of) a flight-proven fairing. Impressively, the fact that launch customer and satellite manufacturer Maxar has signed off on the use of a flight-proven Falcon fairing essentially confirms that SpaceX has been fully successful in its fairing recovery and reuse efforts.

Pictured on their decks shortly after returning to port, one of the two fairing halves caught by Ms. Tree and Ms. Chief on July 20th will be flown again on SXM-7. (Richard Angle)

For reasons both essential and traditional, most modern satellites are built inside certified cleanroom facilities, spending the entirety of their suborbital lives – launch included – in meticulously controlled environments. That expectation of extreme cleanliness extends inside the launch vehicle fairing, posing a major hurdle for any attempt to reuse those fairings on similar missions. SpaceX has sidestepped the challenge of fairing contamination by simultaneously building its own Starlink satellites to tolerate a less than surgical environment inside a fairing and working to perfect fairing catches.

By catching fairings in giant shipborne nets, SpaceX aimed to avoid a vast majority of the contamination caused by recovering fairing halves from the ocean surface. Maxar’s acceptance of exactly that kind of caught fairing half on a commercial satellite launch all but confirms that SpaceX has found a cost-effective solution for commercial-grade fairing reuse, likely giving willing customers yet another way to cut the cost of launch in the near future.

Meanwhile and even more significantly, SXM-7 will also mark the first time that SpaceX has reused a four-, five-, or six-flight Falcon 9 booster on a fully commercial launch. That surprising leapfrog means that at least one major satellite manufacturer, satellite operator, and launch insurer has become so confident in SpaceX booster reuse that any perceived risk added by jumping from a three-flight to a six-flight booster pales in comparison to the (still fairly minor) cost of waiting a month or two for a less-flown Falcon 9.

B1051 sails back to port on October 21st after its sixth successful launch. (Richard Angle)

Adding to the pile of milestones, Falcon 9 booster B1051 will have spent just 54 days between its sixth and seventh flights if SXM-7 launches on time, making it the third fastest turnaround in SpaceX history. In other words, SpaceX will prove that six-flight Falcon boosters are just as fast and easy to refurbish as boosters with just two (B1058) or three (B1060) flights under their belt.

Eric Ralph is Teslarati's senior spaceflight reporter and has been covering the industry in some capacity for almost half a decade, largely spurred in 2016 by a trip to Mexico to watch Elon Musk reveal SpaceX's plans for Mars in person. Aside from spreading interest and excitement about spaceflight far and wide, his primary goal is to cover humanity's ongoing efforts to expand beyond Earth to the Moon, Mars, and elsewhere.

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SpaceX AI investment gamble will make it a big winner, firm says

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Credit: SpaceX

SpaceX’s massive investment in AI will make it a big winner, Argus Research said after the company’s successful earnings call last week.

The firm also upgraded shares to a Buy from Hold and set a $160 price target.

SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) is currently recovering from its heavy AI infrastructure investments, as it spent nearly $16 billion in Q2 alone. The company did this primarily by monetizing high-demand GPU compute capacity at a much faster pace than traditional data center economics would suggest.

Company CFO Bret Johnsen said that SpaceX would be able to pay back anything on new deployments within a year.

There are plenty of ways the company can do this:

Leasing excess compute capacity through contracts

SpaceX has already built Colossus and Colossus II, largely for its own model training. However, much of that capacity is already rented out to third parties. It already has major deals with Anthropic, Google, and Reflection AI. These partnerships are adding billions per month to SpaceX’s spreadsheet.

SpaceX is charging Anthropic massive money for its compute

High utilization driven by industry-wide scarcity

The demand for advanced AI training and inference capacity continues to exceed what is available for use. SpaceX can fill new racks quickly after they come online, so the capital deployed converts into revenue with minimal idle time.

Additionally, management and outside observers have described the new compute capital as behaving more like a cost-of-goods-sold than traditional multi-year capex, especially because of this rapid monetization pattern.

Capacity has already scaled from ~0.4 GW a year to 1.4 GW annually by the end of Q2. There are targets of more than 2 GW by year-end.

High incremental margins on the rental business once capacity is online

GPU cloud providers often operate at strong gross margins. SpaceX can monetize capacity that was already partially built or can be added efficiently. This means that incremental EBITDA margins on the rental revenue are usually high. This accelerates cash recovery relative to the gross capital outlay.

Parallel monetization of its own AI software and applications

Beyond pure infrastructure rental, SpaceX also generates revenue from Grok through subscriptions and usage, from X through ads, data, and other related services, enterprise APIs, and the planned integration of the Cursor coding tools acquisition.

These application layers ride on the same compute infrastructure and provide additional high-margin streams that could offset build-out costs. AI-segment revenue overall rose sharply to about $2.6 billion in Q2, according to Motley Fool. This was driven primarily by the infrastructure contracts, but the software side is also partially responsible.

Efficient, large-scale deployment and vertical integration advantages

SpaceX has emphasized the rapid construction of power and cooling infrastructure and favorable cost-per-megawatt economics relative to industry benchmarks in some disclosures.

Combined with its ability to scale capacity aggressively and the fact that many contracts start generating revenue within months of capacity coming online, the effective payback compresses dramatically compared with more conventional multi-year data-center projects.

SpaceX’s dominant near-term recovery path will turn the AI clusters into a hyperscale-style compute rental business for other leading AI companies while still using a portion for internal models.

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Tesla headlights cause recall of over 20,000 Model 3 and Model Y

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Tesla headlights have caused a recall of over 20,000 of the company’s two most popular vehicles, the Model 3 and Model Y, due to the low-beam bulb exceeding the maximum allowed intensity according to federal standards.

Tesla initiated the recall with the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) this morning, stating that the low-beam output “exceeds the maximum allowed intensity in the outer upper-right and outer upper-left areas of the 10U and 90U zone, as prescribed in FMVSS No. 108.”

Tesla sourced the impacted headlights from Marelli Automotive Lighting, a Mexico-based company. The recall impacts 2020-2023 Model Y vehicles and 2017-2023 Model 3 vehicles. It is estimated that every VIN in this recall is impacted by the defect.

Typically, Tesla would remedy recalls of this nature through an Over-the-Air software update, which has been a major focus of criticism by the company and its supporters because the NHTSA still refers to it as a “recall,” even though it requires no action by the vehicle owner. The fix is shipped over the internet and downloaded to the car.

However, there appears to be a potentially different solution for this problem. Tesla has not developed a remedy for this issue, so it could potentially be on the way. The big issue appears to be the fact that these recalled lamps are out of production, and this is an old body style for both vehicles. The headlights and front-end designs are completely different.

Tesla switched to another supplier when the affected headlight design was discontinued. It plans to begin notifying owners of their remedy options by September 15.

Tesla filed a petition protesting the recall to fix the vehicles’ headlight issue, but the NHTSA denied it. Now, Tesla will come up with a solution to fix it.

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Another Tesla SpaceX merger prediction by ARK Invest has Elon Musk talking

Elon Musk again denies a Tesla China split as new SpaceX merger speculation resurfaces quickly.

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Elon Musk restated that Tesla has no plans to separate its China business from the rest of the company, responding to a new round of merger speculation from ARK Invest.

On the firm’s “Brainstorm” podcast, Cathie Wood’s team, including chief futurist Brett Winton and research director Nick Grous, argued a Tesla and SpaceX combination remains likely, with an announcement possible before the end of the year even if the deal itself would not close that quickly. Winton called Tesla’s Shanghai operations a “small ish wrinkle” for a merger rather than a real obstacle, since SpaceX’s national security work with the U.S. government sits uneasily next to Tesla’s manufacturing base in China.

Musk pushed back on the framing directly. “China is awesome. I strongly encourage people to visit,” he wrote on X. He also repeated language he first used in late July, when the Wall Street Journal reported that Tesla executives had been told to prepare for a possible spinoff, sale, or closure of the China business ahead of a SpaceX tie up. Musk called that report “absurdly fake news” at the time, adding that a separation had “never even come up in a discussion ever,” a line he echoed again this week.

The repeated denial has not settled the underlying question, because Shanghai’s role in Tesla’s business is exactly what makes a merger complicated. Gigafactory Shanghai still ships more than half of Tesla’s global deliveries and functions as the company’s main export hub for Europe and Asia. Teslarati previously reported on Musk’s initial denial, and the merger conversation itself has been building since SpaceX’s IPO gave it public shares to use as acquisition currency.

Wedbush’s Dan Ives has pegged the odds of a Tesla SpaceX merger at 80 to 90 percent by early 2027, and ARK’s prediction of a year end announcement adds another data point to that timeline, even as Musk keeps rejecting the specific mechanics reporters have described. Neither position rules out the other. Musk can deny a China spinoff was ever discussed while analysts still expect some form of combination to move forward, since ARK and Ives are both describing convergence at the corporate level, not necessarily the internal restructuring the Journal described in July.

For now, Tesla’s China business remains intact, and Musk’s comments this week make clear he has no interest in publicly walking that position back, no matter how often the merger question resurfaces.

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