Investor's Corner
Tesla Autopilot Option May Cost $67k to Retrofit
Unless you’ve been hiding under a rock for the last few weeks you’ve likely been blasted with news about the Tesla Autopilot option. Like many existing Model S owners, I drooled over the thought of having the dual motor option along (the “D”) and the autopilot / automatic cruise control (ACC).
RELATED: A First-hand Account of the Tesla D Event
This led to a very public outcry by a group of soon-to-be Model S owners that happened to miss the mark by placing their order days before the new features were announced. In other words, their Model S won’t be bundled with these new Tesla D options.
I digress but I personally think they need to get over it. Technology advances continuously (especially with Mr. Musk behind the wheel) and your choice to purchase the car at the time that you do is just that – your decision.
So, what if you could upgrade your existing Model S with the Tesla D options? How much would something like that cost?
Labor is Costly
Tesla’s official answer on whether Tesla Autopilot can be retrofitted is “No” and that is not going to change anytime soon. The changes are extensive, invasive and need to be done when the car is being built.
Our friend TeslaTap estimates that it would cost a staggering $67,000 if Tesla were to retrofit older Model S with the autopilot feature.
It’s less labor intensive and more economical if one were to integrate the hardware and electronics during the construction of the Model S versus having to dismantle the vehicle, build new mounting provisions, re-wire, installing new hardware, and reassemble the car after the upgrades were in place.
A retrofit just doesn’t make economical or logistical sense and is likely why Tesla does not offer it as an option for existing Model S owners. Let alone, Tesla Service Centers wouldn’t be equipped or have the capacity to handle such an extensive retrofit.
What Would a Tesla Autopilot Retrofit Consist Of?
For starters, the Model S would need to be completely re-wired to account for the autopilot hardware consisting of long-range radars, ultrasonic sensors, new camera equipment and new front nose cone sensors. The entire front and rear fascia of the vehicle would also need to be removed in order to access the new mounting position. The Tesla D option also brings new electric brakes – all-around – and electronic brake controllers to be paired with the autopilot feature.
TeslaTap estimates that the cost of parts would run somewhere around $20k – not too terrible considering this would represent approximately 15% of the price of a fully loaded Model S. But, the kicker? Labor. 269 hours of it.
Tesla Service Centers bill at $175/ hour which tacks on an additional $47,075 in labor costs. This brings a grand total of over $67,000 for parts and labor if one were to truly consider retrofitting Tesla autopilot to the Model S.
It’s no wonder why Tesla Motors will not consider retrofitting existing Model S owners with the new autopilot feature – no matter how loudly they complain. Not retrofitting existing cars will likely create a burgeoning Tesla secondary market.
Hmmm … interesting.
Source: TeslaTap
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) closed at an all-time high on Tuesday, jumping over 3 percent during the day and finishing at $489.88.
The price beats the previous record close, which was $479.86.
Shares have had a crazy year, dipping more than 40 percent from the start of the year. The stock then started to recover once again around late April, when its price started to climb back up from the low $200 level.
This week, Tesla started to climb toward its highest levels ever, as it was revealed on Sunday that the company was testing driverless Robotaxis in Austin. The spike in value pushed the company’s valuation to $1.63 trillion.
Tesla Robotaxi goes driverless as Musk confirms Safety Monitor removal testing
It is the seventh-most valuable company on the market currently, trailing Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet (Google), Microsoft, Amazon, and Meta.
Shares closed up $14.57 today, up over 3 percent.
The stock has gone through a lot this year, as previously mentioned. Shares tumbled in Q1 due to CEO Elon Musk’s involvement with the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), which pulled his attention away from his companies and left a major overhang on their valuations.
However, things started to rebound halfway through the year, and as the government started to phase out the $7,500 tax credit, demand spiked as consumers tried to take advantage of it.
Q3 deliveries were the highest in company history, and Tesla responded to the loss of the tax credit with the launch of the Model 3 and Model Y Standard.
Additionally, analysts have announced high expectations this week for the company on Wall Street as Robotaxi continues to be the focus. With autonomy within Tesla’s sights, things are moving in the direction of Robotaxi being a major catalyst for growth on the Street in the coming year.
Elon Musk
Tesla needs to come through on this one Robotaxi metric, analyst says
“We think the key focus from here will be how fast Tesla can scale driverless operations (including if Tesla’s approach to software/hardware allows it to scale significantly faster than competitors, as the company has argued), and on profitability.”
Tesla needs to come through on this one Robotaxi metric, Mark Delaney of Goldman Sachs says.
Tesla is in the process of rolling out its Robotaxi platform to areas outside of Austin and the California Bay Area. It has plans to launch in five additional cities, including Houston, Dallas, Miami, Las Vegas, and Phoenix.
However, the company’s expansion is not what the focus needs to be, according to Delaney. It’s the speed of deployment.
The analyst said:
“We think the key focus from here will be how fast Tesla can scale driverless operations (including if Tesla’s approach to software/hardware allows it to scale significantly faster than competitors, as the company has argued), and on profitability.”
Profitability will come as the Robotaxi fleet expands. Making that money will be dependent on when Tesla can initiate rides in more areas, giving more customers access to the program.
There are some additional things that the company needs to make happen ahead of the major Robotaxi expansion, one of those things is launching driverless rides in Austin, the first city in which it launched the program.
This week, Tesla started testing driverless Robotaxi rides in Austin, as two different Model Y units were spotted with no occupants, a huge step in the company’s plans for the ride-sharing platform.
Tesla Robotaxi goes driverless as Musk confirms Safety Monitor removal testing
CEO Elon Musk has been hoping to remove Safety Monitors from Robotaxis in Austin for several months, first mentioning the plan to have them out by the end of 2025 in September. He confirmed on Sunday that Tesla had officially removed vehicle occupants and started testing truly unsupervised rides.
Although Safety Monitors in Austin have been sitting in the passenger’s seat, they have still had the ability to override things in case of an emergency. After all, the ultimate goal was safety and avoiding any accidents or injuries.
Goldman Sachs reiterated its ‘Neutral’ rating and its $400 price target. Delaney said, “Tesla is making progress with its autonomous technology,” and recent developments make it evident that this is true.
Investor's Corner
Tesla gets bold Robotaxi prediction from Wall Street firm
Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) received a bold Robotaxi prediction from Morgan Stanley, which anticipates a dramatic increase in the size of the company’s autonomous ride-hailing suite in the coming years.
Last week, Andrew Percoco took over Tesla analysis for Morgan Stanley from Adam Jonas, who covered the stock for years. Percoco seems to be less optimistic and bullish on Tesla shares, while still being fair and balanced in his analysis.
Percoco dug into the Robotaxi fleet and its expansion in the coming years in his latest note, released on Tuesday. The firm expects Tesla to increase the Robotaxi fleet size to 1,000 vehicles in 2026. However, that’s small-scale compared to what they expect from Tesla in a decade.
Tesla expands Robotaxi app access once again, this time on a global scale
By 2035, Morgan Stanley believes there will be one million Robotaxis on the road across multiple cities, a major jump and a considerable fleet size. We assume this means the fleet of vehicles Tesla will operate internally, and not including passenger-owned vehicles that could be added through software updates.
He also listed three specific catalysts that investors should pay attention to, as these will represent the company being on track to achieve its Robotaxi dreams:
- Opening Robotaxi to the public without a Safety Monitor. Timing is unclear, but it appears that Tesla is getting closer by the day.
- Improvement in safety metrics without the Safety Monitor. Tesla’s ability to improve its safety metrics as it scales miles driven without the Safety Monitor is imperative as it looks to scale in new states and cities in 2026.
- Cybercab start of production, targeted for April 2026. Tesla’s Cybercab is a purpose-built vehicle (no steering wheel or pedals, only two seats) that is expected to be produced through its state-of-the-art unboxed manufacturing process, offering further cost reductions and thus accelerating adoption over time.
Robotaxi stands to be one of Tesla’s most significant revenue contributors, especially as the company plans to continue expanding its ride-hailing service across the world in the coming years.
Its current deployment strategy is controlled and conservative to avoid any drastic and potentially program-ruining incidents.
So far, the program, which is active in Austin and the California Bay Area, has been widely successful.
Tesla Cybercab tests are going on overdrive with production-ready units
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