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Tesla China sees strongest vehicle registrations year-to-date as Q2 nears end
Tesla China ended the week of June 17-23, 2024 with 17,500 new vehicle registrations. This represents a 49% improvement from the 11,700 registrations that the electric car maker saw the previous week. It also represents the strongest week of new vehicle registrations for Tesla China year to date.
Tesla China does not report its weekly sales figures, though a general idea of the company’s overall performance in the domestic Chinese auto market can be inferred through the number of new vehicle registrations. Fortunately, these registrations are tracked closely by industry watchers. Automakers such as Li Auto have even made a habit of sharing vehicle registration data on a weekly basis.
In my data, it's the highest record this year. @LayeredInvest— Tsla Chan (@Tslachan) June 25, 2024
And as per Li Auto’s recent data, Tesla China saw 17,500 new vehicle registrations in the week ending June 23, 2024. Considering Tesla China’s registrations last week, which are the strongest this year so far, the electric vehicle maker’s year-to-date sales this 2024 are lagging just about 4.6% compared to the same period in 2023. If Tesla China could end the second quarter on a strong note, this gap may prove even smaller by the end of the quarter.
Tesla China had its highest year-to-date sales last week, and with the launch of the Performance model, the highest Model 3 sales since I've been tracking this data. ?? https://t.co/YyvH6ujW5g pic.twitter.com/Lxu9SR8czq— Roland Pircher (@piloly) June 25, 2024
Estimates from industry watchers also suggest that among Tesla China’s 17,500 new vehicle registrations, 6,000 were reengineered Model 3 sedans. This bodes well for the all-electric sedan, particularly the new Tesla Model 3 Performance, which started its customer deliveries in China recently.
$TSLA China reported an excellent 17.5K insurance registrations for the week of June 17-23. This was the best week of 2024 so far, and included 6,000 Model 3, the highest since the Model 3 Highland launch last Nov. With one week left in the quarter, 2Q is -7.2% YoY and +14.0%… pic.twitter.com/KX2c6kWQN0— Gary Black (@garyblack00) June 25, 2024
Giga Shanghai serves as Tesla’s largest electric vehicle factory by volume, and it is also the company’s primary vehicle export hub. With this in mind, Tesla China typically allots a significant amount of its resources to vehicle exports in the first half of a quarter. This means that domestic vehicle orders from customers in China are typically delivered in the latter half of a quarter.
Tesla China’s strong registrations in the week ending June 23 could then be an indication that such a strategy is still being adopted. The numbers could also suggest that Tesla China’s exports this June 2024 would likely be lower than May’s 17,358 vehicles, as noted in a CNEV Post report. Expectations are currently high that Tesla China’s domestic sales this June would reach about 55,000 units, as per Deutsche Bank analyst Wang Bin.
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Tesla is not sparing any expense in ensuring the Cybercab is safe
Images shared by the longtime watcher showed 16 Cybercab prototypes parked near Giga Texas’ dedicated crash test facility.
The Tesla Cybercab could very well be the safest taxi on the road when it is released and deployed for public use. This was, at least, hinted at by the intensive safety tests that Tesla seems to be putting the autonomous two-seater through at its Giga Texas crash test facility.
Intensive crash tests
As per recent images from longtime Giga Texas watcher and drone operator Joe Tegtmeyer, Tesla seems to be very busy crash testing Cybercab units. Images shared by the longtime watcher showed 16 Cybercab prototypes parked near Giga Texas’ dedicated crash test facility just before the holidays.
Tegtmeyer’s aerial photos showed the prototypes clustered outside the factory’s testing building. Some uncovered Cybercabs showed notable damage and one even had its airbags engaged. With Cybercab production expected to start in about 130 days, it appears that Tesla is very busy ensuring that its autonomous two-seater ends up becoming the safest taxi on public roads.
Prioritizing safety
With no human driver controls, the Cybercab demands exceptional active and passive safety systems to protect occupants in any scenario. Considering Tesla’s reputation, it is then understandable that the company seems to be sparing no expense in ensuring that the Cybercab is as safe as possible.
Tesla’s focus on safety was recently highlighted when the Cybertruck achieved a Top Safety Pick+ rating from the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety (IIHS). This was a notable victory for the Cybertruck as critics have long claimed that the vehicle will be one of, if not the, most unsafe truck on the road due to its appearance. The vehicle’s Top Safety Pick+ rating, if any, simply proved that Tesla never neglects to make its cars as safe as possible, and that definitely includes the Cybercab.
Elon Musk
Tesla’s Elon Musk gives timeframe for FSD’s release in UAE
Provided that Musk’s timeframe proves accurate, FSD would be able to start saturating the Middle East, starting with the UAE, next year.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk stated on Monday that Full Self-Driving (Supervised) could launch in the United Arab Emirates (UAE) as soon as January 2026.
Provided that Musk’s timeframe proves accurate, FSD would be able to start saturating the Middle East, starting with the UAE, next year.
Musk’s estimate
In a post on X, UAE-based political analyst Ahmed Sharif Al Amiri asked Musk when FSD would arrive in the country, quoting an earlier post where the CEO encouraged users to try out FSD for themselves. Musk responded directly to the analyst’s inquiry.
“Hopefully, next month,” Musk wrote. The exchange attracted a lot of attention, with numerous X users sharing their excitement at the idea of FSD being brought to a new country. FSD (Supervised), after all, would likely allow hands-off highway driving, urban navigation, and parking under driver oversight in traffic-heavy cities such as Dubai and Abu Dhabi.
Musk’s comments about FSD’s arrival in the UAE were posted following his visit to the Middle Eastern country. Over the weekend, images were shared online of Musk meeting with UAE Defense Minister, Deputy Prime Minister, and Dubai Crown Prince HH Sheikh Hamdan bin Mohammed. Musk also posted a supportive message about the country, posting “UAE rocks!” on X.
FSD recognition
FSD has been getting quite a lot of support from foreign media outlets. FSD (Supervised) earned high marks from Germany’s largest car magazine, Auto Bild, during a test in Berlin’s challenging urban environment. The demonstration highlighted the system’s ability to handle dense traffic, construction sites, pedestrian crossings, and narrow streets with smooth, confident decision-making.
Journalist Robin Hornig was particularly struck by FSD’s superior perception and tireless attention, stating: “Tesla FSD Supervised sees more than I do. It doesn’t get distracted and never gets tired. I like to think I’m a good driver, but I can’t match this system’s all-around vision. It’s at its best when both work together: my experience and the Tesla’s constant attention.” Only one intervention was needed when the system misread a route, showcasing its maturity while relying on vision-only sensors and over-the-air learning.
News
Tesla quietly flexes FSD’s reliability amid Waymo blackout in San Francisco
“Tesla Robotaxis were unaffected by the SF power outage,” Musk wrote in his post.
Tesla highlighted its Full Self-Driving (Supervised) system’s robustness this week by sharing dashcam footage of a vehicle in FSD navigating pitch-black San Francisco streets during the city’s widespread power outage.
While Waymo’s robotaxis stalled and caused traffic jams, Tesla’s vision-only approach kept operating seamlessly without remote intervention. Elon Musk amplified the clip, highlighting the contrast between the two systems.
Tesla FSD handles total darkness
The @Tesla_AI account posted a video from a Model Y operating on FSD during San Francisco’s blackout. As could be seen in the video, streetlights, traffic signals, and surrounding illumination were completely out, but the vehicle drove confidently and cautiously, just like a proficient human driver.
Musk reposted the clip, adding context to reports of Waymo vehicles struggling in the same conditions. “Tesla Robotaxis were unaffected by the SF power outage,” Musk wrote in his post.
Musk and the Tesla AI team’s posts highlight the idea that FSD operates a lot like any experienced human driver. Since the system does not rely on a variety of sensors and a complicated symphony of factors, vehicles could technically navigate challenging circumstances as they emerge. This definitely seemed to be the case in San Francisco.
Waymo’s blackout struggles
Waymo faced scrutiny after multiple self-driving Jaguar I-PACE taxis stopped functioning during the blackout, blocking lanes, causing traffic jams, and requiring manual retrieval. Videos shared during the power outage showed fleets of Waymo vehicles just stopping in the middle of the road, seemingly confused about what to do when the lights go out.
In a comment, Waymo stated that its vehicles treat nonfunctional signals as four-way stops, but “the sheer scale of the outage led to instances where vehicles remained stationary longer than usual to confirm the state of the affected intersections. This contributed to traffic friction during the height of the congestion.”
A company spokesperson also shared some thoughts about the incidents. “Yesterday’s power outage was a widespread event that caused gridlock across San Francisco, with non-functioning traffic signals and transit disruptions. While the failure of the utility infrastructure was significant, we are committed to ensuring our technology adjusts to traffic flow during such events,” the Waymo spokesperson stated, adding that it is “focused on rapidly integrating the lessons learned from this event, and are committed to earning and maintaining the trust of the communities we serve every day.”