Investor's Corner
Tesla Gigafactory 3 funding reportedly incites competition among Chinese banks: insider
Tesla has an aggressive timetable for Gigafactory 3. During the facility’s groundbreaking event, Elon Musk mentioned that he is hoping for Model 3 production to begin before the end of 2019. That’s a very ambitious goal, even for a company as daring as Tesla. For the project to move on as scheduled, after all, Tesla would have to acquire enough funding for the massive facility — a feat widely considered challenging by the company’s critics.
Last year, reports emerged from local Chinese media hinting that Tesla was receiving assistance in receiving low-interest loans from local Shanghai banks to fund part of Gigafactory 3’s construction. If a recent report is any indication, though, it appears that the upcoming battery and electric car factory is attracting the interest of quite a few financial institutions willing to loan money for the project. An insider, who asked to remain anonymous, reportedly revealed to Chinese news agency NBD that several financial firms are actually competing to give loans to the carmaker.
“I heard that many banks are fighting for this. There are local banks in Shanghai, state-owned banks, and foreign banks,” the insider said, according to Hexun News.
The insider further noted that Tesla would be allowed to use its property rights and patents as collateral for the facility’s funding. Apart from this, the insiders also mentioned that under normal circumstances, it usually takes 4-6 months for companies to iron out details about the financing of large-scale projects. In the case of the Silicon Valley-based carmaker, though, the local government has reportedly set up a special team to endorse Tesla’s financing loans after just two months.
These recent reports all but highlight the Chinese government’s favor for Tesla and its support for Elon Musk’s vision. While Elon Musk and Tesla continue to incite an equal amount of admiration and criticism in the United States, after all, the company and its CEO appear to be widely respected in China. After the groundbreaking ceremony at the Gigafactory 3 site in Shanghai, for example, Elon Musk met with Chinese Premier Li Keqiang in Beijing’s Tower of Violet Light — a place usually reserved for foreign dignitaries, not automotive CEOs.
During their meeting, Li proved supportive of Musk’s plans for Tesla’s expansion in the country, as well as his ideas for Gigafactory 3’s automation. Even when Elon Musk described his vision of a factory that behaves like a “living being,” Li was not dismissive. At one point in their conversation, Li even suggested that China can just issue a “Chinese Green Card” to the Tesla CEO, so that Musk can explore his ideas freely.
Chinese media reported that many banks are now striving to make loans for Tesla Shanghai Gigafactory, including local banks in Shanghai, state-owned banks, and foreign banks. $TSLA #Tesla #China #GF3 #TeslaChina https://t.co/BXu3ydQzLx pic.twitter.com/GjjeRnQlSy
— vincent (@vincent13031925) January 11, 2019
Considering the treatment that Musk received in China during his visit, as well as the recent reports of banks competing to give funding for Gigafactory 3, it appears safe to state that Tesla is favored by the country’s government. And it’s not just Elon Musk’s treatment or support from financial institutions either. As revealed in previous reports, the government’s support for Tesla and Gigafactory 3 has been pretty evident for a while now.
Last year, the country all but changed its strict rules when it allowed Tesla to become the sole owner of the upcoming battery and electric car factory. The government’s hand also seemed evident when Tesla placed its bid for the 864,885-square meter plot of land in Shanghai’s Lingang Industrial Zone, as the electric car maker’s bid went completely unchallenged. Earlier this month, it was also revealed that the contractor for the construction of Gigafactory 3 is a subsidiary of China Construction, a firm owned by the government.
With such a notable level of support from the country’s officials and institutions, there is a very good chance that Gigafactory 3 would be completed well within Tesla’s projected timetable. What remains to be seen, though, is if the electric car maker can set up its production lines in Shanghai at the same pace. With things now in motion, the ball now appears to be in Tesla’s court.
Elon Musk
Tesla locks in Elon Musk’s top problem solver as it enters its most ambitious era
The generous equity award was disclosed by the electric vehicle maker in a recent regulatory filing.
Tesla has granted Senior Vice President of Automotive Tom Zhu more than 520,000 stock options, tying a significant portion of his compensation to the company’s long-term performance.
The generous equity award was disclosed by the electric vehicle maker in a recent regulatory filing.
Tesla secures top talent
According to a Form 4 filing with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, Tom Zhu received 520,021 stock options with an exercise price of $435.80 per share. Since the award will not fully vest until March 5, 2031, Zhu must remain at Tesla for more than five years to realize the award’s full benefit.
Considering that Tesla shares are currently trading at around the $445 to $450 per share level, Zhu will really only see gains in his equity award if Tesla’s stock price sees a notable rise over the years, as noted in a Sina Finance report.
Still, even at today’s prices, Zhu’s stock award is already worth over $230 million. If Tesla reaches the market cap targets set forth in Elon Musk’s 2025 CEO Performance Award, Zhu would become a billionaire from this equity award alone.
Tesla’s problem solver
Zhu joined Tesla in April 2014 and initially led the company’s Supercharger rollout in China. Later that year, he assumed the leadership of Tesla’s China business, where he played a central role in Tesla’s localization efforts, including expanding retail and service networks, and later, overseeing the development of Gigafactory Shanghai.
Zhu’s efforts helped transform China into one of Tesla’s most important markets and production hubs. In 2023, Tesla promoted Zhu to Senior Vice President of Automotive, placing him among the company’s core global executives and expanding his influence beyond China. He has since garnered a reputation as the company’s problem solver, being tapped by Elon Musk to help ramp Giga Texas’s vehicle production.
With this in mind, Tesla’s recent filing seems to suggest that the company is locking in its top talent as it enters its newest, most ambitious era to date. As could be seen in the targets of Elon Musk’s 2025 pay package, Tesla is now aiming to be the world’s largest company by market cap, and it is aiming to achieve production levels that are unheard of. Zhu’s talents would definitely be of use in this stage of the company’s growth.
Tesla analyst Andrew Percoco of Morgan Stanley teased the company’s dominance in its self-driving initiative, stating that its lead over competitors is “not even close.”
Percoco recently overtook coverage of Tesla stock from Adam Jonas, who had covered the company at Morgan Stanley for years. Percoco is handling Tesla now that Jonas is covering embodied AI stocks and no longer automotive.
His first move after grabbing coverage was to adjust the price target from $410 to $425, as well as the rating from ‘Overweight’ to ‘Equal Weight.’
Percoco’s new note regarding Tesla highlights the company’s extensive lead in self-driving and autonomy projects, something that it has plenty of competition in, but has established its prowess over the past few years.
He writes:
“It’s not even close. Tesla continues to lead in autonomous driving, even as Nvidia rolls out new technology aimed at helping other automakers build driverless systems.”
Percoco’s main point regarding Tesla’s advantage is the company’s ability to collect large amounts of training data through its massive fleet, as millions of cars are driving throughout the world and gathering millions of miles of vehicle behavior on the road.
This is the main point that Percoco makes regarding Tesla’s lead in the entire autonomy sector: data is King, and Tesla has the most of it.
One big story that has hit the news over the past week is that of NVIDIA and its own self-driving suite, called Alpamayo. NVIDIA launched this open-source AI program last week, but it differs from Tesla’s in a significant fashion, especially from a hardware perspective, as it plans to use a combination of LiDAR, Radar, and Vision (Cameras) to operate.
Percoco said that NVIDIA’s announcement does not impact Morgan Stanley’s long-term opinions on Tesla and its strength or prowess in self-driving.
NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang commends Tesla’s Elon Musk for early belief
And, for what it’s worth, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang even said some remarkable things about Tesla following the launch of Alpamayo:
“I think the Tesla stack is the most advanced autonomous vehicle stack in the world. I’m fairly certain they were already using end-to-end AI. Whether their AI did reasoning or not is somewhat secondary to that first part.”
Percoco reiterated both the $425 price target and the ‘Equal Weight’ rating on Tesla shares.
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) just got a price target boost from its biggest bear, Gordon Johnson of GLJ Research, who raised his expected trading level to one that is 95 percent lower than its current trading level.
Johnson pushed his Tesla price target from $19.05 to $25.28 on Wednesday, while maintaining the ‘Sell’ rating that has been present on the stock for a long time. GLJ has largely been recognized as the biggest skeptic of Elon Musk’s company, being particularly critical of the automotive side of things.
Tesla has routinely been called out by Johnson for negative delivery growth, what he calls “weakening demand,” and price cuts that have occurred in past years, all pointing to them as desperate measures to sell its cars.
Johnson has also said that Tesla is extremely overvalued and is too reliant on regulatory credits for profitability. Other analysts on the bullish side recognize Tesla as a company that is bigger than just its automotive side.
Many believe it is a leader in autonomous driving, like Dan Ives of Wedbush, who believes Tesla will have a widely successful 2026, especially if it can come through on its targets and schedules for Robotaxi and Cybercab.
Justifying the price target this week, Johnson said that the revised valuation is based on “reality rather than narrative.” Tesla has been noted by other analysts and financial experts as a stock that trades on narrative, something Johnson obviously disagrees with.
Dan Nathan, a notorious skeptic of the stock, turned bullish late last year, recognizing the company’s shares trade on “technicals and sentiment.” He said, “From a trading perspective, it looks very interesting.”
Tesla bear turns bullish for two reasons as stock continues boost
Johnson has remained very consistent with this sentiment regarding Tesla and his beliefs regarding its true valuation, and has never shied away from putting his true thoughts out there.
Tesla shares closed at $431.40 today, about 95 percent above where Johnson’s new price target lies.
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