Connect with us

Investor's Corner

German teardown firm gives insight on Tesla Model 3 materials cost and battery composition

Published

on

A German teardown company has stated that Tesla could make a profit with the Model 3. Speaking with German news agency WirtschaftsWoche, an engineer from the teardown firm stated that after analyzing and studying the vehicle, they concluded that the materials used in the Model 3 cost around $18,000 per vehicle.

The Model 3 has a base price of $35,000 for the standard range, RWD version. Currently, the premium variant of the compact electric car, the Model 3 Performance, is offered at $78,000 with all options except Autopilot. In a statement to WirtschaftsWoche, the engineer from the teardown firm stated that the Model 3 could ultimately contribute positively to Tesla’s earnings.

“If Tesla manages to build the planned 10,000 pieces a week, the Model 3 will deliver a significant positive contribution to earnings,” the engineer said.

Also notable were the conclusions of the German company about the Model 3’s battery pack. Laboratory results shared with WirtschaftsWoche noted that Tesla’s 2170 cells for the Model 3 consisted of 2.8% cobalt, 65% less than the industry average of 8%. Sven Bauer, Managing Director of Batterien-Montage-Zentrum (BMZ), one of Germany’s largest independent battery producers, stated that Tesla’s reduction in cobalt use can give the company a competitive advantage. 

“That would be a significant competitive advantage for Tesla. Cobalt is currently very difficult to get on the world market,” Bauer said. 

Advertisement
-->

Tesla’s progress in its battery tech were highlighted in a recent report from advisory firm Benchmark Mineral Intelligence. According to BMI, Tesla has used less cobalt in its batteries since the days of the original Roadster and the Model S. With the Model S, for example, Tesla used up 11 kg of cobalt per car. Tesla is using 4.5 kg of cobalt for the Model 3, a 60% reduction.

Tesla’s improvements showcased in the Model 3’s 2170 battery cells were discussed during the company’s Q1 2018 Update Letter. According to the letter, the cobalt content of the company’s Nickel-Cobalt-Aluminum cathode chemistry is “already lower than next-generation cathodes that will be made by other cell producers with a Nickel-Manganese-Cobalt ratio of 8:1:1.” Such a ratio has not been attained by any competitor in the market so far.  

The evolution of Tesla’s cobalt use over time. [Credit: Benchmark Mineral Intelligence]

The observations of the German firms about Tesla’s battery tech in the Model 3 echo the findings of Detroit veteran Sandy Munro, whose company, Munro & Associates, is also in the process of tearing down and analyzing the compact electric car. In a recent episode of Autoline After Hours on YouTube, Munro stated that the Model 3’s battery is the best in the industry today. Munro was particularly impressed with the .2-milliamp differential between the Model 3’s battery modules, stating that “nobody (in the industry) can balance batteries that close.”

Back in January, photographs emerged in the Tesla community showing the Model 3 being air-freighted to Germany. References to Stuttgart, which is where Porsche and Mercedes-Benz are based, were visible in the pictures. The German companies reportedly paid up to $230,000 for every Model 3 that they acquired.

Confirmation that German companies were analyzing the Tesla Model 3 came in February, when Georg Kacher, a journalist for German news agency Süddeutsche Zeitung, published an article stating that a “major German car company” was able to acquire a Model 3 for testing and analysis. According to Kacher’s report, the German company was surprised and impressed by the Model 3’s minimalistic design, especially in the vehicle’s interior, which was dubbed as “reminiscent of a completely cleared, black-washed Bauhaus living room.”

Advertisement
-->

Simon is an experienced automotive reporter with a passion for electric cars and clean energy. Fascinated by the world envisioned by Elon Musk, he hopes to make it to Mars (at least as a tourist) someday. For stories or tips--or even to just say a simple hello--send a message to his email, simon@teslarati.com or his handle on X, @ResidentSponge.

Advertisement
Comments

Investor's Corner

Tesla Full Self-Driving statistic impresses Wall Street firm: ‘Very close to unsupervised’

The data shows there was a significant jump in miles traveled between interventions as Tesla transitioned drivers to v14.1 back in October. The FSD Community Tracker saw a jump from 441 miles to over 9,200 miles, the most significant improvement in four years.

Published

on

Credit: Tesla

Tesla Full Self-Driving performance and statistics continue to impress everyone, from retail investors to Wall Street firms. However, one analyst believes Tesla’s driving suite is “very close” to achieving unsupervised self-driving.

On Tuesday, Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Potter said that Tesla’s recent launch of Full Self-Driving version 14 increased the number of miles traveled between interventions by a drastic margin, based on data compiled by a Full Self-Driving Community Tracker.

Advertisement
-->

The data shows there was a significant jump in miles traveled between interventions as Tesla transitioned drivers to v14.1 back in October. The FSD Community Tracker saw a jump from 441 miles to over 9,200 miles, the most significant improvement in four years.

Interestingly, there was a slight dip in the miles traveled between interventions with the release of v14.2. Piper Sandler said investor interest in FSD has increased.

Full Self-Driving has displayed several improvements with v14, including the introduction of Arrival Options that allow specific parking situations to be chosen by the driver prior to arriving at the destination. Owners can choose from Street Parking, Parking Garages, Parking Lots, Chargers, and Driveways.

Additionally, the overall improvements in performance from v13 have been evident through smoother operation, fewer mistakes during routine operation, and a more refined decision-making process.

Early versions of v14 exhibited stuttering and brake stabbing, but Tesla did a great job of confronting the issue and eliminating it altogether with the release of v14.2.

Advertisement
-->

Tesla CEO Elon Musk also recently stated that the current v14.2 FSD suite is also less restrictive with drivers looking at their phones, which has caused some controversy within the community.

Although we tested it and found there were fewer nudges by the driver monitoring system to push eyes back to the road, we still would not recommend it due to laws and regulations.

Tesla Full Self-Driving v14.2.1 texting and driving: we tested it

With that being said, FSD is improving significantly with each larger rollout, and Musk believes the final piece of the puzzle will be unveiled with FSD v14.3, which could come later this year or early in 2026.

Piper Sandler reaffirmed its $500 price target on Tesla shares, as well as its ‘Overweight’ rating.

Advertisement
-->

Continue Reading

Investor's Corner

Tesla gets price target boost, but it’s not all sunshine and rainbows

Published

on

Credit: Tesla Europe & Middle East/X

Tesla received a price target boost from Morgan Stanley, according to a new note on Monday morning, but there is some considerable caution also being communicated over the next year or so.

Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco took over Tesla coverage for the firm from longtime bull Adam Jonas, who appears to be focusing on embodied AI stocks and no longer automotive.

Percoco took over and immediately adjusted the price target for Tesla from $410 to $425, and changed its rating on shares from ‘Overweight’ to ‘Equal Weight.’

Percoco said he believes Tesla is the leading company in terms of electric vehicles, manufacturing, renewable energy, and real-world AI, so it deserves a premium valuation. However, he admits the high expectations for the company could provide for a “choppy trading environment” for the next year.

He wrote:

Advertisement
-->

“However, high expectations on the latter have brought the stock closer to fair valuation. While it is well understood that Tesla is more than an auto manufacturer, we expect a choppy trading environment for the TSLA shares over the next 12 months, as we see downside to estimates, while the catalysts for its non-auto businesses appear priced at current levels.”

Percoco also added that if market cap hurdles are achieved, Morgan Stanley would reduce its price target by 7 percent.

Perhaps the biggest change with Percoco taking over the analysis for Jonas is how he will determine the value of each individual project. For example, he believes Optimus is worth about $60 per share of equity value.

He went on to describe the potential value of Full Self-Driving, highlighting its importance to the Tesla valuation:

“Full Self Driving (FSD) is the crown jewel of Tesla’s auto business; we believe that its leading-edge personal autonomous driving offering is a real game changer, and will remain a significant competitive advantage over its EV and non-EV peers. As Tesla continues to improve its platform with increased levels of autonomy (i.e., hands-off, eyes-off), it will revolutionize the personal driving experience. It remains to be seen if others will be able to keep pace.”

Advertisement
-->

Additionally, Percoco outlined both bear and bull cases for the stock. He believes $860 per share, “which could be in play in the next 12 months if Tesla manages through the EV-downturn,” while also scaling Robotaxi, executing on unsupervised FSD, and scaling Optimus, is in play for the bull case.

Will Tesla thrive without the EV tax credit? Five reasons why they might

Meanwhile, the bear case is placed at $145 per share, and “assumes greater competition and margin pressure across all business lines, embedding zero value for humanoids, slowing the growth curve for Tesla’s robotaxi fleet to reflect regulatory challenges in scaling a vision-only perception stack, and lowering market share and margin profile for the autos and energy businesses.”

Currently, Tesla shares are trading at around $441.

Advertisement
-->
Continue Reading

Investor's Corner

Tesla bear gets blunt with beliefs over company valuation

Published

on

Credit: Tesla

Tesla bear Michael Burry got blunt with his beliefs over the company’s valuation, which he called “ridiculously overvalued” in a newsletter to subscribers this past weekend.

“Tesla’s market capitalization is ridiculously overvalued today and has been for a good long time,” Burry, who was the inspiration for the movie The Big Shortand was portrayed by Christian Bale.

Burry went on to say, “As an aside, the Elon cult was all-in on electric cars until competition showed up, then all-in on autonomous driving until competition showed up, and now is all-in on robots — until competition shows up.”

Tesla bear Michael Burry ditches bet against $TSLA, says ‘media inflated’ the situation

For a long time, Burry has been skeptical of Tesla, its stock, and its CEO, Elon Musk, even placing a $530 million bet against shares several years ago. Eventually, Burry’s short position extended to other supporters of the company, including ARK Invest.

Advertisement
-->

Tesla has long drawn skepticism from investors and more traditional analysts, who believe its valuation is overblown. However, the company is not traded as a traditional stock, something that other Wall Street firms have recognized.

While many believe the company has some serious pull as an automaker, an identity that helped it reach the valuation it has, Tesla has more than transformed into a robotics, AI, and self-driving play, pulling itself into the realm of some of the most recognizable stocks in tech.

Burry’s Scion Asset Management has put its money where its mouth is against Tesla stock on several occasions, but the firm has not yielded positive results, as shares have increased in value since 2020 by over 115 percent. The firm closed in May.

In 2020, it launched its short position, but by October 2021, it had ditched that position.

Tesla has had a tumultuous year on Wall Street, dipping significantly to around the $220 mark at one point. However, it rebounded significantly in September, climbing back up to the $400 region, as it currently trades at around $430.

Advertisement
-->

It closed at $430.14 on Monday.

Continue Reading