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Tesla Q4 2018 Vehicle Safety Report: 1 accident per 2.91M miles with Autopilot engaged

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Tesla has released the results of its Q4 2018 Vehicle Safety Report. Just like the company’s previous report in Q3 2018, Tesla released updated numbers for incidents that occurred both when Autopilot was engaged and when the driver-assist feature was deactivated.

Tesla released its first Vehicle Safety Report after the third quarter of 2018. During that period, the electric car maker registered one accident or crash-like event for every 3.34 million miles driven with Autopilot active, and one accident or crash-like event for every 1.92 million miles driven with Autopilot disengaged. During the time of the Q3 report’s publication, the NHTSA’s data noted that a car crash was recorded in the United States for every 492,000 miles driven.

In its Q4 2018 report, the company noted that its numbers include instances when its electric cars were hit by another object or vehicle. That said, here are the overall results of Tesla’s Q4 2018 Vehicle Safety Report.

“In the 4th quarter, we registered one accident for every 2.91 million miles driven in which drivers had Autopilot engaged. For those driving without Autopilot, we registered one accident for every 1.58 million miles driven. By comparison, NHTSA’s most recent data shows that in the United States there is an automobile crash every 436,000 miles.”

It should be noted that the fourth quarter covered the winter months of 2018, which have less daylight and result in more challenging driving conditions. This generally causes more incidents for all types of vehicles, both electric and fossil fuel-powered. The NHTSA does not release quarterly statistics for car crashes, though a closer look at the agency’s GES database shows that a similar pattern (an uptick in incidents during the winter months) was exhibited in 2014 and 2015. The NHTSA’s data for 2016 is currently unavailable.

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Tesla’s vehicles, thanks to their all-electric design, are among the safest cars on the road. Being made of ultra-high-strength steel and aluminum, Tesla’s vehicles are sturdy. The electric cars have extra large crumple zones as well due to their all-electric design. These, together with a combination of passive safety, active safety, and automated driver assistance, work hand in hand help Tesla’s vehicles attain their stellar safety ratings from agencies like the NHTSA.

Elon Musk’s statements about the safety of Tesla’s electric cars are not empty. After all, the company’s vehicles are known for their high ratings with agencies like the NHTSA. The Model 3 and the Model X have gained perfect 5-Star Safety Ratings, and the Model S infamously broke one of the agency’s crash testing gear when it was being tested due to its durability. Today, the Model 3, Model S, and Model X stand among the NHTSA’s vehicles with the lowest probability of injury during accidents. 

In true Tesla fashion, though, the company continues to make improvements on its vehicles’ safety features, as teased in recent patent applications hinting at safer airbag deployment systems using seat sensors, and damage monitoring systems that could proactively warn drivers when a component needs service or repair.

Tesla’s Q4 2018 vehicle safety report can be accessed in full here.

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Simon is an experienced automotive reporter with a passion for electric cars and clean energy. Fascinated by the world envisioned by Elon Musk, he hopes to make it to Mars (at least as a tourist) someday. For stories or tips--or even to just say a simple hello--send a message to his email, simon@teslarati.com or his handle on X, @ResidentSponge.

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Ukraine completes first Starlink direct-to-cell test in Eastern Europe

The trial was announced by the Ministry of Digital Transformation and Kyivstar’s parent company Veon, in a press release.

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Credit: SpaceX

Ukraine’s largest mobile operator, Kyivstar, has completed its first test of Starlink’s Direct to Cell satellite technology, enabling text messages to be sent directly from 4G smartphones without extra hardware. 

The trial was announced by the Ministry of Digital Transformation and Kyivstar’s parent company Veon in a press release.

First Eastern Europe field test

The Zhytomyr region hosted the pilot, where Deputy Prime Minister Mykhailo Fedorov and Kyivstar CEO Oleksandr Komarov exchanged texts and even made a brief video call via Starlink’s satellite link in northern Ukraine’s Zhytomyr region. 

Veon stated that the test marked Eastern Europe’s first field trial of the technology, which will allow Kyivstar’s 23 million subscribers to stay connected in areas without cellular coverage. The service will debut in fall 2025 with free text messaging during its testing phase.

“Our partnership with Starlink integrates terrestrial networks with satellite platforms, ensuring that nothing stands between our customers and connectivity – not power outages, deserts, mountains, floods, earthquakes, or even landmines,” Veon CEO Kaan Terzioglu stated.

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Starlink in Ukraine

Kyivstar signed its Direct to Cell agreement with Starlink in December 2024, about a year after a major cyberattack disrupted service and caused nearly $100 million in damages, as noted in a report from the Kyiv Independent. Starlink technology has been a pivotal part of Ukraine’s defense against Russia in the ongoing conflict.

“Despite all the challenges of wartime, we continue to develop innovative solutions, because reliable communication under any circumstances and in any location is one of our key priorities. Therefore, this Kyivstar project is an example of effective partnership between the state, business, and technology companies, which opens the way to the future of communication without borders,” Mykhailo Fedorov, First Deputy Prime Minister of Ukraine, said.

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Tesla Model Y L spotted seemingly en route to showroom in China

It appears that Tesla has started shipping out some initial Model Y L units to select stores across China.

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Credit: @thaichiminh1907/X

Tesla China definitely seems to be following an accelerated schedule in the well-speculated rollout of the Model Y L, the extended wheelbase, six-seat variant of the electric vehicle maker’s best-selling crossover.

Based on images that have been recently shared online, it appears that Tesla China has started shipping out some initial Model Y L units to select stores across the country.

Recent sighting

Last week, reports emerged suggesting that Giga Shanghai has started the production of the Model Y L. While the progress of the Model Y L’s rollout seems extremely quick, there have been notable signs that the electric car maker is indeed preparing for the rollout of the upcoming vehicle. The Model Y L, for example, was listed in the China Ministry of Industry and Information Technology’s (MIIT) latest batch of new energy vehicle models that are eligible for vehicle purchase tax exemptions.

Less than a week after these reports, Tesla watchers from China have shared photos of a mysterious vehicle being transported to a Tesla showroom in Jiangsu. The vehicle in the images was wrapped from bumper to bumper, though one could see that it is quite a bit longer than the other Model Y being transported in the same truck. Interestingly enough, the covered Model Y unit also seemed to be equipped with different front seats than standard Model Ys.

What to expect from the Model Y L

The MIIT’s listing for the Model Y have provided a pretty good teaser on what to expect from the extended wheelbase version of Tesla’s best-selling crossover. As per the MIIT’s list, the Model Y L will feature a 82.0-kWh lithium-ion battery from LG Energy Solution, which should give the vehicle a CLTC range of 751 km. The Model Y L is also expected to add roughly 178 mm (7 inches) to the overall length of the standard Model Y, with 152 mm (6 inches) being dedicated to stretching the wheelbase.

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Initial images from the MIIT’s list also suggest that the Model Y L will feature a dedicated badge with an afterimage effect on the “Y.” The vehicle’s wheels also seemed to be equipped with a new set of 19” wheels that feature a star-esque pattern.

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Investor's Corner

Elon Musk issues dire warning to Tesla (TSLA) shorts

This time around, Tesla shorts should probably heed his words.

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Credit: Tesla

Elon Musk has issued a dire warning to Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) short sellers. If they do not exit their position by the time Tesla attains autonomy, pain will follow. 

Musk has shared similar statements in the past, but this time around, Tesla shorts should probably heed his words.

Musk’s short warning

The Tesla CEO’s recent statement came as a response to Tesla retail shareholder and advocate Alexandra Merz, who shared a list of the electric vehicle maker’s short-sellers. These include MUFG Securities EMEA, Jane Street Group, Clean Energy Transition LLP, and Citadel Advisors, among others. As per the retail investor, some of Tesla’s short-sellers, such as Banque Pictet, have been decreasing their short position as of late.

In his reply, Elon Musk stated that Tesla shorts are on borrowed time. As per the CEO, TSLA shorts would be wise to exit their short position before autonomy is reached. If they do not, they will be wiped out. “If they don’t exit their short position before Tesla reaches autonomy at scale, they will be obliterated,” Musk wrote in his post.

Tesla’s autonomous program

Tesla short sellers typically disregard the progress that the company is making on its FSD program, which is currently being used in pilot ride-hailing programs in Austin and the Bay Area. While Tesla has taken longer than expected to attain autonomy, and while Musk himself admits to becoming the boy who cried FSD for years, autonomy does seem to be at hand this year. Tesla’s Unsupervised FSD is being used in Robotaxi services, and FSD V14 is poised to be released soon as well.

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Elon Musk highlighted this in a response to X user Ian N, who noted that numerous automakers such as Audi, BMW, Fiat-Chrysler, Ford, GM, Honda, Mercedes-Benz, Volkswagen, and Toyota have all promised and failed in delivering autonomous systems for their vehicles. Thus, Tesla might be very late in the release of its autonomous features, but the company is by far the only automaker that is delivering on its promises today. Musk agreed with this notion, posting that “I might be late, but I always deliver in the end.”

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