

Investor's Corner
Tesla (TSLA) spikes after leaked email from Elon Musk hints at 500k deliveries
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) spiked after a leaked email from CEO Elon Musk said it “would be exciting if we can exceed” half a million vehicle deliveries in 2020.
At 12:14 PM EST, TSLA stock was trading at $420.52. After a Tweet from @DeltaOne indicated that Elon Musk had sent an email to Tesla employees saying that if the company’s goal of delivering half a million cars could be exceeded, it would be exciting.
By the time the Tweet caught traction, the stock had spiked to over $428.
It undoubtedly would establish 2020 as a groundbreaking year for the electric automaker. Despite having both of its production plants closed due to the pandemic in 2020, Tesla would still accomplish the 500,000 delivery goal set for itself at the beginning of the year.
ELON MUSK IN MAIL TO TESLA EMPLOYEES SAYS "WOULD BE EXCITING IF WE CAN EXCEED" 500,000 ANNUAL PRODUCTION IN 2020$TSLA
— *Walter Bloomberg (@DeItaone) October 7, 2020
For perspective, Tesla delivered between 367,000 and 368,000 cars in 2019. During the year, it only had one fully-operational production facility, which is in Fremont, California.
Tesla officially started delivering cars from the Giga Shanghai production plant in China in January. The facility is currently producing the Model 3 sedan at a rate of about 200,000 vehicles annually. With Tesla’s 2019 production figures from Fremont, which have expanded due to the Model Y’s introduction, Giga Shanghai’s output should put the automaker well over its 500,000 car goal.
However, things rarely go according to plan. Shanghai was completely closed for several weeks in February, and Fremont was shut down for nearly a month and a half. The closings put a significant dent in Tesla’s Q2 numbers, and the company only delivered 90,891 cars. To keep pace with the yearly goal, Tesla needs to keep an average of 125,000 cars per quarter.
After a record performance in Q3 with 145,036 units produced and 139,300 cars delivered, Tesla is on its way to achieving its goal. However, the company will need to deliver around 190,000 cars in Q4 to achieve the 500,000 vehicle threshold.
The fourth quarter has been Tesla’s strongest period in past years. In 2019, Tesla delivered 112,095 cars to owners compared to the 95,356 and 97,186 in the second and third quarters, respectively.
Whether Tesla reaches its 500,000 car goal for the year comes down to a couple of things: Manufacturing efficiency and demand. The company has plenty of demand, and one of its main focuses has been to increase manufacturing accuracy and efficiency. Musk has been vocal about the challenges that have come from mass-producing cars, but Tesla has managed to overcome the adversity through experience.
At the time of writing, TSLA was trading at $429.08, up 3.66% on the day.
Disclaimer: Joey Klender is a TSLA Shareholder.
Investor's Corner
Stifel raises Tesla price target by 9.8% over FSD, Robotaxi advancements
Stifel also maintained a “Buy” rating for the electric vehicle maker.

Investment firm Stifel has raised its price target for Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) shares to $483 from $440 over increased confidence in the company’s self-driving and Robotaxi programs. The new price target suggests an 11.5% upside from Tesla’s closing price on Tuesday.
Stifel also maintained a “Buy” rating despite acknowledging that Tesla’s timeline for fully unsupervised driving may be ambitious.
Building confidence
In a note to clients, Stifel stated that it believes “Tesla is making progress with modest advancements in its Robotaxi network and FSD,” as noted in a report from Investing.com. The firm expects unsupervised FSD to become available for personal use in the U.S. by the end of 2025, with a wider ride-hailing rollout potentially covering half of the U.S. population by year-end.
Stifel also noted that Tesla’s Robotaxi fleet could expand from “tiny to gigantic” within a short time frame, possibly making a material financial impact to the company by late 2026. The firm views Tesla’s vision-based approach to autonomy as central to this long-term growth, suggesting that continued advancements could unlock new revenue streams across both consumer and mobility sectors.
Tesla’s FSD goals still ambitious
While Stifel’s tone remains optimistic, the firm’s analysts acknowledged that Tesla’s aggressive autonomy timeline may face execution challenges. The note described the 2025 unsupervised FSD target as “a stretch,” though still achievable in the medium term.
“We believe Tesla is making progress with modest advancements in its Robotaxi network and FSD. The company has high expectations for its camera-based approach including; 1) Unsupervised FSD to be available for personal use in the United States by year-end 2025, which appears to be a stretch but seems more likely in the medium term; 2) that it will ‘probably have ride hailing in probably half of the populations of the U.S. by the end of the year’,” the firm noted.
Investor's Corner
Cantor Fitzgerald reaffirms bullish view on Tesla after record Q3 deliveries
The firm reiterated its Overweight rating and $355 price target.

Cantor Fitzgerald is maintaining its bullish outlook on Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) following the company’s record-breaking third quarter of 2025.
The firm reiterated its Overweight rating and $355 price target, citing strong delivery results driven by a rush of consumer purchases ahead of the end of the federal tax credit on September 30.
On Tesla’s vehicle deliveries in Q3 2025
During the third quarter of 2025, Tesla delivered a total of 497,099 vehicles, significantly beating analyst expectations of 443,079 vehicles. As per Cantor Fitzgerald, this was likely affected by customers rushing at the end of Q3 to purchase an EV due to the end of the federal tax credit, as noted in an Investing.com report.
“On 10/2, TSLA pre-announced that it delivered 497,099 vehicles in 3Q25 (its highest quarterly delivery in company history), significantly above Company consensus of 443,079, and above 384,122 in 2Q25. This was due primarily to a ‘push forward effect’ from consumers who rushed to purchase or lease EVs ahead of the $7,500 EV tax credit expiring on 9/30,” the firm wrote in its note.
A bright spot in Tesla Energy
Cantor Fitzgerald also highlighted that while Tesla’s full-year production and deliveries would likely fall short of 2024’s 1.8 million total, Tesla’s energy storage business remains a bright spot in the company’s results.
“Tesla also announced that it had deployed 12.5 GWh of energy storage products in 3Q25, its highest in company history vs. our estimate/Visible Alpha consensus of 11.5/10.9 GWh (and vs. ~6.9 GWh in 3Q24). Tesla’s Energy Storage has now deployed more products YTD than all of last year, which is encouraging. We expect Energy Storage revenue to surpass $12B this year, and to account for ~15% of total revenue,” the firm stated.
Tesla’s strong Q3 results have helped lift its market capitalization to $1.47 trillion as of writing. The company also teased a new product reveal on X set for October 7, which the firm stated could serve as another near-term catalyst.
Investor's Corner
Tesla just got a weird price target boost from a notable bear

Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) just got a weird price target boost from a notable bear just a day after it announced its strongest quarter in terms of vehicle deliveries and energy deployments.
JPMorgan raised its price target on Tesla shares from $115 to $150. It maintained its ‘Underweight’ rating on the stock.
Despite Tesla reporting 497,099 deliveries, about 12 percent above the 443,000 anticipated from the consensus, JPMorgan is still skeptical that the company can keep up its momentum, stating most of its Q3 strength came from leaning on the removal of the $7,500 EV tax credit, which expired on September 30.
Tesla hits record vehicle deliveries and energy deployments in Q3 2025
The firm said Tesla benefited from a “temporary stronger-than-expected industry-wide pull-forward” as the tax credit expired. It is no secret that consumers flocked to the company this past quarter to take advantage of the credit.
The bump will need to be solidified as the start of a continuing trend of strong vehicle deliveries, the firm said in a note to investors. Analysts said that one quarter of strength was “too soon to declare Tesla as having sustainably returned to growth in its core business.”
JPMorgan does not anticipate Tesla having strong showings with vehicle deliveries after Q4.
There are two distinct things that stick out with this note: the first is the lack of recognition of other parts of Tesla’s business, and the confusion that surrounds future quarters.
JPMorgan did not identify Tesla’s strength in autonomy, energy storage, or robotics, with autonomy and robotics being the main focuses of the company’s future. Tesla’s Full Self-Driving and Robotaxi efforts are incredibly relevant and drive more impact moving forward than vehicle deliveries.
Additionally, the confusion surrounding future delivery numbers in quarters past Q3 is evident.
Will Tesla thrive without the EV tax credit? Five reasons why they might
Tesla will receive some assistance from deliveries of vehicles that will reach customers in Q4, but will still qualify for the credit under the IRS’s revised rules. It will also likely introduce an affordable model this quarter, which should have a drastic impact on deliveries depending on pricing.
Tesla shares are trading at $422.40 at 2:35 p.m. on the East Coast.
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