

Investor's Corner
Tesla (TSLA) Q2 2022 earnings results: Analysts’ revenue estimates met, EPS expectations exceeded
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) posted its second-quarter 2022 earnings report after markets closed today. The results, which were discussed in the Q2 2022 Update Letter, were released after the closing bell on Wednesday, July 20, 2022.
Tesla faced headwinds in the second quarter, with the company producing a total of 258,580 vehicles and delivering 254,695. Tesla’s figures could be attributed to Giga Shanghai’s Covid-related shutdowns in April, which cost the company several weeks’ worth of vehicle production.
The following is a quick overview of Tesla’s Q2 2022 results.
REVENUE
Tesla posted total revenues of $16.934B billion with a gross profit of $4.234B billion. In comparison, analysts expected Tesla to post revenue of $16.9 billion. Overall, Tesla’s revenue grew 42% year-over-year.
EARNINGS PER SHARE
Tesla posted non-GAAP earnings per share of $2.27 per share. In comparison, analysts were expecting Tesla to post adjusted earnings per share of $1.83.
CASH
Tesla posted operating cash flow less CAPEX of $621 million in the second quarter. In total, the company was able to add $0.88 billion in its cash and cash equivalents to $18.3 billion in Q2 2022. Tesla noted that it converted approximately 75% of its Bitcoin purchases into fiat currency, bringing in $936M of cash to the company’s balance sheet.
PROFITABILITY
Tesla posted $2.5B GAAP operating income; 14.6% operating margin in Q2 2022, $2.3B GAAP net income; $2.6B non-GAAP net income (ex-SBC1) in the second quarter, and 27.9% GAAP automotive gross margin in Q2. Tesla’s operating income improved YoY to $2.5B in Q2, resulting in a 14.6% operating margin.
OTHER NOTABLE UPDATES
The Fremont factory was able to produce a record number of vehicles in the second quarter. The next generation of 4680 cell machinery has also been installed in Giga Texas. The new 4680 machinery are currently in the process of being commissioned.
Gigafactory Shanghai currently has a capacity of over 750,000 vehicles per year, but the facility will soon be able to produce more after its upgrades this month.
Giga Berlin exhibited strong production rate improvement at the end of the second quarter, with Tesla Germany producing more than 1,000 Model Y in one week. These vehicles are also equipped with 2170 cells, and thus still use more parts.
As for Full Self-Driving and Autopilot, the FSD Beta group has now increased to over 100,000 drivers. Tesla Vision is also now being used for other features such as tightening seatbelts earlier in certain crashes.
Tesla Energy deployments decreased by 11% year-over-year in the second quarter to just 1.1 GWh, mainly due to semiconductor challenges. Solar deployments increased by 25% YoY in Q2 to 106 MW, however.
Below is Tesla’s Q2 2022 Update Letter.
Disclaimer: I am long TSLA.
Don’t hesitate to contact us with news tips. Just send a message to simon@teslarati.com to give us a heads up.
Elon Musk
Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s $1 trillion pay package hits first adversity from proxy firm
ISS said the size of the pay package will enable Musk to have access to “extraordinarily high pay opportunities over the next ten years,” and it will have an impact on future packages because it will “reduce the board’s ability to meaningfully adjust future pay levels.”

Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s $1 trillion pay package, which was proposed by the company last month, has hit its first bit of adversity from proxy advisory firm Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS).
Musk has called the firm “ISIS,” a play on its name relating it to the terrorist organization, in the past.
“ISIS”
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) September 27, 2021
The pay package aims to lock in Musk to the CEO role at Tesla for the next decade, as it will only be paid in full if he is able to unlock each tranche based on company growth, which will reward shareholders.
However, the sum is incredibly large and would give Musk the ability to become the first trillionaire in history, based on his holdings. This is precisely why ISS is advising shareholders to vote against the pay plan.
The group said that Musk’s pay package will lock him in, which is the goal of the Board, and it is especially important to do this because of his “track record and vision.”
However, it also said the size of the pay package will enable Musk to have access to “extraordinarily high pay opportunities over the next ten years,” and it will have an impact on future packages because it will “reduce the board’s ability to meaningfully adjust future pay levels.”
The release from ISS called the size of Musk’s pay package “astronomical” and said its design could continue to pay the CEO massive amounts of money for even partially achieving the goals. This could end up in potential dilution for existing investors.
If Musk were to reach all of the tranches, Tesla’s market cap could reach up to $8.5 trillion, which would make it the most valuable company in the world.
Tesla has made its own attempts to woo shareholders into voting for the pay package, which it feels is crucial not only for retaining Musk but also for continuing to create value for shareholders.
Tesla launched an ad for Elon Musk’s pay package on Paramount+
Musk has also said he would like to have more ownership control of Tesla, so he would not have as much of an issue with who he calls “activist shareholders.”
Investor's Corner
Barclays lifts Tesla price target ahead of Q3 earnings amid AI momentum
Analyst Dan Levy adjusted his price target for TSLA stock from $275 to $350, while maintaining an “Equal Weight” rating for the EV maker.

Barclays has raised its price target for Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA), with the firm’s analysts stating that the electric vehicle maker is approaching its Q3 earnings with two contrasting “stories.”
Analyst Dan Levy adjusted his price target for TSLA stock from $275 to $350, while maintaining an “Equal Weight” rating for the EV maker.
Tesla’s AI and autonomy narrative
Levy told investors that Tesla’s “accelerating autonomous and AI narrative,” amplified by CEO Elon Musk’s proposed compensation package, is energizing market sentiment. The analyst stated that expectations for a Q3 earnings-per-share beat are supported by improved vehicle delivery volumes and stronger-than-expected gross margins, as noted in a TipRanks report.
Tesla has been increasingly positioning itself as an AI-driven company, with Elon Musk frequently emphasizing the long-term potential of its Full Self-Driving (FSD) software and products like Optimus, both of which are heavily driven by AI. The company’s AI focus has also drawn the support of key companies like Nvidia, one of the world’s largest companies today.
Still cautious on TSLA
Despite bullish AI sentiments, Barclays maintained its caution on Tesla’s underlying business metrics. Levy described the firm’s stance as “leaning neutral to slightly negative” heading into the Q3 earnings call, citing concerns about near-term fundamentals of the electric vehicle maker.
Barclays is not the only firm that has expressed its concerns about TSLA stock recently. As per previous reports, BNP Paribas Exane also shared an “Underperform” rating on the company due to its two biggest products, the Robotaxi and Optimus, still generating “zero sales today, yet inform ~75% of our ~$1.02 trillion price target.” BNP Paribas, however, also estimated that Tesla will have an estimated 525,000 active Robotaxis by 2030, 17 million cumulative Optimus robot deliveries by 2040, and more than 11 million FSD subscriptions by 2030.
Investor's Corner
BNP Paribas Exane initiates Tesla coverage with “Underperform” rating
The firm’s projections for Tesla still include an estimated 525,000 active Robotaxis by 2030.

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) has received a bearish call from BNP Paribas Exane, which initiated coverage on the stock with an Underperform rating and a $307 price target, about 30% below current levels.
The firm’s analysts argued that Tesla’s valuation is driven heavily by artificial intelligence ventures such as the Robotaxi and Optimus, which are both still not producing any sales today.
Tesla’s valuation
In its note, BNP Paribas Exane stated that Tesla’s two AI-led programs, the Robotaxi and Optimus robots, generate “zero sales today, yet inform ~75% of our ~$1.02 trillion price target.” The research firm’s model projected a maximum bull-case valuation of $2.7 trillion through 2040, but after discounting milestone probabilities, its base-case valuation remained at $1.02 trillion.
The analysts described their outlook as optimistic toward Tesla’s AI ventures but cautioned that the stock’s “unfavorable risk/reward is clear,” adding that consensus earnings expectations for 2026 remain too high. Tesla’s market cap currently stands around $1.44 trillion with a trailing twelve-month revenue of $92.7 billion, which BNP Paribas argued does not justify Tesla’s P/E ratio of 258.59, as noted in an Investing.com report.
Tesla and its peers
BNP Paribas Exane’s report also included a comparative study of the “Magnificent Seven,” finding Tesla’s current market valuation as rather aggressive. “Our unique comparative analysis of the ‘Mag 7’ reveals the extreme nature of TSLA’s valuation, as the market implicitly says TSLA’s 2035 earnings (~55% of which will be driven by Robotaxi & Optimus, w/ zero sales now) have the same level of risk & value-appropriation as the ‘Mag 6’s’ 2026 earnings,” the firm noted.
The firm’s projections for Tesla include an estimated 525,000 active Robotaxis by 2030, 17 million cumulative Optimus robot deliveries by 2040 priced above $20,000 each, and more than 11 million Full Self-Driving subscriptions by 2030. Interestingly enough, these seem to be rather optimistic projections for one of the electric vehicle maker’s more bearish estimates today.
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