

Investor's Corner
Tesla surprises with $312M profit for Q3 as Model 3 margins soar past 20%
Tesla’s third-quarter earnings for 2018 saw the California-based carmaker beat Wall Street revenue estimates after posting $6.8 billion in revenue and beating earnings estimates with a GAAP profit of $312 million.
The results, which were posted in an Update Letter to investors after the closing bell on Wednesday, October 24, showed third-quarter earnings of $1.75 per share on a GAAP-basis, shattering analyst estimates of -$.19 per share. Revenue was $6.82 billion versus an estimate of $6.33 billion. The company reported an adjusted non-GAAP profit of $512M or $2.90 per share.
Profitability
Tesla posted a profit of $312 million, attaining the ambitious target set by CEO Elon Musk earlier this year. The electric car maker went through great lengths to reach profitability, from a 9% layoff across the company back in June to a massive delivery blitz in the third quarter that was augmented by volunteer owners who helped deliver vehicles to reservation holders.
“With average weekly Model 3 production through the quarter (excluding planned shutdowns) of roughly 4,300 units per week, we achieved GAAP net income of $312 million. We also delivered on our internal cost efficiency targets, leading to GAAP Model 3 gross margin of more than 20%, which exceeded our guidance,” Tesla stated in the update letter.
This is the company’s first profitable quarter since Q1 2013, when the company posted a minor profit. The company also saw its free cash flow rise to $739M, versus a net loss of $436M last quarter.
Revenue
The company’s revenue for the third quarter consisted of $6.09B in automotive revenue and $399M from the energy and battery storage division. Automotive revenue saw an increase of 82% compared to the previous quarter. The energy and battery storage division saw an increase of 6.6% compared to the previous quarter. Overall, total revenue was up 70.5% compared to Q2 and up 229% year-on-year.
The drastic increase in automotive revenue was mainly driven from the company’s Model 3 sales, which rose to over 56,000 deliveries in the quarter. Tesla deployed 93 MW of energy generation and 239 MWh of energy storage products in the third quarter as well, both of which grew over the previous quarter.
Model 3
Elon Musk once noted that the Model 3 was a “bet-the-company” vehicle — a car whose success or failure would determine Tesla’s future. The challenges that Tesla faced with the Model 3 ramp are well-documented, with Elon Musk describing the ordeal as one of the most painful periods of his career. The third-quarter proved to be a breakthrough for Tesla, though, as the company was able to make headway in both the number of vehicles produced and delivered.
The Model 3 had a gross margin exceeding 20% in the quarter. Tesla continues to expect this to rise to 25%, excluding any ZEV credits.
“Model 3 mix was strong in Q3 due to the launch of AWD and Performance variants. While the average selling price will gradually decline as we introduce lower priced variants, we are not expecting this to impact profitability. Model S and X Performance mix declined roughly 4-fold since 2015, yet Model S and X gross margin (excluding ZEV credits) continued to improve by roughly 600 basis points over the same period of time. Margin growth was caused by gradual cost improvements driven by lowering labor hours per vehicle, reduced cost of raw materials, and various other cost efficiencies. We continue to target a 25% gross margin ex-ZEV credits on Model 3.” – Tesla’s Q3 Letter
Today’s trading session ended with TSLA down 1.92% at $288.50. After-hours, the stock was trading up 8.3% to $312.45.
Tesla’s full Q3 2018 Update Letter can be accessed here.
Investor's Corner
Tesla gets its best analysis from Morgan Stanley as ‘it’s all about to change’
He maintained its ‘Overweight’ rating and the $410 price target Morgan Stanley had on the stock.

Tesla has gotten perhaps its best analysis from Morgan Stanley in quite some time, as the Wall Street firm claims that “it’s all about to change.”
That phrase could be used for both the company’s status and the world in general.
Analyst Adam Jonas said in a new note on Thursday to investors that Tesla could be one of the major winners in terms of the global transition from what it is now to what it will be.
He describes the global shift that will occur over the next few years:
“Have you interacted with a robot today? Have you even seen a robot today? No? Well, take a mental picture because it’s all about to change. When we meet someone who has never been in a Waymo or a Tesla Cybercab (which is most people), we frequently see a wince and a response such as ‘I’m not sure I’d feel comfortable getting in a car without a driver.’ We imagine going back in time to 1903 and asking people if they’d feel comfortable in an airplane.’”
The same technological revolutions that have occurred over the past 150 years will continue to occur again and again. We are on the verge of another, Jonas believes, as companies like Tesla are working on artificial intelligence tech, which includes changing the way we look at things like transportation and labor.
Jonas includes an interesting tidbit in his note about how humanoid robots could change wages, and how it could work into the advantage of Tesla, especially as it is developing its own Optimus robot:
“We estimate 1 humanoid robot at $5/hour can do the work of 2 humans at $25/hour, generating an NPV of approximately $200k/humanoid. 1 robot shaped car can potentially drive down cost/mile of a ride share vehicle to <$0.20 mile (1/10th human-driven ride-share).”
Jonas sees Tesla as a key player in how AI will impact things like manufacturing and various automotive industries, and he believes there is long-term potential for AI, robomobility, and even autonomous eVTOL platforms.
Tesla stock: Morgan Stanley says eVTOL is calling Elon Musk for new chapter
He maintained its ‘Overweight’ rating and the $410 price target Morgan Stanley had on the stock.
Elon Musk
Tesla stock gets crazy prediction from CEO Elon Musk
Musk says this is what it would take to be a millionaire from a Tesla investment right now.

Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) got a crazy prediction from CEO Elon Musk recently, as the future of the company seems to be moving more toward AI, autonomy, and robotics, and away from automotive, which is what it has traditionally been recognized as.
Over the past few years, as Tesla has prioritized its Full Self-Driving suite, its rollout of a dedicated Robotaxi program, and the development of the Optimus bot, the company has gained a new reputation from analysts.
It was always looked at as a stock with tremendous potential by many Wall Street firms, some more than others.
The most bullish analysts, like Cathie Wood of ARK Invest, believe the company will eventually reach a multi-trillion-dollar valuation and a share price of over $2,000. Her $2,600 price target does not include any contributions of Optimus. Instead, it leans on Full Self-Driving and Robotaxi.
Based on where the company is now, there are a lot of potential catalysts. The Robotaxi expansion, as well as affordable vehicles, its prowess in AI and Robotics, and its powerful energy division are all arguments for investment.
One X user said that a $150,000 investment in Tesla right now would likely make you a millionaire. Musk said he thinks that sentiment is “probably correct.”
I think this is probably correct
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) August 5, 2025
He’s echoed this belief in recent earnings calls, including the one for Q2, which happened in July:
“I do think if Tesla continues to execute well with vehicle autonomy and humanoid robot autonomy, it will be the most valuable company in the world. A lot of execution between here and there. It doesn’t just happen. Provided we execute very well, I think Tesla has a shot at being the most valuable company in the world. Obviously, I am extremely optimistic about the future of the company.”
Tesla is trading at $316.50 at the time of writing, and has a market cap of just under $1 trillion.
Elon Musk
Tesla stock gets another analysis from Jim Cramer, and investors will like it
“Tesla is morphing right now. It’s in transition from being a car company to being a technology company.”

Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) got its latest analysis from Jim Cramer, and investors will like what he has to say.
Cramer has flip-flopped his thoughts on Tesla shares many times over the years. One time, he said CEO Elon Musk was a genius; the next, he said Ford stock was a better play. He’s always changing his tune.
However, Cramer’s most recent analysis is of a bullish tone, as he talks about the company’s evolution from an automaker to a tech powerhouse. He made the comments on CNBC’s Mad Money:
“Tesla is morphing right now. It’s in transition from being a car company to being a technology company. You wanna be in there because the tech is worth a lot more than what it’s selling for right now. Don’t care where you bought it, care where it’s going to.”
Jim Cramer last night on $TSLA: “Tesla is morphing right now. It’s in transition from being a car company to being a technology company. You wanna be in there because the tech is worth a lot more than what it’s selling for right now. Don’t care where you bought it, care where… pic.twitter.com/WzlPdQD7gq
— Sawyer Merritt (@SawyerMerritt) August 5, 2025
Tesla has always been looked at by the mainstream media as an automaker. While that is its main business currently, Tesla has always had other divisions: Energy, Solar, Charging, AI, and Robotics. Some came after others, but the important point is that Tesla has not been an automaker exclusively for a decade.
It launched Powerwall and Powerpack in April 2015, marking the start of Tesla Energy.
But Cramer has a point here: Tesla is truly becoming much more than a car company, and it is turning into an AI and overall tech company more than ever before. Eventually, it will be recognized as such, more so than it will be as an automotive company.
Cramer’s comments also follow a recent prediction by Musk, who stated on X that he believes a $150,000 investment in Tesla shares right now would eventually turn someone into a millionaire:
I think this is probably correct
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) August 5, 2025
Musk has said he believes Tesla could be headed to a serious increase in valuation. Eventually, it could become the most valuable company in the world. He said this during the Q2 Earnings Call:
“I do think if Tesla continues to execute well with vehicle autonomy and humanoid robot autonomy, it will be the most valuable company in the world. A lot of execution between here and there. It doesn’t just happen. Provided we execute very well, I think Tesla has a shot at being the most valuable company in the world. Obviously, I am extremely optimistic about the future of the company.”
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