

Investor's Corner
Tesla becomes 4th-largest US short amid countdown for Q3’s earnings
Earlier this year, Tesla stock (NASDAQ:TSLA) held the title of being the most-shorted company in the US stock market. But at the end of August, Tesla became second to Amazon as the US’ most-shorted stock, before being overtaken by Apple in early September. On Tuesday, Tesla’s place in the list fell again, putting the carmaker directly behind e-commerce behemoth Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN), tech giant Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), and chipmaker Qualcomm (NASDAQ:QCOM). With this, Tesla has now become the 4th-largest short in the US market.
The recent updates on Tesla’s short interest were posted yesterday by S3 Partners LLC Managing Director of Predictive Analytics Ihor Dusaniwsky. The S3 Partners exec noted that Tesla’s short interest is currently at $8.16 billion with 32.58 million shares shorted, corresponding to 25.55% of the company’s float. Dusaniwsky stated that over the past week, 1.2 million shares were covered amidst the steep 17% drop in TSLA stock. Tesla shorts are also up $416 million in mark-to-market profits.
$TSLA short interest is $8.16 billion, the 4th largest U.S. short behind $AAPL, $AMZN & $QCOM; 32.58 million shares shorted; 25.55% of float. 1.2 million shares covered over the last week as #Tesla's stock price fell 17%. Shorts up $416 million in mark-to-market October profits pic.twitter.com/5iXW8KWpvB
— Ihor Dusaniwsky🇺🇦 (@ihors3) October 9, 2018
Tesla stock saw a sharp decline last week when Elon Musk courted renewed controversy by posting a series of tweets critical of the Securities and Exchange Commission. Musk tweeted against the SEC on Thursday, at a time when Tesla stock was already down 4.4%. After Musk posted his criticism of the agency on Twitter, Tesla shares dipped 2% more. The following trading days were equally cruel to TSLA, with the stock ending Monday at a nearly 18-month low. The electric car maker showed some recovery on Tuesday, though, with shares rising 4.89% amidst a positive note from Macquarie Capital Inc, which gave Tesla an Outperform rating and a price target of $430 per share.
Despite its lower rankings in the list of most-shorted companies in the US market, Tesla remains a heavily-shorted stock. That said, the number of TSLA shares held short today is considerably lower than May’s figures, when Tesla had 39 million shares were held short – the highest in the company’s history. TSLA short interest has mostly decreased since then, recently falling to just 32.58 million shares as of Tuesday.
The apparent decline in Tesla’s short interest comes as the countdown for the release of Tesla’s Q3 2018 earnings report continues. Tesla had ambitious targets in the third quarter, as the company aimed to produce and deliver more than 50,000 Model 3 from July to September – a goal that was achieved. That said, while Tesla was able to set new delivery and production records in Q3, it remains to be seen if the company was able to turn a profit – target set by Elon Musk earlier this year.
A critical factor that can contribute to Tesla’s earnings in Q3 would lie in the Model 3, the company’s first attempt at a mass-market car. That said, if the company’s Q3 production and delivery figures are any indication, it appears that Q3 was the quarter when the Model 3 ramp started hitting its stride. Less than 48 hours before Q3 ended, Elon Musk even sent an email to Tesla employees, encouraging them to push harder since the company was “very close to profitability.”
“We are very close to achieving profitability and proving the naysayers wrong, but, to be certain, we must execute really well tomorrow (Sunday). If we go all out tomorrow, we will achieve an epic victory beyond all expectations,” Musk wrote.
This November, the market would see if Tesla achieved the “epic victory” that Elon Musk teased in his email. Despite the controversy stirred by Musk on Twitter, after all, Tesla’s fundamentals appear to be steadily improving.
Elon Musk
Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s $1 trillion pay package hits first adversity from proxy firm
ISS said the size of the pay package will enable Musk to have access to “extraordinarily high pay opportunities over the next ten years,” and it will have an impact on future packages because it will “reduce the board’s ability to meaningfully adjust future pay levels.”

Tesla CEO Elon Musk’s $1 trillion pay package, which was proposed by the company last month, has hit its first bit of adversity from proxy advisory firm Institutional Shareholder Services (ISS).
Musk has called the firm “ISIS,” a play on its name relating it to the terrorist organization, in the past.
“ISIS”
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) September 27, 2021
The pay package aims to lock in Musk to the CEO role at Tesla for the next decade, as it will only be paid in full if he is able to unlock each tranche based on company growth, which will reward shareholders.
However, the sum is incredibly large and would give Musk the ability to become the first trillionaire in history, based on his holdings. This is precisely why ISS is advising shareholders to vote against the pay plan.
The group said that Musk’s pay package will lock him in, which is the goal of the Board, and it is especially important to do this because of his “track record and vision.”
However, it also said the size of the pay package will enable Musk to have access to “extraordinarily high pay opportunities over the next ten years,” and it will have an impact on future packages because it will “reduce the board’s ability to meaningfully adjust future pay levels.”
The release from ISS called the size of Musk’s pay package “astronomical” and said its design could continue to pay the CEO massive amounts of money for even partially achieving the goals. This could end up in potential dilution for existing investors.
If Musk were to reach all of the tranches, Tesla’s market cap could reach up to $8.5 trillion, which would make it the most valuable company in the world.
Tesla has made its own attempts to woo shareholders into voting for the pay package, which it feels is crucial not only for retaining Musk but also for continuing to create value for shareholders.
Tesla launched an ad for Elon Musk’s pay package on Paramount+
Musk has also said he would like to have more ownership control of Tesla, so he would not have as much of an issue with who he calls “activist shareholders.”
Investor's Corner
Barclays lifts Tesla price target ahead of Q3 earnings amid AI momentum
Analyst Dan Levy adjusted his price target for TSLA stock from $275 to $350, while maintaining an “Equal Weight” rating for the EV maker.

Barclays has raised its price target for Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA), with the firm’s analysts stating that the electric vehicle maker is approaching its Q3 earnings with two contrasting “stories.”
Analyst Dan Levy adjusted his price target for TSLA stock from $275 to $350, while maintaining an “Equal Weight” rating for the EV maker.
Tesla’s AI and autonomy narrative
Levy told investors that Tesla’s “accelerating autonomous and AI narrative,” amplified by CEO Elon Musk’s proposed compensation package, is energizing market sentiment. The analyst stated that expectations for a Q3 earnings-per-share beat are supported by improved vehicle delivery volumes and stronger-than-expected gross margins, as noted in a TipRanks report.
Tesla has been increasingly positioning itself as an AI-driven company, with Elon Musk frequently emphasizing the long-term potential of its Full Self-Driving (FSD) software and products like Optimus, both of which are heavily driven by AI. The company’s AI focus has also drawn the support of key companies like Nvidia, one of the world’s largest companies today.
Still cautious on TSLA
Despite bullish AI sentiments, Barclays maintained its caution on Tesla’s underlying business metrics. Levy described the firm’s stance as “leaning neutral to slightly negative” heading into the Q3 earnings call, citing concerns about near-term fundamentals of the electric vehicle maker.
Barclays is not the only firm that has expressed its concerns about TSLA stock recently. As per previous reports, BNP Paribas Exane also shared an “Underperform” rating on the company due to its two biggest products, the Robotaxi and Optimus, still generating “zero sales today, yet inform ~75% of our ~$1.02 trillion price target.” BNP Paribas, however, also estimated that Tesla will have an estimated 525,000 active Robotaxis by 2030, 17 million cumulative Optimus robot deliveries by 2040, and more than 11 million FSD subscriptions by 2030.
Investor's Corner
BNP Paribas Exane initiates Tesla coverage with “Underperform” rating
The firm’s projections for Tesla still include an estimated 525,000 active Robotaxis by 2030.

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) has received a bearish call from BNP Paribas Exane, which initiated coverage on the stock with an Underperform rating and a $307 price target, about 30% below current levels.
The firm’s analysts argued that Tesla’s valuation is driven heavily by artificial intelligence ventures such as the Robotaxi and Optimus, which are both still not producing any sales today.
Tesla’s valuation
In its note, BNP Paribas Exane stated that Tesla’s two AI-led programs, the Robotaxi and Optimus robots, generate “zero sales today, yet inform ~75% of our ~$1.02 trillion price target.” The research firm’s model projected a maximum bull-case valuation of $2.7 trillion through 2040, but after discounting milestone probabilities, its base-case valuation remained at $1.02 trillion.
The analysts described their outlook as optimistic toward Tesla’s AI ventures but cautioned that the stock’s “unfavorable risk/reward is clear,” adding that consensus earnings expectations for 2026 remain too high. Tesla’s market cap currently stands around $1.44 trillion with a trailing twelve-month revenue of $92.7 billion, which BNP Paribas argued does not justify Tesla’s P/E ratio of 258.59, as noted in an Investing.com report.
Tesla and its peers
BNP Paribas Exane’s report also included a comparative study of the “Magnificent Seven,” finding Tesla’s current market valuation as rather aggressive. “Our unique comparative analysis of the ‘Mag 7’ reveals the extreme nature of TSLA’s valuation, as the market implicitly says TSLA’s 2035 earnings (~55% of which will be driven by Robotaxi & Optimus, w/ zero sales now) have the same level of risk & value-appropriation as the ‘Mag 6’s’ 2026 earnings,” the firm noted.
The firm’s projections for Tesla include an estimated 525,000 active Robotaxis by 2030, 17 million cumulative Optimus robot deliveries by 2040 priced above $20,000 each, and more than 11 million Full Self-Driving subscriptions by 2030. Interestingly enough, these seem to be rather optimistic projections for one of the electric vehicle maker’s more bearish estimates today.
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