News
Tesla is bringing a machine gun to a knife fight using an ‘AK-47 disguised as a butter knife’
Just recently, Tesla received what could very well be one of its most bullish takes from Wall Street to date, with Canaccord Genuity analyst Jed Dorsheimer acknowledging the potential of the company’s battery business, among other things. During a segment at CNBC’s The Squawk, Dorsheimer noted that Tesla’s primary edge lies in the fact that it simply tackles problems in a way that is fundamentally different from the norm.
And this, according to the analyst, is a crucial advantage—one that could help the EV maker keep its lead in the electric car sector. “Tesla is bringing a machine gun to a knife fight,” Dorsheimer noted.
In a lot of ways, Dorsheimer’s statements ring true. CEO Elon Musk has noted that Tesla should be seen as a chain of about a dozen startups that are each working towards a specific goal. As Musk said, many of the “startups” under Tesla’s umbrella actually have little to no correlation with traditional automotive companies. These include the company’s energy business, which the CEO predicts would comprise a large portion of Tesla in the future.
Despite this, few have looked at Tesla with such a lens. A look at the coverage of Tesla in the mainstream media over the years would show that numerous traditional auto analysts have been wrong about the stock, and even big bulls like Cathie Wood of ARK Invest do not typically cover Tesla’s potential in segments such as battery storage and residential solar. And this, at least for many of Tesla’s critics, has proven to be a costly misstep, as evidenced by TSLA shorts’ $38 billion loss last year.
A group that may very well have acknowledged Tesla’s bigger picture could be retail investors, many of whom are not investing experts. Instead, they are category experts, mastering the unique niche that Tesla was carving for itself. Partly thanks to the emergence of such a group, Tesla’s mid-2019 to 2020 stock performance represented one of the largest transfers of wealth from Wall Street to Main Street investors to date.
What is rather remarkable is that Tesla’s potential is hiding in plain sight. Its electric car business may not produce vehicles at the same volume as Toyota for now, but its numbers are growing massively every year. It only has a couple of functioning car factories today, but both are pushing out vehicles with frightening efficiency. Tesla’s battery storage and solar business may be easy to overlook as well, but its potential is vast as it exists in a sector that’s ripe for disruption.
Inasmuch as all the pieces of the Tesla puzzle are visible, however, it is very easy for someone with a narrow-minded lens—perhaps one focused on month-over-month vehicle deliveries in specific territories—to miss the forest for the trees. And in a way, this is partly due to Tesla’s strategy itself, which tends to keep things understated, despite Elon Musk’s Twitter habits.
From its vehicles to its battery storage systems, Tesla’s entire lineup is designed with simplicity in mind. This was something that Top Gear presenter Chris Harris mentioned back in 2019 when he went behind the wheel of the Model 3 Performance. Harris sharply criticized the Model 3 for its unassuming look, but he was blown away by its performance, which included the vehicle walking all over the best of ICE on the track. Summing up his thoughts, Harris noted that the Model 3 was an “AK-47 disguised as a butter knife.”
This still pretty much applies to Tesla’s current lineup of products. From the Semi to Full Self-Driving to Autobidder, most of Tesla’s creations are designed to usher in a paradigm shift in their respective segments. They just typically come in packages that are easily judged and just as easily miscalculated. Fortunately, and considering the growing community of people well-versed in Tesla’s efforts, the company’s efforts will likely not remain unacknowledged. After all, if Canaccord Genuity analyst Jed Dorsheimer’s recent statements are any indication, it appears that even Wall Street is starting to appreciate the forest a little bit more.
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Elon Musk
Elon Musk reiterates Tesla Optimus’ most sci-fi potential yet
Musk shared his comments in a series of posts on social media platform X.
Elon Musk recently reiterated one of the most ambitious forecasts for Tesla’s humanoid robot, Optimus, stating it could become the first real-world example of a Von Neumann machine. He also noted once more that Optimus would be Tesla’s biggest product.
Musk shared his comments in a series of posts on social media platform X.
Optimus as a von Neumann machine
In response to a post on X that pondered on sci-fi timelines becoming real, Musk wrote that “Optimus will be the first Von Neumann machine, capable of building civilization by itself on any viable planet.” In a separate post, Musk wrote that Optimus will be Tesla’s “biggest product ever,” a phrase he has used in the past to describe the humanoid robot’s importance to the electric vehicle maker.
A Von Neumann machine is a class of theoretical self-replicating systems originally proposed in the mid-20th century by the mathematician John von Neumann. In his concept, von Neumann described machines that could travel to other worlds, use local materials to create copies of themselves, and carry out large-scale tasks without outside intervention.
Elon Musk’s broader plans
Considering Musk’s comments, it appears that Optimus would eventually be capable of performing complex work autonomously in environments beyond Earth. If Optimus could achieve such a feat, it could very well unlock humanity’s capability to explore locations beyond Earth. The idea of space exploration becomes more than feasible.
Elon Musk has discussed space-based AI compute, large-scale robotic production, and the role of SpaceX’s Starship in transporting hardware and materials to other planets. While Musk did not detail how Optimus would fit with SpaceX’s exploration activities, his Von Neumann machine comments suggest he is looking at Tesla’s robotics as part of a potential interplanetary ecosystem.
News
Tesla China January wholesale sales rise 9% year-on-year
Tesla reported January wholesale sales of 69,129 China-made vehicles, as per data released by the China Passenger Car Association.
Tesla China reported January wholesale sales of 69,129 Giga Shanghai-made vehicles, as per data released by the China Passenger Car Association (CPCA). The figure includes both domestic sales and exports from Gigafactory Shanghai.
The total represented a 9.32% increase from January last year but a 28.86% decline from December’s 97,171 units.
China EV market trends
The CPCA estimated that China’s passenger new energy vehicle wholesale volume reached about 900,000 units in January, up 1% year-on-year but down 42% from December. Demand has been pressured by the start-of-year slow season, a 5% additional purchase tax cost, and uncertainty around the transition of vehicle trade-in subsidies, as noted in a report from CNEV Post.
Market leader BYD sold 210,051 NEVs in January, down 30.11% year-on-year and 50.04% month-on-month, as per data released on February 1. Tesla China’s year-over-year growth then is quite interesting, as the company’s vehicles seem to be selling very well despite headwinds in the market.
Tesla China’s strategies
To counter weaker seasonal demand, Tesla China launched a low-interest financing program on January 6, offering up to seven-year terms on select produced vehicles. The move marked the first time an automaker offered financing of that length in the Chinese market.
Several rivals, including Xiaomi, Li Auto, XPeng, and NIO, later introduced similar incentives. Tesla China then further increased promotions on January 26 by reinstating insurance subsidies for the Model 3 sedan. The CPCA is expected to release Tesla’s China retail sales and export breakdown later this month.
News
Tesla’s Apple CarPlay ambitions are not dead, they’re still in the works
For what it’s worth, as a Tesla owner, I don’t particularly see the need for CarPlay, as I have found the in-car system that the company has developed to be superior. However, many people are in love with CarPlay simply because, when it’s in a car that is capable, it is really great.
Tesla’s Apple CarPlay ambitions appeared to be dead in the water after a large amount of speculation late last year that the company would add the user interface seemed to cool down after several weeks of reports.
However, it appears that CarPlay might make its way to Tesla vehicles after all, as a recent report seems to indicate that it is still being worked on by software teams for the company.
The real question is whether it is truly needed or if it is just a want by so many owners that Tesla is listening and deciding to proceed with its development.
Back in November, Bloomberg reported that Tesla was in the process of testing Apple CarPlay within its vehicles, which was a major development considering the company had resisted adopting UIs outside of its own for many years.
Nearly one-third of car buyers considered the lack of CarPlay as a deal-breaker when buying their cars, a study from McKinsey & Co. outlined. This could be a driving decision in Tesla’s inability to abandon the development of CarPlay in its vehicles, especially as it lost a major advantage that appealed to consumers last year: the $7,500 EV tax credit.
Tesla owners propose interesting theory about Apple CarPlay and EV tax credit
Although we saw little to no movement on it since the November speculation, Tesla is now reportedly in the process of still developing the user interface. Mark Gurman, a Bloomberg writer with a weekly newsletter, stated that CarPlay is “still in the works” at Tesla and that more concrete information will be available “soon” regarding its development.
While Tesla already has a very capable and widely accepted user interface, CarPlay would still be an advantage, considering many people have used it in their vehicles for years. Just like smartphones, many people get comfortable with an operating system or style and are resistant to using a new one. This could be a big reason for Tesla attempting to get it in their own cars.
Tesla gets updated “Apple CarPlay” hack that can work on new models
For what it’s worth, as a Tesla owner, I don’t particularly see the need for CarPlay, as I have found the in-car system that the company has developed to be superior. However, many people are in love with CarPlay simply because, when it’s in a car that is capable, it is really great.
It holds one distinct advantage over Tesla’s UI in my opinion, and that’s the ability to read and respond to text messages, which is something that is available within a Tesla, but is not as user-friendly.
With that being said, I would still give CarPlay a shot in my Tesla. I didn’t particularly enjoy it in my Bronco Sport, but that was because Ford’s software was a bit laggy with it. If it were as smooth as Tesla’s UI, which I think it would be, it could be a really great addition to the vehicle.
Elon Musk reiterates Tesla Optimus’ most sci-fi potential yet
Tesla China January wholesale sales rise 9% year-on-year
