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Investor's Corner

Tesla and Panasonic expect profitability amid improving Model 3 production ramp

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Tesla’s third quarter financial results were a pleasant surprise to Wall Street. In the days and weeks leading up to the company’s earlier-than-expected third-quarter earnings call, speculations were high that Tesla would either break-even, or post a very small profit. Neither happened, as the electric car maker posted $6.8 billion in revenue, beating earnings estimates with a GAAP profit of $312 million.

According to Elon Musk, that is just the beginning. During the third quarter earnings call, Elon Musk stated that he thinks Tesla could be cash-flow positive and profitable for all quarters moving forward. In his recent appearance at the Recode Decode podcast, Musk reiterated this point once more.

“I said earlier this year, I think we will be cash-flow positive for all quarters going forward,” Musk said, adding that he does not think Tesla would need any more investment. When asked if he believes Tesla can push through just by selling electric cars and battery storage products, Musk answered in the affirmative.

Elon Musk’s affirmation of Tesla’s profitability in the coming quarters comes amidst the equally optimistic outlook of Panasonic Corp President Kazuhiro Tsuga. In a statement to Reuters, Tsuga noted that Gigafactory 1 is on the verge of finally yielding returns for the Japanese battery maker. While Panasonic is still losing money as it ramps its battery cell production capacity in the Nevada facility, Tsuga stated that profits are likely underway in the near future.

“We will be in a position to deliver profits at a very early stage. There is no doubt about it, once we complete the current build-up. Once things settle down, you can control profit on line-by-line basis. The first ten lines are pretty much already there,” he said.

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Tsuga further remarked that Panasonic’s investment in Gigafactory 1 would likely exceed 200 billion yen ($1.8 billion) once the expansion of its production lines is complete. For now, Tsuga noted that Panasonic has 11 battery cell production lines running in the Gigafactory, though two more are expected to go online by the end of the year. The Panasonic exec further pointed out that it has dispatched more than 300 people to the Nevada facility to ensure that it can keep up with Tesla’s demands.

Panasonic Chief Financial Officer Hirokazu Umeda is optimistic about the company’s performance in the coming quarters. In a statement to reporters in Tokyo on Wednesday, Umeda remarked that Panasonic has managed to hit a threshold where it can produce batteries in the pace required by the American electric car maker.

“We are finally at a place where we can move in lock-step with Tesla and make as many batteries as they make cars. It’s a relief, because they went through hell this September. And so did we,” Tsuga said.

Aerial images of the Tesla Gigafactory as of August 28, 2018. [Credit: Joshua Mcdonald]

Elon Musk believes that Tesla’s Model 3 ramp has reached a stable point. Responding to a question about the vehicle in the recent Recode Decode podcast, Musk stated that Tesla is “over the hump” in terms of the electric sedan’s production. Musk further pointed out that Tesla could probably hit a production rate of 6,500 Model 3 per week at its current state, though the company’s employees would have to do a notable amount of overtime to achieve a target.

“For us, making 5,000 cars in a week for Model 3 is not a big deal. That’s just normal. Now we’re working on raising to 6,000 and then 7,000 Model 3s a week, while still keeping costs under control. We could probably do 6,000 or more, maybe 6,500 Model 3s a week right now, but it would have to stress people out and do tons of overtime,” he said.

With the announcement of the Mid Range Model 3 and the ongoing phase-out period for the $7,500 federal tax credit, Tesla seems poised to deliver yet another impressive quarter this Q4. Apart from Panasonic’s upgrades in Gigafactory 1 and the installation of new Grohmann machines, Tesla has also registered more than 61,000 new Model 3 VINs in October alone. That’s the equivalent of all Model 3 VINs that the company filed during the first 11 months of the electric car’s production.

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Simon is an experienced automotive reporter with a passion for electric cars and clean energy. Fascinated by the world envisioned by Elon Musk, he hopes to make it to Mars (at least as a tourist) someday. For stories or tips--or even to just say a simple hello--send a message to his email, simon@teslarati.com or his handle on X, @ResidentSponge.

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Elon Musk

Tesla investors will be shocked by Jim Cramer’s latest assessment

Jim Cramer is now speaking positively about Tesla, especially in terms of its Robotaxi performance and its perception as a company.

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Credit: CNBC Television/YouTube

Tesla investors will be shocked by analyst Jim Cramer’s latest assessment of the company.

When it comes to Tesla analysts, many of them are consistent. The bulls usually stay the bulls, and the bears usually stay the bears. The notable analysts on each side are Dan Ives and Adam Jonas for the bulls, and Gordon Johnson for the bears.

Jim Cramer is one analyst who does not necessarily fit this mold. Cramer, who hosts CNBC’s Mad Money, has switched his opinion on Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) many times.

He has been bullish, like he was when he said the stock was a “sleeping giant” two years ago, and he has been bearish, like he was when he said there was “nothing magnificent” about the company just a few months ago.

Now, he is back to being a bull.

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Cramer’s comments were related to two key points: how NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang describes Tesla after working closely with the Company through their transactions, and how it is not a car company, as well as the recent launch of the Robotaxi fleet.

Jensen Huang’s Tesla Narrative

Cramer says that the narrative on quarterly and annual deliveries is overblown, and those who continue to worry about Tesla’s performance on that metric are misled.

“It’s not a car company,” he said.

He went on to say that people like Huang speak highly of Tesla, and that should be enough to deter any true skepticism:

“I believe what Musk says cause Musk is working with Jensen and Jensen’s telling me what’s happening on the other side is pretty amazing.”

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Tesla self-driving development gets huge compliment from NVIDIA CEO

Robotaxi Launch

Many media outlets are being extremely negative regarding the early rollout of Tesla’s Robotaxi platform in Austin, Texas.

There have been a handful of small issues, but nothing significant. Cramer says that humans make mistakes in vehicles too, yet, when Tesla’s test phase of the Robotaxi does it, it’s front page news and needs to be magnified.

He said:

“Look, I mean, drivers make mistakes all the time. Why should we hold Tesla to a standard where there can be no mistakes?”

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It’s refreshing to hear Cramer speak logically about the Robotaxi fleet, as Tesla has taken every measure to ensure there are no mishaps. There are safety monitors in the passenger seat, and the area of travel is limited, confined to a small number of people.

Tesla is still improving and hopes to remove teleoperators and safety monitors slowly, as CEO Elon Musk said more freedom could be granted within one or two months.

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Investor's Corner

Tesla gets $475 price target from Benchmark amid initial Robotaxi rollout

Tesla’s limited rollout of its Robotaxi service in Austin is already catching the eye of Wall Street.

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Credit: Tesla

Venture capital firm Benchmark recently reiterated its “Buy” rating and raised its price target on Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) from $350 to $475 per share, citing the company’s initial Robotaxi service deployment as a sign of future growth potential.

Benchmark analyst Mickey Legg praised the Robotaxi service pilot’s “controlled and safety-first approach,” adding that it could help Tesla earn the trust of regulators and the general public.

Confidence in camera-based autonomy

Legg reiterated Benchmark’s belief in Tesla’s vision-only approach to autonomous driving. “We are a believer in Tesla’s camera-focused approach that is not only cost effective but also scalable,” he noted. 

The analyst contrasted Tesla’s simple setup with the more expensive hardware stacks used by competitors like Waymo, which use various sophisticated sensors that hike up costs, as noted in an Investing.com report. Compared to Tesla’s Model Y Robotaxis, Waymo’s self-driving cars are significantly more expensive.

He also pointed to upcoming Texas regulations set to take effect in September, suggesting they could help create a regulatory framework favorable to autonomous services in other cities.

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“New regulations for autonomous vehicles are set to go into place on Sept. 1 in TX that we believe will further help win trust and pave the way for expansion to additional cities,” the analyst wrote.

https://twitter.com/herbertong/status/1938287117441855616?s=10

Tesla as a robotics powerhouse

Beyond robotaxis, Legg sees Tesla evolving beyond its roots as an electric vehicle maker. He noted that Tesla’s humanoid robot, Optimus, could be a long-term growth driver alongside new vehicle programs and other future initiatives.

“In our view, the company is undergoing an evolution from a trailblazing vehicle OEM to a high-tech automation and robotics company with unmatched domestic manufacturing scale,” he wrote.

Benchmark noted that Tesla stock had rebounded over 50% from its April lows, driven in part by easing tariff concerns and growing momentum around autonomy. With its initial Robotaxi rollout now underway, the firm has returned to its previous $475 per share target and reaffirmed TSLA as a Benchmark Top Pick for 2025.

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Tesla blacklisted by Swedish pension fund AP7 as it sells entire stake

A Swedish pension fund is offloading its Tesla holdings for good.

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tesla
(Credit: Tesla)

Tesla shares have been blacklisted by the Swedish pension fund AP7, who said earlier today that it has “verified violations of labor rights in the United States” by the automaker.

The fund ended up selling its entire stake, which was worth around $1.36 billion when it liquidated its holdings in late May. Reuters first reported on AP7’s move.

Other pension and retirement funds have relinquished some of their Tesla holdings due to CEO Elon Musk’s involvement in politics, among other reasons, and although the company’s stock has been a great contributor to growth for many funds over the past decade, these managers are not willing to see past the CEO’s right to free speech.

However, AP7 says the move is related not to Musk’s involvement in government nor his political stances. Instead, the fund said it verified several labor rights violations in the U.S.:

“AP7 has decided to blacklist Tesla due to verified violations of labor rights in the United States. Despite several years of dialogue with Tesla, including shareholder proposals in collaboration with other investors, the company has not taken sufficient measures to address the issues.”

Tesla made up about 1 percent of the AP7 Equity Fund, according to a spokesperson. This equated to roughly 13 billion crowns, but the fund’s total assets were about 1,181 billion crowns at the end of May when the Tesla stake was sold off.

Tesla has had its share of labor lawsuits over the past few years, just as any large company deals with at some point or another. There have been claims of restrictions against labor union supporters, including one that Tesla was favored by judges, as they did not want pro-union clothing in the factory. Tesla argued that loose-fitting clothing presented a safety hazard, and the courts agreed.

tesla employee

(Photo: Tesla)

There have also been claims of racism at the Fremont Factory by a former elevator contractor named Owen Diaz. He was awarded a substantial sum of $137m. However, U.S. District Judge William Orrick ruled the $137 million award was excessive, reducing it to $15 million. Diaz rejected this sum.

Another jury awarded Diaz $3.2 million. Diaz’s legal team said this payout was inadequate. He and Tesla ultimately settled for an undisclosed amount.

AP7 did not list any of the current labor violations that it cited as its reason for

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