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Tesla and EV buyers in China find relief in extended “new energy vehicle” subsidy

Tesla Model 3 Performance in Guangzhou, China [Credit: xiaoteshushu via Twitter]

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Chinese Premier Li Leqiang announced on Tuesday that the country would extend “new energy vehicle” subsidies for two additional years. The extension aims to combat economic downturns that have arisen from the halting of vehicle production as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic by encouraging consumers to buy electric and clean energy vehicles in its bid to promote environmental sustainability.

In China, the term “new energy vehicle” applies to any car with plug-in capabilities to receive power. This term refers to battery electric vehicles (BEVs), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), and fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEVs).

The extension of the subsidies will benefit electric vehicle manufacturers who sell or manufacture their products in China. Tesla is one of the companies that will benefit from the longer subsidy period as the electric automaker continues to make an impactful presence in China, the largest automotive market in the world.

Currently, subsidies in China are applied to electric vehicles with over 400 kilometers, or about 250 miles, of range. Consumers who purchase an electric car that fits the range standards are subject to receive a 25,000 yuan (USD 3,600) subsidy that decreases purchase cost, giving citizens more reason to purchase an electric vehicle instead of a petrol-based car.

According to a press release from Ideanomics, a company focused on facilitating the adoption of commercial electric vehicles, the extension of the subsidies will also allow fleet operators and manufacturers additional time to secure financing from investors. The extra time could also enable manufacturers to recover from decreases in production due to the current COVID-19 pandemic that has affected virtually all automakers across the world in the first quarter of 2020.

The addition of these subsidies could certainly help China recover from economic repression due to the coronavirus. As many portions of the Chinese economy were shut down due to the ongoing spread of the pandemic, increased subsidies that will lead to lower electric vehicle prices could encourage consumers to take advantage of cheaper car prices while they are still available.

Additionally, the Chinese Government will also begin pushing for the replacement of diesel vehicles with an emissions rating of III or higher in key cities like the Chinese capital of Beijing, a measure that will crackdown on excessive amounts of pollution that is placed into the atmosphere because of diesel vehicles. Money utilized by the Chinese Government will be used to begin replacing diesel vehicles in large cities that exceed the country’s Stage III emissions rating. This new, more strict rating would eventually clear cities high traffic cities like Beijing from heavy-duty diesel vehicles that release more than 2.1 grams of carbon monoxide per kWh of energy used, according to dieselnet.com.

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The addition of these more strict and aggressive emissions standards in large cities would limit the amount of pollution that is sent into the air in areas where the population is exceptionally high, and more cars are on the road. The Ministry of Ecology and Environment in China implemented level VI fuel standards in July 2019, a measure that was used to crack down on low-grade fuel and reduce the overall presence of harmful chemicals in the atmosphere, Reuters reported.

The Ministry reports that diesel trucks accounted for just 7.8% over 300 million vehicles, but contributed to 57.3% of the total nitrogen dioxide emissions in the atmosphere. Furthermore, at least 75% of airborne particulate matter also came from diesel trucks, Reuters said.

Additional efforts to improve diesel emissions standards in the world’s largest car market could help the world work toward cleaner forms of transportation. The combination of new energy vehicle subsidies and more strict diesel truck guidelines will both contribute to a cleaner future in China, along with providing an added boost to the Chinese economy after COVID-19 made its mark in a multitude of ways.

Joey has been a journalist covering electric mobility at TESLARATI since August 2019. In his spare time, Joey is playing golf, watching MMA, or cheering on any of his favorite sports teams, including the Baltimore Ravens and Orioles, Miami Heat, Washington Capitals, and Penn State Nittany Lions. You can get in touch with joey at joey@teslarati.com. He is also on X @KlenderJoey. If you're looking for great Tesla accessories, check out shop.teslarati.com

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Investor's Corner

Tesla has one big financial question to answer for investors: Morgan Stanley

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Credit: Tesla

In a new note to investors on Tuesday, Morgan Stanley analyst Andrew Percoco said that Tesla has one big financial question to answer for investors regarding its Robotaxi rollout, Full Self-Driving software, and Optimus.

Percoco said in the note that, for the most part, investors are still very positive about the direction the company is headed. However, there are some things the firm would like to see, and they have to do with financials.

Tesla (TSLA) Q2 2026 earnings results: miss on EPS, beat on revenue

Tesla bulls are more than convinced that the company’s Full Self-Driving software is proof it can develop physical AI. Financially, however, there are still some questions, especially on elevated spending, which CEO Elon Musk said would occur as the company works to roll out Robotaxi faster and continue developing its Optimus robot.

The latter two are where Tesla will have to prove progress to investors, as Percoco writes that both projects “will require clearer evidence that Robotaxi is scaling and more tangible Optimus proof points to support the ROI on elevated capex.”

Percoco said the second quarter earnings call did not change his long-term thesis of where Tesla is positioned in the AI race, which is out in front. However, there are concerns that weaker gross margins and higher R&D spend will stress financials, and that has “sharpened our (and investors’) focus on measurable progress across Robotaxi and Optimus.”

Additionally, Robotaxi still needs to be proven with more operation in existing cities while maintaining safety but improving how many rides it gives in any given time, he said. For Optimus, Percoco wrote that he is “still looking for evidence beyond commentary around SOP.”

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Morgan Stanley put Percoco in charge of covering Tesla after long-time analyst Adam Jonas transitioned to the automotive side.

Currently, Morgan Stanley has a $415 price target on Tesla and a ‘Hold’ rating on the stock. It is trading at around $330 at the time of publication, which was 2:30 P.M. on the East Coast.

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Investor's Corner

SpaceX AI investment gamble will make it a big winner, firm says

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Credit: SpaceX

SpaceX’s massive investment in AI will make it a big winner, Argus Research said after the company’s successful earnings call last week.

The firm also upgraded shares to a Buy from Hold and set a $160 price target.

SpaceX (NASDAQ: SPCX) is currently recovering from its heavy AI infrastructure investments, as it spent nearly $16 billion in Q2 alone. The company did this primarily by monetizing high-demand GPU compute capacity at a much faster pace than traditional data center economics would suggest.

Company CFO Bret Johnsen said that SpaceX would be able to pay back anything on new deployments within a year.

There are plenty of ways the company can do this:

Leasing excess compute capacity through contracts

SpaceX has already built Colossus and Colossus II, largely for its own model training. However, much of that capacity is already rented out to third parties. It already has major deals with Anthropic, Google, and Reflection AI. These partnerships are adding billions per month to SpaceX’s spreadsheet.

SpaceX is charging Anthropic massive money for its compute

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High utilization driven by industry-wide scarcity

The demand for advanced AI training and inference capacity continues to exceed what is available for use. SpaceX can fill new racks quickly after they come online, so the capital deployed converts into revenue with minimal idle time.

Additionally, management and outside observers have described the new compute capital as behaving more like a cost-of-goods-sold than traditional multi-year capex, especially because of this rapid monetization pattern.

Capacity has already scaled from ~0.4 GW a year to 1.4 GW annually by the end of Q2. There are targets of more than 2 GW by year-end.

High incremental margins on the rental business once capacity is online

GPU cloud providers often operate at strong gross margins. SpaceX can monetize capacity that was already partially built or can be added efficiently. This means that incremental EBITDA margins on the rental revenue are usually high. This accelerates cash recovery relative to the gross capital outlay.

Parallel monetization of its own AI software and applications

Beyond pure infrastructure rental, SpaceX also generates revenue from Grok through subscriptions and usage, from X through ads, data, and other related services, enterprise APIs, and the planned integration of the Cursor coding tools acquisition.

These application layers ride on the same compute infrastructure and provide additional high-margin streams that could offset build-out costs. AI-segment revenue overall rose sharply to about $2.6 billion in Q2, according to Motley Fool. This was driven primarily by the infrastructure contracts, but the software side is also partially responsible.

Efficient, large-scale deployment and vertical integration advantages

SpaceX has emphasized the rapid construction of power and cooling infrastructure and favorable cost-per-megawatt economics relative to industry benchmarks in some disclosures.

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Combined with its ability to scale capacity aggressively and the fact that many contracts start generating revenue within months of capacity coming online, the effective payback compresses dramatically compared with more conventional multi-year data-center projects.

SpaceX’s dominant near-term recovery path will turn the AI clusters into a hyperscale-style compute rental business for other leading AI companies while still using a portion for internal models.

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Tesla headlights cause recall of over 20,000 Model 3 and Model Y

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Tesla headlights have caused a recall of over 20,000 of the company’s two most popular vehicles, the Model 3 and Model Y, due to the low-beam bulb exceeding the maximum allowed intensity according to federal standards.

Tesla initiated the recall with the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) this morning, stating that the low-beam output “exceeds the maximum allowed intensity in the outer upper-right and outer upper-left areas of the 10U and 90U zone, as prescribed in FMVSS No. 108.”

Tesla sourced the impacted headlights from Marelli Automotive Lighting, a Mexico-based company. The recall impacts 2020-2023 Model Y vehicles and 2017-2023 Model 3 vehicles. It is estimated that every VIN in this recall is impacted by the defect.

Typically, Tesla would remedy recalls of this nature through an Over-the-Air software update, which has been a major focus of criticism by the company and its supporters because the NHTSA still refers to it as a “recall,” even though it requires no action by the vehicle owner. The fix is shipped over the internet and downloaded to the car.

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However, there appears to be a potentially different solution for this problem. Tesla has not developed a remedy for this issue, so it could potentially be on the way. The big issue appears to be the fact that these recalled lamps are out of production, and this is an old body style for both vehicles. The headlights and front-end designs are completely different.

Tesla switched to another supplier when the affected headlight design was discontinued. It plans to begin notifying owners of their remedy options by September 15.

Tesla filed a petition protesting the recall to fix the vehicles’ headlight issue, but the NHTSA denied it. Now, Tesla will come up with a solution to fix it.

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