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Elon Musk says Tesla’s valuation is high, but has a good reason for why it’s justified

Credit: @Gf4Tesla/Twitter

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If you ask anyone in the past two years who has invested money into the stock market, it is likely that the word “Tesla” will come up at one point or another. During the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020, which derailed American manufacturing, especially at automotive plants through the United States. Despite a derail in production at Tesla’s Fremont Factory in 2020, the automaker was able to stay relatively stable through a year filled with uncertainty. It ultimately led to a 700% increase in the stock price, along with an infamous Tweet sent by Tesla’s CEO on May 1st: “Tesla stock price is too high imo.”

On the day of Musk’s Tweet, Tesla shares (NASDAQ: TSLA) closed at a pre-split price of $701.30, or $140.26 on adjusted terms. Since then, Tesla stock has multiplied in value by nearly 6.5x, trading at $900.52, down nearly 27% from its 52-week high of $1,243.49, which was recorded in early November.


However, since Musk’s May 1, 2020 Tweet, a lot has changed. Tesla has two new production facilities that are nearly ready for production, it has detailed the public on a revolutionary new battery cell, and it has increased yearly production rates by expanding manufacturing footprints at its two currently-operational plants. While the stock is levels higher than what it was when Musk said the stock was too high, the CEO may have come to terms with why Tesla shares trade at extensively high prices: trust.

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“I’ve tried to just tamp down expectations, saying I think the stock’s maybe too high,” Musk said in an interview with TIME, who recently named him Person of the Year for 2021. “Current valuation is pretty high,” Musk continued, “which suggests that the market has faith in future execution of the company because it’s certainly not based on historical profitability, that’s for sure.”

Elon Musk is TIME Magazine’s 2021 Person of the Year

While Tesla is a company that has revolutionized the automotive market on a global scale, Musk has definitely come to terms with the fact that the company’s valuation is not necessarily based on presently-available information. However, innovation is something that the company has basically guaranteed through its products. If not for Tesla, it is likely that the companies like Ford, GM, and Volkswagen would probably not have such a tremendous focus on EVs currently. In fact, many of these automakers would probably be pumping out more ICE vehicles than ever. But Tesla’s market influence through flashy, fast, and futuristic electric cars has forced the long-standing dominators of the global car market to reconsider their strategies.

Tesla’s current valuation is no longer $1 trillion. It currently sits at just over $905 billion, according to CompaniesMarketCap.comwhich tracks the valuations of companies in various sectors. However, Tesla is well over three times as valuable as second-place Toyota, which delivered 9,528,438 vehicles last year. Tesla delivered 499,550. Tesla also has an energy business, which oftentimes goes unnoticed and unaccounted for by analysts. Even still, is this enough to justify the company’s astronomical stock price?

Musk believes the faith from investors must be the reason, and who can blame them. Tesla has not been on time to some of its deadlines, but in a world of uncertainty, many companies have not performed well since the pandemic began. Take previously mentioned Toyota, for example. Despite selling over 9.5 million cars last year, it was an over 11% decrease from 2019. Tesla is continuing to build upon an already solid foundation for its cars and its company, and investor faith, which is evident if you know any Tesla stockholder, is at an all-time high.

Disclosure: Joey Klender is a TSLA Shareholder.

I’d love to hear from you! If you have any comments, concerns, or questions, please email me at joey@teslarati.com. You can also reach me on Twitter @KlenderJoey, or if you have news tips, you can email us at tips@teslarati.com.

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Joey has been a journalist covering electric mobility at TESLARATI since August 2019. In his spare time, Joey is playing golf, watching MMA, or cheering on any of his favorite sports teams, including the Baltimore Ravens and Orioles, Miami Heat, Washington Capitals, and Penn State Nittany Lions. You can get in touch with joey at joey@teslarati.com. He is also on X @KlenderJoey. If you're looking for great Tesla accessories, check out shop.teslarati.com

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Tesla FSD fleet is nearing 7 billion total miles, including 2.5 billion city miles

As can be seen on Tesla’s official FSD webpage, vehicles equipped with the system have now navigated over 6.99 billion miles.

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Tesla’s Full Self-Driving (Supervised) fleet is closing in on almost 7 billion total miles driven, as per data posted by the company on its official FSD webpage. 

These figures hint at the massive scale of data fueling Tesla’s rapid FSD improvements, which have been quite notable as of late.

FSD mileage milestones

As can be seen on Tesla’s official FSD webpage, vehicles equipped with the system have now navigated over 6.99 billion miles. Tesla owner and avid FSD tester Whole Mars Catalog also shared a screenshot indicating that from the nearly 7 billion miles traveled by the FSD fleet, more than 2.5 billion miles were driven inside cities. 

City miles are particularly valuable for complex urban scenarios like unprotected turns, pedestrian interactions, and traffic lights. This is also the difference-maker for FSD, as only complex solutions, such as Waymo’s self-driving taxis, operate similarly on inner-city streets. And even then, incidents such as the San Francisco blackouts have proven challenging for sensor-rich vehicles like Waymos. 

Tesla’s data edge

Tesla has a number of advantages in the autonomous vehicle sector, one of which is the size of its fleet and the number of vehicles training FSD on real-world roads. Tesla’s nearly 7 billion FSD miles then allow the company to roll out updates that make its vehicles behave like they are being driven by experienced drivers, even if they are operating on their own. 

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So notable are Tesla’s improvements to FSD that NVIDIA Director of Robotics Jim Fan, after experiencing FSD v14, noted that the system is the first AI that passes what he described as a “Physical Turing Test.” 

“Despite knowing exactly how robot learning works, I still find it magical watching the steering wheel turn by itself. First it feels surreal, next it becomes routine. Then, like the smartphone, taking it away actively hurts. This is how humanity gets rewired and glued to god-like technologies,” Fan wrote in a post on X. 

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Tesla starts showing how FSD will change lives in Europe

Local officials tested the system on narrow country roads and were impressed by FSD’s smooth, human-like driving, with some calling the service a game-changer for everyday life in areas that are far from urban centers.

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Credit: Grok Imagine

Tesla has launched Europe’s first public shuttle service using Full Self-Driving (Supervised) in the rural Eifelkreis Bitburg-Prüm region of Germany, demonstrating how the technology can restore independence and mobility for people who struggle with limited transport options. 

Local officials tested the system on narrow country roads and were impressed by FSD’s smooth, human-like driving, with some calling the service a game-changer for everyday life in areas that are far from urban centers.

Officials see real impact on rural residents

Arzfeld Mayor Johannes Kuhl and District Administrator Andreas Kruppert personally tested the Tesla shuttle service. This allowed them to see just how well FSD navigated winding lanes and rural roads confidently. Kruppert said, “Autonomous driving sounds like science fiction to many, but we simply see here that it works totally well in rural regions too.” Kuhl, for his part, also noted that FSD “feels like a very experienced driver.”

The pilot complements the area’s “Citizen Bus” program, which provides on-demand rides for elderly residents who can no longer drive themselves. Tesla Europe shared a video of a demonstration of the service, highlighting how FSD gives people their freedom back, even in places where public transport is not as prevalent.

What the Ministry for Economic Affairs and Transport says

Rhineland-Palatinate’s Minister Daniela Schmitt supported the project, praising the collaboration that made this “first of its kind in Europe” possible. As per the ministry, the rural rollout for the service shows FSD’s potential beyond major cities, and it delivers tangible benefits like grocery runs, doctor visits, and social connections for isolated residents. 

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“Reliable and flexible mobility is especially vital in rural areas. With the launch of a shuttle service using self-driving vehicles (FSD supervised) by Tesla in the Eifelkreis Bitburg-Prüm, an innovative pilot project is now getting underway that complements local community bus services. It is the first project of its kind in Europe. 

“The result is a real gain for rural mobility: greater accessibility, more flexibility and tangible benefits for everyday life. A strong signal for innovation, cooperation and future-oriented mobility beyond urban centers,” the ministry wrote in a LinkedIn post

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Tesla China quietly posts Robotaxi-related job listing

Tesla China is currently seeking a Low Voltage Electrical Engineer to work on circuit board design for the company’s autonomous vehicles.

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla has posted a new job listing in Shanghai explicitly tied to its Robotaxi program, fueling speculation that the company is preparing to launch its dedicated autonomous ride-hailing service in China. 

As noted in the listing, Tesla China is currently seeking a Low Voltage Electrical Engineer to work on circuit board design for the company’s autonomous vehicles.

Robotaxi-specific role

The listing, which was shared on social media platform X by industry watcher @tslaming, suggested that Tesla China is looking to fill the role urgently. The job listing itself specifically mentions that the person hired for the role will be working on the Low Voltage Hardware team, which would design the circuit boards that would serve as the nervous system of the Robotaxi. 

Key tasks for the role, as indicated in the job listing, include collaboration with PCB layout, firmware, mechanical, program management, and validation teams, among other responsibilities. The role is based in Shanghai.

China Robotaxi launch

China represents a massive potential market for robotaxis, with its dense urban centers and supportive policies in select cities. Tesla has limited permission to roll out FSD in the country, though despite this, its vehicles have been hailed as among the best in the market when it comes to autonomous features. So far, at least, it appears that China supports Tesla’s FSD and Robotaxi rollout.

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This was hinted at in November, when Tesla brought the Cybercab to the 8th China International Import Expo (CIIE) in Shanghai, marking the first time that the autonomous two-seater was brought to the Asia-Pacific region. The vehicle, despite not having a release date in China, received a significant amount of interest among the event’s attendees. 

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