Fatal traffic incidents dropped in the U.S. last year, according to a U.S. safety regulator who reported initial 2023 estimates this week.
The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) released its early estimates for 2023 traffic fatalities on Monday, noting that they decreased by around 3.6 percent year over year. The regulator says roughly 40,990 people died in motor vehicle accidents last year, down from the 42,514 reported in 2022, and 43,230 in 2021.
Despite the decrease, the agency notes that motor accident fatalities still haven’t dropped back to pre-pandemic levels, with the lowest level of fatal traffic incidents in the past decade taking place in 2014 at a total of 32,744. Meanwhile, the fatality rate remained higher than any pre-pandemic year since 2008.
You can see a few charts from the recent NHTSA fatality report below.

Credit: NHTSA

Credit: NHTSA

Credit: NHTSA
For the first time, however, total miles driven in 2023 did outpace pre-pandemic levels, bringing the overall fatality rate down quite substantially compared to the past few years.
The 2023 rate of fatal incidents represented a fatality rate of 1.26 per 100 million vehicle miles traveled (VMT), compared to 1.34, 1.38, and 1.33 in 2020, 2021, and 2022, respectively. The total VMT in 2023 increased by roughly 67.5 billion miles, marking a 2.1 percent increase from 2022.
In Q4 alone, the NHTSA also says the U.S. had the seventh consecutive quarterly decline in fatalities, starting with Q2 2022.
Tesla engineering team holds “Safety Research Day” for gov’t, academic, and NGO leaders
The agency has also announced plans for a new program targeting distracted driving, based on data looking at 2022 that says around 3,308 people were killed, and 289,310 injured, by distracted drivers.
“Distracted driving is extremely dangerous,” said Sophie Shulman, NHTSA Deputy Administrator. “Distraction comes in many forms, but it is also preventable. Our rebranded campaign reminds everyone to Put the Phone Away or Pay, because distracted driving can cost you in fines – or even cost your life or the life of someone else on the road.”
The updates come as Tesla and others working toward autonomous driving aim to reduce fatal traffic incidents, with many expecting advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) to eventually become safer than human drivers. The automaker also releases a quarterly vehicle safety report.
In Q4 2023, Tesla reported one crash for every 5.39 million miles driven in which drivers were using Autopilot, and one crash for every 1.00 million miles driven not using Autopilot in Tesla vehicles, compared to one every 670,000 in Q4 2022 reported by the NHTSA.
You can see the full NHTSA traffic fatalities report for 2023 here, along with a couple more images from the estimates below.

Credit: NHTSA

Credit: NHTSA
What are your thoughts? Let me know at zach@teslarati.com, find me on X at @zacharyvisconti, or send us tips at tips@teslarati.com.
News
Tesla investors demand 40-hour workweek from Elon Musk
Pension fund leaders push the Tesla board to require 40 hrs/wk from Elon Musk. Should Tesla enforce this? Or simply trust Musk?

Pension fund leaders with Tesla investments are urging the company’s board to mandate Elon Musk dedicate at least 40 hours per week to the electric vehicle maker, citing a looming crisis.
The group holds a combined 7.9 million TSLA shares and expressed alarm over Tesla’s challenges in a Wednesday letter to board chair Robyn Denholm.
“Tesla’s stock price volatility, declining sales, as well as disconcerting reports regarding the company’s human rights practices, and a plummeting global reputation are cause for serious concern,” the investors wrote.
They attributed many issues to Musk’s external activities, including his role in the U.S. Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE). The pension fund leaders criticized the board for failing to ensure Musk’s “full-time attention” on Tesla. The group includes the SOC Investment Group, the American Federation of Teachers, New York City Comptroller Brad Lander, and Oregon State Treasurer Elizabeth Steiner.
The investors’ letter comes as the Tesla board plans for Elon Musk’s next compensation plan, following the Delaware Court of Chancery’s 2023 ruling to rescind his $56 billion 2018 package. Besides a 40-hour workweek requirement, they also called for a clear succession plan and limits on directors’ external board commitments to strengthen governance. The letter highlighted concerns about board independence. Tesla recently added former Chipotle CFO Jack Hartung, who previously worked with Musk’s brother, Kimbal Musk, as a Tesla board member.
The group’s letter reveals where the position of some investors as Elon Musk forges ahead with Tesla’s future plans. Musk’s broader ambitions for Tesla were evident during the Q4 and FY 2023 earnings call, where he envisioned the company as an AI and robotics powerhouse with “truly immense capability and power.” He emphasized his desire for 25% voting control to maintain influence without complete control.
“You know, we’ve had a lot of challenges with Institutional Shareholder Services, ISS — I call them ISIS — and Glass Lewis, you know, which there’s a lot of activists that basically infiltrate those organizations and have strange ideas about what should be done,” Musk said.
As Musk plans to focus more on Tesla, alongside xAI and SpaceX, the investors’ demands underscore tensions between his expansive vision and shareholder expectations. With Tesla navigating stock volatility and reputational challenges, the board faces pressure to align Musk’s leadership with the company’s long-term stability.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst’s firm has sold its entire TSLA position: Here’s why
Tesla analyst Gary Black revealed his firm, The Future Fund, has sold their entire $TSLA holding.

Tesla analyst Gary Black of The Future Fund revealed today that his firm has sold its entire $TSLA holding, marking the first time since 2021 that it has not had a position in the company’s stock.
Black has been a skeptic of the company and relatively pessimistic regarding some things many investors would consider catalysts, outlining his concerns and reasoning for selling the shares.
Much of Black’s reasoning concerns Tesla’s price-to-earnings ratio, delivery results and potential delivery figures for the future, and other near-term projects that he does not believe will yield as much value as others perceive.
We will break down each concern of Black’s below:
‘Disconnected from Underlying Fundamentals’
Black says that The Future Fund sold its holdings at $358 per share. The firm’s current price target is at $310, and he says it will remain there based on “our forecast of 2030 Tesla volumes of 5.4m and 2030 Adj EPS of $12.
Main Concern is P/E Ratio
The main concern Black and The Future Fund have is that TSLA “now sells at a 2025 P/E of 188x as earnings estimates continue to fall (-5% in the past week, -40% YTD) driven by weak YTD deliveries, including weak April results.”
Black says he believes quarterly deliveries will decline by 12 percent, and full-year by 10 percent.
This compares to Wall Street’s estimates of a 7 percent decrease for Q2 and a 5 percent year-over-year.
Robotaxi Skepticism
“We believe the risk/reward associated with the Austin robotaxi test remain asymmetrical to the downside,” Black writes in his post on X.
Tesla Robotaxi deemed a total failure by media — even though it hasn’t been released
Many believe the Robotaxi platform could be Tesla’s biggest catalyst moving forward, especially as other automakers do not seem to have even close to as robust a solution to self-driving as Tesla.
Tesla’s Affordable Models
Black says there are concerns the affordable model will be “a stripped-down Model Y priced lower and funded by lower costs rather than a new form factory that expands TAM.”
This is confusing, especially considering the cheaper price tag would expand the total addressable market (TAM) to begin with. The Model Y has been the best-selling vehicle in the world for the past two years.
Tesla still on track to release more affordable models in 1H25
Introducing an even lower-cost model with some missing features would still likely be a significantly more attractive option than a base model ICE vehicle, especially because the value Full Self-Driving provides would make the car more beneficial.
“This increases odds that FY’25 estimates decline further, risking a repeat of 2023-2024, when TSLA reduced EV prices supported by lower costs, and TSLA saw little or no incremental volume growth,” he finishes with.
News
Tesla gets major upgrade that Apple users will absolutely love
Tesla is unloading a new feature for iPhone users that they will absolutely love.

Tesla is giving its owners who use iPhones and the iOS platform a major upgrade that will make the vehicles more compatible with the current capabilities of Apple devices.
Much to the chagrin of Android users, Apple iPhone users who own Teslas are usually the first to get new features.
However, Tesla is rolling out a new feature to iPhone users that will only be available to them, as Live Update compatibility is now rolling out.
🚨 Tesla Supercharging now will give Live Updates to iOS users
This will help Tesla owners with iPhones track their charging progress while using other apps pic.twitter.com/sjmnjj5BCC
— TESLARATI (@Teslarati) May 28, 2025
Live Updates on the iPhone allow users to track the progress of tasks while using other apps. For example, uploading a post on X can be tracked while using an internet browser, as the Dynamic Island, the small display near the speaker on an iPhone, will show progress.
Tesla will now do this for Supercharging, a new update shows. The Dynamic Island is not the only thing that will monitor the progress of Supercharging, though. Updates will also be visible on the lock screen and as a drop-down notification:
- Credit: @Deandawiz | X
- Credit: @Deandawiz | X
- Credit: @Deandawiz | X
You will need iOS 17.2 or newer to use this feature.
The Supercharging updates will show the current State of Charge (SoC), time remaining, and price of the current session. These notifications will make the charging process easier when you’re not inside your Tesla, as many Superchargers are located in retail settings.
You’ll be able to monitor the price and time remaining with a quick glance at your phone.
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