Connect with us

Investor's Corner

Jim Cramer calls Tesla bid a desperation move to save SolarCity

Published

on

JIm Cramer on Tesla SolarCity deal

The financial markets reacted with a strong dose of negativity after Tesla announced that it is looking to acquire SolarCity in an all stock deal worth $2.8 billion. Tesla stock was down more than 10% at the end of the trading day on Wednesday. On CNBC’s Squawk Box, analyst Jim Cramer — who is a well known Tesla bear —  said “The Kool-Aid tasted really good in Jonestown before it really hit ya.” He was suggesting that Musk’s gambit should be a wake up call to the Tesla faithful who think Elon walks on water and can do no wrong.

“Tesla was obviously desperate to save SolarCity,” TheStreet’s Jim Cramer said on CNBC’s Squawk on the Street. “SolarCity had an existential crisis, that last quarter was the worst I’ve ever seen,” says Cramer. “The quarter was ‘so bad’ that the analysts themselves were in open rebellion, all I can say is that SolarCity would have gone even lower if he hadn’t made this bid,” Cramer said of Musk.

ALSO SEE: Top 8 tidbits around the Tesla-SolarCity deal

RBC Capital Markets analyst Joseph Spak did acknowledge that there are a number of synergies that could help both companies, but he thinks  Tesla shareholders are not going to be happy with the arrangement. “We suspect the market will be more skeptical of the strategic rational and the financial/cash flow strain this could add to the TSLA story. By owning the asset, we believe TSLA may be trying the investing partner approach they have taken with shareholders and asking them to stick with them for something they potentially didn’t sign-up for,” Spak said.

Perennial gadfly Bob Lutz was his usual cranky self. On CNBC’s Closing Bell, Lutz riffed further on the Jim Jones theme. “People finally are beginning to figure it out. They’ve drunk the Elon Musk Kool-Aid. They’ve drunk it long enough and nothing’s working,” Lutz saud. “This deal makes zero sense. It’s going to further put a huge amount of financial pressure on Tesla, which is already in financial trouble.”

The unkindest cut of all came from Bill George, a Harvard Business School professor and former chairman of Medtronic. He told Closing Bell, the SolarCity deal was a “bridge too far.” He is doubtful Tesla shareholders will go along with Musk’s plan. “I think he’s going to have a further comeuppance from his shareholders to Tesla in trying to bail out SolarCity. He says he’s an energy company. I mean, being an automobile company is tough enough,” George said.

Advertisement
-->

Musk said in a hastily arranged conference call Wednesday morning that the combination of Tesla Motors and SolarCity would result in a trillion dollar company. “I have no doubt about this – zero. We should have done it sooner.” He said the idea had been discussed with major investors several times over the years. “This idea has been bandied about with some of our largest shareholders, institutional shareholders. Yeah, there have been discussions.”

Musk and his bold financial dealings often polarize investors. Some think Musk can do no wrong. Others think he is a charlatan who bamboozles people with his lofty pronouncements. The proposed purchase of SolarCity is no different. As always in the stock market, “you pays your money and you takes your choice.” No one ever forced anyone to buy shares of Tesla Motors. Most people who have are quite glad they did.

Sources: Reuters, CNBC

"I write about technology and the coming zero emissions revolution."

Advertisement
Comments

Investor's Corner

Tesla analyst realizes one big thing about the stock: deliveries are losing importance

Published

on

Credit: Joe Tegtmeyer | YouTube

Tesla analyst Dan Levy of Barclays realized one big thing about the stock moving into 2026: vehicle deliveries are losing importance.

As a new era of Tesla seems to be on the horizon, the concern about vehicle deliveries and annual growth seems to be fading, at least according to many investors.

Even CEO Elon Musk has implied at times that the automotive side, as a whole, will only make up a small percentage of Tesla’s total valuation, as Optimus and AI begin to shine with importance.

He said in April:

“The future of the company is fundamentally based on large-scale autonomous cars and large-scale and large volume, vast numbers of autonomous humanoid robots.”

Advertisement
-->

Levy wrote in a note to investors that Tesla’s Q4 delivery figures “likely won’t matter for the stock.” Barclays said in the note that it expects deliveries to be “soft” for the quarter.

In years past, Tesla analysts, investors, and fans were focused on automotive growth.

Cars were truly the biggest thing the stock had to offer: Tesla was a growing automotive company with a lot of prowess in AI and software, but deliveries held the most impact, along with vehicle pricing. These types of things had huge impacts on the stock years ago.

Advertisement
-->

In fact, several large swings occurred because of Tesla either beating or missing delivery estimates:

  • January 3, 2022: +13.53%, record deliveries at the time
  • January 3, 2023: -12.24%, missed deliveries
  • July 2, 2024: +10.20%, beat delivery expectations
  • October 3, 2022: -8.61%, sharp miss due to Shanghai factory shutdown
  • July 2, 2020: +7.95%, topped low COVID-era expectations with sizeable beat on deliveries

It has become more apparent over the past few quarters that delivery estimates have significantly less focus from investors, who are instead looking for progress in AI, Optimus, Cybercab, and other projects.

These things are the future of the company, and although Tesla will always sell cars, the stock is more impacted by the software the vehicle is running, and not necessarily the vehicle itself.

Continue Reading

Investor's Corner

SpaceX IPO is coming, CEO Elon Musk confirms

However, it appears Musk is ready for SpaceX to go public, as Ars Technica Senior Space Editor Eric Berger wrote an op-ed that indicated he thought SpaceX would go public soon. Musk replied, basically confirming it.

Published

on

elon musk side profile
Joel Kowsky, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

Elon Musk confirmed through a post on X that a SpaceX initial public offering (IPO) is on the way after hinting at it several times earlier this year.

It also comes one day after Bloomberg reported that SpaceX was aiming for a valuation of $1.5 trillion, adding that it wanted to raise $30 billion.

Musk has been transparent for most of the year that he wanted to try to figure out a way to get Tesla shareholders to invest in SpaceX, giving them access to the stock.

He has also recognized the issues of having a public stock, like litigation exposure, quarterly reporting pressures, and other inconveniences.

However, it appears Musk is ready for SpaceX to go public, as Ars Technica Senior Space Editor Eric Berger wrote an op-ed that indicated he thought SpaceX would go public soon.

Advertisement
-->

Musk replied, basically confirming it:

Berger believes the IPO would help support the need for $30 billion or more in capital needed to fund AI integration projects, such as space-based data centers and lunar satellite factories. Musk confirmed recently that SpaceX “will be doing” data centers in orbit.

AI appears to be a “key part” of SpaceX getting to Musk, Berger also wrote. When writing about whether or not Optimus is a viable project and product for the company, he says that none of that matters. Musk thinks it is, and that’s all that matters.

Advertisement
-->

It seems like Musk has certainly mulled something this big for a very long time, and the idea of taking SpaceX public is not just likely; it is necessary for the company to get to Mars.

The details of when SpaceX will finally hit that public status are not known. Many of the reports that came out over the past few days indicate it would happen in 2026, so sooner rather than later.

But there are a lot of things on Musk’s plate early next year, especially with Cybercab production, the potential launch of Unsupervised Full Self-Driving, and the Roadster unveiling, all planned for Q1.

Advertisement
-->
Continue Reading

Investor's Corner

Tesla Full Self-Driving statistic impresses Wall Street firm: ‘Very close to unsupervised’

The data shows there was a significant jump in miles traveled between interventions as Tesla transitioned drivers to v14.1 back in October. The FSD Community Tracker saw a jump from 441 miles to over 9,200 miles, the most significant improvement in four years.

Published

on

Credit: Tesla

Tesla Full Self-Driving performance and statistics continue to impress everyone, from retail investors to Wall Street firms. However, one analyst believes Tesla’s driving suite is “very close” to achieving unsupervised self-driving.

On Tuesday, Piper Sandler analyst Alexander Potter said that Tesla’s recent launch of Full Self-Driving version 14 increased the number of miles traveled between interventions by a drastic margin, based on data compiled by a Full Self-Driving Community Tracker.

Advertisement
-->

The data shows there was a significant jump in miles traveled between interventions as Tesla transitioned drivers to v14.1 back in October. The FSD Community Tracker saw a jump from 441 miles to over 9,200 miles, the most significant improvement in four years.

Interestingly, there was a slight dip in the miles traveled between interventions with the release of v14.2. Piper Sandler said investor interest in FSD has increased.

Full Self-Driving has displayed several improvements with v14, including the introduction of Arrival Options that allow specific parking situations to be chosen by the driver prior to arriving at the destination. Owners can choose from Street Parking, Parking Garages, Parking Lots, Chargers, and Driveways.

Additionally, the overall improvements in performance from v13 have been evident through smoother operation, fewer mistakes during routine operation, and a more refined decision-making process.

Early versions of v14 exhibited stuttering and brake stabbing, but Tesla did a great job of confronting the issue and eliminating it altogether with the release of v14.2.

Advertisement
-->

Tesla CEO Elon Musk also recently stated that the current v14.2 FSD suite is also less restrictive with drivers looking at their phones, which has caused some controversy within the community.

Although we tested it and found there were fewer nudges by the driver monitoring system to push eyes back to the road, we still would not recommend it due to laws and regulations.

Tesla Full Self-Driving v14.2.1 texting and driving: we tested it

With that being said, FSD is improving significantly with each larger rollout, and Musk believes the final piece of the puzzle will be unveiled with FSD v14.3, which could come later this year or early in 2026.

Piper Sandler reaffirmed its $500 price target on Tesla shares, as well as its ‘Overweight’ rating.

Advertisement
-->

Continue Reading