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SpaceX Falcon boosters likely to surpass Elon Musk’s prime rocket reuse directive

SpaceX Falcon 9 booster B1051 is likely just several weeks away from its ninth launch, potentially guaranteeing a tenth flight before the second half of 2021. (Richard Angle)

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A SpaceX vice president and one of Elon Musk’s first hires says that Falcon boosters will soon meet – and should ultimately beat – the CEO’s longstanding target for rocket reusability.

Years before SpaceX began regularly landing and reusing orbital-class Falcon 9 and Falcon Heavy boosters, Musk was fairly consistent in stating that a primary goal of the ambitious program (then routinely belittled by most involved in aerospace) was to develop a rocket with a lifespan of at least ten launches. When the current and most reusable iteration of Falcon rockets (Block 5) debuted in May 2018, he went even further, stating that SpaceX’s goal was to reuse Block 5 boosters 10 times with minimal refurbishment but ultimately fly them a hundred or more times with intermittent overhauls.

According to SpaceX Vice President of Mission Assurance Hans Koenigsmann, soon to retire (or already retired) after almost two decades with the company, there are no obvious showstoppers that could prevent reusable Falcon boosters from soaring past Musk’s ten-flight target. Speaking at the 47th Spaceport Summit (formerly Space Congress) on February 23rd, Koenigsmann stated (in his opinion) that “ten is [not] a magic number.”

Fleet leader Falcon 9 booster B1051 could be matched by B1049 as early as February 28th, leaving SpaceX with two eight-flight rockets before the end of Q1 2021. (Richard Angle)

“Until [SpaceX sees] more damage” showing up on recovered fleet-leading rockets, the former VP thinks that there is nothing fundamentally preventing Falcon boosters from flying more than ten times each. In other words, the fairly arbitrary ten-flight goalpost set by CEO Elon Musk years ago may ultimately be quite accurate, resulting in an operational fleet of rockets nominally capable of achieving that target – and then some.

Of course, the question of whether a Falcon booster can launch ten or more times is made irrelevant if SpaceX can’t simultaneously ensure that booster recovery is at least as reliable as the Block 5 design is sturdy. That fundamental challenge reared its head on February 15th when Falcon 9 booster B1059 – on its sixth flight – failed shortly before landing for unknown reasons. On the same conference panel, Koenigsmann couldn’t add much detail to the nonexistent public record, only offering the unfortunate euphemism that the rocket failed because of “heat damage.”

Indeed, SpaceX’s official webcast – and some solid unofficial analysis of available data – does suggest that Falcon 9 was traveling a bit faster (and thus receiving a bit more heat) than planned. But the so-called “heat damage” that may have destroyed the rocket is just a symptom of some other unmentioned trigger – be it incorrect angle of attack, bad avionics sensors, engine underperformance, or any number of other possible causes.

Either way, SpaceX is hoping for a quick return to flight after the booster landing failure. Pending the completion of Starlink-19’s anomaly investigation, its next two Starlink launches have been rescheduled on February 28th and March 7th, representing just a one or two-week delay.

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Eric Ralph is Teslarati's senior spaceflight reporter and has been covering the industry in some capacity for almost half a decade, largely spurred in 2016 by a trip to Mexico to watch Elon Musk reveal SpaceX's plans for Mars in person. Aside from spreading interest and excitement about spaceflight far and wide, his primary goal is to cover humanity's ongoing efforts to expand beyond Earth to the Moon, Mars, and elsewhere.

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Elon Musk

Elon Musk spotlights the Starlink rescue that got through where no cell tower could

Elon Musk spotlighted how Starlink helped rescuers reach five people stranded in Kazakhstan’s snowy mountains.

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Elon Musk put a spotlight on a mountain rescue in eastern Kazakhstan on Sunday, writing “Starlink saves lives” in response to a post describing how SpaceX’s satellite internet helped five stranded people reach emergency crews.

The post from DogeDesigner, which had been viewed more than 500,000 times by Sunday afternoon, said the group’s SUV broke down about 15 kilometers from the village of Kystau Kurchum in an area with no usable mobile network. Starlink carried their call for help and kept them in contact with rescuers, who used the connection to locate them.

The rescue itself took place in October. Local outlet YK.kz reported on October 22 that Kazakhstan’s Ministry of Emergency Situations responded to the breakdown in the Kurchum district of East Kazakhstan region and noted that the group stayed in touch through Starlink. Rescuers covered roughly 100 kilometers in a Trekol, a low pressure tire vehicle built for snow and marshland, then escorted the disabled SUV back to Kystau Kurchum. Nobody needed medical attention.


Conditions in the region were rough at the time. Kazakh broadcaster Channel 7 identified the five as hunters caught in a snow trap and said satellite communication allowed rescuers to pinpoint where they were. A spokesperson for the East Kazakhstan emergency department said a storm warning was in effect and urged residents not to leave populated areas unless necessary. The same weather stranded seven utility workers repairing power lines in the nearby Kuygan rural district, according to Tengrinews.

Kazakhstan has been one of Starlink’s more notable markets in Central Asia. Teslarati reported in 2024 that Starlink was serving 1,731 of the country’s 1,879 schools, with the country’s Education Minister saying it had set a new standard for internet service in schools.

Rescue stories like this one have followed Starlink for years, usually in places where ground networks fail or never existed in the first place. Then Florida CFO Jimmy Patronis called Starlink a “game changer” for search and rescue crews during Hurricane Milton, and SpaceX and T-Mobile switched on Starlink Direct to Cell in North Carolina to push emergency alerts to phones after Hurricane Helene.

The next target is dead zones for people who do not carry a dish at all. SpaceX is building out Starlink Mobile and earlier this week selected Qualcomm to supply core infrastructure for a planned terrestrial 5G network in the United States, which it intends to pair with its next generation satellite constellation.

Sunday’s post is at least the third time Musk has written “Starlink saves lives” on X this week, following identical posts on November 5 and November 7.

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SpaceX will perform Starship double catch attempt with Flight 15

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Credit: SpaceX

SpaceX plans to attempt what will be a defining moment in rocket reusability on Starship Flight 15.

As Elon Musk announced in a recent X post, SpaceX will attempt to catch both the Super Heavy Booster and the Starship upper stage during the upcoming orbital flight. If successful, it will mark the first time that all parts of an orbital rocket return to Earth intact, a breakthrough Musk has called essential to making life multiplanetary.

Previous flights have demonstrated the tower-catch technique with Super Heavy. SpaceX has successfully caught V1 boosters three times (on Flights 5, 7, and 8), with some even reflown. The Ship upper stage has never been caught.

Returning from orbital velocity after deploying payload makes it a significantly harder challenge due to higher energy, heat loads, and the need for precise belly-flop reentry, a flip maneuver, and a final landing burn to settle between the Mechazilla tower’s chopstick arms.

Flight 15, using Booster 22 and Ship 42 (both Block 3 vehicles), is targeted for no earlier than Friday, November 13, 2026, from Orbital Launch Pad 2 at Starbase, Texas. The 75-minute window opens at 4:45 p.m. CT, pending regulatory approval. After hot staging and separation, the booster is planned to return for a catch roughly 6 minutes and 35 seconds after liftoff.

The Ship will insert into a roughly 275 km orbit, deploy 26 advanced Starlink V3 satellites, complete about 14 orbits over more than 22 hours, and—if systems check out—perform a deorbit burn, reentry, flip, and landing burn for a tower catch at approximately T+22 hours 32 minutes.

SpaceX confirms Starship 15 launch window with massive ambitions

A simulation shown during SpaceX’s October earnings call depicted the Ship descending in a belly-flop attitude, flipping upright with a short engine burn, and being captured by the arms:

Contingency splashdown zones exist in the Gulf of Mexico (booster) and Pacific (Ship) if a catch is not viable. SpaceX has stressed rigorous health checks before committing the Ship to a return-to-launch-site trajectory.

Musk has described the odds of success on this first dual-catch attempt as “more likely than not,” noting a steady stream of additional flights is already scheduled if needed. Full recovery would enable rapid inspection, refurbishment, and reflight—slashing costs and supporting the high launch cadence required for Starlink expansion, lunar missions, and eventual Mars settlement.

As Musk put it, this is “the critical breakthrough needed to make life multiplanetary.”

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Tesla Cybercab is set to get some massive improvements

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Credit: TechOperator | X

Tesla Cybercab is going to get some pretty substantial updates, including improvements to efficiency and a new color.

CEO Elon Musk said in a post on X on Saturday that Tesla would be working to refine the Cybercab even more, following the announcement during the week that the company would eliminate the Cybertruck lines within Giga Texas for more Cybercab manufacturing capacity.

“There are efficiency improvements coming that will allow for a 40kWh Cybercab pack,” Musk posted on X. “We will make this in liquid silver, so the colors are not too monotonous.”

A new, more efficient model of the Cybercab will be engineered, which will only help Tesla’s profitability and margins, and it also boosts the argument for why the Cybertruck should be discontinued, at least from a business perspective.

The current Cybercab that operates in the Robotaxi platform in Austin, Texas, has a 48 kWh pack, and it sounds like Musk believes Tesla is on its way to introducing a version that has fewer cells but can manage the same workload thanks to engineering efficiencies.

Credit: Tesla

Musk also doubled down on the decision to prioritize Cybercab production over Cybertruck, which is a decision that has been extremely polarizing within the community, and many fans have made it abundantly clear that they are not particularly pleased with the plans.

“If we have to maintain a complex production line, supply chain, and allocate engineering for Cybertruck, we can’t use those people or factory space and machinery for scaling Cybercab, which is the vehicle that will PROFOUNDLY transform the world of terrestrial transport,” Musk said.

Cybercab is obviously Tesla’s path forward in an automotive sense. It seems that Tesla is less concerned about catering to the passenger vehicle market and is more prone to focus on transforming passenger transportation in a way that prioritizes autonomy. However, this requires some sacrifice on Tesla’s end, and the Cybertruck is unfortunately a victim of this.

Cybercab holds an extremely crucial part of Tesla’s future. With the company already revolutionizing passenger transportation once, this is the next phase, and Cybercab is the path forward.

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