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Tesla and other EV makers could see higher prices for battery materials in 2022

Credit: u/geniuzdesign/Reddit

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Tesla recently made history by being the first automaker to hit a market cap of over $1 trillion. This all but proved that the electric vehicle transition is here, and EVs are here to stay. With the automotive industry seemingly now waking up to the notion that a shift to electric cars is inevitable, however, a shift in the battery industry seems to be happening. 

Batteries for electric vehicles are now seeing a price hike in China, with the cost of raw materials such as lithium seeing a substantial increase in price. With this trend in mind, industry research group Benchmark Mineral Intelligence (BMI) noted in a recent report that electric vehicles may face rising battery costs in the coming year. 

What is interesting is that the price hike of battery materials is happening while the industry is becoming more and more prolific. Expectations for electric car batteries have long pointed to the idea that high-performance batteries should decrease in price over time as economies of scale accompany an expanding EV market. And in previous years, this has generally been the case. As per BMI chief executive Simon Moores, however, the price hikes for raw materials in China could end up raising battery prices instead. 

Moores noted that if Korean and Japanese battery makers such as LG and Panasonic follow China’s lead, the price of batteries using nickel, cobalt, and manganese cathodes could rise to about $115 per kWh next year. The BMI chief executive noted that this year, nickel, cobalt, and manganese cathodes are already at $105 per kWh. “The market may have to reposition itself for a period of rising battery cell prices, a new phenomenon for an industry conditioned to expect year-on-year falls,” Moores stated

In a way, the rising prices of battery raw materials from China could be seen as a response to strong demand. As stronger than expected demand outstripped supply in China, for example, Benchmark Mineral Intelligence found that the price of lithium carbonate jumped by over 300% over the past year to $28,675 per tonne as of mid-October. Other raw materials such as nickel sulfate and cobalt hydroxide have also seen steep price increases this year. 

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The apparent rising costs in battery materials could prove to be a challenge for automakers that are looking to ramp their electric vehicle business next year. The coming year would likely see numerous prolific electric cars being launched and ramped, such as the Ford F-150 Lightning, the Rivian R1S, and the Tesla Cybertruck. It would then be interesting how each respective automaker responds to rising battery costs. Tesla is already putting in a lot of effort to secure key materials for its vehicles’ batteries through independent deals with mining companies across the globe. One can only hope that other EV makers are doing the same. 

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Simon is an experienced automotive reporter with a passion for electric cars and clean energy. Fascinated by the world envisioned by Elon Musk, he hopes to make it to Mars (at least as a tourist) someday. For stories or tips--or even to just say a simple hello--send a message to his email, simon@teslarati.com or his handle on X, @ResidentSponge.

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Tesla bear Guggenheim sees nearly 50% drop off in stock price in new note

Tesla bear Guggenheim does not see any upside in Robotaxi.

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Credit: Tesla

Tesla bear Guggenheim is still among the biggest non-believers in the company’s overall mission and its devotion to solving self-driving.

In a new note to investors on Thursday, analyst Ronald Jewsikow reiterated his price target of $175, a nearly 50 percent drop off, with a ‘Sell’ rating, all based on skepticism regarding Tesla’s execution of the Robotaxi platform.

A few days ago, Tesla CEO Elon Musk said the company’s Robotaxi platform would open to the public in September, offering driverless rides to anyone in the Austin area within its geofence, which is roughly 90 square miles large.

Tesla CEO Elon Musk confirms Robotaxi is opening to the public: here’s when

However, Jewsikow’s skepticism regarding this timeline has to do with what’s going on inside of the vehicles. The analyst was willing to give props to Robotaxi, saying that Musk’s estimation of a September public launch would be a “key step” in offering the service to a broader population.

Where Jewsikow’s real issue lies is with Tesla’s lack of transparency on the Safety Monitors, and how bulls are willing to overlook their importance.

Much of this bullish mentality comes from the fact that the Monitors are not sitting in the driver’s seat, and they don’t have anything to do with the overall operation of the vehicle.

Musk also said last month that reducing Safety Monitors could come “in a month or two.”

Instead, they’re just there to make sure everything runs smoothly.

Jewsikow said:

“While safety drivers will remain, and no timeline has been provided for their removal, bulls have been willing to overlook the optics of safety drivers in TSLA vehicles, and we see no reason why that would change now.”

He also commented on Musk’s recent indication that Tesla was working on a 10x parameter count that could help make Full Self-Driving even more accurate. It could be one of the pieces to Tesla solving autonomy.

Jewsikow added:

“Perhaps most importantly for investors bullish on TSLA for the fleet of potential FSD-enabled vehicles today, the 10x higher parameter count will be able to run on the current generation of FSD hardware and inference compute.”

Elon Musk teases crazy new Tesla FSD model: here’s when it’s coming

Tesla shares are down just about 2 percent today, trading at $332.47.

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Tesla Model 3 hits quarter million miles with original battery and motor

The Model 3’s Battery Management System (BMS) shows a State of Health between 88% and 90%.

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(Credit: Tesla Asia/Twitter)

A Western Australian Tesla Model 3 has captured global attention after racking up an impressive 410,000 kilometers (254,000 miles) on its original battery and motor, while still retaining around 90% of its original battery health.

Long-term Model 3

The 2021 Model 3 Standard Plus, equipped with a 60 kWh lithium iron phosphate (LFP) battery, has been in constant use as an Uber rideshare vehicle. According to Port Kennedy EV specialist EV Workz, the car’s Battery Management System (BMS) shows a State of Health between 88% and 90%.

EV Workz owner Edi Gutmanis shared the findings on Facebook’s Electric Vehicles For Australia page on August 8, and the post quickly went viral. As per Gutmanis, the Model 3’s charging history shows 15,556 kWh delivered via DC fast charging (29% of the total) and 38,012 kWh via AC charging (71% of the total). 

Gutmanis also broke down the fuel savings for the Model 3. A petrol car covering the same 410,000 km at 7L/100km and $1.70 per liter would cost an estimated AU$50,000 in fuel. By comparison, charging the Tesla using average commercial rates would be about AU$20,737 and just AU$13,000 if using Western Australia’s EV tariff. That’s a potential refueling saving of roughly $37,000, not including the avoided maintenance costs of an internal combustion engine.

Simple fix

The car came into EV Workz for a driveline “judder” issue, as per a report form EV Central Australia. Gutmanis found the real cause was simply worn motor mount bushes. After seven hours of labor and $130 in parts, “the car drives just as good as the first day it left the dealership,” Gutmanis said.

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Gutmanis, whose business also performs EV conversions on classics and 4x4s, says the results aren’t surprising. “We expect this sort of longevity with EV batteries,” he explained, though this is the highest-mileage Model 3 he has encountered in Australia.

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Mysterious covered Tesla Model Y fleet spotted in Giga Berlin

The vehicles were sighted during a recent drone flyover of the Germany-based Model Y production site.

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Credit: @TobiasLindh/YouTube

A fleet of mysterious covered Model Y units has been spotted at the Giga Berlin complex. The vehicles were sighted during a recent drone flyover of the Germany-based Model Y production site.

A mysterious fleet

The mysterious Model Y fleet was sighted by longtime Giga Berlin watcher Tobias Lindh, who has been chronicling the progress and activities of Tesla’s German factory complex for years. During his flyover on August 12, 2025, Lindh noted that he was able to spot a fleet of fully covered Model Y units being gathered in one section of the Giga Berlin site.

The presence of the covered Model Y units caught a lot of attention online, with numerous Tesla watchers speculating if the vehicles were the Model Y L or the yet-to-be-released Model Y Performance. Giga Berlin only produces Model Y units, after all, and both the Model Y L and Model Y Performance are yet to be rolled out by the electric vehicle maker.

Tesla Model Y Performance the Model Y L

The Model Y is Tesla’s best-selling vehicle by a mile, selling so well that it was able to become the world’s best-selling car by volume in 2023. With the changeover to the new Model Y this year, Tesla has only released the vehicle’s updated RWD and AWD versions. The updated Model Y Performance is yet to be released as of writing, though sightings of apparent Model Y Performance units have been reported on social media.

In recent weeks, however, the Model Y news cycle has been dominated by the upcoming release of the Model Y L, an extended wheelbase, six-seat version of the best-selling all-electric crossover. The Model Y L is expected to be produced in Giga Shanghai initially, though Giga Berlin, the Fremont Factory, and Giga Texas are also expected to produce the variant in the near future. 

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Check out Giga Berlin’s mysterious Model Y fleet in the video below.

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