Investor's Corner
Tesla Model 3 drive unit production reportedly hits 10k/week amid end-of-Q3 push
Despite facing a lawsuit from the Securities and Exchange Commission about his “funding secured” tweet last August, Elon Musk appeared to be in light spirits on Friday, expressing his gratitude to the Tesla community for their help, at one point even posting a “Don’t Panic” reminder on his Twitter page. Musk reportedly rallied Tesla’s workers as well, stating that the company has achieved a notable milestone in its ongoing Model 3 ramp — the production of over 10,000 drive units in one week.
In a series of letters to employees following the release of the SEC’s lawsuit, Elon Musk reportedly urged Tesla’s workers to pay no attention to distractions. One of the letters, a copy of which was reportedly obtained by Bloomberg, stated that Tesla’s Model 3 drive team had produced “more than 10,000” units in a seven-day period. Musk reportedly praised the Tesla team as well, urging them to push through “one more hardcore weekend” as Q3 nears its close.
“You’re doing an incredible job. Ignore all distractions. One more hardcore weekend and we will be victorious,” Musk wrote.
And remember … pic.twitter.com/UaDUv4OlZf
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) September 28, 2018
The Model 3’s drive units are manufactured in Gigafactory 1, Tesla’s expansive facility in Nevada, which is also tasked with the production of the electric sedan’s batteries. The update on Gigafactory 1’s 10,000/week Model 3 drive unit production comes amidst news that Tesla’s battery partner Panasonic is aiming to complete three new battery cell assembly lines in the facility earlier than expected. This was related by Yoshio Ito, head of Panasonic’s automotive business, who also noted that the bottlenecks in Gigafactory were primarily due to the Japanese company’s incapability to produce enough batteries to meet Tesla’s demand.
Panasonic’s new battery assembly lines are not the only upgrades set to be installed in Gigafactory 1. After a tour of the facility, analysts from Worm Capital stated that Tesla is also expecting the arrival of new machines from Grohmann Automation, all of which are designed to boost the facility’s production capabilities. During the Gigafactory 1 tour, Tesla head of investor relations Martin Viecha reportedly noted that the new Grohmann machines would help battery module production become “three times faster, and three times cheaper.” The new Grohmann machines are expected to be sent to Gigafactory 1 by the end of Q3 or the beginning of Q4.
Tesla might be on track to produce and deliver a record number of Model 3 to reservation holders this quarter, but the ramp of the vehicle remains only partly complete. Ultimately, Tesla aims to produce as many as 10,000 units of the electric sedan per week, including the highly-anticipated $35,000 Standard Range RWD Model 3, which is expected to start production sometime in 2019. If the emails obtained by Bloomberg are accurate, then it would mean that Tesla’s Model 3 drive unit production has taken a definitive step forward.
Considering Tesla’s 10,000/week milestone with its Model 3 drive unit production, as well as the upcoming upgrades to Gigafactory 1 in the form of Panasonic’s new battery cell assembly lines and Grohmann’s new machines, Q4 2018 is shaping up to be a historic quarter for the electric car maker.
Investor's Corner
Tesla wins $508 price target from Stifel as Robotaxi rollout gains speed
The firm cited meaningful progress in Tesla’s robotaxi roadmap, ongoing Full Self-Driving enhancements, and the company’s long-term growth initiatives.
Tesla received another round of bullish analyst updates this week, led by Stifel, raising its price target to $508 from $483 while reaffirming a “Buy” rating. The firm cited meaningful progress in Tesla’s robotaxi roadmap, ongoing Full Self-Driving enhancements, and the company’s long-term growth initiatives.
Robotaxi rollout, FSD updates, and new affordable cars
Stifel expects Tesla’s robotaxi fleet to expand into 8–10 major metropolitan areas by the end of 2025, including Austin, where early deployments without safety drivers are targeted before year-end. Additional markets under evaluation include Nevada, Florida, and Arizona, as noted in an Investing.com report. The firm also highlighted strong early performance for FSD Version 14, with upcoming releases adding new “reasoning capabilities” designed to improve complex decision-making using full 360-degree vision.
Tesla has also taken steps to offset the loss of U.S. EV tax credits by launching the Model Y Standard and Model 3 Standard at $39,990 and $36,990, Stifel noted. Both vehicles deliver more than 300 miles of range and are positioned to sustain demand despite shifting incentives. Stifel raised its EBITDA forecasts to $14.9 billion for 2025 and $19.5 billion for 2026, assigning partial valuation weightings to Tesla’s FSD, robotaxi, and Optimus initiatives.
TD Cowen also places an optimistic price target
TD Cowen reiterated its Buy rating with a $509 price target after a research tour of Giga Texas, citing production scale and operational execution as key strengths. The firm posted its optimistic price target following a recent Mobility Bus tour in Austin. The tour included a visit to Giga Texas, which offered fresh insights into the company’s operations and prospects.
Additional analyst movements include Truist Securities maintaining its Hold rating following shareholder approval of Elon Musk’s compensation plan, viewing the vote as reducing leadership uncertainty.
@teslarati Tesla Full Self-Driving yields for pedestrians while human drivers do not…the future is here! #tesla #teslafsd #fullselfdriving ♬ 2 Little 2 Late – Levi & Mario
Investor's Corner
Tesla receives major institutional boost with Nomura’s rising stake
The move makes Tesla Nomura’s 10th-largest holding at about 1% of its entire portfolio.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) has gained fresh institutional support, with Nomura Asset Management expanding its position in the automaker.
Nomura boosted its Tesla holdings by 4.2%, adding 47,674 shares and bringing its total position to more than 1.17 million shares valued at roughly $373.6 million. The move makes Tesla Nomura’s 10th-largest holding at about 1% of its entire portfolio.
Institutional investors and TSLA
Nomura’s filing was released alongside several other fund updates. Brighton Jones LLC boosted its holdings by 11.8%, as noted in a MarketBeat report, and Revolve Wealth Partners lifted its TSLA position by 21.2%. Bison Wealth increased its Tesla stake by 52.2%, AMG National Trust Bank increased its position in shares of Tesla by 11.8%, and FAS Wealth Partners increased its TSLA holdings by 22.1%. About 66% of all outstanding Tesla shares are now owned by institutional investors.
The buying comes shortly after Tesla reported better-than-expected quarterly earnings, posting $0.50 per share compared with the $0.48 consensus. Revenue reached $28.10 billion, topping Wall Street’s $24.98 billion estimate. Despite the earnings beat, Tesla continues to trade at a steep premium relative to peers, with a market cap hovering around $1.34 trillion and a price-to-earnings ratio near 270.
Recent insider sales
Some Tesla insiders have sold stock as of late. CFO Vaibhav Taneja sold 2,606 shares in early September for just over $918,000, reducing his personal stake by about 21%. Director James R. Murdoch executed a far larger sale, offloading 120,000 shares for roughly $42 million and trimming his holdings by nearly 15%. Over the past three months, Tesla insiders have collectively sold 202,606 shares valued at approximately $75.6 million, as per SEC disclosures.
Tesla is currently entering its next phase of growth, and if it is successful, it could very well become the world’s most valuable company as a result. The company has several high-profile projects expected to be rolled out in the coming years, including Optimus, the humanoid robot, and the Cybercab, an autonomous two-seater with the potential to change the face of roads across the globe.
@teslarati Tesla Full Self-Driving yields for pedestrians while human drivers do not…the future is here! #tesla #teslafsd #fullselfdriving ♬ 2 Little 2 Late – Levi & Mario
Investor's Corner
Ron Baron states Tesla and SpaceX are lifetime investments
Baron, one of Tesla’s longest-standing bulls, reiterated that his personal stake in the company remains fully intact even as volatility pressures the broader market.
Billionaire investor Ron Baron says he isn’t touching a single share of his personal Tesla holdings despite the recent selloff in the tech sector. Baron, one of Tesla’s longest-standing bulls, reiterated that his personal stake in the company remains fully intact even as volatility pressures the broader market.
Baron doubles down on Tesla
Speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box, Baron stated that he is largely unfazed by the market downturn, describing his approach during the selloff as simply “looking” for opportunities. He emphasized that Tesla remains the centerpiece of his long-term strategy, recalling that although Baron Funds once sold 30% of its Tesla position due to client pressure, he personally refused to trim any of his personal holdings.
“We sold 30% for clients. I did not sell personally a single share,” he said. Baron’s exposure highlighted this stance, stating that roughly 40% of his personal net worth is invested in Tesla alone. The legendary investor stated that he has already made about $8 billion from Tesla from an investment of $400 million when he started, and believes that figure could rise fivefold over the next decade as the company scales its technology, manufacturing, and autonomy roadmap.
A lifelong investment
Baron’s commitment extends beyond Tesla. He stated that he also holds about 25% of his personal wealth in SpaceX and another 35% in Baron mutual funds, creating a highly concentrated portfolio built around Elon Musk–led companies. During the interview, Baron revisited a decades-old promise he made to his fund’s board when he sought approval to invest in publicly traded companies.
“I told the board, ‘If you let me invest a certain amount of money, then I will promise that I won’t sell any of my stock. I will be the last person out of the stock,’” he said. “I will not sell a single share of my shares until my clients sold 100% of their shares. … And I don’t expect to sell in my lifetime Tesla or SpaceX.”
Watch Ron Baron’s CNBC interview below.
@teslarati :rotating_light: This is why you need to use off-peak rates at Tesla Superchargers! #tesla #evcharging #fyp ♬ Blue Moon – Muspace Lofi
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