Investor's Corner
Tesla Model 3 fever sweeps across Europe as China gears up for possible March deliveries
It took what Elon Musk could only describe as “excruciating” effort, but Tesla appears to be setting the stage for the Model 3’s entrance into the global market. With exhibits of the electric car making its way into multiple countries in Europe and key cities in China, there seems to be very little doubt that the Model 3 invasion is just around the corner.
Reports and anecdotes from the Tesla community indicate that Tesla’s Model 3 exhibits have attracted a notable amount of attention. Over the past 24 hours, reservation holders and electric car enthusiasts have shown up en masse to view and get some hands-on experience with the electric sedan. In some areas in the European region, the Model 3 even attracted lines of people, with interested individuals waiting outside Tesla stores for an opportunity to interact with the company’s latest vehicle.
M3 on display in Mall of Scandinavia. It's 1PM on a Thursday and there's about 40 people in the store and 10 more outside waiting in line.@vincent13031925 pic.twitter.com/3YRxSHFgdW
— 🇮🇸 🇸🇪 Hjörtur Brynjarsson 🇺🇦 (@HjorturBrynjars) November 15, 2018
The warm reception of the European region towards the Model 3 bodes well for the company. If any, the Model 3 fever spreading across Tesla’s stores in Europe suggests that the demand for the electric sedan remains strong even in territories beyond North America.
-->https://twitter.com/m_xalher/status/1062731482236624896
Einige visuellen Eindrücke vom heutigen #Model3 Event im Tesla Store Zürich für jeden, der es selbst nicht erleben konnte. Herzlichen Dank, @marTW33T. https://t.co/43kWInkiCy pic.twitter.com/vELezp4t1t
— Tesla Community Schweiz 🇨🇭 (@TeslaSchweiz) November 14, 2018
On the other side of the world, Tesla’s Model 3 push is starting to become evident as well. Amidst Model 3 exhibits in key cities such as Shanghai and Shenzen, local Chinese media are also providing what could very well be the first details on the vehicle’s upcoming rollout in the region. According to local news outlet Gasgoo.com, for one, Tesla would be entering the Chinese market with the Model 3’s top two variants — the Model 3 Performance and the Long Range AWD Model 3. The vehicles will be priced higher than their counterparts due to import tariffs, though the impending construction of Gigafactory 3 is expected to reduce the price of electric cars that will be delivered in the country.
A Red Tesla Model 3 arrived Shenzhen, China 🇨🇳 yesterday. $TSLA #Tesla #Model3 #China #TeslaChina pic.twitter.com/I0YQBTq2oX
— vincent (@vincent13031925) November 15, 2018
In the past 24 hrs, Tesla Model 3 has appeared in many European countries for the first time, causing huge crowds. Beginning of this year, Model 3 also appeared in many of China's Tesla showrooms the very first time, which also caused huge crowds. $TSLA #Tesla #TeslaChina pic.twitter.com/FooR1gqXNV
— vincent (@vincent13031925) November 15, 2018
Recent updates from Elon Musk have provided some details on Tesla’s upcoming push in China. In a recent tweet, Musk stated that some Model 3 deliveries in the country might be possible in March 2019, though April might be a safer bet. With Musk’s recent update, though, it appears that Tesla’s global push for the Model 3 would likely begin sometime in the first quarter or early in the second quarter of 2019.
Probably some deliveries in March, but April is more certain
— Elon Musk (@elonmusk) November 15, 2018
After passing through “production hell” and “delivery logistics hell,” Tesla appears to have reached a place where it is confident of its capability to manufacture and deliver the Model 3. In order to accomplish this, the company is thinking outside the box once more. In a recent set of tweets, for example, Elon Musk has noted that Tesla just “acquired trucking capacity” to ensure that all Model 3 ordered by November 30 would be delivered by December 31. In a later tweet, Musk elaborated that Tesla had “bought some trucking companies and secured contracts with major haulers” to ensure that the delivery difficulties the company faced at the end of the third quarter do not happen again.
Tesla produced and delivered a record number of vehicles in the third quarter, even surprising Wall Street by posting $6.8 billion in revenue and beating earnings estimates with a GAAP profit of $312 million. Considering Tesla’s preparations for a massive end-of-year delivery push, as well as the arrival of the Mid Range Model 3, though, the electric car maker’s fourth quarter’s numbers would likely be even more impressive.
Tesla bear Michael Burry got blunt with his beliefs over the company’s valuation, which he called “ridiculously overvalued” in a newsletter to subscribers this past weekend.
“Tesla’s market capitalization is ridiculously overvalued today and has been for a good long time,” Burry, who was the inspiration for the movie The Big Short, and was portrayed by Christian Bale.
Burry went on to say, “As an aside, the Elon cult was all-in on electric cars until competition showed up, then all-in on autonomous driving until competition showed up, and now is all-in on robots — until competition shows up.”
Tesla bear Michael Burry ditches bet against $TSLA, says ‘media inflated’ the situation
For a long time, Burry has been skeptical of Tesla, its stock, and its CEO, Elon Musk, even placing a $530 million bet against shares several years ago. Eventually, Burry’s short position extended to other supporters of the company, including ARK Invest.
-->Tesla has long drawn skepticism from investors and more traditional analysts, who believe its valuation is overblown. However, the company is not traded as a traditional stock, something that other Wall Street firms have recognized.
While many believe the company has some serious pull as an automaker, an identity that helped it reach the valuation it has, Tesla has more than transformed into a robotics, AI, and self-driving play, pulling itself into the realm of some of the most recognizable stocks in tech.
Burry’s Scion Asset Management has put its money where its mouth is against Tesla stock on several occasions, but the firm has not yielded positive results, as shares have increased in value since 2020 by over 115 percent. The firm closed in May.
In 2020, it launched its short position, but by October 2021, it had ditched that position.
Tesla has had a tumultuous year on Wall Street, dipping significantly to around the $220 mark at one point. However, it rebounded significantly in September, climbing back up to the $400 region, as it currently trades at around $430.
-->It closed at $430.14 on Monday.
Investor's Corner
Mizuho keeps Tesla (TSLA) “Outperform” rating but lowers price target
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected.
Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh lowered Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) price target to $475 from $485, citing potential 2026 EV subsidy cuts in the U.S. and China that could pressure deliveries. The firm maintained its Outperform rating for the electric vehicle maker, however.
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected. The U.S. accounted for roughly 37% of Tesla’s third-quarter 2025 sales, while China represented about 34%, making both markets highly sensitive to policy shifts. Potential 50% cuts to Chinese subsidies and reduced U.S. incentives affected the firm’s outlook.
With those pressures factored in, the firm now expects Tesla to deliver 1.75 million vehicles in 2026 and 2 million in 2027, slightly below consensus estimates of 1.82 million and 2.15 million, respectively. The analyst was cautiously optimistic, as near-term pressure from subsidies is there, but the company’s long-term tech roadmap remains very compelling.
Despite the revised target, Mizuho remained optimistic on Tesla’s long-term technology roadmap. The firm highlighted three major growth drivers into 2027: the broader adoption of Full Self-Driving V14, the expansion of Tesla’s Robotaxi service, and the commercialization of Optimus, the company’s humanoid robot.
“We are lowering TSLA Ests/PT to $475 with Potential BEV headwinds in 2026E. We believe into 2026E, US (~37% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) EV subsidy cuts and China (34% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) potential 50% EV subsidy cuts could be a headwind to EV deliveries.
-->“We are now estimating TSLA deliveries for 2026/27E at 1.75M/2.00M (slightly below cons. 1.82M/2.15M). We see some LT drivers with FSD v14 adoption for autonomous, robotaxi launches, and humanoid robots into 2027 driving strength,” the analyst noted.
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) has landed an elusive “must own” status from Wall Street firm Melius, according to a new note released early this week.
Analyst Rob Wertheimer said Tesla will lead the charge in world-changing tech, given the company’s focus on self-driving, autonomy, and Robotaxi. In a note to investors, Wertheimer said “the world is about to change, dramatically,” because of the advent of self-driving cars.
He looks at the industry and sees many potential players, but the firm says there will only be one true winner:
“Our point is not that Tesla is at risk, it’s that everybody else is.”
The major argument is that autonomy is nearing a tipping point where years of chipping away at the software and data needed to develop a sound, safe, and effective form of autonomous driving technology turn into an avalanche of progress.
Wertheimer believes autonomy is a $7 trillion sector,” and in the coming years, investors will see “hundreds of billions in value shift to Tesla.”
A lot of the major growth has to do with the all-too-common “butts in seats” strategy, as Wertheimer believes that only a fraction of people in the United States have ridden in a self-driving car. In Tesla’s regard, only “tens of thousands” have tried Tesla’s latest Full Self-Driving (Supervised) version, which is v14.
Tesla Full Self-Driving v14.2 – Full Review, the Good and the Bad
When it reaches a widespread rollout and more people are able to experience Tesla Full Self-Driving v14, he believes “it will shock most people.”
Citing things like Tesla’s massive data pool from its vehicles, as well as its shift to end-to-end neural nets in 2021 and 2022, as well as the upcoming AI5 chip, which will be put into a handful of vehicles next year, but will reach a wider rollout in 2027, Melius believes many investors are not aware of the pace of advancement in self-driving.
Tesla’s lead in its self-driving efforts is expanding, Wertheimer says. The company is making strategic choices on everything from hardware to software, manufacturing, and overall vehicle design. He says Tesla has left legacy automakers struggling to keep pace as they still rely on outdated architectures and fragmented supplier systems.
Tesla shares are up over 6 percent at 10:40 a.m. on the East Coast, trading at around $416.
Tesla bear gets blunt with beliefs over company valuation
Tesla is making a change to its exterior cameras with a potential upgrade
