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Tesla Giga Shanghai’s Model 3 production run-rate already hitting 91% of ambitious 2021 targets

(Credit: Tesla Greater China)

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Tesla Giga Shanghai produced 22,292 Model 3 vehicles in the month of October, according to vehicle production data from the Chinese Passenger Car Association (CPCA). Tesla’s production numbers came in second in the country after SAIC-GM-Wuling (SGMW), which manufactured 29,843 units of its Mini EV micro electric car. BYD’s production numbers came in third with 22,268 units. 

Tesla industry watcher @TroyTeslike noted that Gigafactory Shanghai produced 22,929 Model 3s in October. He calculated that the electric car maker achieved an annual run-rate of 275,148 vehicles per year at its current production pace. However, Tesla’s lightning-fast Shanghai factory is not known for maintaining the status quo. Not long ago Wall Street estimated that Tesla’s Shanghai plant would only produce 35,000 to 40,000 in its first year of operations.

Considering that Model 3 production is already at a run-rate of 275,000 vehicles per year in Giga Shanghai, it would appear that Tesla China is already at ~91% of its ambitious 2021 manufacturing target. Tesla China aims to manufacture 550,000 vehicles next year, 300,000 of which will be Model 3s. To reach its 2021 Model 3 production goals, Giga Shanghai would need to produce around 25,000 units of the all-electric sedan per month. That’s just a bit over 2,000 compared to Tesla’s October 2020 production figures.

Based on October’s numbers, Tesla China could reach its target 2021 Model 3 run rate by the end of the year, provided that it continues to steadily increase its production capabilities in the coming weeks. This may happen since the company is currently looking to deliver over 180,000 vehicles in the fourth quarter.

Once Giga Shanghai has reached its Model 3 production goals for next year, it can concentrate on its targets for the Model Y. Tesla China wants to hit the ground running by making 250,000 Model Y units in 2021. The Made-in-China Model Y was registered with the Chinese Ministry of Industry & Information Technology recently. Giga Shanghai just needs to wait for a permit to produce Tesla’s crossover. Sightings of the Made-in-China Tesla Model Y have been reported in China in recent weeks as well.

Just recently, the Chinese Passenger Car Association (CPCA) revealed that Tesla sold 12,143 Made-in-China Model 3s in October, translating to a 7.18% month-over-month growth compared to the previous month. In September, the EV automaker had sold 11,238 Model 3s in China. This may seem like a conservative improvement, but it should be noted that Tesla also exported 7,000 Model 3s to Europe in October.  

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The CPCA expects Giga Shanghai’s Model 3 sales to significantly increase in November and December, as mentioned by Tesla owner-investor @Ray4Tesla. Shanghai’s new regulations, which limits out-of-city vehicles within its major roads, could increase demand for the locally-made sedan. Giga Shanghai is also poised to export more Model 3s to Europe in the coming weeks, which could result in higher sales numbers from Tesla China in Q4. 

Maria--aka "M"-- is an experienced writer and book editor. She's written about several topics including health, tech, and politics. As a book editor, she's worked with authors who write Sci-Fi, Romance, and Dark Fantasy. M loves hearing from TESLARATI readers. If you have any tips or article ideas, contact her at maria@teslarati.com or via X, @Writer_01001101.

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Tesla Model Y L gets suspension complaints in over odd issue China

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Credit: @TeslaNewswire/X

The Tesla Model Y L is arguably the most hyped trim of the all-electric crossover, other than the Performance configuration that comes with white-knuckle speed and sports car-level handling.

However, it is not all perfect. Tesla owners in China who took delivery of the Model Y L, denoted with an L to highlight its longer wheelbase, are experiencing what they are referring to as “collapsing” of the rear wheels, as suspension issues appear to be an issue with some of the builds.

The gap between the wheel arch and tire has narrowed to the point that “not even a single finger” could fit, according to a report from Car News China. The failures are not tied to a specific mileage, as one owner said that after just 9,000 kilometers (5,600 miles), they noticed the suspension issue when their car was fully loaded.

Another one had the issue at 30,000 kilometers (18,640 miles) and noticed that the wheel gap shrank to two fingers, so not as drastic as the person who reported a similar issue at 9,000 km.

Tesla Model Y L is gaining momentum in China’s premium segment

Along with the visual recognition of the issue, others are saying the sagging is causing abnormal wear on the inside of the tires. Extra weight and instant torque already provide additional stress on the tires in electric vehicles during normal operation, so it is no surprise that this is another complaint.

There has been no recall issued by Tesla, and the company has not yet publicly acknowledged the issue.

Some are suggesting that owners use a “finger test” to self-diagnose whether there is an issue with the suspension. There should be four fingers between the tire and the wheel well; anything less than that starts to get dicey.

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Tesla Cybercab event gains steam ahead of massive launch

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Credit: TechOperator | X

Tesla is starting to truly tease and hype its groundbreaking Cybercab event, which takes place tomorrow in Austin, Texas. It will be the first time members of the public will be able to ride in a Cybercab, a vehicle without any manual controls, on public roads.

Tesla has been dropping some hype on X over the past several days, but this morning, the excitement has truly started to build up for the event. Although Cybercab has been unveiled before, this is truly Tesla’s announcement that it is ready to start offering autonomous rides for public passengers in its new ride-hailing-geared vehicle for the first time.

The hype has started with a variety of different social media posts that are a true indication that Tesla is preparing for something big. Teasing so much of the potential of Cybercab, including its ability to truly revolutionize how people hail rides for local travel, is what the big idea for the event entails. The time that many Tesla owners, fans, and investors have been waiting for is potentially here:

The event has remained slim on details. Even invitees are still awaiting true details about what the event will entail, where they’ll go, and what is in store for the evening. This is pretty typical for an event run by Tesla; they keep things under wraps for the most part until the very last minute.

However, there is no secret about what the real intention of Tesla is for this event: it is going to be a huge reveal party for a vehicle that has no steering wheel and no pedals. It is a truly massive step for the company moving forward.

Speculation persists as to whether this is going to be an event that simply announces that rides will begin with the Cybercab, or it will be something more substantial. Tesla has said in the past that they plan to sell the Cybercab to the general public in what could become a great way to earn passive income by adding it to a more global fleet of Robotaxi-geared vehicles.

Tomorrow, the show begins in Austin, and the Cybercab goes live at some capacity; we just don’t know exactly how quite yet.

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SpaceX tells the FCC that Starship Flight 14 is going to orbit

SpaceX filed with the FCC for Starship Flight 14, its first true orbital launch attempt.

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SpaceX has asked the Federal Communications Commission for permission to fly Starlink terminals during Starship’s fourteenth flight test, and the filing lays out a genuine trip to orbit, something the program has never attempted.

Every Starship flight so far, including Flight 13’s successful splashdown in the Indian Ocean on July 24, has flown a suborbital arc that ends with the ship reentering the atmosphere within the same hour it launches. The FCC paperwork describes a mission profile built around an actual orbital insertion instead.

The payload is the other half of the story. Flight 13 carried 20 production Starlink V3 satellites, but because that mission never reached orbit, the satellites reentered along with the ship rather than joining the constellation, something Teslarati covered in detail after SpaceX released footage shot from one of those satellites as it drifted away from Starship in space. Flight 14 is designed to close that gap. If the orbital insertion holds, the roughly 20 V3 satellites onboard would separate into an operational orbit and could eventually go into service, each one rated for about 1 terabit per second of downlink capacity by SpaceX’s own account.

SpaceX announces new Starbase for ‘thousands of Starship launches annually’

Elon Musk first flagged the orbital attempt during SpaceX’s August 4 earnings call, the company’s first as a public entity following its June IPO under the ticker SPCX. He also floated catching the ship with the Starbase tower on the same flight, an idea he walked back on August 20, saying the catch attempt would more likely come “in a few months,” as Teslarati reported at the time. Flight 14 will instead target a splashdown for the ship in the Indian Ocean, the same recovery method used since Flight 12.

Hardware has been catching up to the ambition. Booster 21 completed a full 33-engine static fire on August 28, and Ship 41 finished its own six-engine test the week before. An airspace briefing circulated to pilots on August 20 listed September 15 as the target date, later than the end of August window Musk mentioned on the earnings call, though SpaceX has not confirmed a launch date publicly and Starship schedules routinely slip while hardware and FAA paperwork line up.

The FCC filing itself does not guarantee a launch date. It covers communications authority, and not flight readiness, considering SpaceX still needs Ship 41 fully stacked and cleared by the FAA before Flight 14 can fly. But the filing is a real marker of intent and it puts a specific regulatory process behind what had so far only been Musk’s word on the earnings call.

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