Investor's Corner
Tesla stocks (TSLA) resilient despite CA regulators’ safety investigation
Tesla shares (NASDAQ:TSLA) are up 0.28%, trading at $294.17 per share during intraday on Thursday, showing resilience amid reports that the company is now the subject of a safety investigation by California’s Division of Occupational Safety and Health (Cal-OSHA).
The Cal-OSHA’s safety investigation comes just a few days after the Center for Investigative Reporting’s Reveal published a long article alleging that Tesla was intentionally neglecting to report its employees’ serious injuries in order to make its safety record appear better. Citing former employees, the publication alleged that several of Tesla’s safety problems were the result of CEO Elon Musk’s preferences. In one instance, a former Tesla employee claimed that there were very few hazard signs in the Fremont factory simply because Musk dislikes the color yellow. Tesla has denied these allegations.
In a statement to Bloomberg News on Wednesday, Erika Monterroza, a spokeswoman for the state’s industrial relations department, noted that Cal-OSHA takes reports of workplace hazards very seriously. While Monterroza did not specify Reveal’s report, she did confirm that the agency has an open safety investigation on Tesla.
“The state agency takes seriously reports of workplace hazards and allegations of employers’ underreporting recordable work-related injuries and illnesses and currently has an open inspection at Tesla,” she said.
Tesla has issued a response to Cal-OSHA’s safety investigation. In a statement to Bloomberg News, the electric car maker pledged its full cooperation of the ongoing probe.
-->“Cal-OSHA is required to investigate any claims that are made, regardless of whether they have merit or are baseless (as we believe these are), and we always provide our full cooperation. We have never in the entire history of our company received a violation for inaccurate or incomplete injury record-keeping,” Tesla wrote.
Tesla also noted that last year, Cal-OSHA had already investigated the company’s injury reporting and record-keeping. According to the Elon Musk-led company, the probe was closed after the agency found no violations in its operations.
Amidst news of the ongoing Cal-OSHA investigation, analysts from Morgan Stanley have published a note titled Tesla’s next move: $200 or $400? In the note, Morgan Stanley analysts led by Adam Jonas maintained their Neutral rating on TSLA stock, as noted in a MarketWatch report. The financial firm, however, opted to slightly lower their price target from $379 to $376 per share, representing a 27% upside over Wednesday’s figures.
“We see the next three months as the most critical time in Tesla’s history since the Model S launch six years ago,” the analysts wrote in the note.
Tesla also announced that it would release its first quarter 2018 financial results report after markets close on May 2, 2018. A live webcast of its Q1 2018 earnings call is also set to begin at 2:30 p.m. PST (5:30 p.m. EST), where the company will discuss its its business and financial results, as well as its outlook.
-->Tesla shares have lost 1.5% over the past 12 months. In comparison, the S&P index gained 16% and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 21% during the same period.
Investor's Corner
Mizuho keeps Tesla (TSLA) “Outperform” rating but lowers price target
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected.
Mizuho analyst Vijay Rakesh lowered Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) price target to $475 from $485, citing potential 2026 EV subsidy cuts in the U.S. and China that could pressure deliveries. The firm maintained its Outperform rating for the electric vehicle maker, however.
As per the Mizuho analyst, upcoming changes to EV incentives in the U.S. and China could affect Tesla’s unit growth more than previously expected. The U.S. accounted for roughly 37% of Tesla’s third-quarter 2025 sales, while China represented about 34%, making both markets highly sensitive to policy shifts. Potential 50% cuts to Chinese subsidies and reduced U.S. incentives affected the firm’s outlook.
With those pressures factored in, the firm now expects Tesla to deliver 1.75 million vehicles in 2026 and 2 million in 2027, slightly below consensus estimates of 1.82 million and 2.15 million, respectively. The analyst was cautiously optimistic, as near-term pressure from subsidies is there, but the company’s long-term tech roadmap remains very compelling.
Despite the revised target, Mizuho remained optimistic on Tesla’s long-term technology roadmap. The firm highlighted three major growth drivers into 2027: the broader adoption of Full Self-Driving V14, the expansion of Tesla’s Robotaxi service, and the commercialization of Optimus, the company’s humanoid robot.
“We are lowering TSLA Ests/PT to $475 with Potential BEV headwinds in 2026E. We believe into 2026E, US (~37% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) EV subsidy cuts and China (34% of TSLA 3Q25 sales) potential 50% EV subsidy cuts could be a headwind to EV deliveries.
-->“We are now estimating TSLA deliveries for 2026/27E at 1.75M/2.00M (slightly below cons. 1.82M/2.15M). We see some LT drivers with FSD v14 adoption for autonomous, robotaxi launches, and humanoid robots into 2027 driving strength,” the analyst noted.
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) has landed an elusive “must own” status from Wall Street firm Melius, according to a new note released early this week.
Analyst Rob Wertheimer said Tesla will lead the charge in world-changing tech, given the company’s focus on self-driving, autonomy, and Robotaxi. In a note to investors, Wertheimer said “the world is about to change, dramatically,” because of the advent of self-driving cars.
He looks at the industry and sees many potential players, but the firm says there will only be one true winner:
“Our point is not that Tesla is at risk, it’s that everybody else is.”
The major argument is that autonomy is nearing a tipping point where years of chipping away at the software and data needed to develop a sound, safe, and effective form of autonomous driving technology turn into an avalanche of progress.
Wertheimer believes autonomy is a $7 trillion sector,” and in the coming years, investors will see “hundreds of billions in value shift to Tesla.”
A lot of the major growth has to do with the all-too-common “butts in seats” strategy, as Wertheimer believes that only a fraction of people in the United States have ridden in a self-driving car. In Tesla’s regard, only “tens of thousands” have tried Tesla’s latest Full Self-Driving (Supervised) version, which is v14.
Tesla Full Self-Driving v14.2 – Full Review, the Good and the Bad
When it reaches a widespread rollout and more people are able to experience Tesla Full Self-Driving v14, he believes “it will shock most people.”
Citing things like Tesla’s massive data pool from its vehicles, as well as its shift to end-to-end neural nets in 2021 and 2022, as well as the upcoming AI5 chip, which will be put into a handful of vehicles next year, but will reach a wider rollout in 2027, Melius believes many investors are not aware of the pace of advancement in self-driving.
Tesla’s lead in its self-driving efforts is expanding, Wertheimer says. The company is making strategic choices on everything from hardware to software, manufacturing, and overall vehicle design. He says Tesla has left legacy automakers struggling to keep pace as they still rely on outdated architectures and fragmented supplier systems.
Tesla shares are up over 6 percent at 10:40 a.m. on the East Coast, trading at around $416.
Investor's Corner
Tesla analyst maintains $500 PT, says FSD drives better than humans now
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) received fresh support from Piper Sandler this week after analysts toured the Fremont Factory and tested the company’s latest Full Self-Driving software. The firm reaffirmed its $500 price target, stating that FSD V14 delivered a notably smooth robotaxi demonstration and may already perform at levels comparable to, if not better than, average human drivers.
The team also met with Tesla leaders for more than an hour to discuss autonomy, chip development, and upcoming deployment plans.
Analysts highlight autonomy progress
During more than 75 minutes of focused discussions, analysts reportedly focused on FSD v14’s updates. Piper Sandler’s team pointed to meaningful strides in perception, object handling, and overall ride smoothness during the robotaxi demo.
The visit also included discussions on updates to Tesla’s in-house chip initiatives, its Optimus program, and the growth of the company’s battery storage business. Analysts noted that Tesla continues refining cost structures and capital expenditure expectations, which are key elements in future margin recovery, as noted in a Yahoo Finance report.
Analyst Alexander Potter noted that “we think FSD is a truly impressive product that is (probably) already better at driving than the average American.” This conclusion was strengthened by what he described as a “flawless robotaxi ride to the hotel.”
-->Street targets diverge on TSLA
While Piper Sandler stands by its $500 target, it is not the highest estimate on the Street. Wedbush, for one, has a $600 per share price target for TSLA stock.
Other institutions have also weighed in on TSLA stock as of late. HSBC reiterated a Reduce rating with a $131 target, citing a gap between earnings fundamentals and the company’s market value. By contrast, TD Cowen maintained a Buy rating and a $509 target, pointing to strong autonomous driving demonstrations in Austin and the pace of software-driven improvements.
Stifel analysts also lifted their price target for Tesla to $508 per share over the company’s ongoing robotaxi and FSD programs.
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