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Tesla is taking gas cars off the road in huge numbers through trade-ins
Tesla revealed its trade-in statistics in the Q1 2021 Earnings Call Update Letter, showing that a majority of the vehicles it accepts through trade-in are gas-powered.
In the Update Letter that was released a few minutes after Wall Street closed up shop for the Monday trading session, Tesla revealed it had successfully accomplished another profitable quarter thanks to strong demand for its two mass-market vehicles, the Model 3 and Model Y. That, along with expanding production efforts, increasing gross margins, and decreasing manufacturing costs powered a positive quarter once again for the electric carmaker.
The fact of the matter is, however, that gas-powered cars are being displaced by electric vehicles. The market share for the automotive industry still remains heavily based on the production and sale of gas-powered vehicles, but electric cars are beginning to make their presence known. IHS Markit, a market analysis company, said that the overall presence of BEVs rose from .5% in 2019 to 1.2% in 2020. The firm forecasts global EV sales to rise by 70% this year.
With that being said, Tesla is undoubtedly the overall leader in EV sales by a single manufacturer. Statista broke down EV sales by manufacturer in 2020 via CleanTechnica, and Tesla had a commanding lead over second-place Volkswagen. Tesla sold 499,550 vehicles in 2020, Volkswagen sold 220,220 EVs.
However, some of these sales, not all of them, were brought in by the need for a new car. According to a graphic that the automaker included in its Update Letter, gas-powered vehicles make up an overwhelming percentage of Tesla’s trade-ins: 98%.
Credit: Tesla
The graphic seems to reveal that nearly 60% of its trade-ins come from “non-premium brands,” including Toyota, Honda, Ford, and Chevrolet. Close to 40% of the company’s trade-ins are premium brands, like Audi, Lexus, BMW, and Mercedes-Benz. Only 2% of the trade-ins are EVs, proving the competition, in the simplest terms, is other gas vehicles and not other EVs.
Tesla wrote in its Update Letter:
“ICE vehicles comprised 97% of cars sold globally in 2020 and 98% of Tesla trade-ins. As more OEMs join our mission by launching EVs, we believe consumer confidence in EVs continues to increase, and more customers are willing to make the switch. Our Q1 order rate was the strongest in our history, and we are moving as quickly as possible to add more production capacity.”
It has always been Tesla’s goal to create more EVs on the road, and doing this requires the displacement of gas-powered cars. Tesla has been able to make their vehicles a more appealing option than gas-powered cars, and consumers are beginning to recognize the advantages that driving an EV has over driving a gas car. The increase in EV market share, which is led by Tesla’s domination of the sector, shows that more people are turning away from fossil fuels and looking toward electrification to solve their transportation needs.
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Tesla FSD (Supervised) could be approved in the Netherlands next month: Musk
Musk shared the update during a recent interview at Giga Berlin.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk shared that Full Self-Driving (FSD) could receive regulatory approval in the Netherlands as soon as March 20, potentially marking a major step forward for Tesla’s advanced driver-assistance rollout in Europe.
Musk shared the update during a recent interview at Giga Berlin, noting that the date was provided by local authorities.
“Tesla has the most advanced real-world AI, and hopefully, it will be approved soon in Europe. We’re told by the authorities that March 20th, it’ll be approved in the Netherlands,’ what I was told,” Musk stated.
“Hopefully, that date remains the same. But I think people in Europe are going to be pretty blown away by how good the Tesla car AI is in being able to drive.”
Tesla’s FSD system relies on vision-based neural networks trained on real-world driving data, allowing vehicles to navigate using cameras and AI rather than traditional sensor-heavy solutions.
The performance of FSD Supervised has so far been impressive. As per Tesla’s safety report, Full Self-Driving Supervised has already traveled 8.3 billion miles. So far, vehicles operating with FSD Supervised engaged recorded one major collision every 5,300,676 miles.
In comparison, Teslas driven manually with Active Safety systems recorded one major collision every 2,175,763 miles, while Teslas driven manually without Active Safety recorded one major collision every 855,132 miles. The U.S. average during the same period was one major collision every 660,164 miles.
If approval is granted on March 20, the Netherlands could become the first European market to greenlight Tesla’s latest supervised FSD (Supervised) software under updated regulatory frameworks. Tesla has been working to secure expanded FSD access across Europe, where regulatory standards differ significantly from those in the United States. Approval in the Netherlands would likely serve as a foundation for broader EU adoption, though additional country-level clearances may still be required.
Elon Musk
Elon Musk estimates Tesla Semi could reach Europe next year
“We’ve got the Tesla Semi coming out, the heavy truck, and that’ll be going to Europe hopefully next year,” Musk said.
Tesla is preparing to expand its all-electric Semi truck program to Europe, with CEO Elon Musk indicating that the Class 8 vehicle could arrive in the region 2027.
Musk shared his update during an interview about Giga Berlin with plant manager André Thierig, which was posted on X by the official Tesla Manufacturing account.
“We’ve got the Tesla Semi coming out, the heavy truck, and that’ll be going to Europe hopefully next year,” he said.
Tesla has already begun limited production and customer deployments of the Tesla Semi in the United States, with the company working to scale output through the Semi factory near Giga Nevada. Considering Musk’s comments, it appears that a European rollout would be the next phase of the vehicle’s expansion beyond North America.
Musk’s use of the word “hopefully” leaves room for flexibility, but the remark signals that Europe is next in Tesla’s commercial expansion plans.
Musk has consistently argued that electrification should extend beyond passenger vehicles. During the same interview, he reiterated his view that “all ground transport should be electric,” adding that ships, and eventually aircraft, would follow.
The Semi plays a central role in that strategy. Heavy-duty freight remains one of the most emissions-intensive segments of road transport, and European regulators have increasingly pushed for lower-emission commercial fleets.
Tesla recently refreshed the Semi lineup on its official website, listing two variants: Standard and Long Range. The Standard trim offers up to 325 miles of range with an energy consumption rating of 1.7 kWh per mile, while the Long Range version provides up to 500 miles, which should be more than ample for European routes.
Elon Musk
Tesla Cybercab coming next to Giga Berlin, Optimus possibly after
“From a next major product standpoint, I think most likely is the Tesla Cybercab,” Musk said.
Tesla could add the Cybercab and Optimus humanoid robot to the production lineup at Giga Berlin, as per recent comments from CEO Elon Musk.
During a recent interview with Giga Berlin plant manager André Thierig, Musk identified the Cybercab as the most likely next major product for the German factory, with Optimus potentially following after.
“From a next major product standpoint, I think most likely is the Tesla Cybercab,” Musk said. He added that there are also “possibilities of Tesla Optimus” being produced in the facility.
Tesla has already begun production of the Cybercab in Giga Texas, with volume production expected to ramp this year. Based on Musk’s comments, it appears that if conditions align in Europe, Giga Berlin could eventually join that effort.
The CEO’s comments about Optimus coming to Gigafactory Berlin are quite unsurprising too considering that Musk has mentioned in the past that the humanoid robot will likely be Tesla’s highest volume product in the long run.
Giga Berlin will likely be able to produce mass volumes of Optimus, as the Model S and Model X lines being converted to an Optimus line in the Fremont Factory are already expected to produce 1 million units of the humanoid robot annually.
Apart from his comments about the Cybercab and Optimus, Elon Musk also confirmed that Giga Berlin has started ramping battery cell production and will continue expanding Model Y output, particularly as supervised Full Self-Driving (FSD) gains regulatory approvals in Europe.
Taken together, the remarks suggest Berlin’s role could evolve beyond vehicle assembly into a broader multi-product manufacturing hub, not just a regional Model Y plant.