Investor's Corner
Tesla shares rebound over 9% from post-earnings pullback
Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) shares rebounded on Monday morning after collapsing late last week following a relatively bullish Earnings Call. The electric automaker’s shares were up over 9% by 1 PM EST.
Last Wednesday, Tesla reported its Earnings for 2021’s Full Year guidance and the year’s final quarter. Tesla reported delivery figures just after the New Year, beating consensus figures by 13 percent and delivering over 936,000 vehicles in 2021 while producing just over 930,000 units.
The Wednesday Earnings Call proved to be more bullish news for investors of Tesla. Musk and Co. reported another Earnings beat with $17.719B in revenues, an improving automotive gross margin, increased free cash flow, and an impressive $2.54 EPS. Wall Street expected $16.65B in revenues, with an EPS of $2.35. Despite the record-setting quarter, Tesla shares dropped sharply last week on Thursday and Friday, contributing to a significant slide in the tech sector as the market continued to experience a blunt selloff.
Shares were down 9.89 percent from Wednesday’s close to Friday’s close.
Tesla has not experienced positive days following Earnings Calls, even when profitability has become a regular expectation for the electric automaker’s quarterly calls. Past post-EC trading days have treated Tesla investors with the perfect inner struggle: Buy more or keep what I have?
Despite Tesla’s strong financials for Q4, it seemed the market responded to Musk’s quotations regarding Tesla’s future lineup. During the call, the CEO detailed that Tesla would not introduce any new vehicle models this year, putting an end to the speculation of a possible $25,000 Tesla or the arrival of the Cybertruck, which people have waited over two years to own.
“This lack of product is really weird,” John Murphy, a Bank of America analyst with a $1,300 price target on Tesla, said. We estimate it’s going to be 29 other EV models launched in the market. So the market is coming for him, and when we look at market share going forward, he’s going to lose a lot of market share. We can get into specific numbers, but we expect he is going to lose about 50 points of market share in the EV market over the next three to four years,” he said on CNBC.
Tesla CEO Elon Musk said the $25,000 Tesla wouldn’t be coming this year. (Credit: Alwinart/Twitter)
While other companies do, in fact, have new products coming to the market, the expectation is that consumers will go to whatever car is most desirable. From Tesla’s perspective, their multiple-year lead in software, EV infrastructure, batteries, and manufacturing, may give them peace of mind in knowing that there will be no more new car models this year. Why continue to expand the lineup when the current one is selling, and selling a lot. The Model 3 was Europe’s best-selling EV, and Tesla sold more EVs globally in 2021 than any other company. They may be one of the few companies to have a fully-committed business model that only builds EVs and can do it in massive numbers, but people need cars now, and Teslas may be the most desirable EVs on the market. The question is, when are the other companies going to catch up and compete?
The lack of a “Product Roadmap” update may have culminated in some losses, but not the 10 percent drop-off in stock that is being canceled out this morning. Nevertheless, Tesla shares are on their way back up, along with many others in the auto industry, including Ford (NYSE: F), which gained nearly 4% at the time of writing, and Rivian (NASDAQ: RIVN) up almost 12%.
Disclosure: Joey Klender is a TSLA Shareholder. He does not own shares of Ford or Rivian, which were also mentioned in this article.
I’d love to hear from you! If you have any comments, concerns, or questions, please email me at joey@teslarati.com. You can also reach me on Twitter @KlenderJoey, or if you have news tips, you can email us at tips@teslarati.com.
Tesla stock (NASDAQ: TSLA) endured one of its sharpest single-day declines in years on July 23, tumbling approximately 14.5 percent and closing near $320 after opening the session around $374. The drop erased more than $140 billion in market value amid heavy trading volume and left the shares at multi-week lows.
The sell-off followed the company’s second-quarter 2026 results, released the previous evening. Tesla reported record revenue of $28.2 billion, up 26 percent year over year, driven by a Q2-record 480,126 vehicle deliveries. Energy storage deployments also rose strongly.
Tesla (TSLA) Q2 2026 earnings results: miss on EPS, beat on revenue
Yet profitability disappointed sharply. Operating income fell 57 percent to $398 million, compressing the operating margin to just 1.4 percent. Non-GAAP earnings per share came in at $0.33, well below the roughly $0.53 analysts had expected. Free cash flow turned negative by $1.1 billion as capital expenditures surged 142 percent to $5.8 billion, largely tied to accelerated spending on artificial intelligence, robotics, and autonomous systems.
The losses on capex were expected, as Tesla said it would be spending heavily in 2026.
Investors also reacted to lingering uncertainty surrounding key product timelines. During the Earnings Call, management reiterated ambitions for Robotaxi deployment and the Optimus humanoid robot, but offered limited new concrete milestones, renewing questions about execution pace that have long accompanied Tesla’s ambitious roadmap.
The magnitude of the decline places it among Tesla’s more severe one-day percentage losses since its 2010 initial public offering. Historically, the two largest single-day drops (split-adjusted) remain September 8, 2020, when shares fell 21.1 percent amid broader market volatility and valuation concerns, and January 13, 2012, with a 19.3 percent plunge during the company’s early growth struggles.
Other notable declines include an 18.6 percent drop on March 16, 2020, at the onset of pandemic-related market turmoil. Thursday’s move ranks roughly ninth on the all-time list but stands out as the steepest in more than a year.
Despite the short-term pain, Tesla’s long-term trajectory has repeatedly recovered from such volatility. The latest results underscore both the strength of its core automotive and energy businesses and the near-term costs of heavy investment in next-generation technologies.
In a striking revelation that underscores the lucrative crossover between Big Tech and space exploration, Alphabet Inc., Google’s parent company, disclosed a massive $94.1 billion equity stake in SpaceX following the rocket company’s blockbuster initial public offering earlier this year.
The disclosure came in Alphabet’s quarterly filing, marking the first time the long-held private investment has been publicly valued at market prices. Google was an early backer, investing alongside Fidelity in 2015 with roughly $500-900 million at a time when SpaceX was valued around $12 billion.
That bet has delivered extraordinary returns, roughly a hundredfold, transforming a strategic play on satellite internet and launch capabilities into one of Alphabet’s largest assets.
Google, $GOOGL, has said they hold $94 billion in SpaceX, $SPCX, shares after IPO.
— unusual_whales (@unusual_whales) July 23, 2026
Of the total holding, approximately $80 billion remains subject to short-term post-IPO lockup restrictions, preventing near-term sales. An additional $14.1 billion faces longer-term restrictions, extending into the third quarter of 2027. This structure limits immediate liquidity but protects against market volatility as SpaceX transitions into public trading.
The SpaceX position contributed significantly to gains in Alphabet’s broader investment portfolio, which also includes a major stake in AI leader Anthropic. Combined, these holdings helped drive nearly $100 billion in investment gains during the second quarter, providing a substantial boost to net income amid ongoing AI spending pressures.
Analysts view the disclosure as validation of Alphabet’s venture strategy beyond its core search and cloud businesses. The investment aligns with deeper ties, including reported multi-billion-dollar deals for AI computing capacity on SpaceX infrastructure. As SpaceX advances Starship flights, Starlink expansion, and ambitious Mars goals under Elon Musk, Google’s stake positions it to benefit from the commercialization of space.
For Alphabet, the windfall highlights how patient, forward-looking bets in transformative sectors can yield outsized rewards. While lockups temper short-term impact, the holding cements SpaceX as a cornerstone of Alphabet’s diversified portfolio in an era where aerospace, AI, and connectivity increasingly intersect. Investors will watch closely as restrictions lift and SpaceX’s public performance unfolds.
Elon Musk
Tesla Semi finally has an FSD timeline and it’s waiting on the Cybercab
Elon Musk told investors Semi self-driving should start working by early 2027, per today’s earnings.
During Wednesday’s’ Tesla Q2 earnings call, an analyst asked Elon Musk when Tesla would look at autonomy for the Semi. His answer set a real timeline for the first time, noting that self-driving on the Tesla Semi is expected to start working “around the end of this year or early next year”.
Musk framed the delay as a matter of priority, not capability. Tesla’s self-driving team is currently focused on Model 3, Model Y, and Cybercab, the vehicles that make up the overwhelming majority of Tesla’s fleet. Since Semi trucks on the road remain a small fraction of that total even after the recent Nevada factory ramp, Musk said it made more sense to keep the software team’s attention on what he called “the march of nines of safety” for the higher volume vehicles first. Autonomous Semi development is “taking a bit of a backseat for the next six months or so,” he said, before adding that it “will definitely be working next year and in time for the scale-up to high production of the Tesla Semi.”
Tesla Semi’s official battery capacity leaked by California regulators
The timeline lines up with what’s already been showing up on public roads. In June, a Tesla Semi was spotted in Sunnyvale wearing a full validation rig, the same rooftop sensor array Tesla mounts on vehicles ahead of an FSD milestone.
A second unit was seen near Fremont days later with a matching camera suite and lens washers. Separately, Tesla analyst Nic Cruz Patane posted video this month of the production Semi’s exterior camera array, ten AI4 based units built directly into the truck rather than added later.
Tesla Semi AI4 cameras. The production version has 10 cameras on its exterior.
These trucks are designed to be autonomous. pic.twitter.com/GH3BamxIBQ
— Nic Cruz Patane (@niccruzpatane) April 14, 2026
Musk also gave the reason autonomy on the Semi matters in the first place, a persistent shortage of qualified truck drivers. “There is a really serious shortage of truckers,” he said on the call, framing a self-driving Semi as important both for addressing that shortage and for improving safety and comfort for the drivers running the truck today.
The timing also tracks with the Semi’s production reality. Tesla’s Q2 shareholder letter, dropped language promising the Semi would reach volume production this year. Musk pointed to 4680 battery cell output as the near-term constraint on Semi and Cybercab production. A software timeline landing in early 2027 gives Tesla’s autonomy team room to work while the hardware ramp catches up behind it.
It’s worth nothing that this isn’t necessarily a promise the Semi ships driverless next year. Musk’s own language, self-driving “working” by early 2027, describes internal validation catching up to hardware already riding on every production truck, not a public unsupervised rollout.
Tesla stock tumbles after earnings, one of its sharpest single-day declines
Elon Musk is not happy about this Tesla Full Self-Driving approval delay
