Lifestyle
Model 3 Buyers May Miss Out On Federal Tax Credits
By the time Tesla starts building its entry level Model 3 cars, the federal tax credit may have long since expired.
Model 3 buyers may not be able to take advantage of the $7,500 federal tax credit for electric vehicles, for two reasons. First, the federal credit under Internal Revenue Code Section 30D (IRC 30D) begins to decrease once a manufacturer reaches 200,000 qualifying EV sales in the US.
Second, the $35,000 price tag of the Model 3 (before incentives) will appeal to mass market buyers who may not necessarily fall into the same high income bracket as those that purchase the Model S and Model X. As Evan Niu of The Motley Fool explains, “The $7,500 credit can only be applied if the customer has a tax liability of $7,500 or more, and any unused portion is not refundable and can not be carried forward”. This means any person taking home $50,000 a year or less may not have a large enough tax liability to qualify for the full $7,500 federal tax credit.
Let’s take a closer look at both of these factors.
The Incredible Shrinking Tax Credit
Congress, in its infinite wisdom, enacted the federal tax credit to give manufacturers an incentive to sell electric cars. It is a pump priming strategy that was meant to have a relatively short shelf life at 200,000 vehicles sold.
Tesla does not break down its sales numbers by country, but in its most recent letter to shareholders it said it sold 42,000 Model S sedans in America in 2014 and 2015. Elon Musk says the company will deliver between 80,000 and 90,000 cars this year. Assuming half of those go to US customers and adding in estimated sales in 2012 and 2013, Tesla could approach that 200,000 mark in calendar year 2018.
Pictured above: Tesla Store grand opening in Hingham, MA via Rob M
After that, the EV incentive program enters into a “phase out period” at which point the tax credits are cut to 50% and 25% of the original $7,500 credit over the next 6 to 12 months, respectively, until the plan is eventually phased out in its entirety. Based on Tesla’s sales figures and projected growth rate, analysts expect that to happen for Tesla in 2018.
IRC 30D states:
The qualified plug-in electric drive motor vehicle credit phases out for a manufacturer’s vehicles over the one-year period beginning with the second calendar quarter after the calendar quarter in which at least 200,000 qualifying vehicles manufactured by that manufacturer have been sold for use in the United States (determined on a cumulative basis for sales after December 31, 2009) (“phase-out period”).
Qualifying vehicles manufactured by that manufacturer are eligible for 50 percent of the credit if acquired in the first two quarters of the phase-out period and 25 percent of the credit if acquired in the third or fourth quarter of the phase-out period. Vehicles manufactured by that manufacturer are not eligible for a credit if acquired after the phase-out period.
The critical factor in determining whether Model 3 buyers will be able to take advantage of the full tax credit will be timing. For every month the Model 3 gets delayed, more Model S and Model X cars will be sold, getting the company closer to that 200,000 phase out period.
The Demographics of Model 3 Buyers
It seems fairly obvious that someone looking for a $35,000 Model 3 will be in a different socio-economic status than a person looking to purchase a Model S P90D. The way the federal tax credit is set up, if a person only owes $5,000 to the IRS for the year in which a qualifying car is purchased, the credit is limited to $5,000. Any excess is lost. The taxpayer cannot carry over any unused portion to a subsequent tax year.
Other Considerations
Several other factors will make that $35,000 Model 3 a rare bird indeed. Tesla has already indicated it will build the cars with the most options first. This is normal procedure for the company. For instance, manufacturing on the Founders Edition and Signature Series Model X began first followed by P90D production cars. It may be a while yet before any entry level 70D Model X cars get built.
Similarly, the first Model 3 cars will likely have the largest battery available (70 kWh? 90 kWh?). If dual motors are offered, the first cars will have those as well. Panoramic roof, upgraded interiors, premium sound systems, Autopilot activation, and a host of other extra cost options will push many cars close to $60,000. Even with the full federal tax credit, a fully loaded Model 3 will cost far more than $35,000.
It could easily be a year or more after the Model 3 is introduced before any entry level $35,000 Model 3 is available. By then, the federal tax credit will likely be long since used up.
Related Model 3 News
Lifestyle
Tesla Semi futuristic sci-fi acceleration sound will never get old
Videos that capture the Semi moving at speed are most notable due to their sheer cool factor.
The Tesla Semi is not yet in mass production, but the company has accumulated over 7.9 million miles across its test fleet. With Tesla using the Semi for its operations, it is no surprise that sightings of the Class 8 all-electric truck have been abounding.
These sightings from Tesla enthusiasts vary, but those that capture the the Class 8 all-electric truck moving at speed are most notable, possibly due to their sheer cool factor.
Tesla Semi’s Roar
There is something that just stands out with the Semi, particularly on the road. While the Semi does not have the Cybertruck’s brutalist, angular design, it is still very striking because it’s such a massive machine that moves far too quietly for its size. This is, of course, one of the reasons why the vehicle also becomes extra noteworthy when it fires up its electric motors and accelerates.
Take this video from Tesla Owners Silicon Valley, for example, which shows the all-electric hauler accelerating while pulling what appears to be a full load. In these situations, the Tesla Semi actually becomes audible, but unlike traditional diesel-powered truck, the Class 8 all-electric truck “roars” with its own, unique futuristic, sci-fi sound. In such situations, one could feel the Semi’s raw power, which comes from its three independent motors on its rear axles.
Tesla Semi Ramp
Tesla has been promoting the Semi quite a bit as of late, and recent reports have suggested that the company is putting in a lot of effort to prepare the vehicle for its production in Nevada. Tesla’s Careers website has gone live with over 80 Semi-related job openings recently as well, and a recent report has suggested that Tesla has ramped the Semi’s factory workers in Nevada to over 1,000 employees.
The company has even shared an update video of the Semi factory’s progress near Giga Nevada, as well as the design of the vehicle’s new logo. The Semi’s updated logo is quite interesting as it features elements from the Tesla Model 3’s first logo, which was unveiled way back in 2016.
Lifestyle
Elon Musk jokes he will join Mr Beast’s “100 Men vs 1 Gorilla” challenge
It’s a good sign, if any, that the overworked Musk is becoming a bit more lighthearted again.
Following the first quarter Tesla earnings call, CEO Elon Musk seems to have become a bit more relaxed—relaxed enough to joke about fighting a gorilla with 99 other people, at least.
It’s a good sign, if any, that the overworked Musk is becoming a bit more lighthearted again and not too busy picking fights with politicians on social media.
The Viral 100 Men vs 1 Gorilla Challenge
Over the weekend, a post on social media platform X went viral. The post itself was quite simple, with user @DreamChasnMike stating that he thinks 100 men could beat one gorilla. “Everybody just gotta be dedicated to the sh*t,” the X user joked. The post exploded on the platform, garnering 284 million impressions as of writing.
The silly question also triggered a massive debate about whether 100 men would really stand a chance against a literal gorilla. Some users even lamented that the premise was a sign of male hubris. Nevertheless, the question proved to be a fun topic on X, with some more dedicated users even posting simulated videos of what the “100 Men vs 1 Gorilla Challenge” could look like.
Mr. Beast and Elon Musk Join In
The premise is quite similar to other viral videos from noted YouTube creator Mr. Beast, so it was no surprise that edited images of Mr. Beast YouTube thumbnails with “100 Men vs a Gorilla” also started spreading on the social media platform. Mr. Beast, who tends to be game to such silly ideas, actually reposted the edited image, joking “Need 100 men to test this, any volunteers?”
In true Elon Musk fashion, the Tesla and SpaceX CEO noted that he would join the challenge. “Sure, what’s the worst that could happen” Musk wrote in his post on X. Musk’s reply triggered quite a few laughs on X, with some stating that the world probably still needs the CEO.
While silly, Musk’s comment and his recent, more frequent posts about his companies’ products like Starlink and Grok have been received well by his supporters. Over the past months, after all, Musk has been very political and quite confrontational on social media. With Musk soon taking a step back from the Department of Government Efficiency’s (DOGE) daily operations, however, it seems like X will soon get a more tempered and lighthearted Elon Musk once more.
Lifestyle
Possible first glimpse of Tesla “Model 2” affordable car in Fremont Factory
The models that Tesla will release in the coming months will resemble the company’s current lineup.
During the Q1 earnings call, Tesla VP of Vehicle Engineering Lars Moravy set expectations on the design of the affordable models that the company is expected to launch this 2025. As per the Tesla executive, the models that Tesla will release in the coming months will resemble the company’s current lineup.
Drone footage from the Fremont Factory earlier this month might have provided the EV community its first potential glimpse at Tesla’s affordable cars–fondly dubbed by EV fans and analysts as the “Model 2” or even “Model Q”–or at least their components and overall shape.
The Sighting
Tesla watcher and drone operator Met God in Wilderness, who has been posting aerial videos of the Fremont Factory for years now, recently shared some footage from his drone flyovers this month. While the Fremont Factory was abuzz with activity as usual, a couple of rather strange vehicles were quickly spotted by EV watchers on social media.
During the drone operator’s flyover on the 17th, for example, an unfinished vehicle could be seen parked next to what appeared to be fully-built Model S and Model Y units. What was especially interesting was the vehicle’s roof, which seemed to be slightly narrower than the Model Ys around it. Based on the video, at least, the vehicle seemed to be shaped like a crossover as well.
Footage from the 24th of April also proved quite interesting, with the drone operator capturing footage of another cryptic vehicle. Unlike the mysterious, unfinished, crossover-esque car spotted on the 17th, this particular unit seemed to have a more sloping rear, at least based on the shape of its covering.
What Lars Moravy Said
In Tesla’s Q1 2025 Update Letter, Tesla noted that “plans for new vehicles, including more affordable models, remain on track for start of production in the first half of 2025.” Tesla also noted that the new vehicles will utilize aspects of its next generation and its current platforms. They will also be produced on the same manufacturing lines as its present vehicle lineup, likely the Model Y and Model 3.
During the earnings call itself, Moravy specifically stated that the new models that would come out in the next months would resemble the company’s current vehicles. They will, however, be affordable. “Models that come out in next months will be built on our lines and will resemble, in form and shape, the cars we currently make. And the key is that they’ll be affordable, and you’ll be able to buy one,” Moravy stated.
Watch the drone operator’s footage from April 17 below.
The drone operator’s footage from April 24 can be viewed below.
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