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Investor's Corner

Tesla’s strong August start confidently brings in reiterated support from Piper Sandler

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Tesla’s (NASDAQ: TSLA) stock has experienced a positive August thus far, despite being only three days into the month. Just a week after Tesla reported positive earnings for Q2, Piper Sandler analysts Alex Potter and Winnie Dong are reiterating their support for the automaker’s stock, solidifying their belief that Tesla is primed to navigate competition in 2022 successfully.

The note, released on August 3rd, outlines Piper Sandler’s recent examination of the 10-Q filing Tesla submitted to the SEC. Following the 10-Q’s public release and synopsis last week, Piper Sandler said that “nothing fishy” pops out, and automotive margins were impressive past anyone’s scope of prediction. Additionally, Tesla stated in the document that it could recognize $1.3 billion in self-driving software within the next 12 months. Contributing to an already impressive gross margin that fueled Tesla’s eighth-consecutive profitable quarter, the analysts suggest that margin could exceed the mid 20’s.

The outlook for Tesla moving forward is strong, especially as the company has the most robust products, and battery electric vehicle adoption continues to rise in nearly every region worldwide. The note indicates that the span of 2022-2025 should be the strongest span for the adoption of EVs due to more manufacturers committing to the production of their initial electric models. The note indicates that Tesla is primed to navigate and accomplish increased vehicle production and delivery volume based on widespread EV adoption. “Tesla is still the driving force behind higher BEV penetration globally,” the note says. Tesla holds 67% of all BEV sales in the U.S. in 2021. The company ranks #2 in China, only trailing the Wuling-GM-SAIC conglomerate that produces the HongGuang Mini EV.

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In Europe, Tesla ranks #2 as well, with 13% of EVs sold in the region. However, this is without the Model Y, Tesla’s most popular vehicle, which will be manufactured at the Giga Berlin production facility later this year. With the crossover SUV style being the most popular body style in Europe, the Model Y could help Tesla to displace Volkswagen as the current king of the BEV market in Europe, fueled by the ID.3 and ID.4.

Changes to Tesla’s 2021 Outlook

Due to lower deliveries, Piper Sandler took down their revenue estimates and modified delivery expectations. The analysts believe that Tesla will achieve 846,000 deliveries this year. With Tesla being close to halfway there after quarters of 184,800 and 201,250, delivery figures are likely to increase on a quarter-over-quarter basis. With Giga Berlin and Giga Texas expected to start production before the end of the year, 846,000 units is certainly a figure within reach if all goes according to plan.

Tesla Model 3 Standard Range Plus becomes even more competitive in China

The note also identifies several “risks to achievement of price target and recommendation,” listing several things that could move Tesla’s price target downward. These are production delays, failure to meet customer expectations, defects and recalls, supply chain disruptions, and slow adoption of electric vehicles. While all realistic negatives, Tesla has done a good job of navigating through the global semiconductor shortage that has plagued most car companies globally. In its Q2 2021 Update Letter, Tesla said that it designed 19 different semiconductors and controllers to navigate through the shortages. Additionally, build quality and product builds have improved over the last several years, and the adoption of electric vehicles, while slow, is not something that seems to be a worry based on growing adoption numbers in some countries.

Piper Sandler maintains its Overweight rating and the $1,200 price target it has had on the stock since early this year.

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At the time of writing, Tesla stock was trading at $708.38, down just over $1.

Disclosure: Joey Klender is a TSLA Shareholder.

Joey has been a journalist covering electric mobility at TESLARATI since August 2019. In his spare time, Joey is playing golf, watching MMA, or cheering on any of his favorite sports teams, including the Baltimore Ravens and Orioles, Miami Heat, Washington Capitals, and Penn State Nittany Lions. You can get in touch with joey at joey@teslarati.com. He is also on X @KlenderJoey. If you're looking for great Tesla accessories, check out shop.teslarati.com

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Elon Musk

Tesla board reveals reasoning for CEO Elon Musk’s new $1 trillion pay package

“Yes, you read that correctly: in 2018, Elon had to grow Tesla by billions; in 2025, he has to grow Tesla by trillions — to be exact, he must create nearly $7.5 trillion in value for shareholders for him to receive the full award.”

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(Credit: Tesla)

Tesla’s Board of Directors has proposed a new pay package for company CEO Elon Musk that would result in $1 trillion in stock offerings if he is able to meet several lofty performance targets.

Musk, who has not been meaningfully compensated since 2017, completed his last pay package by delivering billions in shareholder value through a variety of performance-based “tranches,” which were met and resulted in the award of billions in stock.

Elon Musk’s new pay plan ties trillionaire status to Tesla’s $8.5 trillion valuation

However, Musk was unable to claim this award due to a ruling by the Delaware Chancery Court, which deemed the payout an “unfathomable sum.”

Now, the company is taking steps to ensure Musk gets paid, as the Board feels that it is crucial to retain its CEO, who has been responsible for much of the company’s success.

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This is not a statement to undermine the work of all of Tesla’s terrific employees, but a ship needs to be captained by someone, and Musk has proven he is the right person for the job.

The Board also believes that, based on a statement made by the company in its proxy, various issues will be discussed during the upcoming Shareholder Meeting.

Robyn Denholm and Kathleen Wilson-Thompson recognized Musk’s contributions in a statement, which encouraged shareholders to vote to approve the payout:

“We’re asking you to approve the 2025 CEO Performance Award. In designing the new performance award, we explored numerous alternatives. Ultimately, the new award aims to build upon the success of the 2018 CEO Performance Award framework, which ensure that Elon was only paid for the performance delivered and incentivized to guide Tesla through a period of meteoric growth. The 2025 CEO Performance Award similarly challegnes Elon to again meet a series of even more aspirational goals, including operational milestones focused on reaching Adjusted EBITDA targets (thresholds that are up to 28 times higher than the 2108 CEO Performance Award’s top Adjusted EBITDA milestone) and rolling out new or expanded product offerings (including 1 million Robotaxis in commercial operation and delivery of 1 million AI Bots), all while growing the company’s market capitalization by trillions of dollars.

Yes, you read that correctly: in 2018, Elon had to grow Tesla by billions; in 2025, he has to grow Tesla by trillions — to be exact, he must create nearly $7.5 trillion in value for shareholders for him to receive the full award.

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In addition to these unprecedented performance milestones, the 2025 CEO Performance Award also includes innovative structural features, born out of the special committee’s considered analysis and extensive shareholder feedback. These features include supercharged retention (at least seven and a half years and up to 10 years to vest in the full award), structural protections to minimize stock price volatility due to administration of this award and, thereafter, incentives for Elon to participate in the Board’s continued development of a framework for long-term CEO Succession. If Elon achieves all the performance milestones under this principle-based 2025 CEO Performance Award, his leadership will propel Tesla to become the most valuable company in history.”

Musk will have a lot of things to accomplish to receive the 423,743,904 shares, which are divided into 12 tranches.

However, the Board feels he is the right person for the job, and they want him to remain the CEO. This package should ensure that he stays with Tesla, as long as shareholders feel the same way.

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Investor's Corner

Elon Musk’s new pay plan ties trillionaire status to Tesla’s $8.5 trillion valuation

Shareholders are expected to vote on the proposal at the annual meeting on November 6.

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USAFA_Hosts_Elon_Musk_(Image_1_of_17)_(cropped)
U.S. AIR FORCE ACADEMY, Colo. -- Tesla Inc. Chief Executive Officer Elon Musk poses for a photograph with U.S. Air Force Academy Cadets in Mitchell Hall during a tour hosted by Superintendent Lt. Gen. Richard Clark on April 7, 2022. Musk met with Academy senior leadership and delivered remarks to a crowd of cadets and faculty. (U.S. Air Force photo by Justin R. Pacheco)

Tesla’s board has proposed a new compensation package for CEO Elon Musk that could make him the world’s first trillionaire and Tesla the most valuable company in history. 

The 2025 CEO Performance Award, outlined in a securities filing on Friday, would be worth up to $900 billion in Tesla stock (NASDAQ:TSLA) if the automaker achieves a series of aggressive performance and valuation goals, according to the New York Times

Shareholders are expected to vote on the proposal at the annual meeting on November 6.

Tesla is aiming for an insane $8.5 trillion market cap

The package requires Musk to lift Tesla’s market capitalization from about $1.1 trillion today to $8.5 trillion over the next decade. At that level, Tesla would surpass every major public company in existence. Nvidia, currently the world’s most valuable firm, has a market cap of around $4.2 trillion today, as noted in a Motley Fool report. Microsoft and Apple follow at $3.8 and 3.6 trillion each, while Saudi Aramco is valued at around $1.5 trillion.

If Tesla achieves its $8.5 trillion target, it would be worth more than twice Nvidia’s present valuation and nearly eight times its current size. The compensation plan also requires Tesla’s operating profit to grow from $17 billion last year to $400 billion annually.

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Credit: Tesla

Elon Musk’s path to a trillionaire status

Apart from leading Tesla to become the world’s biggest company in history, Musk is also required to hit several product targets for the electric vehicle maker. These include the delivery of 20 million Tesla vehicles cumulatively, 10 million active FSD subscriptions, 1 million Tesla bots delivered, and 1 million Robotaxis in operation.

Tesla board chair Robyn Denholm and director Kathleen Wilson-Thompson said retaining Musk is “fundamental to Tesla achieving these goals and becoming the most valuable company in history.” If successful, the plan would raise Musk’s Tesla stake from 13% to about 25%, further consolidating his control. It would also result in the CEO earning $900 billion in TSLA stock, allowing him to effectvely become a trillionaire. 

The proposal mirrors a 2018 compensation plan that was invalidated in Delaware court earlier this year in the way that it is focused on very aggressive targets and operational milestones. Tesla has since shifted its corporate registration to Texas, where challenges from potential activist shareholders are less of a risk.

Tesla’s SEC filing can be viewed below.

www-sec-gov-Archives-edgar-data-1318605-000110465925087598-tm252289-4_pre14a-htm… by Simon Alvarez

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Investor's Corner

Shareholder group urges Nasdaq probe into Elon Musk’s Tesla 2025 CEO Interim Award

The SOC Investment Group represents pension funds tied to more than two million union members, many of whom hold shares in TSLA.

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Credit: xAI/X

An investment group is urging Nasdaq to investigate Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) over its recent $29 billion equity award for CEO Elon Musk. 

The SOC Investment Group, which represents pension funds tied to more than two million union members—many of whom hold shares in TSLA—sent a letter to the exchange citing “serious concerns” that the package sidestepped shareholder approval and violated compensation rules.

Concerns over Tesla’s 2025 CEO Interim Award

In its August 19 letter to Nasdaq enforcement chief Erik Wittman, SOC alleged that Tesla’s board improperly granted Musk a “2025 CEO Interim Award” under the company’s 2019 Equity Incentive Plan. That plan, the group noted, explicitly excluded Musk when it was approved by shareholders. SOC argued that the new equity grant effectively expanded the plan to cover Musk, a material change that should have required a shareholder vote under Nasdaq rules.

The $29 billion package was designed to replace Musk’s overturned $56 billion award from 2018, which the Delaware Chancery Court struck down, prompting Tesla to file an appeal to the Delaware Supreme Court. The interim award contains restrictions: Musk must remain in a leadership role until August 2027, and vested shares cannot be sold until 2030, as per a Yahoo Finance report.

Even so, critics such as SOC have argued that the plan does not have of performance targets, calling it a “fog-the-mirror” award. This means that “If you’re around and have enough breath left in you to fog the mirror, you get them,” stated Brian Dunn, the director of the Institute for Comprehension Studies at Cornell University.

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SOC’s Tesla concerns beyond Elon Musk

SOC’s concerns extend beyond the mechanics of Musk’s pay. The group has long questioned the independence of Tesla’s board, opposing the reelection of directors such as Kimbal Musk and James Murdoch. It has also urged regulators to review Tesla’s governance practices, including past proposals to shrink the board. 

SOC has also joined initiatives calling for Tesla to adopt comprehensive labor rights policies, including noninterference with worker organizing and compliance with global labor standards. The investment group has also been involved in webinars and resolutions highlighting the risks related to Tesla’s approach to unions, as well as labor issues across several countries.

Tesla has not yet publicly responded to SOC’s latest letter, nor to requests for comment.

The SOC’s letter can be viewed below.

Nasdaq+Letter Tsla Socig Final by Simon Alvarez

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